Charted: The U.S. Mortgage Rate vs. Existing Home Sales
The U.S. Mortgage Rate vs. Existing Home Sales
----------------------------------------------
The U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has reached its highest level since 2002.
Coupled with rising home prices and a constrained housing inventory, U.S. housing affordability is now at its lowest point in history, according to the National Association of Realtors.
In the graphic above, we take a closer look at how the U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has evolved since 2013 against the backdrop of existing home sales, using data from both Freddie Mac and Trading Economics.
A Decade in Review: U.S. 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages
-----------------------------------------------------
Due to the stability and predictability they offer, fixed-rate mortgages remain very popular among American homebuyers. In 2021, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages made up 70% of all issued mortgages in the country.
Let’s take a look at how U.S. 30-year mortgage rates have evolved through the years.
In the last few years alone, Americans have seen 30-year fixed-rate mortgages hit their lowest point in U.S. history—2.65% in January 2021—as well as skyrocket to their current rate of 7.31% (as of October 3, 2023.)
Naturally, this surge may leave many people wondering about the reasons behind this drastic change and whether they will drop any time soon.
Why Do Mortgage Rates Rise?
---------------------------
Mortgage rates rise in response to various economic indicators and policy changes.
Over the years, factors such as shifts in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, inflation concerns, the state of the bond market, and fluctuations in economic growth have all played roles in influencing mortgage rates.
2023 is no different, with many different economic and global events at play. It’s also notable that these high mortgage rates are affecting home sales in the U.S., specifically with existing home sales taking a dip while new home sales subtly rise.
This change in dynamics is occurring as homeowners with low mortgage rates hesitate to sell their homes and get back in the market amidst high mortgage rates. In turn, demand from buyers is increasing new home sales and pushing prices even higher.
What’s In Store for U.S. Mortgage Rates?
----------------------------------------
U.S. mortgage rates remain above 7% for the time being.
Read details below
The U.S. Mortgage Rate vs. Existing Home Sales
----------------------------------------------
The U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has reached its highest level since 2002.
Coupled with rising home prices and a constrained housing inventory, U.S. housing affordability is now at its lowest point in history, according to the National Association of Realtors.
In the graphic above, we take a closer look at how the U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has evolved since 2013 against the backdrop of existing home sales, using data from both Freddie Mac and Trading Economics.
A Decade in Review: U.S. 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages
-----------------------------------------------------
Due to the stability and predictability they offer, fixed-rate mortgages remain very popular among American homebuyers. In 2021, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages made up 70% of all issued mortgages in the country.
Let’s take a look at how U.S. 30-year mortgage rates have evolved through the years.
In the last few years alone, Americans have seen 30-year fixed-rate mortgages hit their lowest point in U.S. history—2.65% in January 2021—as well as skyrocket to their current rate of 7.31% (as of October 3, 2023.)
Naturally, this surge may leave many people wondering about the reasons behind this drastic change and whether they will drop any time soon.
Why Do Mortgage Rates Rise?
---------------------------
Mortgage rates rise in response to various economic indicators and policy changes.
Over the years, factors such as shifts in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, inflation concerns, the state of the bond market, and fluctuations in economic growth have all played roles in influencing mortgage rates.
2023 is no different, with many different economic and global events at play. It’s also notable that these high mortgage rates are affecting home sales in the U.S., specifically with existing home sales taking a dip while new home sales subtly rise.
This change in dynamics is occurring as homeowners with low mortgage rates hesitate to sell their homes and get back in the market amidst high mortgage rates. In turn, demand from buyers is increasing new home sales and pushing prices even higher.
What’s In Store for U.S. Mortgage Rates?
----------------------------------------
U.S. mortgage rates remain above 7% for the time being.
Read details below
Telegraph
Charted: The U.S. Mortgage Rate vs. Existing Home Sales
The U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has reached its highest level since 2002. Coupled with rising home prices and a constrained housing inventory, U.S. housing affordability is now at its lowest point in history, according to the National Association of…
The 2023 Utility Decarbonization Index
The 2023 Utility Decarbonization Index
--------------------------------------
This was originally posted on the Decarbonization Channel. Subscribe to the free mailing list to be the first to see graphics related to decarbonization with a focus on the U.S. energy sector.
Electric utilities and the power sector have a pivotal role to play in decarbonizing the U.S. economy, especially with the electrification of sectors such as transportation.
So, where do the country’s largest electricity producers stand on the path to decarbonization?
In collaboration with our sponsor National Public Utilities Council, we present the 2023 edition of our Annual Utility Decarbonization Index. The index uses 2021 data (the latest available at the time of data collection) to track the comparative decarbonization progress of the 47 largest investor-owned utilities (IOUs) in the United States.
In the graphic above, we give a preview of the top 10 rankers.
Methodology of the Utility Decarbonization Index
------------------------------------------------
The Utility Decarbonization Index uses the following six metrics to track decarbonization progress:
Fuel Mix
The share of low-carbon sources in a utility’s owned net electricity generation.CO2 Emissions Intensity
The amount of CO2 emitted per megawatt-hour of owned and purchased net electricity generation.Total CO2 Emissions
The absolute amount of CO2 emitted from owned and purchased net electricity generation.CO2 Emissions Per Customer
The amount of CO2 emitted per retail, commercial, and industrial customer served.Decarbonization Goals
An evaluation of the company’s interim greenhouse gas reduction and net-zero targets, with a 50% reduction in emissions by 2030 and net-zero by 2050 as baseline targets.Low-Carbon investment
The share of planned capital expenditure for electricity generation dedicated to low-carbon sources.All 47 IOUs in the Decarbonization Index are scored on a scale of one (lowest) to five (highest) for each of the six metrics, indicating whether they are trailing or leading compared to their peers. A utility’s final decarbonization score is an average of its scores across the six metrics.
