In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces continued to advance and have captured positions within Kostyantynivka's city limits.
After weeks of DRG infiltrations, Russian assault groups were able to consolidate in the eastern-most houses of the city, capturing at least 13 low-rise residential blocks as well as the nearby trench lines. DRGs continue their infiltrations towards the railway station, significantly disrupting Ukraine's defence.
To the south, Russian forces advanced further up the railway line and captured new treeline positions. They also consolidated in the agricultural buildings on the northern outskirts of Ivanopillya, before entering and capturing part of the village.
In the southwest, Russian forces continued to expand their zone of control east of the highway, capturing new trenches in the forests, as well as an underground bunker. Attacks are now being carried out further east to the rear of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir.
+ ~4.60 km² in favour of Russia.
After weeks of DRG infiltrations, Russian assault groups were able to consolidate in the eastern-most houses of the city, capturing at least 13 low-rise residential blocks as well as the nearby trench lines. DRGs continue their infiltrations towards the railway station, significantly disrupting Ukraine's defence.
To the south, Russian forces advanced further up the railway line and captured new treeline positions. They also consolidated in the agricultural buildings on the northern outskirts of Ivanopillya, before entering and capturing part of the village.
In the southwest, Russian forces continued to expand their zone of control east of the highway, capturing new trenches in the forests, as well as an underground bunker. Attacks are now being carried out further east to the rear of the Kleban-Bykske Reservoir.
+ ~4.60 km² in favour of Russia.
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Scenes from the combined missile and drone strike on Dnipro. The main target was the Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant. Patriot systems were unable to intercept any of the missiles.
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Multiple Russian Geran-2 drones attacked a target in the western part of Mykolaiv City last night. A fire was seen burning afterwards.
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Scenes from last night's combined Russian missile and drone attack on Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
The target was the city's chemical plant, as well as energy infrastructure. Power outages lasted a couple of hours, and the fire at the chemical plant has since burned out.
The target was the city's chemical plant, as well as energy infrastructure. Power outages lasted a couple of hours, and the fire at the chemical plant has since burned out.
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A large fire is burning at the TEC-5 combined heat and power plant in Kharkiv City after it was hit by multiple Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Geran-2 drones.
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In the Dobropillya direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces have advanced over the past 10 days, with Ukrainian forces eliminating most of the rest of the former Russian Kucheriv Yar salient.
In the north, Ukrainian forces advanced from positions south and east of Kucheriv Yar and recaptured positions in the treelines on the tactical heights and in the clay quarries. They reached the forests leading to western Shakhove where fighting is now ongoing.
To the south, Ukrainian forces advanced further east from positions east of Nove Shakhove. They pushed along two parallel gulleys and some treelines, capturing new positions in the direction of Pankivka, and threatening to cut off Russian formations entrenched in western Shakhove.
To the southwest, despite Russian FAB bombings, Ukrainian assault groups made additional progress towards the Kazenyi Torets River. They advanced southeast and captured new treeline positions on the tactical heights northwest of Mayak, while other forces entered the Hektova Gulley where they established control over most of the forested areas and began pushing towards the rear of Nykanorivka. Additionally, the Ukrainians advanced east from Dorozhnje, recapturing new positions in the forests west of Nykanorivka.
On the other hand, after their withdrawal from northern Pankivka, Russian forces re-entered the forests in the grey-zone northwest of the village, and consolidated in the positions there.
+ ~24.45 km² in favour of Ukraine.
+ ~0.67 km² in favour of Russia.
In the north, Ukrainian forces advanced from positions south and east of Kucheriv Yar and recaptured positions in the treelines on the tactical heights and in the clay quarries. They reached the forests leading to western Shakhove where fighting is now ongoing.
To the south, Ukrainian forces advanced further east from positions east of Nove Shakhove. They pushed along two parallel gulleys and some treelines, capturing new positions in the direction of Pankivka, and threatening to cut off Russian formations entrenched in western Shakhove.
