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Driven by Fundamentals and Leveraging Technicals.

All post are Only For Study & Educational Purpose.consult you Financial Advisor Before Investing or taking any position.
DISCLAIMER:We r Not SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST.
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Wealthcreatures.com
Lots of Query on Risk Management Those who had followed it WERE nvr in panic in this fall Those who blindly Added stocks without knowing or doing Risk management were in panic Soon we would come up with TOPIC RISK MANAGEMENT IN EQUITIES/STOCK MARKET…
Those who sold yesterday in
1st Half in panic might Due To Not Managing Risk....

Reason

They See lots of Media News & think they know the Best & Take Hesty Decision
( Have you seen WAR in last 20 Years?Do any economy effort War espically aft covid....??)

Follow many on Media who creates panic & change there stance Teji mein Teji & Mandi mein Mandi

Don't have conviction on Bussiness/stocks invested

Invested without knowing companies fundamentals

Not Ready To give TIME
To Investments

Might be having huge position Or more Qty than they can bear Risk
& Can't see stock going Down

Fear of losing More

Or they might be thinking of covering past loss or future profits in just one trade only
Won't able to give updates for next 4 to 5 Days
Just an observation

Year 2000: Fed raises to 6.5%, Breaks the dot-com bubble

Year 2008: Fed raises to 5.5%, Breaks the housing & Real Estate Bubble

Year 2018: Fed raises to 2.75%, breaks the stock market

Year 2022: US bond rate <2%

Whats store in future?

Interest raised in how many years. Fed started raising in 2004 and completed 5.5% in 2008. Bull market in india started in 2004 when US started raising rates.

It means generally US takes 4 years to reach maximum interest rates to curb inflation and bull RUN Can remain for 4 more years??
Big Question before Indian investors/Traders

1. How BIG is Russia-Ukraine ISSUE?? will it be a limited action or will it blow up into a global conflict?

2. How does China Wld react..any threat to Taiwan,which will increase global risk.

3. How much of this is factored in Global Markets & Indian markets?

4.Impact on Oil and other Commodity Prices.Oi already at 7 yesrs high. Can oil shoot up past USD 100 if war like situation is not cooled off and that won't be good for Indian economy

5. FII flows already negative from past 5 months, what impact will this will have?

6. How will this impact US Fed rate hikes on March 16th 2022 and US Rates going ahead

7.Election in many states in India

Lots of uncertainty

And Markets Don't Like UNCERTAINITY.....

So maximum uncertainties Can be over by March End

can we expect Bounce From APRIL ONWARDS?
Wealthcreatures.com
Global Bond Yields crossing last 2 yrs high is This early signal of what Fed or RBI is going to do? FII Selling Hugely Yields Rising Oil boiling at 7 years High DXY sustaining above 95 clearly signals Time to be very Very Cautious Next 1 to 2 months…
INVESTING FUNDAS

Uncertainty Today will not be the uncertainty TOMMROW

India surely we will have better world after 1/2/3 year

Increase your time horizon & it will take care of uncertainty.

Buying on dips Not working currently for short term But surely wld Work in Longer Time Frame

Buy Larger DIPS & Don't chase

Focus on Quality Bussiness

Nifty support @ 16800

Only on close below 16800 we expect 16400 - 15800 zone
Wealthcreatures.com
NIFTY REACHING ATH 18521 AND ALSO OUR FAIR VALUE KEEP BOOKING PROFITS AS PER RISK MARKETS NATURE Full Teji se Full Mandi & Vice Versa..... We are concentrating on Stock Specific Action where Q2 numbers are good and commentry is good would OUTPERFORM…
We @ wealthcreatures
Feel 16400 is strong WALL & WROSTE CASE SCENERIO WE SEE 15800 To 15500 zone only if 16400 is broken.

For short term - 16800 wld Act as support zone

We look markets beyond 1 to 2 qtrs

Many major events wld be over by March end or Mid April

So one can expect stability from Mid April onwards
Wealthcreatures.com
NIFTY REACHING ATH 18521 AND ALSO OUR FAIR VALUE KEEP BOOKING PROFITS AS PER RISK MARKETS NATURE Full Teji se Full Mandi & Vice Versa..... We are concentrating on Stock Specific Action where Q2 numbers are good and commentry is good would OUTPERFORM…
BEST TIME TO SELL
was OCT/NOV'21 when markets were on TOP & Near Our Fair Value

When you start feeling that
Market should open for 7 days
Including Saturday and Sunday

BEST TIME TO BUY
shld be coming in next few Days

When you start feeling that market should not open in any single day in a week ever as its going down everyday

Markets nature full Teji se full mandi & Full Mandi se Full Teji
( Dont Forget This)
Last 7 years Some Big correction of 10% or above in small Cap Index0

🎯August 2015: 10%

🎯January 2016: 11%

🎯February 2016: 13%

🎯Sept 2018: 20%

🎯July 2019: 12%

🎯March 2020: 36%

🎯February 2022: 10%

After some BIG correction each time it bounced back strongly and have rewarded investors.

Smallcap Index 52wk High # 12047(18th Jan 2022)

Currently Trading @ 9800 Levels

Recent Lows @ 9715

Can we see History Repeating Again?? This Time
Again Russia - Ukraine conflict started

crucial events in coming days

1⃣ 28th Feb- 50:50 cash stock margin - SEBI rules implementation

2⃣ 10th March election results of 5 states. How many seats BJP wins wld be key watch

3⃣ LIC IPO likely to open from 10th March- Market Liquidity under watch as its biggest IPO 75000 to 80000cr raised thru IPO.
Lic valuation 15L cr To 18L cr

4⃣ FED rate meet 15-16 th March . 50bps or 100bps hike expected

Next 1 month Roller coaster 🎢
Crude rally amid curbs on Russia to stoke inflation | India may emerge as a clean energy superpower: RIL | Shell, Adani vie for Sprng deal
Best Day To Buy Quality Bussiness on Dips if you believe in 🇮🇳 Growth Story
Any1 having vision

Shld add Quality bussiness on dips

Aft 1 to 2 month no one wld talk about war

All again back to normal and wld concentrate on companies Profit and Growth

List to add already shared

Add in 2 to 3 parts in SIP