Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
The setback of the South Yemeni project: ๐พ๐ช
On January 4, the YNA expelled the last STC forces from Hadramaut governorate and began to enter Shabwah governorate, taking control of the Harad, Uqlah, and Mahatta camps and reaching the Iyadh oil field near the city of Ataq. Meanwhile, from the south, YNA troops advanced along the coast and took the town of Balhaf and its port, Al Huwaymi, reaching Azzฤn and the outskirts of Alhaiblah on January 5.
Meanwhile, the authorities in the Abyan governorate approved the entry of pro-Saudi forces while negotiations are underway for a future accommodation of the STC within the YNA in anticipation of the fall of their stronghold in Aden in the coming days.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1k_5mC2oHM9Lj4I5irFA0pkXbqKQ&ll=14.614437861432837%2C47.18818379798665&z=9 ]
On January 4, the YNA expelled the last STC forces from Hadramaut governorate and began to enter Shabwah governorate, taking control of the Harad, Uqlah, and Mahatta camps and reaching the Iyadh oil field near the city of Ataq. Meanwhile, from the south, YNA troops advanced along the coast and took the town of Balhaf and its port, Al Huwaymi, reaching Azzฤn and the outskirts of Alhaiblah on January 5.
Meanwhile, the authorities in the Abyan governorate approved the entry of pro-Saudi forces while negotiations are underway for a future accommodation of the STC within the YNA in anticipation of the fall of their stronghold in Aden in the coming days.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1k_5mC2oHM9Lj4I5irFA0pkXbqKQ&ll=14.614437861432837%2C47.18818379798665&z=9 ]
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Nick just cannot keep the "America First" narrative consistent, and the invasion of Venezuela is showing this to everyone with functioning memories.
His reliance on the assumption that he is automatically right, and that anyone else saying anything different must be wrong, is showing more and more. More proof that intelligence isn't the only thing you need to make logical, consistent arguments.
Also, it's so funny seeing him getting ratio'd on his own channel ๐คฃ
His reliance on the assumption that he is automatically right, and that anyone else saying anything different must be wrong, is showing more and more. More proof that intelligence isn't the only thing you need to make logical, consistent arguments.
Also, it's so funny seeing him getting ratio'd on his own channel ๐คฃ
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Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
People will say โhe got the callโ or some shit but really he was just using that niche, antisemitic, anti authoritarian, counterculture young male angst to propel him into the next strata.
Once he got there he did the only thing he could to make him more successful.
So goes the world unfortunately.
Once he got there he did the only thing he could to make him more successful.
So goes the world unfortunately.
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The Ukrainian 108th Territorial Defence Brigade acknowledged recent claims of mistreatment of soldiers, stating that "some soldiers have been sent for additional training".
Deepstate has also said that they have received many messages from relatives of soldiers fighting in "one of the battalions of the 108th" (probably referring to 100th Territorial Defence Battalion) regarding problems with middle-level commanders.
The 108th Brigade is currently defending the area of the village of Bilohirya - a previously quiet section of the front recently reactivated after Russian forces managed to capture almost all of the village. Russian forces are currently attempting to exploit their successes for additional gains in the area. It is known that the 100th battalion of the 108th brigade carried out multiple unsuccessful counterattacks during the fighting for Bilohirya towards the end of December, so it's possible that this is what these complaints are referring to.
Deepstate has also said that they have received many messages from relatives of soldiers fighting in "one of the battalions of the 108th" (probably referring to 100th Territorial Defence Battalion) regarding problems with middle-level commanders.
The 108th Brigade is currently defending the area of the village of Bilohirya - a previously quiet section of the front recently reactivated after Russian forces managed to capture almost all of the village. Russian forces are currently attempting to exploit their successes for additional gains in the area. It is known that the 100th battalion of the 108th brigade carried out multiple unsuccessful counterattacks during the fighting for Bilohirya towards the end of December, so it's possible that this is what these complaints are referring to.
In the Stepnohirsk direction, Russian forces continued to advance through Prymorske, and are coming closer to establishing full control over the village.
Following earlier deep infiltrations by DRGs, Russian forces managed to enter and capture the central part of Prymorske, allowing for them to begin attacking the eastern part of the village from two directions. The eastern streets were subsequently brought under full Russian control, along with the nearby forested areas.