The data for these metrics comes from company sustainability reports, quantitative ESG reporting templates from the Edison Electric Institute, and the Climate Disclosure Project’s Climate Change Questionnaire filings.
Read details below
The 2023 Utility Decarbonization Index
--------------------------------------
This was originally posted on the Decarbonization Channel. Subscribe to the free mailing list to be the first to see graphics related to decarbonization with a focus on the U.S. energy sector.
Electric utilities and the power sector have a pivotal role to play in decarbonizing the U.S. economy, especially with the electrification of sectors such as transportation.
So, where do the country’s largest electricity producers stand on the path to decarbonization?
In collaboration with our sponsor National Public Utilities Council, we present the 2023 edition of our Annual Utility Decarbonization Index. The index uses 2021 data (the latest available at the time of data collection) to track the comparative decarbonization progress of the 47 largest investor-owned utilities (IOUs) in the United States.
In the graphic above, we give a preview of the top 10 rankers.
Methodology of the Utility Decarbonization Index
------------------------------------------------
The Utility Decarbonization Index uses the following six metrics to track decarbonization progress:
Fuel Mix
The share of low-carbon sources in a utility’s owned net electricity generation.CO2 Emissions Intensity
The amount of CO2 emitted per megawatt-hour of owned and purchased net electricity generation.Total CO2 Emissions
The absolute amount of CO2 emitted from owned and purchased net electricity generation.CO2 Emissions Per Customer
The amount of CO2 emitted per retail, commercial, and industrial customer served.Decarbonization Goals
An evaluation of the company’s interim greenhouse gas reduction and net-zero targets, with a 50% reduction in emissions by 2030 and net-zero by 2050 as baseline targets.Low-Carbon investment
The share of planned capital expenditure for electricity generation dedicated to low-carbon sources.All 47 IOUs in the Decarbonization Index are scored on a scale of one (lowest) to five (highest) for each of the six metrics, indicating whether they are trailing or leading compared to their peers. A utility’s final decarbonization score is an average of its scores across the six metrics.
The data for these metrics comes from company sustainability reports, quantitative ESG reporting templates from the Edison Electric Institute, and the Climate Disclosure Project’s Climate Change Questionnaire filings.
Read details below
Telegraph
The 2023 Utility Decarbonization Index
This was originally posted on the Decarbonization Channel. Subscribe to the free mailing list to be the first to see graphics related to decarbonization with a focus on the U.S. energy sector. Electric utilities and the power sector have a pivotal role to…
Mapped: Investment Risk, by Country
Mapped: Investment Risk, by Country
-----------------------------------
This was originally posted on Advisor Channel. Sign up to the free mailing list to get beautiful visualizations on financial markets that help advisors and their clients.
What is the risk of investing in another country?
Given the rapid growth of emerging economies, and the opportunities this may present to investors, it raises the question: does investment exposure abroad come with risk, and how can that risk be analyzed?
To help answer this question, this graphic shows country risk around the world, based on analysis from Aswath Damodaran at New York University’s Stern School of Business.
The Methodology
---------------
For many reasons, there are variations in risk across different countries. These can be influenced by geopolitical factors, such as political risk, whether they are in a stage of early growth, or have stable property rights.
To get a clearer picture of country risk, Damodaran analyzed the following broad factors:
Political risk: Type of regime, corruption, level of conflictLegal risk: Property rights protections, contract rightsEconomic risk: Diversification of economyIn addition, a nation’s default risk was analyzed, which is a common measure used in financial markets. When a nation defaults on its debt, it often leads to market turbulence, and other negative effects that can last for many years.
Together, these factors, along with others, estimate a country risk premium, which is the extra risk in a given market. The U.S. served as baseline for measuring the extra risk of each country.
Investment Risk in 2023
-----------------------
Below, we show country risk around the world, from highest to lowest risk as of July, 2023:
As the table above shows, five countries share the highest risk: Belarus, Lebanon, Venezuela, Sudan, and Syria. In Belarus, Russian military forces continue to operate. Venezuela has faced hyperinflation and endemic corruption for many years.
On the other hand, 13 countries had the lowest risk, including several European nations, Singapore, and New Zealand. This is due to factors such as their AAA-rated government bonds, low corruption, and strong property right protections.
What Does This Mean for Investors?
Read details below
Mapped: Investment Risk, by Country
-----------------------------------
This was originally posted on Advisor Channel. Sign up to the free mailing list to get beautiful visualizations on financial markets that help advisors and their clients.
What is the risk of investing in another country?
Given the rapid growth of emerging economies, and the opportunities this may present to investors, it raises the question: does investment exposure abroad come with risk, and how can that risk be analyzed?
To help answer this question, this graphic shows country risk around the world, based on analysis from Aswath Damodaran at New York University’s Stern School of Business.
