USMortality
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Software Engineer • COVID-19 Research, Bioinformatics & Statistics: https://www.mortality.watchhttps://www.rkileak.com • Articles: https://www.usmortality.com
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And here is the latest age-adjusted mortality calculations (unadjusted)
@USMortality
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US Weekly Covid Deaths vs Excess Deaths vs Vaccinations!

> No significant correlation between vaxx and deaths visible! (both directions!)

@USMortality
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There's no significant correlation between excess mortality and Covid-19 vaccinations visible in Europe!

This chart shows the delta of avg z-score Q4 2021 vs 2020.
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Oxford Government Stringency Index Update! @USMortality
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All-Cause Deaths (Age- & Population Adjusted) [USA]
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Something unstoppable is growing in Canada!
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USA Weekly Covid-19 Update!
> Cases are declining.
> Deaths are still rising.
> CFR = 0.29%
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Germany Weekly Covid-19 Update!
> Cases are rising.
> Deaths are stable.
> CFR = 0.28%
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Forwarded from Chief Nerd
Some observations from the Appendix of the Moderna safety data:

- Equal # deaths (16) in Placebo & 💉arms
- Facial Paralysis: 2.66x greater in 💉arm
- Serious AE’s: 3x higher in 💉arm
- Severe AE’s: 2.59x higher in 💉arm

Article: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2113017

Appendix: https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2113017/suppl_file/nejmoa2113017_appendix.pdf

@ChiefNerd
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US states with a higher fully vaccinated #Covid19 population, saw an increase in all-cause mortality in Q4/2021 compared to Q4/2020!
Slight positive Pearson correlation is visible R2=0.22, p=0.00.

1) When comparing mortality and the impact of vaccination from an epidemiological perspective, it is important to look at similar time periods and then assess the impact of the vaccines.

2) Some jump to early conclusions, when just looking at a single time period.

3) same chart with Q4/2020 data. As we can clearly see, there was already a strong difference/slope in mortality even without any vaccination.
Likely explanation for this are other con-founders such as, general health, drug use, co-morbidities, obesity, etc.
Hence it is important to compare the change in mortality after the vaccination has been introduced to asses it's impact.

If you want to see the individual states https://www.usmortality.com @USMortality
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