To the southwest, despite Russian FAB bombings, Ukrainian assault groups made additional progress towards the Kazenyi Torets River. They advanced southeast and captured new treeline positions on the tactical heights northwest of Mayak, while other forces entered the Hektova Gulley where they established control over most of the forested areas and began pushing towards the rear of Nykanorivka. Additionally, the Ukrainians advanced east from Dorozhnje, recapturing new positions in the forests west of Nykanorivka.
On the other hand, after their withdrawal from northern Pankivka, Russian forces re-entered the forests in the grey-zone northwest of the village, and consolidated in the positions there.
+ ~24.45 km² in favour of Ukraine.
+ ~0.67 km² in favour of Russia.
Update from the Pokrovsk direction:
Over the last 24 hours, any remaining Ukrainian soldiers in the Dinas District of northeastern Pokrovsk surrendered after being physically encircled earlier. After combing operations, the rest of the district was brought under full Russian control.
Attacks are now being carried out further east through Rivne. Russian forces were able to capture additional positions in the southern houses of the village as they attempt to advance east along the highway towards the northwestern outskirts of Myrnohrad.
Northwest of Myrnohrad, Russian forces levelled the frontline east of the northern pincer. After earlier infiltrations they were able to consolidate in the pig farm complex northwest of Svitle, as well as the treelines to the north. Additionally, Russian forces captured the pig farm complex south of Chervonyi Lyman, as well as the rest of the railway windbreaks further south.
Fierce fighting continues in western Rodynske, with no new confirmed changes.
With these new changes, for the first time, not a single part of Pokrovsk City is under Ukrainian control. More than 95% is under Russian control, with the rest in a fluid grey zone.
Over the last 24 hours, any remaining Ukrainian soldiers in the Dinas District of northeastern Pokrovsk surrendered after being physically encircled earlier. After combing operations, the rest of the district was brought under full Russian control.
Attacks are now being carried out further east through Rivne. Russian forces were able to capture additional positions in the southern houses of the village as they attempt to advance east along the highway towards the northwestern outskirts of Myrnohrad.
Northwest of Myrnohrad, Russian forces levelled the frontline east of the northern pincer. After earlier infiltrations they were able to consolidate in the pig farm complex northwest of Svitle, as well as the treelines to the north. Additionally, Russian forces captured the pig farm complex south of Chervonyi Lyman, as well as the rest of the railway windbreaks further south.
Fierce fighting continues in western Rodynske, with no new confirmed changes.
With these new changes, for the first time, not a single part of Pokrovsk City is under Ukrainian control. More than 95% is under Russian control, with the rest in a fluid grey zone.
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In the Novopavlivka direction, over the past ten days, Russian forces have made significant progress on both banks of the Solena river.
In the northeast, Russian forces advanced further west from their positions west of Kotlyarivka. They established control over the remaining treelines in western Donetsk Oblast, crossing into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where they captured more positions on the tactical heights.
To the south, Russian forces widened their spearhead to the rear of Dachne by improving their positions in the treelines further north of the nearby gulley. They were able to capture positions in four separate treelines here.
To the southwest, following the Ukrainian withdrawal from the salient north of the Vovcha River, Russian forces levelled the frontline south of the gulley, establishing control over the remaining treeline positions there.
To the northwest, Russian forces broke through Ukrainian defences south of Novopavlivka and advanced up a treeline to the southeastern outskirts of the town. They then entered the town, capturing the southern streets. Once reinforcements were brought in, and positions were captured on the eastern and western flanks of the breach, the Russians advanced further north through the Novopavlivka, capturing additional residential streets. They also improved their positions further in the fortified forest, capturing additional positions north of Filiya.
To the west, Russian forces advanced east from Ivanivka to the forests on the northern bank of the Vovcha River. They established control over the positions there, linking up the Ivanivka bridgehead to the rest of the Novopavlivka direction.
+ ~31.91 km² in favour of Russia.
In the northeast, Russian forces advanced further west from their positions west of Kotlyarivka. They established control over the remaining treelines in western Donetsk Oblast, crossing into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where they captured more positions on the tactical heights.
To the south, Russian forces widened their spearhead to the rear of Dachne by improving their positions in the treelines further north of the nearby gulley. They were able to capture positions in four separate treelines here.
