OpenAI is quietly laying the groundwork for an advertising business inside ChatGPT, signaling a potential shift away from relying only on subscriptions and API revenue.
If ads arrive, ChatGPT wouldn’t just be an AI product, it would become a new distribution channel, putting OpenAI on a collision course with search and social advertising giants.
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Netflix began in the late 1990s as a DVD-by-mail rental service, a business that looked odd compared to dominant players like Blockbuster, which had thousands of physical stores and seemed untouchable. Netflix avoided brick-and-mortar costs, focused on online ordering, eliminated late fees, and introduced a subscription model with free trial periods, moves that were unconventional at the time but made the service more user-friendly.
Netflix didn’t just grow, it reshaped the market by betting early on online convenience and subscription pricing. Blockbuster’s failure to adapt highlights how innovation can overturn dominant players when customer habits and technology shift.
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64GB of RAM in the USA cost more than a semi-automatic AR-15 rifle
Amazing timeline…
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Amazing timeline…
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Menlo’s latest annual AI market report points to a sharp power shift in the enterprise LLM API market, as OpenAI’s early dominance continues to erode.
The LLM API market has shifted from winner-takes-all to fragmented infrastructure and OpenAI is now competing on equal footing, not from a monopoly position.
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China is formalizing one of the world’s strictest AI approval regimes and Apple Intelligence is now directly in its scope.
China isn’t just regulating AI, it’s stress-testing whether global AI platforms can exist as fully localized, state-compatible systems without breaking their core product experience.
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Waymo’s driverless taxi rollout across the US hides a growing operational cost: human intervention for edge cases autonomy still can’t handle.
🖱 More complex interventions pay more: $60–80 to tow a robotaxi that ran out of battery or failed to reach a charging station.
Waymo removed the driver, not the humans autonomy still depends on a hidden workforce handling the last, expensive edge cases.
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Elon Musk says global GDP could grow 10%+ in the next 12–18 months, and that if applied AI becomes a proxy for economic output, 100%+ annual growth could be possible within five years.
Musk’s forecasts remain extreme but history shows he has repeatedly been early rather than wrong, which is why markets still pay attention.
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India’s startup ecosystem raised nearly $11 billion in 2025, but the pace and structure of deals shifted significantly compared with previous years signaling a maturing market and more cautious investor behavior.
India’s startup funding in 2025 remained robust in absolute terms, but the ecosystem is shifting toward more disciplined, quality-focused capital deployment, with emphasis on early-stage performance, pragmatic AI bets, and deeper involvement from domestic investors and public sector support.
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A Crunchbase analysis warns that hype-driven valuations, not fundamentals, are once again shaping startup funding with AI showing many of the same warning signs seen in past bubbles.
The lesson from past cycles is clear: valuation is not success and in AI, today’s inflated prices could become tomorrow’s biggest liability.
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OpenAI is introducing a new senior role, Head of Preparedness, focused not on mitigating model flaws, but on anticipating what happens after powerful AI systems are released into the world.
AI labs are beginning to treat post-deployment societal impact as a core strategic risk, the question is whether this becomes real governance or polished reassurance.
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Nvidia has completed a $5 billion purchase of Intel shares under a private placement agreement first announced in September 2025, buying about 214.7 million shares at $23.28 each.
A $5 billion vote of confidence from Nvidia could reshape competitive dynamics in AI chips, bolster Intel’s balance sheet, and deepen collaboration at a pivotal moment for the semiconductor industry.
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Nvidia has effectively abandoned plans to run its own cloud service, folding DGX Cloud back into an internal-only operation and redeploying most of the team into R&D.
Nvidia chose ecosystem dominance over platform ambition and decided that angering AWS, Azure, and Google was far riskier than abandoning its own cloud dreams.
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Meta has acquired Manus, the Singapore-based AI startup, in a deal reportedly valued at ~US$2B, betting on agentic AI that can do work, not just answer questions.
Meta isn’t just chasing smarter models anymore, it’s buying its way into the operational AI era, where agents replace workflows, not chats.
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Elon Musk says xAI will have more computing power than all other companies combined within 5 years an aggressive claim even by his standards.
Musk is betting that in AI, the company with the most electricity wins and he’s willing to build power plants disguised as data centers to prove it.
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It’s not exactly the update anyone wanted to start the year with, but here we are: ChatGPT will definitely have ads, and the launch looks imminent.
It’s disappointing, sure, but this was always a question of when, not if.
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Happy New Year.
Wishing you clearer thinking, better decisions, and fewer wasted cycles.
Build what matters. Cut what doesn’t.
May 2026 reward focus, patience, and consistency.
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Wishing you clearer thinking, better decisions, and fewer wasted cycles.
Build what matters. Cut what doesn’t.
May 2026 reward focus, patience, and consistency.
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Yesterday was Warren Buffett’s final day as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
Here’s his first interview from 63 years ago.
Thank you, Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha.
✔️ Subscribe on @venture
Here’s his first interview from 63 years ago.
Thank you, Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha.
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Growth is no longer guaranteed at Tesla
The company wrapped up Q4 2025 with results that undercut expectations, confirming two consecutive years of shrinking annual volume, a major shift from Tesla’s long-held growth narrative.
🖱 End-of-year shipments came in well below forecasts, down in the mid-teens versus the prior year.
🖱 Vehicle output also moved lower, pointing to structural softness rather than a one-off demand pause.
🖱 Total 2025 volumes fell by roughly 8–9%, locking in a second annual contraction.
🖱 BYD now dominates global EV scale, increasing the distance between itself and Tesla.
🖱 Higher-priced and experimental vehicles (S, X, Cybertruck) saw the sharpest drop, exposing weak pull outside the core lineup.
🖱 More cars left factories than reached customers in Q4, signaling inventory pressure heading into 2026.
🖱 Incentive pull-forwards and intensifying competition blunted the impact of price cuts.
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The company wrapped up Q4 2025 with results that undercut expectations, confirming two consecutive years of shrinking annual volume, a major shift from Tesla’s long-held growth narrative.
Tesla’s valuation still leans on autonomy and AI optionality but the numbers show the auto business is no longer compounding, and the execution gap is becoming harder to ignore.
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