Tuesday 22nd of April 2025 7:00 GMT
🇬🇧 💂 London.
Current Sentiment is Strong Risk-ON
The XAU and JPY recorded the strongest performance, while the CHF and EUR are weakest so far
Market Overview
📅 The current trading session is marked by a strong risk-on sentiment, with traders showing increased appetite for riskier assets. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has soared, hitting a 30-week high, while the Swiss Franc (CHF) and Euro (EUR) are struggling, reflecting a broader weakness in these currencies. Notably, gold (XAU) has reached record highs, driven by a weakening dollar and ongoing trade tensions. The market is closely monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly in relation to U.S.-China trade relations and the implications of U.S. monetary policy under President Trump.
Market Drivers
🔍 Here are key market drivers impacting currency movements:
1️⃣ Japanese Yen Hits 30-Week High: The JPY’s strength is attributed to safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainties and a weaker dollar.
2️⃣ Dollar Weakens on Fed Independence Concerns: Concerns over potential political interference in the Federal Reserve's operations under Trump have led to a decline in the dollar's value.
3️⃣ Gold Hits Record High: The combination of a weak dollar and trade war fears has propelled gold prices to new heights, attracting safe-haven investors.
4️⃣ China Releases Plan to Open Services Sector: This move is seen as a positive step towards easing trade tensions and could bolster the yuan.
5️⃣ South Korea’s Presidential Candidate Promises Revisions: The commitment to revise commercial laws may enhance investor confidence in South Korea, impacting the won positively.
6️⃣ Oil Prices Retreat After U.S.-Iran Talks: Fluctuations in oil prices are affecting market sentiment, particularly in energy-dependent currencies.
7️⃣ Brent Oil Prices Decline: Concerns about demand amid tariff upheaval have contributed to a drop in oil prices, influencing related currencies.
8️⃣ Philippines Posts $2 Billion Balance of Payment Deficit: This deficit raises concerns about the peso's stability, contributing to its weakness.
9️⃣ Sterling Climbs to 7-Month High: The pound's rise is supported by positive economic data and market sentiment favoring the UK economy.
🔟 China Opposes U.S. Deals at Its Expense: Ongoing trade tensions and China's firm stance against unfavorable agreements could lead to further market volatility.
Sentiment
📈 The overall market sentiment is positive, driven by strong performances in riskier assets and a favorable outlook for gold. The JPY's rise and the pound's strength indicate investor confidence, while concerns over the dollar's stability and geopolitical tensions create a complex landscape. The market is cautiously optimistic, balancing between risk appetite and the potential for geopolitical shocks. The focus remains on how U.S. monetary policy evolves and its implications for global trade dynamics.
📺@ZiwoxGlobal
🇬🇧 💂 London.
Current Sentiment is Strong Risk-ON
The XAU and JPY recorded the strongest performance, while the CHF and EUR are weakest so far
Market Overview
📅 The current trading session is marked by a strong risk-on sentiment, with traders showing increased appetite for riskier assets. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has soared, hitting a 30-week high, while the Swiss Franc (CHF) and Euro (EUR) are struggling, reflecting a broader weakness in these currencies. Notably, gold (XAU) has reached record highs, driven by a weakening dollar and ongoing trade tensions. The market is closely monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly in relation to U.S.-China trade relations and the implications of U.S. monetary policy under President Trump.
Market Drivers
🔍 Here are key market drivers impacting currency movements:
1️⃣ Japanese Yen Hits 30-Week High: The JPY’s strength is attributed to safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainties and a weaker dollar.
2️⃣ Dollar Weakens on Fed Independence Concerns: Concerns over potential political interference in the Federal Reserve's operations under Trump have led to a decline in the dollar's value.
3️⃣ Gold Hits Record High: The combination of a weak dollar and trade war fears has propelled gold prices to new heights, attracting safe-haven investors.
4️⃣ China Releases Plan to Open Services Sector: This move is seen as a positive step towards easing trade tensions and could bolster the yuan.