To the southwest, following the Ukrainian withdrawal from the salient north of the Vovcha River, Russian forces levelled the frontline south of the gulley, establishing control over the remaining treeline positions there.
To the northwest, Russian forces broke through Ukrainian defences south of Novopavlivka and advanced up a treeline to the southeastern outskirts of the town. They then entered the town, capturing the southern streets. Once reinforcements were brought in, and positions were captured on the eastern and western flanks of the breach, the Russians advanced further north through the Novopavlivka, capturing additional residential streets. They also improved their positions further in the fortified forest, capturing additional positions north of Filiya.
To the west, Russian forces advanced east from Ivanivka to the forests on the northern bank of the Vovcha River. They established control over the positions there, linking up the Ivanivka bridgehead to the rest of the Novopavlivka direction.
+ ~31.91 km² in favour of Russia.
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In the Pokrovsk'e and Hulyaipole directions, over the past five days Russian forces have continued their offensive operations, capturing new positions in several different areas.
In the north, Russian forces advanced from positions east of Oleksivika towards Orestopil, establishing control over two separate treelines and some nearby forest plantations. DRGs were able to enter the residential part of Orestopil.
To the southwest, the Russians continued expanding their zone of control around Zlahoda. They advanced down two perpendicular treelines south and southwest of the village, capturing new positions there.
To the south, after securing the central part of Uspenivka, Russian forces managed to capture the rest of the village, along with the agricultural buildings on its southern outskirts. They then crossed the Yanchur River at a new point from Pryvilne, and began advancing down a gulley and adjacent treelines towards Solodke. Russian soldiers quickly captured Solodke due to a lack of Ukrainian manpower in the area and consolidated in the treelines to the east.
To the southeast, the Russians advanced south and downhill from Uspenivka towards Nove, capturing positions in several different treelines and entering the village. Other forces advanced towards Novouspenivske from the southeast, crossing a gulley and capturing a forest along with nearby treeline positions to the north, northeast and south. As a result, any remaining Ukrainian soldiers still stationed west of Okhotnyche withdrew further west, allowing for the Russians to establish control over the treelines west of the Yanchur River there.
Further south, Russian forces continued to slowly advance west of Malynivka. They captured the rest of the gulley leading west from the village and secured new positions in two separate treelines, therefore reaching the eastern outskirts of Zelenyi Hai.
+ ~30.98 km² in favour of Russia.
In the north, Russian forces advanced from positions east of Oleksivika towards Orestopil, establishing control over two separate treelines and some nearby forest plantations. DRGs were able to enter the residential part of Orestopil.
To the southwest, the Russians continued expanding their zone of control around Zlahoda. They advanced down two perpendicular treelines south and southwest of the village, capturing new positions there.
To the south, after securing the central part of Uspenivka, Russian forces managed to capture the rest of the village, along with the agricultural buildings on its southern outskirts. They then crossed the Yanchur River at a new point from Pryvilne, and began advancing down a gulley and adjacent treelines towards Solodke. Russian soldiers quickly captured Solodke due to a lack of Ukrainian manpower in the area and consolidated in the treelines to the east.
To the southeast, the Russians advanced south and downhill from Uspenivka towards Nove, capturing positions in several different treelines and entering the village. Other forces advanced towards Novouspenivske from the southeast, crossing a gulley and capturing a forest along with nearby treeline positions to the north, northeast and south. As a result, any remaining Ukrainian soldiers still stationed west of Okhotnyche withdrew further west, allowing for the Russians to establish control over the treelines west of the Yanchur River there.
Further south, Russian forces continued to slowly advance west of Malynivka. They captured the rest of the gulley leading west from the village and secured new positions in two separate treelines, therefore reaching the eastern outskirts of Zelenyi Hai.
+ ~30.98 km² in favour of Russia.
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Fun fact that a lot of people need to hear: both sides advance in Ukraine.
Just because the side you don't support makes progress, it doesn't automatically mean its fake or cope, even though one country obviously advances more than the other.
