“Most people get interested in stocks when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is. You can’t buy what is popular and do well.”

Warren Buffett

✔️ @venture

📸 GoPro Surges on Markiplier Stake

GoPro rose 160% in 2 days, including 80% in premarket today, after Markiplier disclosed an 8.5% stake, making him the largest shareholder. He called the stock undervalued and wants to see a turnaround.

The timing coincides with GoPro’s Mission 1 Pro cinema camera hitting shelves tomorrow. Short interest at 16.5% of the float added fuel as buyers rushed in.

The fundamentals remain weak. Revenue fell 31.3% year over year last quarter, and GoPro has disclosed doubts about its ability to continue as a going concern.

✔️ @venture

💸 Bitcoin’s Green August

Bitcoin closed August up 25.1%, from $62,794 to $78,545. It was the first green August during a bear market and the 3rd-best August in Bitcoin’s history.

A short squeeze drove the move. Monthly liquidations reached $12.65 billion, including $5.8 billion from Aug 17-21. Aug 19 saw $2.7 billion in short liquidations, the biggest single day on record.

July and August both closed green. Historically, September has closed red every time that has happened.

✔️ @venture

🤖 Anthropic Rebuilds Government Relationship

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says the Trump administration now trusts Anthropic, which is “back on the right side” after months of clashes.

The conflict led the Pentagon to blacklist Anthropic as a supply chain risk, the first time an American company received that label. A federal judge struck it down in August, ruling it violated Anthropic’s constitutional rights.

Anthropic co-founder Tom Brown helped repair the relationship. This week, he is standing beside Lutnick at the G20.

✔️ @venture

🪙 Trump $1 Coin Enters Circulation

The 2026 President Trump $1 coin goes on sale today and enters circulation, making him the first sitting U.S. president featured on a circulating coin.

✔️ @venture

“Every single country needs to build infrastructure” to support its own AI economy.

Jensen Huang, Nvidia CEO, told G20 leaders that being left behind is the “single worst outcome” as fear slows adoption while the rest of the world keeps building.

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🤖 OpenAI Releases GPT-6 Astra

OpenAI just released GPT-6 Astra, calling it a “generational leap” and saying people may look back at this model as when AGI arrived.

✔️ @venture

💰 US Treasury Debt Buyback

The US Treasury bought back $12.5B of its own debt, its largest buyback in over 3 months.

✔️ @venture

Jim Simons was the 55th richest person in the world. His approach to investing is grouped into 5 processes:

🖱️ Quant and data-driven approach.

🖱️ Systematic and algorithmic trading.

🖱️ Statistical arbitrage.

🖱️ Risk management.

🖱️ Iterative improvement.

✔️ @venture

📉 Yen Strength Threatens Global Markets

USDJPY has fallen from 163.98 to 155.31, a 5.3% move in about five weeks. The yen alone is up 2.5% this week, creating a serious risk for global markets.

The trade is simple. Investors borrow cheap yen, convert it into dollars, and buy assets such as US stocks and bonds. Because the loan is in yen, a stronger yen makes repayment more expensive.

At 10x leverage, a 5.3% move against the trade wipes out about 53% of the trader’s cash cushion. At 20x, it wipes out more than 100%. Forced selling, followed by more yen buying, can create a self-reinforcing unwind. The same loop drove the sharp global selloff in August 2024.

Japan has spent $169.5 billion this year trying to control the yen, including $52.8 billion in a single day. Markets now see a 75% chance of another Bank of Japan rate hike this month, up from 24% a month ago. Higher rates make yen borrowing more expensive.

The size of the trade is unknown, but past estimates put it in the hundreds of…

✔️ @venture

🔍 Google's First $100,000

Google was founded this day in 1998. Its first investor wrote a $100,000 check.

They celebrated with breakfast at Burger King.

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“You need to be intellectually curious, really really open-minded, & you need to have courage.

And when I say courage, you need the courage to bet big & bet concentrated, but also the courage to fight your own emotions.”

Stanley Druckenmiller

✔️ @venture

Recommended reading for investors.

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“If you’re a slightly above-average investor who spends less than you earn, over a lifetime you cannot help but get very wealthy.”

Warren Buffett

✔️ @venture

📉 September Selling Imbalance

Algorithmic trading funds have about $9 billion left to buy if stocks rise, but could be forced to sell up to $163 billion if markets fall. That is an 18-to-1 imbalance between upside support and downside pressure.

Companies are also entering their September buyback blackout period, when they cannot legally repurchase their own shares ahead of earnings. That removes another major buyer at the same time.

Together, the market has limited support for a drop, but significant selling capacity that could make one worse.

✔️ @venture

🍏 What’s Inside iPhone 17 Pro

The semiconductor stack spans compute, connectivity, power, sensing and materials. 12 companies supply layers of the phone.

$TSM makes A19 Pro. $AVGO supplies RF and wireless charging, while Apple’s N1 handles primary Wi‑Fi and Bluetooth. $QCOM supplies Snapdragon X80 in Pro models for mmWave, before Apple’s C2 takes over.

$GLW supplies cover glass and Ceramic Shield. $STM covers Face ID, cameras and power management. $NXPI handles NFC, secure payment, USB‑C and connectivity.

$CRUS, $TXN and $ADI supply audio, analog, power and charging chips. $SONY makes camera sensors, while $QRVO and $SWKS provide RF modules and components for cellular signals.

✔️ @venture

💸Global Debt Interest Hits $2T

Global taxpayers now pay $2 trillion a year in interest without reducing principal. That is nearly $5.5 billion a day. Interest costs have already exceeded defense spending in Italy, the US, the UK, and France.

✔️ @venture

💻️ NVIDIA’s $105 Billion Lease Exposure

If OpenAI defaults, NVIDIA may take over a lease to satisfy the covered loss obligation under its $105 billion guarantee. It could also seek a replacement tenant, sell the assets, allow termination, or defer its choice for up to a year while paying specified costs. Takeover terms are redacted.

The arrangement covers 9 phases in Pike County, Ohio, designed for 4.25 gigawatts of capacity. Each has a 20-year lease, with the first expected to begin in NVIDIA’s fiscal 2029. NVIDIA may support another 3.8 gigawatts.

OpenAI’s affiliate has promised to reimburse NVIDIA, but the filings do not show whether that covers every obligation or whether payment would be timely. A qualifying credit rating for OpenAI or its parent could release NVIDIA before the first building opens.

✔️ @venture

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the U.S. cannot pause on AI because China will not. “Nothing would matter if China pulled away on AI.”

AI has a PR problem. As the buildout grows, hyperscalers must explain what their spending is enabling.

✔️ @venture

🍏 Apple’s First Foldable iPhone

$AAPL introduced its first foldable iPhone, the “iPhone Duo.”

✔️ @venture