Some observations from the Appendix of the Moderna safety data:

- Equal # deaths (16) in Placebo & 💉arms
- Facial Paralysis: 2.66x greater in 💉arm
- Serious AE’s: 3x higher in 💉arm
- Severe AE’s: 2.59x higher in 💉arm

Article: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2113017

Appendix: https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2113017/suppl_file/nejmoa2113017_appendix.pdf

@ChiefNerd

US states with a higher fully vaccinated #Covid19 population, saw an increase in all-cause mortality in Q4/2021 compared to Q4/2020!
Slight positive Pearson correlation is visible R2=0.22, p=0.00.

1) When comparing mortality and the impact of vaccination from an epidemiological perspective, it is important to look at similar time periods and then assess the impact of the vaccines.

2) Some jump to early conclusions, when just looking at a single time period.

3) same chart with Q4/2020 data. As we can clearly see, there was already a strong difference/slope in mortality even without any vaccination.
Likely explanation for this are other con-founders such as, general health, drug use, co-morbidities, obesity, etc.
Hence it is important to compare the change in mortality after the vaccination has been introduced to asses it's impact.

If you want to see the individual states https://www.usmortality.com @USMortality

Weekly US COVID-19 Update!
> Cases are dropping, as expected Gompertz like.
> Deaths are almost as high as last year!
> CFR still much lower than last year.
@USMortality

German COVID-19 CFR drops to record low of 0.18%!
> That is essentially the same level as the seasonal flu, assuming there is still infections undetected.
> IFR likely lower, at 2x real infections, IFR would be at 0.09% lower than flu.
@USMortality

Age-Adjusted Mortality for the last 7 years in the US!
> 2021 +15.6%
> 2020 +14.4%
It looks like the introduction of the vaccines did not have any effect on mortality.
@USMortality