The Methodology
---------------
For many reasons, there are variations in risk across different countries. These can be influenced by geopolitical factors, such as political risk, whether they are in a stage of early growth, or have stable property rights.
To get a clearer picture of country risk, Damodaran analyzed the following broad factors:
Political risk: Type of regime, corruption, level of conflictLegal risk: Property rights protections, contract rightsEconomic risk: Diversification of economyIn addition, a nation’s default risk was analyzed, which is a common measure used in financial markets. When a nation defaults on its debt, it often leads to market turbulence, and other negative effects that can last for many years.
Together, these factors, along with others, estimate a country risk premium, which is the extra risk in a given market. The U.S. served as baseline for measuring the extra risk of each country.
Investment Risk in 2023
-----------------------
Below, we show country risk around the world, from highest to lowest risk as of July, 2023:
As the table above shows, five countries share the highest risk: Belarus, Lebanon, Venezuela, Sudan, and Syria. In Belarus, Russian military forces continue to operate. Venezuela has faced hyperinflation and endemic corruption for many years.
On the other hand, 13 countries had the lowest risk, including several European nations, Singapore, and New Zealand. This is due to factors such as their AAA-rated government bonds, low corruption, and strong property right protections.
What Does This Mean for Investors?
Read details below
Telegraph
Mapped: Investment Risk, by Country
This was originally posted on Advisor Channel. Sign up to the free mailing list to get beautiful visualizations on financial markets that help advisors and their clients. What is the risk of investing in another country? Given the rapid growth of emerging…
𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚁𝚊𝚙𝚒𝚍 𝚁𝚒𝚜𝚎 𝙾𝚏 𝚂𝚑𝚎𝚒𝚗: 𝙶𝚎𝚗 𝚉'𝚜 𝙵𝚊𝚟𝚘𝚞𝚛𝚒𝚝𝚎 𝚂𝚑𝚘𝚙𝚙𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙰𝚙𝚙
Shein was founded in 2008 in China, and exploded into the world of fast fashion, with Google data showing it surpassed H&M, Zara and ASOS in search interest. It's also held the 2nd spot in the iOS App Store Shopping category for much of 2021, even overtaking Amazon.
Shein makes the world of fast fashion, pioneered in the late 90s by Zara, H&M and others, look glacial. "Fast fashion" meant that designs from fashion shows make it into stores in just a few weeks. Shein takes it further. If a top design goes viral on TikTok, Shein ramp up production instantly thanks to its tight production control, and small initial batches of items. That supply chain, coupled with super-low prices and endless virality on TikTok, is a powerful feedback loop.
Shein reportedly racked up more than $10bn of sales last year, but otherwise relatively little is known about the company.
Shein was founded in 2008 in China, and exploded into the world of fast fashion, with Google data showing it surpassed H&M, Zara and ASOS in search interest. It's also held the 2nd spot in the iOS App Store Shopping category for much of 2021, even overtaking Amazon.
Shein makes the world of fast fashion, pioneered in the late 90s by Zara, H&M and others, look glacial. "Fast fashion" meant that designs from fashion shows make it into stores in just a few weeks. Shein takes it further. If a top design goes viral on TikTok, Shein ramp up production instantly thanks to its tight production control, and small initial batches of items. That supply chain, coupled with super-low prices and endless virality on TikTok, is a powerful feedback loop.
Shein reportedly racked up more than $10bn of sales last year, but otherwise relatively little is known about the company.
𝙿𝚎𝚊𝚔 𝙱𝚊𝚜𝚎𝚋𝚊𝚕𝚕? 𝙰𝚟𝚎𝚛𝚊𝚐𝚎 𝙼𝙻𝙱 𝙰𝚝𝚝𝚎𝚗𝚍𝚊𝚗𝚌𝚎𝚜 𝙰𝚛𝚎 𝚃𝚛𝚎𝚗𝚍𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙳𝚘𝚠𝚗
Baseball used to regularly be described as America's favorite national pastime. Sadly, that phrase is getting closer to retirement with every passing year, as attendance at Major League Baseball games has been falling steadily since 2007.
So it's unfortunate for baseball fans that the collective bargaining agreement between Major League Baseball and the players' union has expired — meaning the first lockout in more than 25 years.
The issue at play is, unsurprisingly, money. Unlike the NBA or NFL, the MLB has no direct mechanism for players to benefit from rising league revenues. That's partly contributed to why the median salary for MLB players has fallen by 30% since 2015. During that time the median NBA salary was up 50%.
One of the core issues is the disparity between teams. The New York Yankees pull in 10x the local revenue of the smallest teams.
Baseball used to regularly be described as America's favorite national pastime. Sadly, that phrase is getting closer to retirement with every passing year, as attendance at Major League Baseball games has been falling steadily since 2007.
So it's unfortunate for baseball fans that the collective bargaining agreement between Major League Baseball and the players' union has expired — meaning the first lockout in more than 25 years.
The issue at play is, unsurprisingly, money. Unlike the NBA or NFL, the MLB has no direct mechanism for players to benefit from rising league revenues. That's partly contributed to why the median salary for MLB players has fallen by 30% since 2015. During that time the median NBA salary was up 50%.
One of the core issues is the disparity between teams. The New York Yankees pull in 10x the local revenue of the smallest teams.