Meanwhile, DRGs continued to penetrate to the northern outskirts of Prymorske, which looks to have been mostly abandoned by Ukraine. It's likely that Ukrainian forces are attempting to turn northern Prymorske into a kill zone with drones to prevent Russian consolidation and accumulation for future attacks.
+ ~3.27 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Following earlier deep infiltrations by DRGs, Russian forces managed to enter and capture the central part of Prymorske, allowing for them to begin attacking the eastern part of the village from two directions. The eastern streets were subsequently brought under full Russian control, along with the nearby forested areas.
Meanwhile, DRGs continued to penetrate to the northern outskirts of Prymorske, which looks to have been mostly abandoned by Ukraine. It's likely that Ukrainian forces are attempting to turn northern Prymorske into a kill zone with drones to prevent Russian consolidation and accumulation for future attacks.
+ ~3.27 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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HIMARS launches from Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, in the direction of Vovchansk and then Belgorod Oblast.
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Forwarded from Weeb Union (Weeb Union)
Trump is so happy if you've seen any video of him lately its like he's been re-elected for a 10th term and he's been given 100 peace prizes.
That is extremely dangerous because he got that happiness from breaking laws and invading a country.
If there is no consequences, trust me. He will do it again.
That is extremely dangerous because he got that happiness from breaking laws and invading a country.
If there is no consequences, trust me. He will do it again.
๐คฃ135๐85 16๐คฌ10๐คฎ5๐4๐คทโโ3โค3๐1
Weeb Union
Trump is so happy if you've seen any video of him lately its like he's been re-elected for a 10th term and he's been given 100 peace prizes. That is extremely dangerous because he got that happiness from breaking laws and invading a country. If there isโฆ
Trump's not really any different from any other US president in recent history. He's just got no filter and is open about his intent for American imperialism. This gives people no excuse anymore to deny their goals of restoring hegemony.
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The only reason why people are recognising this intent is because its easy and accepted to bash Trump as a clown. Essentially, he is destroying his own narrative literally by being himself.
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Fighting has resumed in the al Ashrafiya and Sheikh Maqsoud neighbourhoods of northern Aleppo as STG government forces are expected to launch a full-scale operation to capture the SDF-held enclave.
This comes as last-minute U.S. backed peace talks failed, which would have seen the enclave be handed over to the STG peacefully. The STG is shelling the Kurdish-majority neighbourhoods with grad rockets, and bringing in additional reinforcements.
This comes as last-minute U.S. backed peace talks failed, which would have seen the enclave be handed over to the STG peacefully. The STG is shelling the Kurdish-majority neighbourhoods with grad rockets, and bringing in additional reinforcements.
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In the Omelnyk direction, Russian forces continued to advance, further expanding their zone of control west of Hulyaipole amid significantly intensified assault operations.
In the north, Russian forces advanced west from the northwestern part of Hulyaipole, breaking through Ukrainian positions along the treelines on the tactical heights and reaching the area of the special education school, which was subsequently brought under their control. Infiltrations by both DRGs and ordinary assault groups were then carried out into the villages of Staroukrainka, Sviatopetrivka, and Zelene, where the Ukrainians are attempting to carry out clearing operations. The Russian zone of control was also expanded in the treelines to the south of this spearhead.
To the south, Russian forces continued pushing along the highway and captured new treeline positions west of the agricultural buildings. DRGs continued their infiltrations into Zaliznychne, which is being further reinforced by the Ukrainian command.
In the southeast, Russian forces continued to incrementally advance south of Hulyaipole, where they pushed past the highway and consolidated in new treeline positions there.
+ ~6.82 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
In the north, Russian forces advanced west from the northwestern part of Hulyaipole, breaking through Ukrainian positions along the treelines on the tactical heights and reaching the area of the special education school, which was subsequently brought under their control. Infiltrations by both DRGs and ordinary assault groups were then carried out into the villages of Staroukrainka, Sviatopetrivka, and Zelene, where the Ukrainians are attempting to carry out clearing operations. The Russian zone of control was also expanded in the treelines to the south of this spearhead.
To the south, Russian forces continued pushing along the highway and captured new treeline positions west of the agricultural buildings. DRGs continued their infiltrations into Zaliznychne, which is being further reinforced by the Ukrainian command.
In the southeast, Russian forces continued to incrementally advance south of Hulyaipole, where they pushed past the highway and consolidated in new treeline positions there.