5️⃣ South Korea’s Presidential Candidate Promises Revisions: The commitment to revise commercial laws may enhance investor confidence in South Korea, impacting the won positively.
6️⃣ Oil Prices Retreat After U.S.-Iran Talks: Fluctuations in oil prices are affecting market sentiment, particularly in energy-dependent currencies.
7️⃣ Brent Oil Prices Decline: Concerns about demand amid tariff upheaval have contributed to a drop in oil prices, influencing related currencies.
8️⃣ Philippines Posts $2 Billion Balance of Payment Deficit: This deficit raises concerns about the peso's stability, contributing to its weakness.
9️⃣ Sterling Climbs to 7-Month High: The pound's rise is supported by positive economic data and market sentiment favoring the UK economy.
🔟 China Opposes U.S. Deals at Its Expense: Ongoing trade tensions and China's firm stance against unfavorable agreements could lead to further market volatility.
Sentiment
📈 The overall market sentiment is positive, driven by strong performances in riskier assets and a favorable outlook for gold. The JPY's rise and the pound's strength indicate investor confidence, while concerns over the dollar's stability and geopolitical tensions create a complex landscape. The market is cautiously optimistic, balancing between risk appetite and the potential for geopolitical shocks. The focus remains on how U.S. monetary policy evolves and its implications for global trade dynamics.
📺@ZiwoxGlobal
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
European shares fall as Trump's anti-Powell tirade adds to uncertainty
Reuters:
Iran's foreign minister to visit China on Wednesday, Chinese foreign ministry says
Reuters:
European shares fall as Trump's anti-Powell tirade adds to uncertainty
Reuters:
Iran's foreign minister to visit China on Wednesday, Chinese foreign ministry says
#AUDJPY.ecn | H1
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@ZiwoxGlobal
Fundamental Trader, AUDJPY.ecn result.
Algorithmic trading using Ziwox fundamental data by Fundamental Trader bot.
Read mode on MQL5:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/69282
@ZiwoxGlobal
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Volkswagen planning exports from China to Asia, South America, Middle East
Reuters:
Volkswagen planning exports from China to Asia, South America, Middle East
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Spain's government to meet NATO spending goal of 2% GDP in 2025
Reuters:
Spain's government to meet NATO spending goal of 2% GDP in 2025
Tuesday, Apr 22 2025, 12:05 UTC time
📋 Latest Important Headlines 📋
🔖 US Markets Under Pressure: The ongoing crisis in US markets is attributed to a "triple threat," which could significantly impact investor sentiment. Traders should keep an eye on volatility in the USD as market dynamics shift.
✅ China's Economic Strategy: China is urging Japan to collaborate against US tariffs, signaling potential trade tensions that could influence the Yuan's performance against major currencies. The forex market may experience fluctuations as geopolitical tensions rise.
📌 Regeneron's Manufacturing Investment: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals plans to invest over $3 billion to enhance US manufacturing capabilities. This move may strengthen the US dollar as it reflects confidence in the domestic economy and could lead to increased job creation.
🔖 Devon Energy's Ambitious Goals: Devon Energy aims for a $1 billion boost in free cash flow by 2026. This could lead to increased capital investments and potentially strengthen the Canadian dollar, given the close ties between the two economies.
✅ ECB's Inflation Target: The European Central Bank is nearing its inflation target, indicating a possible shift in monetary policy. A stronger Euro could emerge if the ECB signals tightening measures, impacting forex trading across the Eurozone.
🔖 Crypto Market Rally: Bitcoin's rise to a seven-week high is boosting crypto stocks. Traders in the forex market should watch for potential spillover effects on traditional currencies as investors reassess risk and asset allocations.
📌 Lockheed Martin's Strong Performance: Lockheed Martin's stock has risen following better-than-expected Q1 results and affirmed guidance. This positive performance may bolster investor confidence in the defense sector, influencing the USD as government spending in defense could increase.
🔖 Verizon's Subscriber Pressure: Verizon's stock has slipped due to pressure on a key subscriber metric, which may raise concerns about consumer spending and economic health. This could have implications for the USD as investors gauge consumer confidence.