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𝙿𝚛𝚒𝚟𝚊𝚝𝚎 𝚂𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚘𝚛 𝚄𝚗𝚒𝚘𝚗 𝙼𝚎𝚖𝚋𝚎𝚛𝚜𝚑𝚒𝚙 𝙷𝚊𝚜 𝚂𝚝𝚎𝚊𝚍𝚒𝚕𝚢 𝙳𝚎𝚌𝚕𝚒𝚗𝚎𝚍 𝙸𝚗 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚄𝚂
Starbucks workers at an outlet in Buffalo, New York, have voted to unionize — which is the first time a union has won the right to represent Starbucks workers in the company's history.
Starbucks has 235k employees in the US, and the votes in New York were closely watched by Starbucks management, which had spent significant resources on trying to dissuade the stores from unionizing.
Unions have been on the decline in the US, and in other countries, for more than half-a-century — particularly in the private sector.
Previously, also the battles to unionize at Amazon warehouses in Alabama and Staten Island have made national headlines this year.
The US labor market is at an interesting crossroads - with job resignations at an all-time high, and many industries reporting a shortage of workers.
Starbucks workers at an outlet in Buffalo, New York, have voted to unionize — which is the first time a union has won the right to represent Starbucks workers in the company's history.
Starbucks has 235k employees in the US, and the votes in New York were closely watched by Starbucks management, which had spent significant resources on trying to dissuade the stores from unionizing.
Unions have been on the decline in the US, and in other countries, for more than half-a-century — particularly in the private sector.
Previously, also the battles to unionize at Amazon warehouses in Alabama and Staten Island have made national headlines this year.
The US labor market is at an interesting crossroads - with job resignations at an all-time high, and many industries reporting a shortage of workers.
👍1
𝙳𝚛𝚒𝚟𝚎 𝚃𝚘 𝚂𝚞𝚛𝚟𝚒𝚟𝚎: 𝙷𝚘𝚠 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙽𝚎𝚝𝚏𝚕𝚒𝚡 𝚂𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚎𝚜 𝙷𝚎𝚕𝚙𝚎𝚍 𝙶𝚛𝚘𝚠 𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚞𝚕𝚊 𝙾𝚗𝚎
Recently the controversial final round of the Formula One World Championship took place, with Max Verstappen beating Lewis Hamilton to the finish line on - literally.
That race will very likely go down in history as one of the most watched in the sport's 70-year history - and somewhere a Netflix executive is very quietly rubbing their hands, preparing to translate the story of this season into series 4 of Drive To Survive, Netflix's documentary series.
The on-track drama would always have created a buzz on its own, but it's also hard to understate the impact of Netflix. Like The Queen's Gambit - which revitalized interest in chess, Drive To Survive has created a legion of F1 fans. People reading up on F1 on Wikipedia is up roughly 60% since the show came out, and ESPN has reported that the average race audience was up 40% in 2021 vs 2019.
Recently the controversial final round of the Formula One World Championship took place, with Max Verstappen beating Lewis Hamilton to the finish line on - literally.
That race will very likely go down in history as one of the most watched in the sport's 70-year history - and somewhere a Netflix executive is very quietly rubbing their hands, preparing to translate the story of this season into series 4 of Drive To Survive, Netflix's documentary series.
The on-track drama would always have created a buzz on its own, but it's also hard to understate the impact of Netflix. Like The Queen's Gambit - which revitalized interest in chess, Drive To Survive has created a legion of F1 fans. People reading up on F1 on Wikipedia is up roughly 60% since the show came out, and ESPN has reported that the average race audience was up 40% in 2021 vs 2019.
👍1
𝙰 𝙱𝚛𝚒𝚎𝚏 𝙼𝚘𝚍𝚎𝚛𝚗 𝙷𝚒𝚜𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚢 𝙾𝚏 𝚂𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚒𝚎𝚍 𝙼𝚘𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚌𝚢𝚌𝚕𝚎 𝙼𝚊𝚔𝚎𝚛 𝙷𝚊𝚛𝚕𝚎𝚢-𝙳𝚊𝚟𝚒𝚍𝚜𝚘𝚗
Few companies embody the U-S-A more than that of Harley-Davidson, the iconic motorcycle maker that's been producing "hogs" since 1903. As a uniquely American brand the loyalty of its customer base, many of whom owned multiple Harley-Davidson's, drove revenue and profits higher and higher.
The financial crisis took the fizz out of HOG's share price, but that overshadowed a fundamental problem: younger people were not interested in buying motorcycles, and Harley-Davidson's customers were getting older, and fewer in number. Recognizing this, the company announced an electric bike brand LiveWire in 2014. Now LiveWire is about to go public, after being spun out. But, even with one of the biggest electric bike brands, motorcycle sales at Harley-Davidson have declined steadily since 2014, and their valuation is back to where it was in 90s.
Few companies embody the U-S-A more than that of Harley-Davidson, the iconic motorcycle maker that's been producing "hogs" since 1903. As a uniquely American brand the loyalty of its customer base, many of whom owned multiple Harley-Davidson's, drove revenue and profits higher and higher.
The financial crisis took the fizz out of HOG's share price, but that overshadowed a fundamental problem: younger people were not interested in buying motorcycles, and Harley-Davidson's customers were getting older, and fewer in number. Recognizing this, the company announced an electric bike brand LiveWire in 2014. Now LiveWire is about to go public, after being spun out. But, even with one of the biggest electric bike brands, motorcycle sales at Harley-Davidson have declined steadily since 2014, and their valuation is back to where it was in 90s.