+ ~6.82 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made significant progress in the fortifications southeast of Novopavlivka.
Following their successes in the town and the elimination of the Ukrainian salient to the south, Russian forces continued advancing north along the fortified tactical heights, capturing new positions along four parallel treelines. From there, they advanced further north up another two treelines, while infiltrations took place towards the northeastern outskirts of Novopavlivka.
+ ~7.91 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Following their successes in the town and the elimination of the Ukrainian salient to the south, Russian forces continued advancing north along the fortified tactical heights, capturing new positions along four parallel treelines. From there, they advanced further north up another two treelines, while infiltrations took place towards the northeastern outskirts of Novopavlivka.
+ ~7.91 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Dobropillya direction, Ukrainian forces launched a series of counterattacks in the direction of Udachne.
Following the Russian capture of the Pokrovsk Coal mine, Ukrainian forces recaptured the forest plantations in the gulleys to the west. From there, they are infiltrating in small groups in the direction of the Udachne school and the agricultural buildings, where clashes took place with Russian troops.
Meanwhile, Russian forces resumed their assault operations north of the Pokrovsk Coal Mine after weather conditions improved, and are attempting to take up new positions in the treelines there.
+ ~1.39 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Following the Russian capture of the Pokrovsk Coal mine, Ukrainian forces recaptured the forest plantations in the gulleys to the west. From there, they are infiltrating in small groups in the direction of the Udachne school and the agricultural buildings, where clashes took place with Russian troops.
Meanwhile, Russian forces resumed their assault operations north of the Pokrovsk Coal Mine after weather conditions improved, and are attempting to take up new positions in the treelines there.
+ ~1.39 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Dobropillya direction, Ukrainian forces resumed their counterattacks in Rodynske, where they recaptured positions in the northern part of the city.
Following improvements in weather conditions, the Ukrainian 20th brigade "Lyubart" recently launched a series of attacks in the northern part of the city, re-establishing control over the highschool and capturing a block of buildings in the area of the firestation. Other assault groups broke into the northern low-rise residential streets, consolidating in large parts of it and reinforcing positions previously in the mixed grey-zone.
Attempts are now underway to bypass the highschool, while Russian forces are carrying out intensified strikes with FAB glide-bombs on Ukrainian positions in the area of the school, the firestation, and in the low-rise streets. Russian assault groups continue their attacks from their foothold in the northeastern streets, where they are attempting to resecure parts of the grey-zone. Back-and-forth fighting also continues in the southwestern part of the city.
+ ~0.32 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Following improvements in weather conditions, the Ukrainian 20th brigade "Lyubart" recently launched a series of attacks in the northern part of the city, re-establishing control over the highschool and capturing a block of buildings in the area of the firestation. Other assault groups broke into the northern low-rise residential streets, consolidating in large parts of it and reinforcing positions previously in the mixed grey-zone.
Attempts are now underway to bypass the highschool, while Russian forces are carrying out intensified strikes with FAB glide-bombs on Ukrainian positions in the area of the school, the firestation, and in the low-rise streets. Russian assault groups continue their attacks from their foothold in the northeastern streets, where they are attempting to resecure parts of the grey-zone. Back-and-forth fighting also continues in the southwestern part of the city.
+ ~0.32 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
In the Dobropillya direction, Russian forces resumed their assault operations following a series of Ukrainian counterattacks.
Russian forces advanced north from the village of Shakhove, breaking through the kill-zone imposed by Ukrainian drones, and entrenching in the forests to the north. From there, they began advancing to the west, reaching the clay quarries and establishing control over treeline positions. Other assault groups improved their positions northwest of Shakhove in additional forested areas.
+ ~8.72 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Russian forces advanced north from the village of Shakhove, breaking through the kill-zone imposed by Ukrainian drones, and entrenching in the forests to the north. From there, they began advancing to the west, reaching the clay quarries and establishing control over treeline positions. Other assault groups improved their positions northwest of Shakhove in additional forested areas.
+ ~8.72 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces intensified their offensive operations and have broken through Ukrainian defences south of Kostyantynivka.
Following the arrival of reinforcements into Kostyantynivka, infantry from the Russian 10th Tank Regiment broke through the kill-zone imposed by Ukrainian drones in the area of the anti-tank ditches at the highway intersection, consolidating in the treelines and infiltrating further north to the forested gulley. From there, they moved further north in small groups, reaching the village of Illinivka where they scattered, primarily into the northern and southeastern parts of the village. Ukrainian heavy bomber drones are attempting to kill as many of the surviving infantry as possible, ahead of possible clearing operations by Ukrainian assault groups.
