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Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

How are the miners doing?

The % BTC price change since last difficulty bottom indicator currently stands at +7.4% (green zone). Real miner capitulation phases on this indicator are sustained negative values (-10% to -30%) after series of difficulty decreases. Right now we're above zero, meaning the market has emerged from stress and no forced selling pressure from miners is visible.

What this means for today:

No capitulation. Price is above the last difficulty bottom level -> pressure from forced sales by weak miners is reduced.
Moderate momentum. +7.4% is not euphoria like in previous instances with readings of +50-80%.

What to watch going forward:

Next difficulty adjustment during falling price - a warning signal for weak miners.
Hashprice / revenue per TH/s will confirm/refute stress levels.
Miner reserves - increased selling during weak price action is an early indicator of pressure.

Bottom line: currently the miner factor is not dragging the market down. But it's also not a bullish driver - rather a steady neutral to positive backdrop as long as price doesn't break away from the last difficulty bottom level with double-digit gains or, conversely, fall below it.
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

The #dollar #Index has been falling for the past week.

A weak dollar usually = softer financial conditions and risk-on, but much depends on the reasons behind USD's decline.

If USD falls alongside expectations of rate cuts, stocks, gold/bitcointend to rise.

PS. Set/2024 - Ago/08/2025
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

OI Net Position - 120-hour smoothed who dominates balance metric:

> 0 long openings + short closures prevail = bullish bias.
< 0 short openings + long closures prevail = bearish bias.

After a prolonged bearish regime since late July (red zone), the SMA-120 line has reversed upward and reached zero. A similar attempt a week ago failed. Currently, the market has transitioned from aggressive short pressure phase to neutral-bullish.

Maintaining SMA-120 > 0 for another 2 days will confirm the regime change.
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

Currently, the correlation between BTC and S&P 500 has risen to 80%.

This means that key drivers: interest rate expectations, liquidity and overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment are directly transmitted to the crypto market. Under this regime, stock market recovery will support BTC, while their decline will amplify sell-offs.

The chart shows a 1-week rolling window -such a metric is very volatile and correlation spikes are rarely sustainable, the current level is unlikely to hold for more than a few weeks.
ChartsBTC #ROI #YTH

Bitcoin End Price
(Previous Epoch): $64,990
Abr/20/2024

Current Price
(Current Epoch): $116,785
Ago/08/2025

Epoch Change #Halving: 80%

#Bitcoin #BitcoinEpochCandles
Max Keiser

RT CryptoKing4Ever: #ElSalvador is leading the Bitcoin #revolution 🔥

This is not just bullish, it is historic.
The first Bitcoin bank changes everything.

Big move ahead. Let’s go!