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📌 Important News Releases – Forex Calendar: June 16–21, 2025
📣 Client Announcement / Trade Advisory
Dear Traders,
Please be advised that the following high-impact economic events are scheduled this week (June 16–21, 2025). These announcements are expected to cause heightened volatility, especially in USD and GBP pairs. Exercise appropriate risk management and consider adjusting your open positions and pending orders accordingly.
⚠️For those applying for a basic funded account, please avoid trading during these hours to prevent violating the trading rules.
📣 Client Announcement / Trade Advisory
Dear Traders,
Please be advised that the following high-impact economic events are scheduled this week (June 16–21, 2025). These announcements are expected to cause heightened volatility, especially in USD and GBP pairs. Exercise appropriate risk management and consider adjusting your open positions and pending orders accordingly.
⚠️For those applying for a basic funded account, please avoid trading during these hours to prevent violating the trading rules.
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V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 BTC/USD Market Analysis – June 23, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $100,719
Intraday Range: $98,460 – $102,910
Daily Change: –1.65%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin is showing signs of short-term bearish pressure, with a sharp move downward after failing to hold above $102K. The decline through key intraday lows hints at a deeper pullback.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Levels:
$102,910 – Today’s high
~$105,000 – Near-term resistance zone
$107,000–$108,000 – Supply region from recent highs
Support Zones:
$98,460 – Intraday low
$95,000–$96,000 – Demand zone backed by mid‑Fibonacci level
$94,000 – Lower support in case of further weakness
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical Summary : Strong Sell on short-term timeframe—moving averages and MACD are bearish
Momentum Observations: Cautious—it bounced from $104K–$105K demand zone but failed at resistance, reinforcing bearish divergence on RSI
🌍 Fundamental Context
Geopolitical Risk: Lingering negative sentiment from Middle East tensions is weighing on risk assets, including Bitcoin
Institutional Flows: Despite current pullback, ETF inflows ($120 M yesterday) reflect continued long-term institutional appetite
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
Failure to reclaim $102,910 → expect pullback toward $98,460, with deeper support at $95,000–$96,000
A break below $94,000 may signal a deeper correction
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Recovery Setup)
Reclaim above $102,910 with momentum → targets $105,000 and $107,000–$108,000
✅ Summary
Bitcoin is in a short-term correction, testing key support at just under $100K. The current bias is bearish unless price can reclaim today’s high (~$102,910). Watch for price action around $98,460 and $95,000 for reversal opportunities; conversely, a break above $102,910 could signal renewed upside.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $100,719
Intraday Range: $98,460 – $102,910
Daily Change: –1.65%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin is showing signs of short-term bearish pressure, with a sharp move downward after failing to hold above $102K. The decline through key intraday lows hints at a deeper pullback.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Levels:
$102,910 – Today’s high
~$105,000 – Near-term resistance zone
$107,000–$108,000 – Supply region from recent highs
Support Zones:
$98,460 – Intraday low
$95,000–$96,000 – Demand zone backed by mid‑Fibonacci level
$94,000 – Lower support in case of further weakness
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical Summary : Strong Sell on short-term timeframe—moving averages and MACD are bearish
Momentum Observations: Cautious—it bounced from $104K–$105K demand zone but failed at resistance, reinforcing bearish divergence on RSI
🌍 Fundamental Context
Geopolitical Risk: Lingering negative sentiment from Middle East tensions is weighing on risk assets, including Bitcoin
Institutional Flows: Despite current pullback, ETF inflows ($120 M yesterday) reflect continued long-term institutional appetite
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
Failure to reclaim $102,910 → expect pullback toward $98,460, with deeper support at $95,000–$96,000
A break below $94,000 may signal a deeper correction
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Recovery Setup)
Reclaim above $102,910 with momentum → targets $105,000 and $107,000–$108,000
✅ Summary
Bitcoin is in a short-term correction, testing key support at just under $100K. The current bias is bearish unless price can reclaim today’s high (~$102,910). Watch for price action around $98,460 and $95,000 for reversal opportunities; conversely, a break above $102,910 could signal renewed upside.
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V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 XAU/USD Market Analysis – June 23, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,356.98
Intraday High: $3,388.96
Intraday Low: $3,352.18
Daily Change: –0.33%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold remains in a bearish-to-neutral range, stuck below multiple moving averages. Technical indicators show downward pressure with no clear bullish reversal yet.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,388.96 – Intraday high
$3,398–$3,400 – Upper band of recent trading
$3,500 – All-time high
Support:
$3,352.18 – Intraday low
$3,340 – Weekly pivot support
$3,325 – Longer-term trend support
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages (5–200 periods): All in Strong Sell posture on daily timeframe
RSI (14): ~44 – Neutral but leaning bearish
MACD/Stoch/ADX/CCI/Williams%R: Mixed to bearish signals, reinforcing lack of bullish momentum
🌍 Fundamental Context
The USD shows strength, contributing to gold’s pressure.