Additionally, Russian infantry managed to consolidate in more positions in the forests north of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir, as well as in the treelines to the northwest, and intensified their infiltrations towards the southern outskirts of Berestok.
In the northeast, following the arrival of significant reinforcements, Russian forces intensified their efforts and establishing a large foothold in eastern Kostyantynivka. They managed to capture the rest of the buildings and residential streets up to the highway southeast of the Kostyantynivka Railway Station, and began infiltrating to the station and even further northwest to the Metalurh Park.
+ ~3.74 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
Following the arrival of reinforcements into Kostyantynivka, infantry from the Russian 10th Tank Regiment broke through the kill-zone imposed by Ukrainian drones in the area of the anti-tank ditches at the highway intersection, consolidating in the treelines and infiltrating further north to the forested gulley. From there, they moved further north in small groups, reaching the village of Illinivka where they scattered, primarily into the northern and southeastern parts of the village. Ukrainian heavy bomber drones are attempting to kill as many of the surviving infantry as possible, ahead of possible clearing operations by Ukrainian assault groups.
Additionally, Russian infantry managed to consolidate in more positions in the forests north of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir, as well as in the treelines to the northwest, and intensified their infiltrations towards the southern outskirts of Berestok.
In the northeast, following the arrival of significant reinforcements, Russian forces intensified their efforts and establishing a large foothold in eastern Kostyantynivka. They managed to capture the rest of the buildings and residential streets up to the highway southeast of the Kostyantynivka Railway Station, and began infiltrating to the station and even further northwest to the Metalurh Park.
+ ~3.74 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
AMK Mapping
In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces intensified their offensive operations and have broken through Ukrainian defences south of Kostyantynivka. Following the arrival of reinforcements into Kostyantynivka, infantry from the Russian 10th Tank Regimentโฆ
(PART 1)
Analysis on the situation in the Kostyantynivka direction and Russian plans to take the city:
Over the last two months, the Russian command has deployed significant reinforcements to the Kostyantynivka direction, in what appears to be an attempt to properly set themselves up for the capture of Kostyantynivka city.
A few days ago, Russian infantry from the 10th Tank Regiment carried out a 5km-deep infiltration into the village of Illinivka, west of Kostyantynivka, in what appears to be the first move to collapse Ukrainian defences outside the city.
For some time, the Russian forces (apparently primarily consisting of forces from the 72nd Motor Rifle Brigade, and possibly supported by elements of the 78th "Akhmat" Motor Rifle Regiment) attempting to establish a large foothold in the eastern part of the city have been hindered by a lack of progress by neighbouring units on the flanks. On their right flank, the 77th Motor Rifle Regiment and 89th Tank Regiment, supported by elements of the 1008th and 1442nd Motor Rifle Regiments, have struggled to make progress in the area of Predtechyne and Stupochky, despite earlier deep infiltration by DRGs into the large forests east of Kostyanytynivka. On their left flank, despite earlier successes, the 4th, 78th, 103rd, and 1194th Motor Rifle Regiments have become bogged down in the fields west of Pleshchiivka and Ivanopillya, and are struggling to consolidate due to heavy Ukrainian drone usage on their supply routes.
The Russian command seems to have attempted to solve this issue on the flanks by carrying/planning to carry out two concerted operations:
On the right flank, soldiers 10th Tank Regiment achieved a localised breakthrough in the direction of Illinivka, which saw them break through the Ukrainian drone kill-zone in the area of the highway intersection, and scattered infantry throughout the village. At the same time, other assault groups of the 10th Tank Regiment are advancing through the kill-zones in the western part of the forest north of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir to infiltrate the southern outskirts of Berestok, which had previously proven unsuccessful for them. This appears to be a coordinated effort to push past the kill-zones and force the Ukrainian formations stubbornly defending the rest of the forest and the areas northwest of Ivanopillya to withdraw to the north, thereby freeing up the 4th, 78th, 103rd, and 1194th regiments to clear the rest of the areas south of the city, and further developing the left flank of the main push towards the centre of Kostyantynivka.
