Over the past 36 hours, Ukrainian forces have likely withdrawn across the Vovcha river to their fortifications on the western bank. The next day, Russian forces reportedly advanced and took control over the abandoned positions in the fields and treelines

This is likely in anticipation of further Russian advances behind the Vovcha river in the direction of Kalynove. It does also put Ukrainian formations in the fortifications near Komyshivka at a significant risk of encirclement against the Vovcha river.

This was the next step in the Russian plan of collapsing the frontline from Karlivka to Mykolaivka in the direction of Selidove. I expect evacuation orders for civilians will begin in Selidove in the near future.

Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces advanced from Zaliznyanske to positions within 1.6km of the village of Bodarne, capturing a small, forested area.

If true, this would put Ukrainian formations to the east in a salient.

However, it is currently unknown whether this is the beginning of a larger push north, or if this is just an opportunity that was seized by the Russians. I'm more inclined to believe the latter as I haven't heard of any major troop concentrations here or any redeployments of units.

Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces have advanced across the O0532 road and captured Ukrainian positions near the village of Vodyane, coming within ~670m of the southern dachas.

This significantly affects the defence of Vuhledar as the O0532 road was the last paved road supplying the town. There are two other main dirt roads which run through the fields north of Vuhledar, however when it enters the rainy season, resuppliment will become essentially impossible and positions in Vuhledar will become untenable.

There are reports of Ukrainian MLRS being active in Sumy Oblast. Launches are possible in the near future.

Russian soldiers of the Storm shock and assault unit of the 1st Slavic Brigade reportedly raised their flag over the waste heap near Toretsk.

Literally less than an hour later, evacuation orders were issued for Selidove and Myrnohrad. Called it.

4 Tu-95s took off from Olenya airfield on a southern course.

Ukrainian channels report that this is likely redeployment to Engels airfield, but there is still a chance that this is a combat mission. I will keep you all updated as information comes out.

Still flying in the direction of Engels airfield. Probably redeployment.

2 more villages in the Pokrovsk direction have fallen. Zavitne and Novozhelanne.

A map update will be released tomorrow.

Ukrainian monitor channels report that some activity on the radio of the Tu-95s suggest that it might be a combat mission.

2 more Tu-95's took off.

Ukrainian monitor channels report that there is a high probability of a combat sortie taking place.

Ballistics in the direction of Mykolaiv Oblast.

Heading for Voznesensk.

Explosion in Voznesensk.

A Russian reconnaissance UAV is over/near Voznesensk. Repeated launches are possible.

MLRS launches are reported in the direction of Belgorod.

Clarification: They were launched at Kursk, but were likely shot down.

The 6 Tu-95s are likely approaching the republic of Mordovia and will probably reach Saratov Oblast within half an hour.

Explosions were reported in Kharkiv Oblast around 20 minutes ago. Probably KAB strikes.

Explosion in the suburbs of Dnipro. No clue on what caused it as no missile launches were recorded.