The Kinzhal was likely a false target (EW). No launches yet.

2 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers departed from Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, flying towards their launch lines in eastern Kursk Oblast.

Correction: The Kh-101 launches were carried out by 4 Tu-160s over the Caspian Sea.

3 pairs of Kalibrs are approaching Ternopil City from the southeast.

So far, ~2 Kalibrs have been shot down. 2 pairs continue their flight to Ternopil City.

Possible launches of up to 6 Kalibr cruise missiles from a "Varshavyanka" submarine.

2 pairs of Kalibrs changed course to the west, bypassing Ternopil City from the south and flying towards the Burshtyn Thermal Power Plant.

Kalibrs are flying further west towards Stryi, Lviv Oblast.

Explosions in Burshtyn, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast. Geran strikes.

Explosions in Stryi, Lviv Oblast. The Kalibrs struck the underground gas facility.

No missiles are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace.

3 Tu-22m3s are confirmed to be airborne.

If the new launches of Kalibrs were real, missiles will enter Ukrainian airspace via Kherson Oblast in 20-30 mins.

The repeated Kalibr launches likely did not take place, but I will continue to monitor.

3 Kh-22 cruise missiles struck gas infrastructure near Lubny, Poltava Oblast.

Now 7 groups of Kh-101s have entered Ukrainian airspace:

4 groups are flying to Drabiv, Cherkasy Oblast.
3 groups are flying to Romny, Sumy Oblast.

4 groups of Kh-101s changed course to the south and then southwest, flying east of Cherkasy City to Smila, Cherkasy Oblast.

3 groups of Kh-101s continue to follow behind, flying to Drabiv, Cherkasy Oblast.

1 more group of Kh-101s has entered Sumy Oblast, flying to Romny.

The 5 MiG-31Ks landed at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, without launching any missiles.

5 groups of Kh-101s flew past Shpola, Cherkasy Oblast towards Bila Tserkva District, Kyiv Oblast.

4 groups continue flying southwest towards Cherkasy.

1 new group entered Sumy Oblast on the same route.

Explosions in Smila, Cherkasy Oblast.

3 MiG-31Ks are airborne.

4