👍1
𝙸𝚜 𝙽𝙵𝚃-𝙼𝚊𝚗𝚒𝚊 𝚂𝚕𝚘𝚠𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙳𝚘𝚠𝚗?
If you've managed to avoid reading about NFTs until now, we'll catch you up. The short version of the explainer is that NFTs allow you to "own" a distinct piece of media (image or video), that is authenticated by a blockchain to be unique or original — no matter how many times it is copied or replicated across the internet.
Many remain skeptical about NFTs. Why anyone would want to pay thousands of dollars for a .JPEG that anyone can theoretically copy, save, distribute or modify can be hard to get your head around.
Data from DappRadar shows that trading volumes in NFTs hit $300m a day in August on marketplace OpenSea, with more than 9.5 million transactions in 2021. However, the mania seems to have cooled slightly, with average daily volumes falling to $71m in December, and active users and transaction numbers also coming down. Is this the beginning of the end for NFTs? Or still just the beginning?
If you've managed to avoid reading about NFTs until now, we'll catch you up. The short version of the explainer is that NFTs allow you to "own" a distinct piece of media (image or video), that is authenticated by a blockchain to be unique or original — no matter how many times it is copied or replicated across the internet.
Many remain skeptical about NFTs. Why anyone would want to pay thousands of dollars for a .JPEG that anyone can theoretically copy, save, distribute or modify can be hard to get your head around.
Data from DappRadar shows that trading volumes in NFTs hit $300m a day in August on marketplace OpenSea, with more than 9.5 million transactions in 2021. However, the mania seems to have cooled slightly, with average daily volumes falling to $71m in December, and active users and transaction numbers also coming down. Is this the beginning of the end for NFTs? Or still just the beginning?
👍1
𝚁𝚎𝚍𝚍𝚒𝚝 𝚃𝚛𝚊𝚍𝚎𝚛𝚜 𝚆𝚒𝚕𝚕 𝚂𝚘𝚘𝚗 𝙱𝚎 𝙰𝚋𝚕𝚎 𝚃𝚘 𝚃𝚛𝚊𝚍𝚎 𝚁𝚎𝚍𝚍𝚒𝚝 𝚂𝚝𝚘𝚌𝚔 𝙸𝚝𝚜𝚎𝚕𝚏
Recently Reddit has officially filed to go public, more than 16 years since the company was founded.
In many ways, modern day reddit looks a lot like the internet forums of the early 2000s, with communities built around interests, ideas or identities. There's a subreddit for movies, music, Melbourne, and much more.
Then there is r/wallstreetbets — the 11 million strong community of investors / traders / gamblers that turned wall street on its head earlier in 2021 in the GameStop saga.
Those 11 million traders have pioneered the idea of a "meme stock" — a company whose shares suddenly see an enormous wave of buying demand for the sole reason of, well, "it's funny". With the IPO, reddit itself is now presumably a candidate for being the next meme stock... although the r/wallstreetbets folks have been taking it easier in the second half of 2021.
Recently Reddit has officially filed to go public, more than 16 years since the company was founded.
In many ways, modern day reddit looks a lot like the internet forums of the early 2000s, with communities built around interests, ideas or identities. There's a subreddit for movies, music, Melbourne, and much more.
Then there is r/wallstreetbets — the 11 million strong community of investors / traders / gamblers that turned wall street on its head earlier in 2021 in the GameStop saga.
Those 11 million traders have pioneered the idea of a "meme stock" — a company whose shares suddenly see an enormous wave of buying demand for the sole reason of, well, "it's funny". With the IPO, reddit itself is now presumably a candidate for being the next meme stock... although the r/wallstreetbets folks have been taking it easier in the second half of 2021.
👍1
𝚁𝚎𝚍𝚍𝚒𝚝 𝚃𝚛𝚊𝚍𝚎𝚛𝚜 𝙷𝚊𝚟𝚎 𝙱𝚎𝚎𝚗 𝚀𝚞𝚒𝚎𝚝𝚎𝚛 𝙸𝚗 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚂𝚎𝚌𝚘𝚗𝚍 𝙷𝚊𝚕𝚏 𝙾𝚏 𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟷
In December 2021, r/wallstreetbets has been getting 15-20k comments per day, way down on the 100k+ per day that was common during peak "GameStop mania". The moment may have passed for another GameStop moment.
If reddit traders pass on the stock, other investors will likely actually look at the fundamental of reddit's business, which is advertising driven, like most social platforms.
And in theory, the way reddit is organized should be an advertisers dream. Want to advertise a Rolex? There's 1.6 million people in a watches community ready to go.
In practice however, reddit has struggled to make the big ad dollars, with the company expecting to bring in roughly $350m in revenue in 2021. By comparison, Pinterest did $1.7bn in 2020, with a similar sized audience. Twitter did $3.7bn.
In December 2021, r/wallstreetbets has been getting 15-20k comments per day, way down on the 100k+ per day that was common during peak "GameStop mania". The moment may have passed for another GameStop moment.
If reddit traders pass on the stock, other investors will likely actually look at the fundamental of reddit's business, which is advertising driven, like most social platforms.