Global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions) are providing limited support but aren’t enough to drive a breakout.
Investors appear cautious ahead of key US central bank signals.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
If gold remains below $3,388.96, expect a pullback toward $3,352, with further depth toward $3,340 and possibly $3,325.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A strong breakout above $3,388.96 could spark momentum toward $3,400.
A sustained move past that might lead to the next target at $3,500.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating with a slight bearish tilt inside a defined range. The technical setup stays bearish with “Strong Sell” signals across major indicators. Watch for a decisive break below $3,352 or above $3,389 to potentially define the next leg.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,356.98
Intraday High: $3,388.96
Intraday Low: $3,352.18
Daily Change: –0.33%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold remains in a bearish-to-neutral range, stuck below multiple moving averages. Technical indicators show downward pressure with no clear bullish reversal yet.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,388.96 – Intraday high
$3,398–$3,400 – Upper band of recent trading
$3,500 – All-time high
Support:
$3,352.18 – Intraday low
$3,340 – Weekly pivot support
$3,325 – Longer-term trend support
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages (5–200 periods): All in Strong Sell posture on daily timeframe
RSI (14): ~44 – Neutral but leaning bearish
MACD/Stoch/ADX/CCI/Williams%R: Mixed to bearish signals, reinforcing lack of bullish momentum
🌍 Fundamental Context
The USD shows strength, contributing to gold’s pressure.
Global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions) are providing limited support but aren’t enough to drive a breakout.
Investors appear cautious ahead of key US central bank signals.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
If gold remains below $3,388.96, expect a pullback toward $3,352, with further depth toward $3,340 and possibly $3,325.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A strong breakout above $3,388.96 could spark momentum toward $3,400.
A sustained move past that might lead to the next target at $3,500.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating with a slight bearish tilt inside a defined range. The technical setup stays bearish with “Strong Sell” signals across major indicators. Watch for a decisive break below $3,352 or above $3,389 to potentially define the next leg.
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V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 XAU/USD Market Analysis – June 25, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,328.98
Intraday Range: $3,320.96 – $3,335.25
Daily Change: +0.18%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold remains in a range-bound state, with short-term bias leaning slightly bearish. The price has struggled to break above its upper intraday boundary and is trading below medium‑term resistance levels.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,335 – Current intraday high
$3,346 – 50-day EMA midpoint (resistance)
$3,357 – May high zone
Support:
$3,321 – Intraday low
$3,311 – Daily pivot S1
$3,295 – Weekly pivot S2
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages: Mixed signals – Short MAs bullish, mid/long MAs bearish. Overall “Neutral Buy” signal
RSI (14): ~48.6 – Neutral, holding near midpoint
Stochastic: ~74.5 – Slightly overbought on short timeframe
MACD: Slightly negative – hinting at mild bearish momentum
ADX: ~36 – Moderate trend strength but no clear direction
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
If price fails to hold above $3,321, expect a pullback to $3,311, with potential support down to $3,295.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A sustained break above $3,335 opens upside toward $3,346 and possibly $3,357, renewing bullish momentum.
✅ Summary
Gold is progressing mostly sideways, with a slight bearish tilt. The $3,321–$3,335 zone defines the core range. A clear breakout beyond this range is needed to confirm the next directional move; until then, expect choppy, range-bound trading with mild downside bias.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,328.98
Intraday Range: $3,320.96 – $3,335.25
Daily Change: +0.18%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold remains in a range-bound state, with short-term bias leaning slightly bearish. The price has struggled to break above its upper intraday boundary and is trading below medium‑term resistance levels.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,335 – Current intraday high
$3,346 – 50-day EMA midpoint (resistance)
$3,357 – May high zone
Support:
$3,321 – Intraday low
$3,311 – Daily pivot S1
$3,295 – Weekly pivot S2
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages: Mixed signals – Short MAs bullish, mid/long MAs bearish. Overall “Neutral Buy” signal
RSI (14): ~48.6 – Neutral, holding near midpoint
Stochastic: ~74.5 – Slightly overbought on short timeframe
MACD: Slightly negative – hinting at mild bearish momentum
ADX: ~36 – Moderate trend strength but no clear direction
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
If price fails to hold above $3,321, expect a pullback to $3,311, with potential support down to $3,295.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A sustained break above $3,335 opens upside toward $3,346 and possibly $3,357, renewing bullish momentum.
✅ Summary
Gold is progressing mostly sideways, with a slight bearish tilt. The $3,321–$3,335 zone defines the core range. A clear breakout beyond this range is needed to confirm the next directional move; until then, expect choppy, range-bound trading with mild downside bias.
