Correction: 4 Tu-22m3s are now airborne.

A MiG-31K is airborne over the eastern Black Sea.

It is likely carrying out a training mission with the 4 Tu-22m3 bombers.

No threat to Ukraine.

In the Hulyaipole direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and are advancing at an accelerated pace.

In the south, Russian forces have been carrying out a series of assault operations over the past week aimed at eliminating the Ukrainian salient south of Hulyaipole. They were able to advance north from the area of Dorozhnyanka, capturing positions in 7 different treelines on the tactical heights that have held for more than 3.5 years.

To the north, Russian forces continued advancing in eastern Hulyaipole and captured the local university and additional positions in the low-rise residential streets. They also improved their positions to the southeast, capturing additional treeline positions. From there, the Russians broke through Ukrainian positions in the southernmost part of the city, capturing an agricultural complex and nearby streets, and reaching Hoholya Street, where they established control over multiple low-rise residential blocks.

To the northwest, following earlier infiltrations, Russian soldiers managed to consolidate their bridgehead over the Haichur River on Travnya Street in northwestern Hulyaipole. They also captured additional positions in the treelines and orchards to the north, reaching the southern outskirts of Varvarivka.

+ ~15.35 km² in favour of Russia.

Google search trends for Kupyansk, Hulyaipole, and Myrnohrad over the last 90 days.

This speaks numbers...

Edit: apparently I misclicked and didn’t select Myrnohrad as a search term, which skewed the results.

The fact that no one cares about the hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers abandoned by the Ukrainian command in Myrnohrad is just depressing, and goes to show how effective Ukraine's information effort has been.

There will be no missile attack tonight as satellite imagery reveals that the 3 Tu-160s did not in fact redeploy to Belaya Airbase and instead carried out a training mission.

Preparations are ongoing, but are almost complete. There will likely be something in the next couple of days.

High-quality satellite imagery from Novorossiysk Naval Base shows that the Ukrainian underwater drone missed the Varshavyanka-class Submarine, detonating against the pier. Any damage to the vessel is likely minimal.

A large Russian Telegram Channel with over 25,000 subscribers called "ZAPAD Military Group | News" appears to be paraphrasing my posts on the situation in Kupyansk, and lying about their connections.

This channel claims to be in contact with many soldiers currently fighting in the Zapad Group of the Russian Army and even says that they communicate with family members of soldiers.

One of their recent posts - published just four hours after my own Kupyansk map update - contains large parts of my text paraphrased to make it look like their own, with key terms such as "strongpoint" and "substation" left in, making the copying very obvious. I have highlighted these instances it in the attached image if you wish to take a closer look.

Additionally, if you look closer at their channel, their maps are just edited versions of @Suriyak_maps' maps, with large grey zones present.

You would think that an account so connected with an army group who posts updates so often would have their own information, and wouldn't regurgitate information posted by a pro-Ukrainian account like me?

It's likely that this account is a fraud, so if you are looking for updates on this direction, please don't treat it as reliable, and especially don't treat it as a "Russian source". It's possible that it is ran by Ukrainians, or at the very least Russians who want some views and exposure on Telegram.

Russian forces have captured the village of Varvarivka, Hulyaipole direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~368.
Total land area: ~2.12 km².

Last night, at least 5 Russian Geran-2 drones attacked an agricultural complex on the outskirts of the town of Novomykolaivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

2 Russian Su-34s covered by 2 Su-35 fighters are airborne over the Black Sea. They may launch glide-bombs at Odesa Oblast.

Approaching their launch lines

Launch maneuvers

KAB/Grom-E1 to Zatoka, Odesa Oblast

Both are Grom-E1 rocket-powered glide-bombs. Flying in the direction of Chornomorsk.

~5 minutes away from the coast