And in theory, the way reddit is organized should be an advertisers dream. Want to advertise a Rolex? There's 1.6 million people in a watches community ready to go.
In practice however, reddit has struggled to make the big ad dollars, with the company expecting to bring in roughly $350m in revenue in 2021. By comparison, Pinterest did $1.7bn in 2020, with a similar sized audience. Twitter did $3.7bn.
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𝙶𝚊𝚖𝚎𝚂𝚝𝚘𝚙: 𝙰 𝚂𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚢 𝚒𝚗 𝟺 𝙲𝚑𝚊𝚛𝚝𝚜
Stock markets had a fascinating year of 2021, but no story eclipsed what happened in late January, when reddit’s r/wallstreetbets forum exploded into the mainstream, organizing a short-squeeze of hedge fund investors who were betting against beloved retailer GameStop.
Today r/wallstreetbets has more than 11 million members, but nothing since has gotten the r/wallstreetbets community as excited as GameStop did, with chatter on the forum way down on Jan / Feb levels.
As for GameStop itself, the company’s equity has held onto many of the gains, and is currently worth roughly $12bn, more than 10x what it was worth the year before.
Stock markets had a fascinating year of 2021, but no story eclipsed what happened in late January, when reddit’s r/wallstreetbets forum exploded into the mainstream, organizing a short-squeeze of hedge fund investors who were betting against beloved retailer GameStop.
Today r/wallstreetbets has more than 11 million members, but nothing since has gotten the r/wallstreetbets community as excited as GameStop did, with chatter on the forum way down on Jan / Feb levels.
As for GameStop itself, the company’s equity has held onto many of the gains, and is currently worth roughly $12bn, more than 10x what it was worth the year before.
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𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚁𝚘𝚋𝚒𝚗𝚑𝚘𝚘𝚍 𝚃𝚛𝚊𝚍𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙰𝚙𝚙 𝙸𝚜 𝙶𝚎𝚝𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙷𝚊𝚖𝚖𝚎𝚛𝚎𝚍 𝙸𝚗 𝙽𝚎𝚠 𝚁𝚎𝚟𝚒𝚎𝚠𝚜
The GameStop story took a turn when trading platform Robinhood - which was the app of choice for many of reddit’s traders - briefly restricted buying on a few key shares, including GameStop.
That anger spilled outward and eventually into the App Store, with mostly positive reviews turning into a torrent of negative reviews almost overnight, hurting Robinhood’s reputation ahead of its own upcoming IPO (which it completed in July).
CEO Vlad Tenev ended up writing a blog post outlining why the real culprit of the entire saga was actually the US two-day trade settlement period, known as T+2. True or not, Robinhood’s reputation had taken a hit.
The GameStop story took a turn when trading platform Robinhood - which was the app of choice for many of reddit’s traders - briefly restricted buying on a few key shares, including GameStop.
That anger spilled outward and eventually into the App Store, with mostly positive reviews turning into a torrent of negative reviews almost overnight, hurting Robinhood’s reputation ahead of its own upcoming IPO (which it completed in July).
CEO Vlad Tenev ended up writing a blog post outlining why the real culprit of the entire saga was actually the US two-day trade settlement period, known as T+2. True or not, Robinhood’s reputation had taken a hit.
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𝚃𝚑𝚘𝚞𝚜𝚊𝚗𝚍𝚜 𝚃𝚞𝚛𝚗 𝚃𝚘 𝚆𝚒𝚔𝚒𝚙𝚎𝚍𝚒𝚊 𝚃𝚘 𝚁𝚎𝚊𝚍 𝚄𝚙 𝙾𝚗 𝙸𝚜𝚛𝚊𝚎𝚕-𝙿𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚜𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚎
In May 2021 tensions between Israel and Palestine spilled over into intense violence for 11 days.
Instinctively that led thousands of people to turn to Wikipedia to read up on the history and context of the crisis.
The situation was a good reminder of why Wikipedia's core feature — that anyone can theoretically edit its content, can also be a weakness. In important and contentious issues, such as Israel-Palestine, bad actors or propagandists on both sides have strong reasons to misrepresent, change or misreport events.
Wikipedia’s role as a non-profit, and its efforts in transparency over who is editing what (and why) has helped it navigate some of those problems, but for topics like Israel-Palestine, its process is tested to the limit. Often daily.
In May 2021 tensions between Israel and Palestine spilled over into intense violence for 11 days.
Instinctively that led thousands of people to turn to Wikipedia to read up on the history and context of the crisis.
The situation was a good reminder of why Wikipedia's core feature — that anyone can theoretically edit its content, can also be a weakness. In important and contentious issues, such as Israel-Palestine, bad actors or propagandists on both sides have strong reasons to misrepresent, change or misreport events.
Wikipedia’s role as a non-profit, and its efforts in transparency over who is editing what (and why) has helped it navigate some of those problems, but for topics like Israel-Palestine, its process is tested to the limit. Often daily.
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𝚄𝚂 𝙿𝚞𝚋𝚕𝚒𝚌 𝙾𝚙𝚒𝚗𝚒𝚘𝚗 𝙾𝚏 𝙲𝚑𝚒𝚗𝚊 𝙷𝚊𝚜 𝙲𝚑𝚊𝚗𝚐𝚎𝚍 𝙰 𝙻𝚘𝚝 𝚂𝚒𝚗𝚌𝚎 𝟸𝟶𝟷𝟽
In May 2021 the United States' top diplomat, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, strongly rejected the idea that the US and China were entering a "cold war".
