In the Novopavlivka direction, over the last few weeks Ukrainian forces have been carrying out a series of counterattacks aimed at recapturing Novopavlivka.

After the earlier Russian breakthrough into the town and a large-scale FPV drone striking campaign on Russian positions, Ukrainian forces were able to contain the Russian advances and begin pushing back. They re-entered the northwestern streets, and in coordination with attacks from the northeast and southwest, pushed the Russians back beyond the Solena River. From there, the Ukrainians consolidated in the northern streets and began a general push back to the town centre, reaching and establishing control over it.

Additionally, despite earlier withdrawals, the Ukrainians were able to dig in east of Novopavlivka and begin pushing back towards its rear, advancing along several treelines and recapturing positions along the western face of the tactical heights. They are now trying to infiltrate even further south, entrenching south of Novopavlivka and reaching the gulley east of Filiya where they are attempting to clear the strongpoints there.

As a result of these attacks, and attempts to cross the Solena River from the west, the remaining Russian formations in Novopavlivka are operationally encircled and have no ground supply lines leading to their positions.

Meanwhile, to the southwest, Russian forces resumed their assault operations northwest of Filiya and established control over the rest of the fortified forest there, pushing the Ukrainians back to the treelines further north.

+ ~23.60 km² in favour of Ukraine.
+ ~0.83 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Dobropillya direction, Russian forces continued to advance near Pokrovsk and in Myrnohrad, capturing new important positions in several different areas.

In the west, Russian forces continued advancing through Hryshyne where they captured new positions in the southeastern part of the village on both banks of the Hrishynka River.

To the east, Russian forces cleared the grey zone north of Pokrovsk, establishing control over the treelines there and widening the corridor separating the Myrnohrad pocket with the rest of the front. Infiltration attempts to the second pig farm complex westwards along the road were also resumed.

In the northwestern part of the Myrnohrad pocket, Russian forces managed to consolidate in the last part of Rivne in the northeast of the village, and building on their success, entered the neighbouring village of Svitle. They were able to quickly establish control over the western and central part of the settlement, pushing the Ukrainians back towards the northwestern edge of Myrnohrad.

In the southern part of the pocket, Russian forces continued incrementally advancing north towards Myrnohrad city centre, reaching Stusa Street and beginning infiltrations further towards the high-rise buildings of the 40th District. They also captured the remaining apartment buildings of the Zapadny District, including the local kindergarten.

In the north, Russian forces continued to slowly advance through Rodynske, and after heavy fighting managed to break through the Ukrainian defence in the three-story buildings near Myru Street, aligning the front with Shakhtarskoi Slavy Street. Heavy fighting continues for the remaining Ukrainian positions in the buildings between School No. 35 and Shakhtarskoi Slavy Street.

+ ~7.30 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Dobropillya and Druzhkivka directions, Russian forces continued their intensified assault operations and have made important progress in several different areas.

In the southwest, Russian forces recaptured the last parts of Nykanorivka and secured the nearby forests and treelines, levelling the frontline east of the railway line.

To the north, the Russians completed the capture of Dorozhnje and have begun advancing northwest up the railway line towards Novyi Donbas. Other forces infiltrated the village of Ivanivka, which is now in the grey zone.

To the northeast, Russian forces levelled the frontline along the Nove Shakhove - Shakhove Road, recapturing the remaining positions in the forest plantations there. Other forces captured the groves northeast of Nove Shakhove and began infiltrating further west past the village in the direction of Novyi Donbas.

To the east, the Russians captured the forest plantations on the northern bank of two reservoirs west of Shakhove and recaptured the positions north of Shakhove following the earlier Ukrainian counterattacks.

In the northeast, Russian forces continued advancing in and around Sofiivka and have consolidated in the agricultural buildings on the eastern outskirts of the village. They also crossed the Kazenyi Torets River, infiltrating the forest plantations on its western bank. The rest of Sofiivka is now in the grey zone.

+ ~12.17 km² in favour of Russia.

Thai F-16 fighters have launched airstrikes on the town of Samraong, northern Cambodia (around 17 km from the border).

Footage showing the third Russian strike on the Pechenihy Dam in Kharkiv Oblast. This one was carried out with a Tornado-S rocket.

The road over the Pechenihy Dam is one of the main logistical routes for Ukrainian forces for the Vovchansk - Kupyansk sector of the frontline.

Coordinates: 49.88225, 36.98039

⚡️🇹🇭🇰🇭 Footage of Cambodian forces firing BM-21 rockets toward the Surin-Oddar Meanchey border area.

