SENSEX Exposed:
43 Years of SENSEX Data That Will Blow
Your Mind:
π° Over the past 43 years, there have been approximately 11,000 trading days.
π° Positive and negative returns were observed as follows:
- Daily: 53% positive, 47% negative
- Weekly: 56% positive, 44% negative
- Monthly: 61% positive, 39% negative
- Quarterly: 64% positive, 36% negative
- Yearly: 72% positive, 28% negative
- 3 years: 89% positive, 11% negative
- 5 years: 96% positive, 4% negative
- 10 years: 100% positive, 0% negative
π° The SENSEX delivered a (CAGR) of 15.5% over the last 43 years.
π° Historical CAGR for different periods:
- 1980-1990: 21.6%
- 1990-2000: 14.3%
- 2000-2010: 17.8%
- 2010-2020: 8.8%
- 2020-2022: 24.8%
π° Taking into account an average dividend yield of 1.4%, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of BSE Sensex is approximately 16.9%, resulting in a value of around 80,000.
π° The longest period of consecutive positive returns was from 1994 to 2003, spanning 9 years.
π° Since 2002, there have been no single-year rolling returns negative over any 7-year period, implying no loss if money was invested for a minimum of 7 years.
π° Actively managed equity funds have shown the following CAGR returns over 20 years:
- Hybrid: 15.96%
- Diversified: 16.25%
- ELSS: 18.20%
- All Funds (excluding LIC and few AMCs): 16.41%
π° SENSEX was at 3800 in June 1996 (26 years back). Over the last 26 years, the average equity mutual fund delivered 18% CAGR.
π° If SENSEX had performed as well as the average mutual fund scheme:
- At 16.4% CAGR, SENSEX should be around 1,70,000 levels.
- At 18% CAGR, SENSEX should be around 2,38,000 levels.
43 Years of SENSEX Data That Will Blow
Your Mind:
π° Over the past 43 years, there have been approximately 11,000 trading days.
π° Positive and negative returns were observed as follows:
- Daily: 53% positive, 47% negative
- Weekly: 56% positive, 44% negative
- Monthly: 61% positive, 39% negative
- Quarterly: 64% positive, 36% negative
- Yearly: 72% positive, 28% negative
- 3 years: 89% positive, 11% negative
- 5 years: 96% positive, 4% negative
- 10 years: 100% positive, 0% negative
π° The SENSEX delivered a (CAGR) of 15.5% over the last 43 years.
π° Historical CAGR for different periods:
- 1980-1990: 21.6%
- 1990-2000: 14.3%
- 2000-2010: 17.8%
- 2010-2020: 8.8%
- 2020-2022: 24.8%
π° Taking into account an average dividend yield of 1.4%, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of BSE Sensex is approximately 16.9%, resulting in a value of around 80,000.
π° The longest period of consecutive positive returns was from 1994 to 2003, spanning 9 years.
π° Since 2002, there have been no single-year rolling returns negative over any 7-year period, implying no loss if money was invested for a minimum of 7 years.
π° Actively managed equity funds have shown the following CAGR returns over 20 years:
- Hybrid: 15.96%
- Diversified: 16.25%
- ELSS: 18.20%
- All Funds (excluding LIC and few AMCs): 16.41%
π° SENSEX was at 3800 in June 1996 (26 years back). Over the last 26 years, the average equity mutual fund delivered 18% CAGR.
π° If SENSEX had performed as well as the average mutual fund scheme:
- At 16.4% CAGR, SENSEX should be around 1,70,000 levels.
- At 18% CAGR, SENSEX should be around 2,38,000 levels.
Wealthcreatures.com
ADSL 4% π Days High - 128 CMP - 126 Watchout for close above 130 in coming days
ADSL
RECENT LOWS
111
Today 10% π₯
140
RECENT LOWS
111
Today 10% π₯
140
Wealthcreatures.com
DYNAMATIC TECH FRESH ATH 4680 668 To 4680 π β
7x Done βοΈ Till Now β
Longway to Go Dynamatic Technologies rising on Sunrise sector like Aerospace and Defense sector π
The hydraulic gear pumps manufacturer has been Increasing it's focus on the defenceβ¦
DYNAMATIC TECH
15% π£ π₯ blast
YAAD HAI
668
Today fresh ATH
5175
668 To 5175
Almost 795% π
15% π£ π₯ blast
YAAD HAI
668
Today fresh ATH
5175
668 To 5175
Almost 795% π
Asian Granito India Limited's Chief Financial Officer,
Mr. Mehul Shah, will interact with ET Now on December 27th 2023, at 10:00 A.M.
The date is subject to change. The purpose is to disseminate information widely to the company's members.