Whether Blinken was right or not, US-China relations were stretched further this year along multiple lines. Tech policy, trade restrictions and Taiwan were among the flash points that raised tensions throughout the year.
With China’s economy likely to become the world’s largest in the next decade or so, China's role as a global superpower for the rest of the 21st Century seems almost guaranteed, and it means the US-China relationship is arguably the most important of any two countries in the world.
Data from YouGov reveals that in 2017 only roughly 10% of respondents polled would identify China as an "enemy" of the US. In 2021 that number was closer to 35%.
In May 2021 the United States' top diplomat, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, strongly rejected the idea that the US and China were entering a "cold war".
Whether Blinken was right or not, US-China relations were stretched further this year along multiple lines. Tech policy, trade restrictions and Taiwan were among the flash points that raised tensions throughout the year.
With China’s economy likely to become the world’s largest in the next decade or so, China's role as a global superpower for the rest of the 21st Century seems almost guaranteed, and it means the US-China relationship is arguably the most important of any two countries in the world.
Data from YouGov reveals that in 2017 only roughly 10% of respondents polled would identify China as an "enemy" of the US. In 2021 that number was closer to 35%.
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𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚁𝚒𝚜𝚎 𝙾𝚏 𝚃𝚑𝚎 "𝙳𝚒𝚐𝚒𝚝𝚊𝚕 𝙽𝚘𝚖𝚊𝚍"
The pandemic has upended the normal way of working for millions of people, with many now opting to work from home, if they can.
But some people are taking remote-working one step further, and are now working from anywhere as the pandemic accelerated a trend that had been slowly gaining traction in the 2010s — the idea of being a "digital nomad".
A digital nomad is someone who can work fully remotely thanks to the internet, and often travels from city to city or even country to country, and it’s an idea that’s been growing and growing. There are now more than 1 million members on the forum r/digitalnomad on social media site reddit.
The pandemic has upended the normal way of working for millions of people, with many now opting to work from home, if they can.
But some people are taking remote-working one step further, and are now working from anywhere as the pandemic accelerated a trend that had been slowly gaining traction in the 2010s — the idea of being a "digital nomad".
A digital nomad is someone who can work fully remotely thanks to the internet, and often travels from city to city or even country to country, and it’s an idea that’s been growing and growing. There are now more than 1 million members on the forum r/digitalnomad on social media site reddit.
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𝙱𝚘𝚘𝚝𝚜 𝙾𝚗 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙶𝚛𝚘𝚞𝚗𝚍: 𝟸𝟶 𝚈𝚎𝚊𝚛𝚜 𝙾𝚏 𝚄𝚂 𝚃𝚛𝚘𝚘𝚙𝚜 𝙸𝚗 𝙰𝚏𝚐𝚑𝚊𝚗𝚒𝚜𝚝𝚊𝚗
One of the biggest geopolitical stories of 2021 was the Western evacuation of Afghanistan. At the end of August, with the Taliban already occupying control of much of the city, the last US troops left Kabul - Afghanistan’s capital city.
The withdrawal was the final chapter of US involvement in Afghanistan that at one point had seen around 100,000 US troops stationed in various parts of Afghanistan, which is not to mention the thousands of contractors and the thousands of troops from allies such as the United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, France and others.
One of the biggest geopolitical stories of 2021 was the Western evacuation of Afghanistan. At the end of August, with the Taliban already occupying control of much of the city, the last US troops left Kabul - Afghanistan’s capital city.
The withdrawal was the final chapter of US involvement in Afghanistan that at one point had seen around 100,000 US troops stationed in various parts of Afghanistan, which is not to mention the thousands of contractors and the thousands of troops from allies such as the United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, France and others.
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𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙾𝚖𝚒𝚌𝚛𝚘𝚗 𝚆𝚊𝚟𝚎: 𝙴𝚊𝚛𝚕𝚢 𝙴𝚟𝚒𝚍𝚎𝚗𝚌𝚎 𝙵𝚛𝚘𝚖 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚄𝙺
Recently US has reported 1 million new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19, blowing past the records from previous peaks.
The surge means that more than 1% of Americans have now tested positive in the last 7 days, with the Omicron variant responsible for 95% of those infections, according to the latest data from the CDC.
The silver lining (if there is one) is in the early evidence from the UK.
Benchmarking cases, hospitalizations and deaths to their respective peaks from last winter shows that the more serious COVID metrics are still way down on where they were last winter.
There is of course a lag between cases and the more serious outcomes, which is why watching the UK data over the next few weeks will be a crucial indicator for how the US Omicron wave might play out.
Recently US has reported 1 million new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19, blowing past the records from previous peaks.
The surge means that more than 1% of Americans have now tested positive in the last 7 days, with the Omicron variant responsible for 95% of those infections, according to the latest data from the CDC.
The silver lining (if there is one) is in the early evidence from the UK.
Benchmarking cases, hospitalizations and deaths to their respective peaks from last winter shows that the more serious COVID metrics are still way down on where they were last winter.
There is of course a lag between cases and the more serious outcomes, which is why watching the UK data over the next few weeks will be a crucial indicator for how the US Omicron wave might play out.