This effort is also being supported by the 54th, 1436th, and 1219th Motor Rifle Regiments in the area of Stepanivka, who have - over the last 2 months - incrementally approached the village from the south and west, and are attempting to consolidate and accumulate for attacks directly into the settlement which currently remains firmly under Ukrainian control. If the 10th Tank Regiment is able to consolidate in Illinivka and bring in supplies, this could develop a left flank for them and force the remaining Ukrainian units stubbornly defending the forests northeast of Yablunivka to withdraw north.
However, currently I doubt their ability to successfully bring in adequate supplies to Illinivka due to the depth of the incursion zone, and the kill-zones which are still in place from Ukrainian drones in the area of the highway intersection. Currently, heavy Ukrainian bomber drones are focusing on carrying out strikes on Russian infantry in the northern part of Illinivka. From there, they will probably intensify strikes on the southern part of the village. It's likely - in my opinion - that Ukrainian assault groups will subsequently clear out the village to try to save the situation, as it's very clear the implications that a successful Russian capture of the village would have for the overall defence of Kostyantynivka.
Analysis on the situation in the Kostyantynivka direction and Russian plans to take the city:
Over the last two months, the Russian command has deployed significant reinforcements to the Kostyantynivka direction, in what appears to be an attempt to properly set themselves up for the capture of Kostyantynivka city.
A few days ago, Russian infantry from the 10th Tank Regiment carried out a 5km-deep infiltration into the village of Illinivka, west of Kostyantynivka, in what appears to be the first move to collapse Ukrainian defences outside the city.
For some time, the Russian forces (apparently primarily consisting of forces from the 72nd Motor Rifle Brigade, and possibly supported by elements of the 78th "Akhmat" Motor Rifle Regiment) attempting to establish a large foothold in the eastern part of the city have been hindered by a lack of progress by neighbouring units on the flanks. On their right flank, the 77th Motor Rifle Regiment and 89th Tank Regiment, supported by elements of the 1008th and 1442nd Motor Rifle Regiments, have struggled to make progress in the area of Predtechyne and Stupochky, despite earlier deep infiltration by DRGs into the large forests east of Kostyanytynivka. On their left flank, despite earlier successes, the 4th, 78th, 103rd, and 1194th Motor Rifle Regiments have become bogged down in the fields west of Pleshchiivka and Ivanopillya, and are struggling to consolidate due to heavy Ukrainian drone usage on their supply routes.
The Russian command seems to have attempted to solve this issue on the flanks by carrying/planning to carry out two concerted operations:
On the right flank, soldiers 10th Tank Regiment achieved a localised breakthrough in the direction of Illinivka, which saw them break through the Ukrainian drone kill-zone in the area of the highway intersection, and scattered infantry throughout the village. At the same time, other assault groups of the 10th Tank Regiment are advancing through the kill-zones in the western part of the forest north of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir to infiltrate the southern outskirts of Berestok, which had previously proven unsuccessful for them. This appears to be a coordinated effort to push past the kill-zones and force the Ukrainian formations stubbornly defending the rest of the forest and the areas northwest of Ivanopillya to withdraw to the north, thereby freeing up the 4th, 78th, 103rd, and 1194th regiments to clear the rest of the areas south of the city, and further developing the left flank of the main push towards the centre of Kostyantynivka.
This effort is also being supported by the 54th, 1436th, and 1219th Motor Rifle Regiments in the area of Stepanivka, who have - over the last 2 months - incrementally approached the village from the south and west, and are attempting to consolidate and accumulate for attacks directly into the settlement which currently remains firmly under Ukrainian control. If the 10th Tank Regiment is able to consolidate in Illinivka and bring in supplies, this could develop a left flank for them and force the remaining Ukrainian units stubbornly defending the forests northeast of Yablunivka to withdraw north.
However, currently I doubt their ability to successfully bring in adequate supplies to Illinivka due to the depth of the incursion zone, and the kill-zones which are still in place from Ukrainian drones in the area of the highway intersection. Currently, heavy Ukrainian bomber drones are focusing on carrying out strikes on Russian infantry in the northern part of Illinivka. From there, they will probably intensify strikes on the southern part of the village. It's likely - in my opinion - that Ukrainian assault groups will subsequently clear out the village to try to save the situation, as it's very clear the implications that a successful Russian capture of the village would have for the overall defence of Kostyantynivka.