@wfwitness

In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations in and around Kostyantynivka and have made new progress in four different areas.

In the northeast, following the capture of the tram depot on the northern edge of the Santurinivka District, Russian forces broke into the forest to the northeast, capturing positions there and in the trench fortifications in the adjacent fields. After accumulating, they pushed further northeast up the highway and forests, capturing the remaining positions south of the Dovhenka Arroyo Gulley, while other forces captured the remaining field fortifications near Predtechyne and the cafe on the eastern edge of the forest.

From there, Russian forces crossed the Dovhenka Arroyo Gulley and entered the northern part of the forests, infiltrating the Metallurg Dachas, the Khimik Dachas, the electrical substation, and the cemetary. DRGs moved even further north, entering the treelines northeast of Kostyantynivka. DRGs are also continuing to operate in the western forests and in the eastern streets of the Hora District.

To the southwest, Russian forces continued taking new positions in the Santurinivka District and consolidated in six more low-rise residential blocks southwest of the tram depot. They also managed to push the Ukrainians back out of the Michurina Dachas in southeastern Kostyantynivka.

To the south, Russian forces continued slowly advancing north of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir. They captured additional positions in the forests of the Kleban-Byk Landscape Park and expanded their zone of control in the trench fortifications west of Pleshchiivka.

+ ~9.53 km² in favour of Russia.

On the northwestern flank of Kostyantynivka, Russian forces continued their intensified assault operations and have advanced in two different areas.

In the northwest, Russian forces continued pushing west from the area of Maiske. They advanced west along a treeline, and west from the Maiske - Virolybuivka Road, capturing new positions on the tactical heights northeast of Virolybuivka. From there, Russian soldiers managed to enter the northern part of Virolybuivka, while DRGs infiltrated even further west and across the Novyi Reservoir in the direction of Klynove.

In the southeast, Russian forces began counterattacking in the southern suburbs of Chasiv Yar. They were able to recapture the Levanevskoho District, pushing the Ukrainians back to the southwestern Pivdennyi District.

+ ~4.50 km² in favour of Russia.

Russia is currently carrying out large-scale military exercises in the Far East.

At least 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase, ships from the pacific fleet stationed in Vladivostok, and an A-50U AWACS aircraft are taking part.

The strategic bombers are carrying out simulated launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles with electronic warfare in the Sea of Japan. They are communicating ground controllers "Tainy, Bocheka, Rangut, Senokos, Vyazanka," and carrying out launch maneuvers with the launch code "333".

These exercises will undoubtably delay the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic aviation, however there is still a possibility for large-scale missile attacks to take place without bombers due to a large number of Geran-2 drones still accumulated at launch sites, as well as recent Iskander-M deliveries to OTRK installations.

Russian media report that a Russian An-22 military transport aircraft crashed in Ivanovo Oblast.

The plane reportedly had 7 crewmembers onboard at the time. Search and rescue operations are underway.

On the southwestern flank of Siversk, Russian forces continued to advance and have made significant progress across three different areas.

In the southwest, Russian forces managed to break through Ukrainian positions in the eastern part of Orikhovo-Vasylivka, quickly capturing the rest of this village which had held for over a year. Additionally, they were able to secure the treelines to the southwest and northeast, as well as the rest of the gulley to the east. From there, Russian forces pushed north to the forest along the E-40 Highway, capturing the southern part of it. In response to these somewhat sudden Russian advances, Ukraine blew up the Pryvillya Dam in an attempt to slow them down.

To the northeast, Russian forces continued pushing west from the Bakhmutovka River. They consolidated in positions directly east of Pazeno, before entering the village, which is now in the grey-zone. They also managed to secure a number of the trenches north and northwest of Sakko i Vansetti which have held since March 2023.

+ ~9.32 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Siversk and Lyman directions, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made significant progress over the last week.

In the southeast, Russian forces managed to consolidate in most of the high-rise buildings of northeastern Siversk. From there, they advanced southwest and captured the railway station, while other forces advanced west to the city centre.

Additionally, Russian forces eliminated the pocket to the southeast of Siversk, and in coordination with attacks from the southern outskirts, established control over the southeastern part of the city, largely levelling the frontline along the railway line. Ukrainian forces have mostly withdrawn from the main part of Siversk east of the Bakhmutovka River, while Russian forces are attempting to infiltrate the western suburbs. They also managed to capture the terykon north of the city.

