Polymarket odds before year-end:
πΉ $90K: 64%
πΉ $95K: 43%
πΉ $100K: 27%
πΉ $120K: 7%
π» $70K: 37%, $60K: 15%
October odds (expiring Oct 31):
πΉ $85K: 80%
πΉ $90K: 32-35%
πΉ $100K: 2%
π» Touch $80K: 57%
Kalshiβs year-end market projects $83,554, with its October forecast at $87K.
Traders see a drop toward $80K as more likely than a six-figure rally this month.
#Bitcoin #Polymarket #Crypto
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Bullish-to-bearish comment ratios:
π» $BTC: 0.82
π» $XRP: 0.92 (FUD)
π’ $ETH: 2.05 (FOMO), up from 0.89 on Oct 1
Context:
πΉ $XRP fell 9%+ this week and has struggled to reclaim $1.40
πΉ $BTC was rejected near $87K and slid toward $81K on heavy long liquidations
Santiment: βFrom a contrarian perspective, BTC and XRPβs fear is healthier than ETHβs crowd excitement if prices begin recovering.β
#Bitcoin #XRP #Ethereum #Crypto
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π» Longs were 91.6% of the total, about $863M
π $ETH: $283.1M liquidated, $261M+ from longs
π $BTC: $196M liquidated, ~$176M from longs
π Largest single order: a $12.03M BTCUSDT long on Binance
π ~$489M was liquidated in the last hour alone
π $ETH fell 5.31% to $2,373, $BTC fell 2.54% to $81,328, and total crypto market cap dropped 4.96% to $2.76T
π September CPI came in at 3.7% YoY, up from 3.4%. Asia sold off too: KOSPI -7.85%, Nikkei -4.81%.
Next up is the Fed meeting on Oct 27-28. CME FedWatch gives a 24.9% chance of a hike.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto
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bStocks on Binance is now the fastest tokenized equity product to get there.
Only 42% of its volume happens during US market hours. The bell rings, trading doesn't stop.
And just 0.0025% of the global stock market is on-chain. Still early π
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π $XRP whales sent ~1.669B $XRP (~$2.22B) to Binance over 30 days, the highest in 7 months (CryptoQuant)
π Binance added ~54.6M $XRP in the past week
π Tracked exchange wallets hold ~22.06B $XRP, about 22% of max supply
π $XRP trades near $1.33, down 10-12% in October after starting the month near $1.49
πΉ Traders are watching $1.28-$1.32 as support
CryptoQuant warns that higher whale inflows could raise selling pressure. But deposits donβt always mean a sale, as they can reflect rebalancing or wallet moves.
#XRP #Crypto
π Like & RP: https://x.com/WiseCrypto_/status/2110941879059800104
π Binance added ~54.6M $XRP in the past week
π Tracked exchange wallets hold ~22.06B $XRP, about 22% of max supply
π $XRP trades near $1.33, down 10-12% in October after starting the month near $1.49
πΉ Traders are watching $1.28-$1.32 as support
CryptoQuant warns that higher whale inflows could raise selling pressure. But deposits donβt always mean a sale, as they can reflect rebalancing or wallet moves.
#XRP #Crypto
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πΉ $IBIT was the only one of 12 funds with inflows
πΉ Octoberβs net outflow shrank from $617.17M to $90.57M
π» $ETH ETFs lost $103.28M, with outflows on 14 of the last 15 trading days ($1.12B total)
π» $SOL ETFs lost $6.72M
$BTC trades at $82,060, back above Glassnodeβs ETF cost basis of ~$81,500.
Levels to watch:
πΉ Support: $80K and $76K
πΉ Resistance: $84K and $87.5K
A daily close above $88K with renewed ETF inflows would signal buyers absorbing 6-12 month holder supply (Glassnode).
#Bitcoin #ETF #Crypto
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Compound annual returns for comparison:
πΉ Private equity: 9.8%
πΉ US REITs: 8.2%
πΉ US large cap: 7.5%
πΉ 60/40 portfolio: 7.0%
πΉ Gold: 5.5%
πΉ US cash: 3.2%
$BTC ranks #1 on JPMorganβs list, though it isnβt included in the firmβs model portfolios.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan thinks the volatility estimate is too high and the return too low.
#Crypto
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Iβve always had one boring-but-smart idea I never automated:
Buy crypto every week. Buy a bit more when the market dips. Never overspend.
Simple in my head. Annoying in real life. I forget the weekly buy, I panic on dip days, and Iβm definitely not coding a bot for it.
So I tested Binance AI Pro, Binanceβs new finance-focused AI agent, to see whether it could turn that idea into a real, testable strategy just from chatting with it.
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π¦ JPMorganβs 2027 LTCMA projects a 10% annual $BTC return over 10-15 years, vs 7.5% for US large caps and 5.5% for gold
π¨π Swiss regulator FINMA approved a retail ETF holding bitcoin directly (BBIT), expected to trade on SIX in November
π Saylor puts the market bottom just under $60K and says $BTC is βdefinitely moving back into the six figuresβ
π SpaceX Q3 revenue: $14.58B, beating estimates
π€ Anthropic H1 revenue: $16.3B (WSJ)
π Grok Bot daily users hit 450K, up 200% since September
𧬠OpenAI acquires Orchestra Bio
ποΈ CFTC holds its inaugural βsuper intelligenceβ forum on Oct 28
#Bitcoin #Crypto #AI
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π Past 3 rallies since Jan 2024 averaged ~$235M in daily inflows, with 39 days of $500M+ and 6 days of $1B+
π Since Jul 1, inflows average ~$86M a day, with no $1B day and only 7 days of $500M+
π $BTC is up ~39% since Jul 1, from ~$60K to ~$83.5K
Giottus CEO Vikram Subburaj: βInstitutional demand shows tentative improvement. However, flows remain volatile.β
#Bitcoin #ETF #Crypto
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πΉ The index combines 10 indicators covering demand, investor profitability, network activity, and liquidity
πΉ Readings above 60 are consistent with positive momentum
Darkfost (CryptoQuant): βAs long as it stays above 60, the overall momentum remains positive.β
Weak spots:
π» Insufficient incoming liquidity
π» Slowing growth in $BTC demand
π» Weak sustained profitability among short-term holders
All three βstill need to improve further before bitcoin can make more progress.β
$BTC trades near $81.7K.
#Bitcoin #CryptoQuant #Crypto
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