No more war news now

Positive news around Globe

16800 Very strong support for Nifty

If nifty sustains 17000 & 17030 for 30 mins than possible more short covering

Closing above 17100 wld be good for 17250 - 17333 - 17400 zone

Nifty not able to cross
17000 also

Nifty High - 16999

When STOCK price moves up - there will be positive stories in Bussiness & strong earnings growth

when STOCK price moves down there will be negative stories & Bleak bussiness going forward and Earning downtick

In between Many times there wld be false & Manipulated scenario also bwt both of them

At that time what to see
Bussiness opportunities
Growth
Promotors Quality
Cash Flow
Valuation
Debt To equity
Bussiness cycle

Yesterday Low # 16840

Now Niftyyyyy plus ➕397 Points
@ 17240

Lots of Query on Risk Management

Those who had followed it WERE nvr in panic in this fall

Those who blindly Added stocks without knowing or doing Risk management were in panic

Soon we would come up with TOPIC

RISK MANAGEMENT IN EQUITIES/STOCK MARKET

STAY TUNNED

Bounce back strongly 💪 from support zone of 16800

On lighter Note

Putin: I am having FOMO, I haven't invested in this Stock Market Rally

Commander: Don't worry sir, I will simply send some troops to the border

Putin: Great Idea Bro

Market in Panic & Mkt Falls

Putin: Thanks, Got some stocks at cool prices, now you call back the troops

Commander: Ok sir

How's The JOSH ??

Zomato

From high of 169 To lows of 76 hit yesterday

Note - Last Qtr company reported Loss.

Those who sold yesterday in
1st Half in panic might Due To Not Managing Risk....

Reason

They See lots of Media News & think they know the Best & Take Hesty Decision
( Have you seen WAR in last 20 Years?Do any economy effort War espically aft covid....??)

Follow many on Media who creates panic & change there stance Teji mein Teji & Mandi mein Mandi

Don't have conviction on Bussiness/stocks invested

Invested without knowing companies fundamentals

Not Ready To give TIME
To Investments

Might be having huge position Or more Qty than they can bear Risk
& Can't see stock going Down

Fear of losing More

Or they might be thinking of covering past loss or future profits in just one trade only

GNFC

HUGE BUYING SEEN

10L volumes till now

Ready For big move

Won't able to give updates for next 4 to 5 Days

Just an observation

Year 2000: Fed raises to 6.5%, Breaks the dot-com bubble

Year 2008: Fed raises to 5.5%, Breaks the housing & Real Estate Bubble

Year 2018: Fed raises to 2.75%, breaks the stock market

Year 2022: US bond rate <2%

Whats store in future?

Interest raised in how many years. Fed started raising in 2004 and completed 5.5% in 2008. Bull market in india started in 2004 when US started raising rates.

It means generally US takes 4 years to reach maximum interest rates to curb inflation and bull RUN Can remain for 4 more years??

Big Question before Indian investors/Traders

1. How BIG is Russia-Ukraine ISSUE?? will it be a limited action or will it blow up into a global conflict?

2. How does China Wld react..any threat to Taiwan,which will increase global risk.

3. How much of this is factored in Global Markets & Indian markets?

4.Impact on Oil and other Commodity Prices.Oi already at 7 yesrs high. Can oil shoot up past USD 100 if war like situation is not cooled off and that won't be good for Indian economy

5. FII flows already negative from past 5 months, what impact will this will have?

6. How will this impact US Fed rate hikes on March 16th 2022 and US Rates going ahead

7.Election in many states in India

Lots of uncertainty

And Markets Don't Like UNCERTAINITY.....

So maximum uncertainties Can be over by March End

can we expect Bounce From APRIL ONWARDS?

INVESTING FUNDAS

Uncertainty Today will not be the uncertainty TOMMROW

India surely we will have better world after 1/2/3 year

Increase your time horizon & it will take care of uncertainty.

Buying on dips Not working currently for short term But surely wld Work in Longer Time Frame

Buy Larger DIPS & Don't chase

Focus on Quality Bussiness

Nifty support @ 16800

Only on close below 16800 we expect 16400 - 15800 zone

We @ wealthcreatures
Feel 16400 is strong WALL & WROSTE CASE SCENERIO WE SEE 15800 To 15500 zone only if 16400 is broken.

For short term - 16800 wld Act as support zone

We look markets beyond 1 to 2 qtrs

Many major events wld be over by March end or Mid April

So one can expect stability from Mid April onwards

BEST TIME TO SELL
was OCT/NOV'21 when markets were on TOP & Near Our Fair Value

When you start feeling that
Market should open for 7 days
Including Saturday and Sunday

BEST TIME TO BUY
shld be coming in next few Days

When you start feeling that market should not open in any single day in a week ever as its going down everyday

Markets nature full Teji se full mandi & Full Mandi se Full Teji
( Dont Forget This)

Last 7 years Some Big correction of 10% or above in small Cap Index0

🎯August 2015: 10%

🎯January 2016: 11%

🎯February 2016: 13%

🎯Sept 2018: 20%

🎯July 2019: 12%

🎯March 2020: 36%

🎯February 2022: 10%

After some BIG correction each time it bounced back strongly and have rewarded investors.

Smallcap Index 52wk High # 12047(18th Jan 2022)

Currently Trading @ 9800 Levels

Recent Lows @ 9715

Can we see History Repeating Again?? This Time

In one month market has taken support almost 4 times around 16800 - 16840 zone

Yesterday lows @ 16843

Market Range - 16800 To 17300

Fresh rally only on close above 17300 ( Resiatance)