To the northwest, the Russians continued advancing beyond Platonivka and captured the forested gulley south of the village. They also advanced through the forest plantations to the southwest and captured the southeastern streets of Zakitne.

Further northwest, Russian forces captured the remaining part of the forests north of Zakitne and cleared the positions in the forested area on the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River.

To the west, the Russians captured the crossroads north of Ozerne and continue attempts to enter the northern part of the village amid fierce fighting. Additionally, Russian forces managed to capture the northern and eastern parts of Dibrova, as well as the forests to the east and southeast. Marginal advances also took place west of the two reservoirs in the direction of the highway.

+ ~29.57 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Lyman direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made new progress in three different areas.

In the southeast, Russian forces continued to incrementally advance through the fields east of Lyman, amid heavy fighting. They were able to establish control over additional positions in the treelines south of the Zarichne - Lyman Road, and are attempting to advance further west.

To the north, Russian forces resumed their assault operations northeast of Lyman and have captured additional positions in the western part of the Pen'kovyy yar Gulley.

In the northwest, after an earlier withdrawal, Russian forces re-entered the agricultural complex on the northeastern outskirts of Dobrysheve and established full control over it.

+ ~2.20 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Borova direction, Russian forces resumed their assault operations in the western part of Luhansk Oblast and have made new progress in the direction of the Luhansk - Kharkiv regional border.

Russian forces advanced northwest up both banks of a tributary of the Zherebets River, capturing new positions in 7 different treelines. They also managed to gain a foothold in the eastern part of the Lomovaty Forest and advanced further northwest in the direction of the Borovy Forest.

+ ~4.31 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Kupyansk direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces are advancing, each focusing on a different side of the Oskil River.

In the west, Ukrainian forces recaptured the forests southwest of Kupyansk and made additional progress in the southern streets of the city. They also advanced from the village of Moskovka into the northwestern streets, as well as from the western suburbs towards the city centre, where they are now fighting for the area of the train station - bypassing Russian strongpoints in the northwestern suburbs from the south. Meanwhile, Russian forces repelled the Ukrainian attacks in the Yuvileynyi high-rise micro-district, and regained control over its western apartment buildings.

Since then, after heavy fighting, Ukrainian forces managed to establish control over a number of enterprises along the R-79 highway and infiltrated the northern streets of Kupyansk, therefore blocking Russian logistics and operationally encircling their garrison in the part of the city west of the Oskil River.

In the east, over the last week Russian forces have made significant progress east of the Oskil River. They advanced for over 2.6 km down the road across open ground to the northern outskirts of Petropavlivka and entrenched in its northern street. From there, after bringing in reinforcements, the Russians pushed southwest to the eastern bank of the Hnylytsya River and south to the centre of Petropavlivka, establishing control over the forest plantations north of a tributary of the Hnylytsya River. Attacks are now underway towards the eastern part of the village; however the situation in the centre of the settlement and nearby areas remains somewhat fluid and dynamic.

To the southeast, Russian forces resumed their assault operations on the southeastern part of Petropavlivka and gained a foothold in the first houses of the village. Other assault groups managed to capture positions in the forested area to the south.

+ ~8.53 km² in favour of Russia.
+ ~5.80 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Close-up view of the situation in Kupyansk, where Russian forces have been operationally encircled in the western part of the city:

The yellow lines represent the former Russian supply routes, which are now largely impassable due to the presence of Ukrainian soldiers there, who managed to reach the western bank of the Oskil River. This has been achieved after weeks of Ukrainian counterattacks. There is currently no evidence of consolidation there, however.

The red shows the main Russian strongholds in western Kupyansk, which the Ukrainians are either bypassing or directly assaulting.

The situation has reached this point due to a severe lack of Russian manpower within Kupynask. This is due to a lack of Russian consolidation north of the city, making logistics (which already have to go over the river further north which is monitored 24/7 by Ukrainian drones) incredible difficult. For this reason, Russian soldiers in western Kupyansk likely number between just 200 and 400.

The fact that Russian forces managed to break into Kupyansk and quickly capture large parts of the city is evidence of how poorly the Ukrainian defence was initially conducted here, and how critical their manpower shortages were.

However, due to reinforcements being brought in, Ukraine achieved a localised numerical superiority in this area, which is allowing for them to carry out these successful counterattacks.

This is why I warned about this sector a week ago, and how it could become critical for Russian forces. Since then, the situation has absolutely reached a critical level.