Just because the side you don't support makes progress, it doesn't automatically mean its fake or cope, even though one country obviously advances more than the other.
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Ukrainian source Deepstate has provided some additional information regarding the deteriorating situation for Ukraine in the Hulyaipole and Pokrovsk'e directions. This, along with some information from other sources allows for us to paint a clearer picture of the events that unfolded here over the past 10 days.
They report that 50% of the Ukrainian soldiers defending the area of Uspenivka were withdrawn to improve the deteriorating situation near Vyshneve. At the time, Russia had quickly captured this relatively large village, crossed two rivers, and were advancing well beyond it to the north and west. These reinforcements somewhat stabilised the situation there, but it left a large gap in the defence of the Uspenivka area.
As a result, at least 200 Russian soldiers from the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, 218th Tank Regiment, and the 394th Motorized Rifle Brigade were able to enter Uspenivka, and bring it under their control relatively quickly. The 394th brigade consolidated in the village while the 14th brigade and 218th regiment began pushing to the nearby villages of Nove, Novouspenivske, Solodke, and Rivnopillya.
In order to try save the situation, one unspecified battalion of Ukraine's 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade was deployed to Uspenivka, but suffered heavy casualties due to Russia having already brought in significant reinforcements to the village, and just because of the fact that the battalion was low on manpower.
A severe lack of coordination in cohesion in this sector, along with commanders not accurately reporting the situation to headquarters or neighbouring units, is partially responsible for these rapid losses in ground that should have been able to hold for some time. Critical manpower shortages also play a major role in this. These levels of incompetence, shortages, and inability to coordinate properly are beyond anything I have ever seen for Ukraine so far.
As a result of this chain of events over the past 10 days, Russia has been able to fully compromise Ukrainian defences on the western bank of the Yanchur River and is now pushing through the fields further west. Fighting is ongoing for the villages of Nove, Novouspenivske, and Rivnopillya, while Solodke was captured a few days ago. Rybne is also under threat of being encircled due to Russian advances near Zlahoda and Solodke, and all the while, the newly reinforced front further north is still not stabilised.
They report that 50% of the Ukrainian soldiers defending the area of Uspenivka were withdrawn to improve the deteriorating situation near Vyshneve. At the time, Russia had quickly captured this relatively large village, crossed two rivers, and were advancing well beyond it to the north and west. These reinforcements somewhat stabilised the situation there, but it left a large gap in the defence of the Uspenivka area.
As a result, at least 200 Russian soldiers from the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, 218th Tank Regiment, and the 394th Motorized Rifle Brigade were able to enter Uspenivka, and bring it under their control relatively quickly. The 394th brigade consolidated in the village while the 14th brigade and 218th regiment began pushing to the nearby villages of Nove, Novouspenivske, Solodke, and Rivnopillya.
In order to try save the situation, one unspecified battalion of Ukraine's 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade was deployed to Uspenivka, but suffered heavy casualties due to Russia having already brought in significant reinforcements to the village, and just because of the fact that the battalion was low on manpower.
A severe lack of coordination in cohesion in this sector, along with commanders not accurately reporting the situation to headquarters or neighbouring units, is partially responsible for these rapid losses in ground that should have been able to hold for some time. Critical manpower shortages also play a major role in this. These levels of incompetence, shortages, and inability to coordinate properly are beyond anything I have ever seen for Ukraine so far.
As a result of this chain of events over the past 10 days, Russia has been able to fully compromise Ukrainian defences on the western bank of the Yanchur River and is now pushing through the fields further west. Fighting is ongoing for the villages of Nove, Novouspenivske, and Rivnopillya, while Solodke was captured a few days ago. Rybne is also under threat of being encircled due to Russian advances near Zlahoda and Solodke, and all the while, the newly reinforced front further north is still not stabilised.
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Ukrainian forces were geolocated being shelled and hit by a Russian drone-dropped explosive in southern Chasiv Yar.
Based on my analysis of the footage, this advance took place sometime after October 4, therefore being well after the city was captured in July.
Based on my analysis of the footage, this advance took place sometime after October 4, therefore being well after the city was captured in July.