Mr. Mehul Shah, will interact with ET Now on December 27th 2023, at 10:00 A.M.
The date is subject to change. The purpose is to disseminate information widely to the company's members.
Wealthcreatures.com
SHRIRAM PISTON 1277 π IN UC 5th day of continuous UC. Just ten days back there were news items that with EVs coming the demand of Pistons will be less going forward. Singhania bought and since that day it's not looking back So don't believe all theβ¦
Continues
UPPER CIRCUIT
SHRIRAM PISTION
1408
Long way to Go
UPPER CIRCUIT
SHRIRAM PISTION
1408
Long way to Go
Wealthcreatures.com
EKC 127 broken Days Low - 125 Next support @ 115
EKC
RECENT LOWS 121
Now bouncing Back
Shld Strongly Perform in coming few months
RECENT LOWS 121
Now bouncing Back
Shld Strongly Perform in coming few months
Wealthcreatures.com
IRCTC - 801 RVNL - 166 Can we see Recovery in this both stock
IRCTC
ONCE CROSSED & sustained above 916 can see Huge Upside
Budget coming
ONCE CROSSED & sustained above 916 can see Huge Upside
Budget coming
On Radar Microcap
ARCL organics
CMP - 26.86
FY23 Sales - 165cr
OP - 18cr
PAT - 11.67cr
EPS - 14
FV - Rs.10
Book Value - 71
https://arclorganics.com/
Market cap - 21.49cr
ROE - 24%
ROCE - 28.40%
Promotor Holding - 69.22%
SBI Trustee Cap Ltd Holding - 12.5 % ( 10L )
Stressed Asset Stablization fund - 3.12% ( 2.49L)
Only - 80L shares available
Very Very Illiquid stock
Can be future multibagger
Disc - All views are only for educational and study purpose only.
ARCL organics
CMP - 26.86
FY23 Sales - 165cr
OP - 18cr
PAT - 11.67cr
EPS - 14
FV - Rs.10
Book Value - 71
https://arclorganics.com/
Market cap - 21.49cr
ROE - 24%
ROCE - 28.40%
Promotor Holding - 69.22%
SBI Trustee Cap Ltd Holding - 12.5 % ( 10L )
Stressed Asset Stablization fund - 3.12% ( 2.49L)
Only - 80L shares available
Very Very Illiquid stock
Can be future multibagger
Disc - All views are only for educational and study purpose only.
Wealthcreatures.com
IREDA 123 55 To 123 For IPO holders itβs 32 To 123 Still long way to Go
IREDA
DAYS Low - 96
Support @ 90
Shld make base here and shld see reversal
Expecting Upmove after Q3 numbers
DAYS Low - 96
Support @ 90
Shld make base here and shld see reversal
Expecting Upmove after Q3 numbers
Wealthcreatures.com
IRCTC ONCE CROSSED & sustained above 916 can see Huge Upside Budget coming
IRCTC
Making Good Base Bwt 850 To 885 zone from last Few days
Retest also done @ 780 - 800 zone last week
Watch out shld crossing of 910 - 920 zone very soon π
Should Test - 1000/1100/1200/1313++
Making Good Base Bwt 850 To 885 zone from last Few days
Retest also done @ 780 - 800 zone last week
Watch out shld crossing of 910 - 920 zone very soon π
Should Test - 1000/1100/1200/1313++
Wealthcreatures.com
TATA MOTORS was available @ 100 in November 2019 Today itβs 7X in just 4 Years At 100 no one wanted to buy it that was the perfect TIME to use no Brainer As Said By Harshad Mehta β Uthalo Tata Ka koi bhi stock aaj nai Toh Kal Paisa dekar he jaayegaβ
TATA MOTORS
FRESH 52wk High
800 β
100 To 800
FRESH 52wk High
800 β
100 To 800
The Month January in last few years :
2008:
Nifty peaked around 10th Jan, and was down 30% from there by 22nd, recovering minorly after that.
2009:
Nifty peaked around 7th, down 15% by 23rd.
2010:
Nifty peaked around 18th, down 10% by month end.
2011:
Nifty peaked on 4th, down 13% during the month. Recovery only post March.
2012, 2013: market went up in January.
2014:
Nifty peaked around 23rd, down 5% by month end.
2015:
Nifty was down 5% in 2 trading days in the 1st week, but recovered later.
2016:
Nifty peaked on 1st Jan, before going down 10% by 20th. Further 10% fall in Feb.
2017: market consolidated with bullish signs.
2018:
Very well remember this year. Exuberance of 2017 came to an end around 25th Jan. It was downhill from there.
2019:
Very choppy January. Up down up down.
2020:
Before the severe March crisis, market had started correcting from 20th Jan. Till Feb 1st, 7% down.