โค83๐33๐5๐2๐คฃ2๐1
AMK Mapping
(PART 1) Analysis on the situation in the Kostyantynivka direction and Russian plans to take the city: Over the last two months, the Russian command has deployed significant reinforcements to the Kostyantynivka direction, in what appears to be an attemptโฆ
(PART 2)
Analysis on the situation in the Kostyantynivka direction and Russian plans to take the city:
Although, it is possible that the Russians will be able to at least secure the forested gulley southwest of Illinivka first, and use this in the future for additional attempts to capture the village
As for the right flank of the 72nd Regiment, no major increases in Russian attacks have been observed. Currently, the main vector of attack is along the highway from Stupochky to the large forests east of Kostyantynivka, however no significant success has been recorded yet. Recently, the Russian command redeployed the 70th Motor Rifle Division to the Kostyantynivka direction. In my opinion, this is being done in an attempt to solve the problem on the right flank of the city, in coordination with the recent attacks on Illinivka. Prior to this redeployment, the 28th Motor Rifle Regiment of the 70th Division was already operating in Chasiv Yar, where they have faced problems from Ukrainian incursions into the southwestern part of the city in October (which they have only managed to recapture around half of) and the strong defences in the neighbouring village of Mykolaivka. It's highly likely that the rest of the 70th Division has been redeployed to Bakhmut, where the 24th and 26th Motor Rifle Regiments, along with the 17th Tank Regiment will again attempt to properly develop the right flank of the city.
However, as these preparations take place, actions are already underway on the extreme right flank of the city in the area of Virolyubivka and Mykolaivka. Here, the 126th and 127th Motor Rifle Regiments have been making incremental progress over the last 3 months, successfully creating a large "ledge" northeast of Kostyantynivka. This will likely serve as a springboard for attacks on the Stinky - Klynove line, with the goal of enveloping the strong Ukrainian defences in the area of Mykolaivka, Chervone, and Podilske, which would eventually collapse remaining Ukrainian defences northeast of the city.
Overall, the Russian command appears to be implementing a comprehensive plan to take Kostyantynivka (Whose pre-war population exceeds that of Pokrovsk) in a timely manner. If this succeeds, it will prevent Russian forces from engaging in an extremely prolonged and costly battle for this large city, and allow them to coordinate properly with adjacent offensives in the directions of Dobropillya and Slovyansk.
Analysis on the situation in the Kostyantynivka direction and Russian plans to take the city:
Although, it is possible that the Russians will be able to at least secure the forested gulley southwest of Illinivka first, and use this in the future for additional attempts to capture the village
As for the right flank of the 72nd Regiment, no major increases in Russian attacks have been observed. Currently, the main vector of attack is along the highway from Stupochky to the large forests east of Kostyantynivka, however no significant success has been recorded yet. Recently, the Russian command redeployed the 70th Motor Rifle Division to the Kostyantynivka direction. In my opinion, this is being done in an attempt to solve the problem on the right flank of the city, in coordination with the recent attacks on Illinivka. Prior to this redeployment, the 28th Motor Rifle Regiment of the 70th Division was already operating in Chasiv Yar, where they have faced problems from Ukrainian incursions into the southwestern part of the city in October (which they have only managed to recapture around half of) and the strong defences in the neighbouring village of Mykolaivka. It's highly likely that the rest of the 70th Division has been redeployed to Bakhmut, where the 24th and 26th Motor Rifle Regiments, along with the 17th Tank Regiment will again attempt to properly develop the right flank of the city.
However, as these preparations take place, actions are already underway on the extreme right flank of the city in the area of Virolyubivka and Mykolaivka. Here, the 126th and 127th Motor Rifle Regiments have been making incremental progress over the last 3 months, successfully creating a large "ledge" northeast of Kostyantynivka. This will likely serve as a springboard for attacks on the Stinky - Klynove line, with the goal of enveloping the strong Ukrainian defences in the area of Mykolaivka, Chervone, and Podilske, which would eventually collapse remaining Ukrainian defences northeast of the city.
Overall, the Russian command appears to be implementing a comprehensive plan to take Kostyantynivka (Whose pre-war population exceeds that of Pokrovsk) in a timely manner. If this succeeds, it will prevent Russian forces from engaging in an extremely prolonged and costly battle for this large city, and allow them to coordinate properly with adjacent offensives in the directions of Dobropillya and Slovyansk.
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