I estimate that forward Russian units will enter the city of Myrnohrad within a week.

Reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have entered the village of Memryk. Fighting is reportedly underway in the central part of the settlement. I expect the village will fall within the next day, with Ukrainian forces withdrawing to Ukrainsk.

Direct assaults will likely then begin on Ukrainsk in order to get behind the Nevelske Salient, collapsing the front westwards once again.

Reports suggest that Russian forces continue to slowly advance in Hrodivka and have advanced past Shevchenko Street. The goal is apparently to take the local school, however according to soldiers on the ground, Ukraine has a machine gun position at the school which is likely slowly down the Russian advance.

Explosions in Kharkiv. Ballistic launches were reported around the same time.

Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces have made an advance in the Korenevo direction, capturing a small cluster of buildings and advancing to the nearby treelines.

This advance further puts Russian forces in the forests to the east at risk of encirclement and could allow for Ukrainian forces to advance on Korenevo from the south.

Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces made significant progress in the direction of Kul'baki and captured over 20 square km of territory.

Here, they managed to advance along the treelines in a westerly direction for ~4.35km. No villages were captured in the process; however it is possible that Troitskoe will fall as a result of this advance.

Explosions in Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast.

Ukrainian forces reportedly attempted to storm the border village of Zhuravlevka in Belgorod Oblast.

Preliminary information suggests that the attacks failed and that Ukrainian forces fled to the forests west of the settlement where Russian artillery and FPV drones are targeting them.

We are only talking about small groups of Ukrainians, likely without armoured support. This is not some major offensive.

More information to come.

I take back what I said about armoured vehicles, one source claimed that 8 armoured vehicles where used in the attack.

A reliable source reported that Russian forces captured the last houses in Mykolaivka over the last few hours. I will wait for other sources to report on it before adding it to "likely advances".

If this report is true, it would put them just ~1.77km away from the southern part of Myrnohrad.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced east of Robotyne in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Here, they managed to close the salient formed to the east of the village and captured the small, forested area and nearby fields and treelines. Russian forces likely advanced from the flanks forcing a Ukrainian withdrawal. Ukrainian forces likely managed to get out in time, as I didn't see any claims about Ukrainian POWs.

The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~2.1km

Update from the Selydove direction - Karlivka sector:

Geolocated footage and reliable reports indicate that Russian forces continue to exploit their localised breakthrough behind the Vovcha river.

Russian forces have captured the village of Kalynove along with the trench fortifications on the western bank of the Vovcha river. The nearby treelines also came under the control of the Russians. The Ukrainians likely saw this advance coming which is why they withdrew from their positions in "the peninsula" to prevent being encircled.

Additionally, reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have also crossed the E50 highway in a second area and have captured the village of Mermyk. Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" also reported that Russian forces have also advanced down the treeline south of the settlement.

Meanwhile in Karlivka, due to the cutting of the E50 highway which leads to the village, the Ukrainian garrison stationed there is reportedly running out of ammunition. A reliable source reported that Russian forces are advancing in the village. They estimate that it will fall in less than 2 days.

The battle of Selydove has begun.

Reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have advanced into eastern Selydove, capturing part of the dachas and the first residential street (Myru street).

Locals who are still in the city reported that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance teams reached the city park (circled in green) but were destroyed.

Meanwhile in neighboring Mykhailivka, Reports suggest that by the evening, Russian forces had occupied 75% of the village, with clashes ongoing near the driver's license office on the E50 highway.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces broke through Ukrainian positions in Kostyantynivka and have captured the town.

The AFU has been putting up strong resistance in Kostyantynivka for the past 3 weeks, however it appears that something happened that caused them to pull back to the fields to the west. One Russian source claimed that it was to do with Ukrainian redeployments of troops from here to Kursk, although I haven't seen any evidence of that happening yet.

Either way, Russian forces have captured the second half of the town within a matter of days, compared to the three weeks it took to capture the first half. This also means that they have strong control over the O0532 road which leads to Vuhledar. I expect assault operations on the dachas to the northeast of Kostyantynivka will begin in the near future to gain control over the northern bank of the Sukhi Yaly River.

I also expect that the battle for the next village in line (Katerynivka) will begin in the near future.

The curfew in Pokrovsk has been extended to 20 hours, running from 3pm to 11am every day. Ukrainian authorities obviously see the looming battle.

Smoke rising in Kryvyi Rih after a Russian Iskander strike.

Multiple sources are reporting that Russian forces captured the village of Marynivka in the Selydove direction.

If true, this was likely done by advancing along the E50 highway, and attacking the village from the south, while simultaneously advancing from southern Novohrodivka. It is also reported that Russian forces captured the treeline north of the Terykon, likely by advancing south from the highway.

It is reported that Ukrainian forces withdrew from positions in central Hrodivka to the remaining houses west of the Zhuravka river. This comes as the Russians are likely getting very close to cutting the last remaining sealed road leading to Hrodivka.

I expect a full withdrawal will begin from the town will begin in the near future. This will allow for further Russian advances on the key city of Myrnohrad.