V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 BTC/USD Market Analysis – June 25, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $106,253
Intraday High: $106,703
Intraday Low: $104,854
Daily Change: +1.31%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin recently rebounded from a multi-day consolidation at the $104K level. It’s currently testing the upper edge of a descending channel. A strong break above ~$107K could signal a bullish reversal; otherwise, consolidation may continue.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$106,703 – Today’s high and near trendline resistance
$107,000 – Psychological barrier and channel top
$108,300 – Recent local peak
Support:
$104,854 – Intraday low and near-term support
$104,000 – Stronger support/base of channel
$100,000 – Long-term psychological anchor
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical summary: Mixed-to-bullish—Moving averages show balanced buys but momentum indicators lean bullish around support
Price action: Rejection at the channel floor led to bounce; RSI off lows suggests room to rally
🌍 Fundamental Context
Geopolitical volatility (Middle East tensions) caused a dip below $99K recently, but BTC rebounded on improved risk appetite
Institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs support the view that long-term demand remains strong
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Break and close above $107K with strong momentum → target $108.3K and test of $110K.
Confirmation above the descending channel would shift technical bias to bullish.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Rejection near $106.7K / ~$107K → pullback to $104.85K, then $104K support.
A drop below $100K would signal a deeper correction phase.
✅ Summary
Bitcoin is staging a recovery from key support at $104 K, with intraday momentum favoring a test of $107 K resistance. A breakout there could trigger an upside move toward $108 K–$110 K. But failure to hold support opens the door to further consolidation or downside.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $106,253
Intraday High: $106,703
Intraday Low: $104,854
Daily Change: +1.31%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin recently rebounded from a multi-day consolidation at the $104K level. It’s currently testing the upper edge of a descending channel. A strong break above ~$107K could signal a bullish reversal; otherwise, consolidation may continue.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$106,703 – Today’s high and near trendline resistance
$107,000 – Psychological barrier and channel top
$108,300 – Recent local peak
Support:
$104,854 – Intraday low and near-term support
$104,000 – Stronger support/base of channel
$100,000 – Long-term psychological anchor
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical summary: Mixed-to-bullish—Moving averages show balanced buys but momentum indicators lean bullish around support
Price action: Rejection at the channel floor led to bounce; RSI off lows suggests room to rally
🌍 Fundamental Context
Geopolitical volatility (Middle East tensions) caused a dip below $99K recently, but BTC rebounded on improved risk appetite
Institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs support the view that long-term demand remains strong
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Break and close above $107K with strong momentum → target $108.3K and test of $110K.
Confirmation above the descending channel would shift technical bias to bullish.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Rejection near $106.7K / ~$107K → pullback to $104.85K, then $104K support.
A drop below $100K would signal a deeper correction phase.
✅ Summary
Bitcoin is staging a recovery from key support at $104 K, with intraday momentum favoring a test of $107 K resistance. A breakout there could trigger an upside move toward $108 K–$110 K. But failure to hold support opens the door to further consolidation or downside.
V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 XAU/USD Market Analysis – July 1, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,329.54
Intraday Range: $3,302.39 – $3,332.36
Daily Change: +0.81%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold is showing continued bullish momentum, trading near the top of its daily range. It has rebounded convincingly from intraday support, maintaining a strong upward structure on multiple timeframes.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,332 – Intraday high
$3,337–$3,338 – Weekly pivot R1 zone
$3,342.5 – Intraday pivot R3
Next target: $3,350
Support:
$3,302 – Intraday low
$3,294 – Weekly pivot S1
$3,288 – Lower intraday bound
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages: Strong Buy—11 signals “Buy,” 1 “Sell”
RSI (14): 72.7 – overbought but still bullish
Stochastic: ~74 – bullish territory
MACD, ADX, CCI, ROC, Williams %R: All favor buying
Overall: Daily technical view is Strong Buy.
🌍 Fundamental Context
Safe-Haven Demand: Still strong amid ongoing global uncertainty.
USD Weakness: A softer dollar supports upside in gold.
Macro Watch: Key U.S. inflation and Fed signals expected today—could act as a catalyst.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Base Case)
If gold sustains above $3,332, expect a run toward $3,337–$3,342, with $3,350 in view. Continued upside will depend on Fed/inflation data.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
A dip below $3,302–$3,294 may trigger a pullback to $3,288, and possibly return toward pivot S1 at $3,294 or lower.
✅ Summary
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum, riding intraday highs with solid technical support underneath. The key battleground is the $3,332–$3,337 zone. Watching upcoming macro data will be crucial for determining if the rally extends or consolidates.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $3,329.54
Intraday Range: $3,302.39 – $3,332.36
Daily Change: +0.81%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Gold is showing continued bullish momentum, trading near the top of its daily range. It has rebounded convincingly from intraday support, maintaining a strong upward structure on multiple timeframes.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$3,332 – Intraday high
$3,337–$3,338 – Weekly pivot R1 zone
$3,342.5 – Intraday pivot R3
Next target: $3,350
Support:
$3,302 – Intraday low
$3,294 – Weekly pivot S1
$3,288 – Lower intraday bound
🔸 Indicators
Moving Averages: Strong Buy—11 signals “Buy,” 1 “Sell”
RSI (14): 72.7 – overbought but still bullish
Stochastic: ~74 – bullish territory
MACD, ADX, CCI, ROC, Williams %R: All favor buying
Overall: Daily technical view is Strong Buy.
