⚽️ Improbability!
Dear Users,
As specialists in draw prediction for football betting, we want to inform you of a major factor currently affecting forecast reliability. The introduction of VAR (Video Assistant Referee) has led to significantly extended added time in matches. This often results in late goals has dramatically alter match outcomes, especially draws.
In brief, because of this, predicting draws with the same level of accuracy as before is no longer feasible with the robust previous models, the game has changed.
To adapt, we have been testing, for some months, a new predictive system, where we are currently focusing on a new key indicator:
Improbability Percentage for Home Win, Draw, and Away Win
What does improbability mean?
Improbability means how the result is unexpected, so let’s see some examples for two matches today:
Girona - Mallorca
👉 https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/I7LokJiM/#/match-summary/match-summary
🎯 Home: 48.8%, Draw: 2.4%, Away: 51.2%
Therefore, the best value bet in this case would be a Draw, only 2.4% for an unexpected result.
Kasimpasa - Trabzonspor
👉 https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/GvkGa6qg/#/match-summary
🎯 Home: 34.4%, Draw: 31.2%, Away: 65.6%
In this case, it is very unexpected an away win, so a Lay Trabzonspor could be interesting in prematch or for trading.
Please, notice that improbability is a measure of "unexpectations", so the sum of the percentages is not 100%.
Please take this into account when using our predictions for your betting decisions. We remain committed to providing you with the most accurate and up-to-date insights possible.
Finally, we will send FOR FREE during May our Improbability predictions to this email list in to our telegram free channel.
Good luck, and bet smart.
Dear Users,
As specialists in draw prediction for football betting, we want to inform you of a major factor currently affecting forecast reliability. The introduction of VAR (Video Assistant Referee) has led to significantly extended added time in matches. This often results in late goals has dramatically alter match outcomes, especially draws.
In brief, because of this, predicting draws with the same level of accuracy as before is no longer feasible with the robust previous models, the game has changed.
To adapt, we have been testing, for some months, a new predictive system, where we are currently focusing on a new key indicator:
Improbability Percentage for Home Win, Draw, and Away Win
What does improbability mean?
Improbability means how the result is unexpected, so let’s see some examples for two matches today:
Girona - Mallorca
👉 https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/I7LokJiM/#/match-summary/match-summary
🎯 Home: 48.8%, Draw: 2.4%, Away: 51.2%
Therefore, the best value bet in this case would be a Draw, only 2.4% for an unexpected result.
Kasimpasa - Trabzonspor
👉 https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/GvkGa6qg/#/match-summary
🎯 Home: 34.4%, Draw: 31.2%, Away: 65.6%
In this case, it is very unexpected an away win, so a Lay Trabzonspor could be interesting in prematch or for trading.
Please, notice that improbability is a measure of "unexpectations", so the sum of the percentages is not 100%.
Please take this into account when using our predictions for your betting decisions. We remain committed to providing you with the most accurate and up-to-date insights possible.
Finally, we will send FOR FREE during May our Improbability predictions to this email list in to our telegram free channel.
Good luck, and bet smart.
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19%
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14%
Receive stats and take my decisions
————————————
📅 5 May - 🎯 Results
Kasimpasa - Trabzonspor (LAY AWAY)
👉 Prematch: 🟢 👉Trading:🟢
Girona - Mallorca (DRAW)
👉 Prematch: 🔴 👉Trading: 🔴
📅 5 May - 🎯 Results
Kasimpasa - Trabzonspor (LAY AWAY)
👉 Prematch: 🟢 👉Trading:🟢
Girona - Mallorca (DRAW)
👉 Prematch: 🔴 👉Trading: 🔴
⚽️ Meizhou Hakka vs. Shanghai Shenhua
👉 https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/shanghai-shenhua-vs-meizhou-hakka/28maio1y#4722584
🔢 Improbability: 49.3 1.4 50.7
🔮 Prediction: Draw
⚽️Qingdao West Coast vs. Shenzhen Peng City
👉 https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/shenzhen-peng-city-vs-qingdao-west-coast/v96v3cmd#4722585
🔢 Improbability: 24.7 50.7 75.3
🔮 Prediction: Lay Away
👉 https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/shanghai-shenhua-vs-meizhou-hakka/28maio1y#4722584
🔢 Improbability: 49.3 1.4 50.7
🔮 Prediction: Draw
⚽️Qingdao West Coast vs. Shenzhen Peng City
👉 https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/shenzhen-peng-city-vs-qingdao-west-coast/v96v3cmd#4722585
🔢 Improbability: 24.7 50.7 75.3
🔮 Prediction: Lay Away
🎯 Results
⚽️Qingdao West Coast vs. Shenzhen Peng City
(LAY AWAY)
👉 Prematch: 🟢 👉Trading:🟢
⚽️ Meizhou Hakka vs. Shanghai Shenhua
(DRAW)
👉 Prematch: 🔴 👉Trading: 🔴
⚽️Qingdao West Coast vs. Shenzhen Peng City
(LAY AWAY)
👉 Prematch: 🟢 👉Trading:🟢
⚽️ Meizhou Hakka vs. Shanghai Shenhua
(DRAW)
👉 Prematch: 🔴 👉Trading: 🔴
Dear Free Members,
👉 According to the poll results, we will publish only prematch draw picks.
👉 Therefore, activity of publishing picks will restart tomorow Friday.
👉 All our picks will be released for free until the 30th of May in this FREE Channel.
Best,
👉 According to the poll results, we will publish only prematch draw picks.
👉 Therefore, activity of publishing picks will restart tomorow Friday.
👉 All our picks will be released for free until the 30th of May in this FREE Channel.
Best,
Dear Members,
We have been testing our new model for some months. Finally, backtesting so many seasons in different competitions was a huge work. Our results are promising and we are now able to restart publishing draw picks. This service will be free during some time.
Best,
We have been testing our new model for some months. Finally, backtesting so many seasons in different competitions was a huge work. Our results are promising and we are now able to restart publishing draw picks. This service will be free during some time.
Best,
————————————
📅 14 June
10:30 ⭐️ Odds: 3.4
https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/88jfYpuI/#/match-summary
📅 14 June
10:30 ⭐️ Odds: 3.4
https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/88jfYpuI/#/match-summary
Flashscore
Shonan Bellmare - Machida 1:2
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