📋 Overall Market Sentiment: With various earnings reports and geopolitical developments, traders should remain vigilant. The interplay between economic indicators, corporate earnings, and international relations will continue to shape currency movements in the forex market.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💹
📺 @ZiwoxGlobal
📋 Latest Important Headlines 📋
🔖 US Markets Under Pressure: The ongoing crisis in US markets is attributed to a "triple threat," which could significantly impact investor sentiment. Traders should keep an eye on volatility in the USD as market dynamics shift.
✅ China's Economic Strategy: China is urging Japan to collaborate against US tariffs, signaling potential trade tensions that could influence the Yuan's performance against major currencies. The forex market may experience fluctuations as geopolitical tensions rise.
📌 Regeneron's Manufacturing Investment: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals plans to invest over $3 billion to enhance US manufacturing capabilities. This move may strengthen the US dollar as it reflects confidence in the domestic economy and could lead to increased job creation.
🔖 Devon Energy's Ambitious Goals: Devon Energy aims for a $1 billion boost in free cash flow by 2026. This could lead to increased capital investments and potentially strengthen the Canadian dollar, given the close ties between the two economies.
✅ ECB's Inflation Target: The European Central Bank is nearing its inflation target, indicating a possible shift in monetary policy. A stronger Euro could emerge if the ECB signals tightening measures, impacting forex trading across the Eurozone.
🔖 Crypto Market Rally: Bitcoin's rise to a seven-week high is boosting crypto stocks. Traders in the forex market should watch for potential spillover effects on traditional currencies as investors reassess risk and asset allocations.
📌 Lockheed Martin's Strong Performance: Lockheed Martin's stock has risen following better-than-expected Q1 results and affirmed guidance. This positive performance may bolster investor confidence in the defense sector, influencing the USD as government spending in defense could increase.
🔖 Verizon's Subscriber Pressure: Verizon's stock has slipped due to pressure on a key subscriber metric, which may raise concerns about consumer spending and economic health. This could have implications for the USD as investors gauge consumer confidence.
📋 Overall Market Sentiment: With various earnings reports and geopolitical developments, traders should remain vigilant. The interplay between economic indicators, corporate earnings, and international relations will continue to shape currency movements in the forex market.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💹
📺 @ZiwoxGlobal
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Indian electric two wheeler-maker Ather Energy cuts IPO size
Reuters:
Mexico's economy contracted 0.2% y/y in March, preliminary estimate shows
Reuters:
Indian electric two wheeler-maker Ather Energy cuts IPO size
Reuters:
Mexico's economy contracted 0.2% y/y in March, preliminary estimate shows
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
The safe-haven play: Economies' holdings of gold vs Treasuries
Reuters:
India's HCLTech narrowly misses quarterly revenue estimates
Reuters:
Volkswagen to debut five fully-connected vehicles in Shanghai
Reuters:
The safe-haven play: Economies' holdings of gold vs Treasuries
Reuters:
India's HCLTech narrowly misses quarterly revenue estimates
Reuters:
Volkswagen to debut five fully-connected vehicles in Shanghai
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Emerging economies face test from tighter funding as growth slows, says IMF
Reuters:
IMF cuts Latam, Caribbean 2025 GDP growth estimate
Reuters:
Emerging economies face test from tighter funding as growth slows, says IMF
Reuters:
IMF cuts Latam, Caribbean 2025 GDP growth estimate
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
British retailer M&S discloses cyber incident
Reuters:
Morocco's OCP hires banks for dollar bond dual tranche offering
Reuters:
British retailer M&S discloses cyber incident
Reuters:
Morocco's OCP hires banks for dollar bond dual tranche offering
#EURCHF | H1
✅ Our latest trade on EURCHF
Trading profit, $337, with a 1-lot standard volume.
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@ZiwoxGlobal
✅ Our latest trade on EURCHF
Trading profit, $337, with a 1-lot standard volume.
