"No missiles have been recorded in the airspace of our country at the moment. Most likely, 2x Tu-95ms performed a false launch and are conducting training."
- Ukrainian Monitor channel

"The Tu-95ms are currently over the Caspian Sea. The purpose of the flight remains unknown."

The missile threat was confirmed to be a false alarm

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces closed the Semenivka pocket and broke through Ukrainian positions. let's break it down:

Firstly, Russian forces advance from the Berdychi direction, broke through Ukrainian positions and captured the village of Novopokrovske within a week. It is currently unknown what Russian forces used to capture the village, but we do know that Russian infantry raised a flag in the westernmost part of the village. The maximum advance of Russian forces was 2.57km.

Secondly, Russian forces conducted a large mechanised assault on Novoselivka Persha. Reportedly, 8 IFV's and 8 tanks were destroyed, however in the footage I only saw 6 vehicles destroyed. However, this assault indicates that Russian forces were able to advance along a treeline and capture a small, forested area. The maximum advance of Russian forces was 1.55km.

And finally, Russian forces advanced into the orchards north of Umanske. The maximum advance of Russian forces was 1.55km.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced along the tactical heights south of Novooleksandrivka. Russian infantry is actively attacking the direction of the small cluster of agricultural buildings in the south of the settlement.

It is unknown what Russian forces used to advance this far. This comes as reports are coming in that Russian forces seized the entirety of Novooleksandrivka.

The goal is likely to push out as much as possible, capture the remaining heights and turn to encircling Toretsk and Niu-York.

MiG-31K airborne.

False alarm. The MiG returns back to the airbase.

Ballistic missiles in the direction of Kremenchuk

Explosions were reported

More launches in the direction of Poltava.

Another explosion in Poltava.

Reportedly it was warehouses being targeted. Likely military equipment was stored there.

Update from the Kanal district of Chasiv Yar (Part 1):

Based on the geolocated footage available, the situation remains relatively stable for Ukrainian forces, despite Russian forces consolidating control over parts of the micro-district.

However Russian sources report a different situation:
The yellow line shows what Russian sources claim the frontline is. Let's break it down:

Firstly, there was a salient created as a result of Russian forces creating two flanks inside the micro-district. On the southern flank, Russian forces seized control over three high-rise buildings, a series of garages, a few houses and the local kindergarten (No. 33).

On the northern flank, Russian forces made more significant advances, capturing the main Ukrainian stronghold in the local college (No.77), seizing 6 more high-rise buildings, the local post office, and some houses. They were also able to gain a foothold in the former Chasiv Yar Repair Plant.

(Part 2) However, this salient is now reportedly under Russian control, with battles reportedly ongoing for the St Boris and St Gleb Churches. We did see footage from around a week ago showing a Ukrainian MRAP being bombed by a drone-drop from the Russian 58th Special Purpose battalion, indicating Ukrainian control there, but it could be old footage.

If this is true, it would also mean that battles are ongoing for Oleha Koshovoho street. The goal of the Russians will likely be to advance in the buildings on that street in order to drive a wedge through Ukrainian positions in the industrial area and the remaining high-rise buildings.

Moving further north, Russian sources also claimed that they now control most of the industrial zone and captured all of the dachas. They also claimed that the two wide windbreaks on either side of the Bakhmut-Kramatorsk railway line. If true, this would help the Russians significantly in concealing their troops from drones and artillery, allowing them to carry out further assaults on the forests east of the Siversky-Donets canal.

Overall, the fog of war makes it difficult to determine who controls what in this case, but I am trying my best to show an accurate representation of the situation here in what is likely the most important battle of the war so far.

Loud explosions and violent clashes were reported southwest of Gaza city, while ambushes were reported in Al-Zaytoun.

Map from @Suriyak_Maps

Missile in the direction of Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast.

Explosions in Poltava Oblast

Another ballistic in the direction of Myrhorod.

Three Tu-95’s have been redeployed to Olenya airfield and are currently equipped with cruise missiles and are ready for use.

Two more Tu-95’s are heading to Engels airfield in Saratov Oblast, likely for equipment of cruise missiles.

It’s possible that we will see another large-scale missile strike tomorrow.

There likely will not be any large-scale missile strikes today.

Bruh the second I say that I get this notification:

“The activity of several Tu-95s in the western region of the Russian Federation in radio silence mode was recorded.

Information about potential threats will be provided if aircraft boards enter the launch zones.

No threats as of now.”