2021:
After a super 1 direction run since June 2020, Nifty corrected 8% from 21st Jan till month end, before resuming upward move from 1st Feb (Budget)
2022:
Nifty peaked on 18th Jan, a level which was only seen again on 11th Nov. Post 18th Jan, next one week saw Nifty 6% down. Minor recovery only started mid March.
Reason may be whatever.
Historically January has been very volatile & Weak month overall
So PLAN YOUR TRADES ACCORDINGLY
2008:
Nifty peaked around 10th Jan, and was down 30% from there by 22nd, recovering minorly after that.
2009:
Nifty peaked around 7th, down 15% by 23rd.
2010:
Nifty peaked around 18th, down 10% by month end.
2011:
Nifty peaked on 4th, down 13% during the month. Recovery only post March.
2012, 2013: market went up in January.
2014:
Nifty peaked around 23rd, down 5% by month end.
2015:
Nifty was down 5% in 2 trading days in the 1st week, but recovered later.
2016:
Nifty peaked on 1st Jan, before going down 10% by 20th. Further 10% fall in Feb.
2017: market consolidated with bullish signs.
2018:
Very well remember this year. Exuberance of 2017 came to an end around 25th Jan. It was downhill from there.
2019:
Very choppy January. Up down up down.
2020:
Before the severe March crisis, market had started correcting from 20th Jan. Till Feb 1st, 7% down.
2021:
After a super 1 direction run since June 2020, Nifty corrected 8% from 21st Jan till month end, before resuming upward move from 1st Feb (Budget)
2022:
Nifty peaked on 18th Jan, a level which was only seen again on 11th Nov. Post 18th Jan, next one week saw Nifty 6% down. Minor recovery only started mid March.
Reason may be whatever.
Historically January has been very volatile & Weak month overall
So PLAN YOUR TRADES ACCORDINGLY
β€1
Wealthcreatures.com
TATA MOTORS FRESH 52wk High 800 β 100 To 800
Tata Motors
Why is street excited?
Why TATA MOTORS hitting 52wk High
-EV Strategy(recently opened dedicated EV showroom, new launches in 2024)
-Punch Ev, Harrier Ev, Curvv Ev to hit streets in 2024
-Likely to Shift production of the Nexon EV from Pune to the Sanand, Gujarat (acquired from ford)
-Production of other EVs already takes place at the Sanand factory
-Sanand has opened avenues for to focus on the production of EVs
-Sanand plant, set to be fully operational by 2024
- Plant has potential to produce up to 420,000 units annually
-Continued improvement in JLR
-JLR net debt has decreased by Β£300 million
-Likely to see potential shift to a net cash position by FY25
Brokerage View
CLSA 841
Emkay 760
Nuvama 840 (Top Pick in Auto)
Jefferies 800
Sharekhan 840
Why is street excited?
Why TATA MOTORS hitting 52wk High
-EV Strategy(recently opened dedicated EV showroom, new launches in 2024)
-Punch Ev, Harrier Ev, Curvv Ev to hit streets in 2024
-Likely to Shift production of the Nexon EV from Pune to the Sanand, Gujarat (acquired from ford)
-Production of other EVs already takes place at the Sanand factory
-Sanand has opened avenues for to focus on the production of EVs
-Sanand plant, set to be fully operational by 2024
- Plant has potential to produce up to 420,000 units annually
-Continued improvement in JLR
-JLR net debt has decreased by Β£300 million
-Likely to see potential shift to a net cash position by FY25
Brokerage View
CLSA 841
Emkay 760
Nuvama 840 (Top Pick in Auto)
Jefferies 800
Sharekhan 840
Wealthcreatures.com
POWER MECH Growth Unlimited 3 year 8Γ Returns 336 to 2865 Market CapβΉ 4259 Cr. Stock P/E 23.5 Industry P/E 32.9 Order Book - Q3 FY23 sales 909 cr Order as of Dec 2022 was Company Targeting opportunities of Rs. 30k to 35 k cr in theβ¦
POWER MECH
Value investing mostly works in Longterm
We picked up @ 336 when market cap was just 490cr
Today @ 4285 market cap increased by 14x at 6774cr
ATH - 5069
Still next 5 to 7 years seems great
Order Book - 55000cr
Value investing mostly works in Longterm
We picked up @ 336 when market cap was just 490cr
Today @ 4285 market cap increased by 14x at 6774cr
ATH - 5069
Still next 5 to 7 years seems great
Order Book - 55000cr
Agri Theme πΎ
Could be one of the
theme of '24
Agrochemicals
Fertilizers
Drip Irrigation Products
Could be one of the
theme of '24
Agrochemicals
Fertilizers
Drip Irrigation Products