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𝚂𝚝𝚘𝚌𝚔𝚜 𝙶𝚊𝚒𝚗𝚎𝚍 𝙰𝚗𝚘𝚝𝚑𝚎𝚛 𝟸𝟿% 𝙻𝚊𝚜𝚝 𝚈𝚎𝚊𝚛: 𝙷𝚘𝚠 𝙻𝚘𝚗𝚐 𝙲𝚊𝚗 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙿𝚊𝚛𝚝𝚢 𝙻𝚊𝚜𝚝?
US stock markets closed out 2021 with a total return of 29%. That means that for the last 3 years US stock markets have gained 26% a year on average, and two of those years were during a global pandemic. It is the best 3-year stretch since 1997-1999.
The gains made last year were spurred on by supportive monetary policy, fiscal stimulus and the relentless upward march of big tech. Indeed, just a few of the FAATMAN group of stocks — Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet and Nvidia (sorry Netflix) — now account for 25-30% of the entire S&P 500 index, depending on the day. Apple alone is almost 7%.
The worrying indicator that could stop the music is inflation — which has returned in pretty much every market now. To combat inflation central banks will raise interest rates. Will stocks hold onto their gains if interest rates raise?
US stock markets closed out 2021 with a total return of 29%. That means that for the last 3 years US stock markets have gained 26% a year on average, and two of those years were during a global pandemic. It is the best 3-year stretch since 1997-1999.
The gains made last year were spurred on by supportive monetary policy, fiscal stimulus and the relentless upward march of big tech. Indeed, just a few of the FAATMAN group of stocks — Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet and Nvidia (sorry Netflix) — now account for 25-30% of the entire S&P 500 index, depending on the day. Apple alone is almost 7%.
The worrying indicator that could stop the music is inflation — which has returned in pretty much every market now. To combat inflation central banks will raise interest rates. Will stocks hold onto their gains if interest rates raise?
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𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙽𝚈𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝚜 𝙸𝚜 𝚂𝚎𝚝 𝚃𝚘 𝙰𝚌𝚚𝚞𝚒𝚛𝚎 𝙼𝚎𝚍𝚒𝚊 𝚂𝚝𝚊𝚛𝚝-𝚄𝚙 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝙰𝚝𝚑𝚕𝚎𝚝𝚒𝚌
The New York Times has a new year's resolution — to get in shape. It plans to do so by splashing $550m in cash on acquiring The Athletic, the sports media start-up founded in 2016.
The idea that millions of people would be willing to pay $5 or even $10 a month for coverage of their favorite sports was a fairly wild one back in 2016. After all, there were already plenty of free opinions to read on the internet. But, The Athletic didn't listen to any of that conventional wisdom, building a 1.2 million subscriber base.
To get there The Athletic took a leaf out of the early Facebook growth model, targeting specific sports city by city, as Facebook did with colleges.
From the NYTimes perspective this deal is a big step towards achieving the company's target of 10 million paid subscribers by 2025 and strengthens their sports coverage.
The New York Times has a new year's resolution — to get in shape. It plans to do so by splashing $550m in cash on acquiring The Athletic, the sports media start-up founded in 2016.
The idea that millions of people would be willing to pay $5 or even $10 a month for coverage of their favorite sports was a fairly wild one back in 2016. After all, there were already plenty of free opinions to read on the internet. But, The Athletic didn't listen to any of that conventional wisdom, building a 1.2 million subscriber base.
To get there The Athletic took a leaf out of the early Facebook growth model, targeting specific sports city by city, as Facebook did with colleges.
From the NYTimes perspective this deal is a big step towards achieving the company's target of 10 million paid subscribers by 2025 and strengthens their sports coverage.
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𝚁𝚘𝚞𝚐𝚑𝚕𝚢 𝙷𝚊𝚕𝚏 𝙾𝚏 𝚄𝚜 𝙲𝚘𝚞𝚕𝚍 𝙽𝚎𝚎𝚍 𝙶𝚕𝚊𝚜𝚜𝚎𝚜 𝙱𝚢 𝟸𝟶𝟻𝟶
Myopia, or short-sightedness, is on the rise.
Data from the BHVI predicts that by 2050 almost half of the global population could be affected by Myopia — more than a doubling of the rate from the year 2000.
Has the pandemic made it worse?
With increased amounts of screen-time, it feels intuitive that our eyes might have been put under more strain in the last two years — and there's a decent amount of scientific evidence to back that up, as myopia has long been associated with spending more time indoors.
Although there haven't been any conclusive studies in adults since the pandemic, a study of children in Hong Kong from 2021 found that "the rate of nearsightedness that developed during the pandemic more than doubled what was found in a pre-pandemic study of children the same age". Good time to be a glasses maker.
Myopia, or short-sightedness, is on the rise.
Data from the BHVI predicts that by 2050 almost half of the global population could be affected by Myopia — more than a doubling of the rate from the year 2000.
Has the pandemic made it worse?
With increased amounts of screen-time, it feels intuitive that our eyes might have been put under more strain in the last two years — and there's a decent amount of scientific evidence to back that up, as myopia has long been associated with spending more time indoors.
Although there haven't been any conclusive studies in adults since the pandemic, a study of children in Hong Kong from 2021 found that "the rate of nearsightedness that developed during the pandemic more than doubled what was found in a pre-pandemic study of children the same age". Good time to be a glasses maker.
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