🌍 Fundamental Context
Safe-Haven Demand: Still strong amid ongoing global uncertainty.
USD Weakness: A softer dollar supports upside in gold.
Macro Watch: Key U.S. inflation and Fed signals expected today—could act as a catalyst.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Base Case)
If gold sustains above $3,332, expect a run toward $3,337–$3,342, with $3,350 in view. Continued upside will depend on Fed/inflation data.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
A dip below $3,302–$3,294 may trigger a pullback to $3,288, and possibly return toward pivot S1 at $3,294 or lower.
✅ Summary
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum, riding intraday highs with solid technical support underneath. The key battleground is the $3,332–$3,337 zone. Watching upcoming macro data will be crucial for determining if the rally extends or consolidates.
V Prop Trader (MY)
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📈 BTC/USD Market Analysis – July 1, 2025
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $106,841
Intraday Range: $106,797 – $108,201
Daily Change: –1.26%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin remains in a neutral to slightly bearish phase, trading within a well-defined range between ~$106,800 and ~$108,200. It bounced off support near $106,800 and is struggling to reclaim the intraday high.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$108,200 – Today’s high and upper boundary of the range
~$110,000 – Psychological resistance and recent high
~$111,970 – All-time high
Support:
$106,800 – Intraday low and critical support
~$105,700 – Daily pivot support from historical data
~$105,000 – 200‑day EMA
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical Summary : Strong Sell on short-term timeframes, indicating downward bias
Moving Averages: 10 Sell vs 2 Buy – bearish skew
RSI (14): ~39 – neutral-to-bearish
Stochastic: ~99 – early overbought warning
MACD: –207 – bearish momentum
Other Oscillators (ADX, CCI, Williams %R): Mostly bearish signals
🌍 Fundamental Context
Profit-Taking Near Resistance: Traders booked gains near the $108k level, leading to today’s pullback
Macro Sentiment: Elevating geopolitical risks have briefly boosted safe-haven demand, but the overall risk appetite remains tepid.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
Bitcoin holds below $108,200 → downside in play to $106,800, followed by $105,700 or possibly $105,000 if weakness continues.
🟢 Bullish Reversal
Break above $108,200 with buying momentum → targets $110,000, then eyeing all-time high around $111,970.
✅ Summary
Bitcoin remains range-bound with a slight bearish tilt. Key levels to watch are $106,800 support and $108,200 resistance. A break in either direction will define the next leg: downside scenario emphasizes support levels, while an upside breakout could renew bullish momentum.
🔹 Current Price Overview
Spot Price: $106,841
Intraday Range: $106,797 – $108,201
Daily Change: –1.26%
🟦 Technical Analysis
🔸 Market Structure
Bitcoin remains in a neutral to slightly bearish phase, trading within a well-defined range between ~$106,800 and ~$108,200. It bounced off support near $106,800 and is struggling to reclaim the intraday high.
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$108,200 – Today’s high and upper boundary of the range
~$110,000 – Psychological resistance and recent high
~$111,970 – All-time high
Support:
$106,800 – Intraday low and critical support
~$105,700 – Daily pivot support from historical data
~$105,000 – 200‑day EMA
🔸 Indicators & Sentiment
Technical Summary : Strong Sell on short-term timeframes, indicating downward bias
Moving Averages: 10 Sell vs 2 Buy – bearish skew
RSI (14): ~39 – neutral-to-bearish
Stochastic: ~99 – early overbought warning
MACD: –207 – bearish momentum
Other Oscillators (ADX, CCI, Williams %R): Mostly bearish signals
🌍 Fundamental Context
Profit-Taking Near Resistance: Traders booked gains near the $108k level, leading to today’s pullback
Macro Sentiment: Elevating geopolitical risks have briefly boosted safe-haven demand, but the overall risk appetite remains tepid.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Base Case)
Bitcoin holds below $108,200 → downside in play to $106,800, followed by $105,700 or possibly $105,000 if weakness continues.
🟢 Bullish Reversal
Break above $108,200 with buying momentum → targets $110,000, then eyeing all-time high around $111,970.
✅ Summary
Bitcoin remains range-bound with a slight bearish tilt. Key levels to watch are $106,800 support and $108,200 resistance. A break in either direction will define the next leg: downside scenario emphasizes support levels, while an upside breakout could renew bullish momentum.
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