Would you like to trade with us? 👇
🔖 [JOIN NOW] 🎫
@ZiwoxGlobal
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
IMF's Gourinchas says critical for central banks to preserve independence
Reuters:
IMF's Gourinchas says critical for central banks to preserve independence
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Fed's Harker says central bank has built up a lot of credibility
Reuters:
GE Aerospace CEO Culp advocates tariff-free regime for aviation industry
Reuters:
Fed's Harker says central bank has built up a lot of credibility
Reuters:
GE Aerospace CEO Culp advocates tariff-free regime for aviation industry
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
China faces deflationary pressures from US tariffs, IMF chief economist says
Reuters:
China faces deflationary pressures from US tariffs, IMF chief economist says
#TradeIdea by AI 🦾🧠
🎯 Trading Idea
🇺🇸🇨🇭 #USDCHF
SUMMARY:
- Session: New York
- Sentiment: Risk-Off
- Strong: USD, GBP
- Weak: CHF, AUD
📝 Market Overview: The market sentiment is currently mixed, with the USD showing strength against the weaker CHF. Retail positioning indicates a significant majority of traders are long on USDCHF, which aligns with the fundamental outlook of a stronger USD due to rising bond yields and upcoming positive economic data.
📰 Key Drivers:
- USD US Leading Index (MoM) (Mar): Actual -0.7% vs. Forecast -0.3% → Negative impact on USD.
- Upcoming Event: USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 50.2 vs. Previous 50.2 → Expected to support USD if meets or exceeds forecast.
📊 Sentiment Analysis: Retail traders are overwhelmingly long on USDCHF (88% long), which suggests a potential for a price decline as the majority may be wrong. Institutional flows may support a bearish outlook for CHF, given its weakness.
📈 Technical Analysis:
- Trend: Down
- S/R: Support at
- Indicator: RSI=29.8 (oversold), indicating potential for a corrective bounce.
💡 Idea: The combination of a strong USD against a weak CHF, along with bearish retail positioning, suggests a potential sell opportunity in USDCHF. The technical indicators also support a downward trend, reinforcing the decision to sell.
#USDCHF
Direction: SELL
📌 Key Levels
Current Price:
Support:
Resistance:
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated idea. Use your own strategy and risk management.
🖥 Ziwox AI
✅ Start trading
🎯 Trading Idea
🇺🇸🇨🇭 #USDCHF
SUMMARY:
- Session: New York
- Sentiment: Risk-Off
- Strong: USD, GBP
- Weak: CHF, AUD
📝 Market Overview: The market sentiment is currently mixed, with the USD showing strength against the weaker CHF. Retail positioning indicates a significant majority of traders are long on USDCHF, which aligns with the fundamental outlook of a stronger USD due to rising bond yields and upcoming positive economic data.
📰 Key Drivers:
- USD US Leading Index (MoM) (Mar): Actual -0.7% vs. Forecast -0.3% → Negative impact on USD.
- Upcoming Event: USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 50.2 vs. Previous 50.2 → Expected to support USD if meets or exceeds forecast.
📊 Sentiment Analysis: Retail traders are overwhelmingly long on USDCHF (88% long), which suggests a potential for a price decline as the majority may be wrong. Institutional flows may support a bearish outlook for CHF, given its weakness.
📈 Technical Analysis:
- Trend: Down
- S/R: Support at
0.81057, Resistance at 0.81994. - Indicator: RSI=29.8 (oversold), indicating potential for a corrective bounce.
💡 Idea: The combination of a strong USD against a weak CHF, along with bearish retail positioning, suggests a potential sell opportunity in USDCHF. The technical indicators also support a downward trend, reinforcing the decision to sell.
#USDCHF
Direction: SELL
📌 Key Levels
Current Price:
0.81402 Support:
0.81057 Resistance:
0.81994 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated idea. Use your own strategy and risk management.
🖥 Ziwox AI
✅ Start trading
⚠️ Headline
Reuters:
Citi says odds of recession in US close to 45%, largest effect of tariffs to happen in second half
Reuters:
Citi says odds of recession in US close to 45%, largest effect of tariffs to happen in second half