If the war ends without a peace deal as it currently stands (toll at hormuz) then it is a net-victory for Iran which in terms of fighting a war with the US and Israel would be considered a catastrophic failure for the US.

The only thing that can save this for the US is a favorable peace deal which so far indications point away from.

🇱🇧🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: "Lebanon is not included in the two week ceasefire." - Israel's Prime Minister's Office.

This directly contradicts Iranian and Pakistani terms for the ceasefire.

Well that didn’t take long.

Pakistan and Iran both clearly said Lebanon is included, Israel now backtracks within hours.

Israeli main opposition leader Yair Lapid:

There has never been such a political disaster in all of our history.

Israel wasn’t even at the table when decisions were made about the core of our national security.

Netanyahu failed politically, failed strategically, and did not meet a single goal he set himself.

It will take years to repair the political and strategic damage caused by arrogance, negligence, and a lack of planning.

07.04.26 Купянск - Куриловка

Позиционные боевые действия в районе Купянска.
ВС РФ заняли новые позиции в комплексе сельскохозяйственных построек центральной части Куриловки, продвинувшись более 600 метров.
Передовая позиция обстреляна ВСУ.

0:49 49.656669,37.715906

Источник 21+
Геопривязка
#ru

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧⚡️- BREAKING: Lebanon is included in the ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, an official involved in the negotiations tells AP.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: The IDF issued a warning to Lebanese citizens warning them not to return to their homes, stressing that the ceasefire with Iran does NOT include Lebanon.

🇪🇬🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "The agreement between America and Iran must be reflected in Israel's cessation of its attacks on Lebanon." - Egyptian Foreign Ministry.

U.S. Envoy Steve Witkoff reacted furiously to Iran’s 10-point proposal, calling it:

“A disaster, a catastrophe.”

What followed was described as a:

“Chaotic” day of amendments.

Pakistan shuttled drafts between the U.S. and Iran, while Egypt and Türkiye tried to bridge gaps.

China also quietly urged Iran to find an off-ramp.

By Monday night, U.S. approval was secured for a revised two-week ceasefire proposal.

Source: Axios

Just hours before Trump’s deadline to launch massive strikes, Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei instructed negotiators to move toward a deal for the first time since the war began.

An Israeli official, a regional official, and another source confirmed the shift.

Two sources described Khamenei’s approval as:

“A breakthrough.”

A regional source added:

“Without his green light, there wouldn’t have been a deal.”

Due to assassination threats, Khamenei was communicating via handwritten notes carried by runners.

He was personally involved in decisions Monday and Tuesday.

Araghchi (Iran’s FM) pushed both the negotiations and Revolutionary Guard commanders toward accepting the deal.

Source: Axios

🇮🇷🇰🇼🇦🇪⚡- "Iranian attacks targeted the UAE and Kuwait with missiles and drones after oil facilities on Siri Island were targeted," - IRIB, Iran's state-run media.

🇮🇷 - Scenes from the Lavan Oil Refinery on Siri Island in the Persian Gulf, Iran.

Iran continues to mock Trump:

We are writing to you from the Stone Age and we control the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran says that an oil refinery on Lavan Island was hit by airstrikes this morning.

"Around 10 a.m. the facilities of Lavan Oil Refinery, located on Lavan Island, were subjected to a cowardly attack by the enemies," Iran's National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company says in a statement carried by the Mehr news agency.

The 2 islands struck

WATCH: Beirut, Lebanon following the massive Israeli attack.

Trump administration is cutting its planned emergency war funding request for Iran from $200+ billion to about $80–100 billion.

The original Pentagon proposal aimed to cover combat costs and replenish depleted weapons stockpiles.

A new Pew (March 2026) poll shows 60% of Americans now view Israel unfavorably, up from 42% in 2022.

The biggest shift is generational.

84% of Democrats under 50 view Israel negatively.

57% of Republicans under 50 also hold unfavorable views.

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 IRGC Public Relations:

‘A few minutes ago, an advanced Hermes-900 drone in the sky of Lar, Fars Province, was intercepted and destroyed by the fire of the IRGC's new aerospace defense systems under the control of the country's integrated air defense network.

The entry of any enemy American-Zionist aircraft into the country's airspace, even without conducting military operations, is considered a violation of the ceasefire and will be met with a response.’

@Middle_East_Spectator

❗️Iranian Foreign Ministry:

Araghchi discusses violations of the ceasefire in Iran and Lebanon in a call with the Pakistani Army Chief.

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 A senior Iranian official to Al-Jazeera:

‘We will punish Israel in response to the crime it committed in Lebanon and the violation of the ceasefire conditions.

The ceasefire includes the region, and Israel is knowingly breaking its promises. Only bullets will deter it.’

@Middle_East_Spectator