🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 6.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15412)
✅ 6.3 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23411.60 me |or 23511.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5140.13)
✅ 6.3 - MSFT - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 408.50)
✅ 6.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24661.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd near 5175)
✅ 6.3 - CAC_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7956.20 + gap)

7/7 = 100% 💎 Success Rate

✴️ 9.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.15813 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 23687.60 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ ( (open - off-profit; pot. re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 24861.60 🔄
✅ 9.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68402.60)
✅ 9.3 - BA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 222.07)
✅ 9.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84.89)

3/6 - (3 open positions)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 10.3 - ETH/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2029.60) 📸
✴️ 10.3 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 402.53 | TP ✅ @: 397.37
✅ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 132.23) 📸
✴️ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 133.63
✅ 10.3 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.34194) 📸
❌ 10.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 78.24) 📸
✅ 10.3 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 5222.77) 📸

4/7 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


The fake news / deleted tweet from the U.S. Energy Secretary caused a wild ride in the oil market today and led to a very unfortunate SL 🔑 closing (WTI 📸) in what otherwise would have been an extremely strong session. We did not work with a very tight SL - but tight enough for this unfortunate SL closing to occur. If you bought again or worked with an open SL, oil overall still closed deep in profit. Apologies for not following up immediately - I was in a scheduled meeting at a time when one would normally have expected slightly calmer markets - otherwise I would have clearly called for dip buying right away.

Aside from the WTI position - some good trades and overall a good reading from us on the risk sentiment. The oil market will remain volatile and will continue to be the key driver of risk sentiment this week.

A nice GBP/USD 📸 from us (I closed slightly lower), as well as solid equity trades.

We are also tightening the TPs ✅ for our index trades further (including EUR/USD), as we generally see a market that is ready to rebound once more positive news around the ongoing conflict with Iran emerges (including fake news or even verbal signals of a reduced U.S. engagement in the conflict; the Trump administration is showing signs of nervousness given the low level of public support for the ongoing conflict with Iran).

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ VERY HIGH volatility; 1/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 84.00

🗣️ current price: 83.74 - 11:16 UTC+0 / GMT
(+$1.50 futures contract)

Apr′26 Futures Contract +$1.50

► G7 nations have agreed on a massive release of strategic oil reserves in the range of 300–400M barrels after Iran escalated attacks in the Strait of Hormuz - just hours after the fake news post from U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright claiming the U.S. Navy had escorted an oil tanker through the narrow waterway off the coast of Iran. This currently discussed move would significantly exceed the 182M barrels that IEA members released into the market in 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine.

► Three vessels (a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz off Oman, a container vessel west of Ras Al-Khaimah, UAE, and a bulk carrier northwest of Dubai, UAE) were hit by Iranian-fired projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf according to the UK Navy.

► Air travel in the region remains heavily disrupted. While Emirates and Etihad Airways had slowly resumed commercial operations, these efforts were interrupted again by new missile and drone attacks. Dubai International Airport, the busiest airport in the region (and even the world), temporarily halted operations entirely.

► Tehran has also begun laying mines in the key waterway, making passage through the Strait of Hormuz even more difficult. It is becoming increasingly unlikely that oil tankers are currently moving through the narrow waterway.

► We buy the current dip below $84.00, which was triggered by the concrete plan for the massive release of strategic oil reserves.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 2 - 3 (200% - 300%) - if contract size 10; 1/3 trade size

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 0.20 - 0.3 (20% - 30%) - if contract size 100; 1/3 trade size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031101A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 24602.60

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15616

Risk sentiment significantly worsened - especially in Europe / Asia - which are more sensitive to disruptions in oil / gas production and the shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Our DAX position hit our tightened TP (off-profit). We can widen the TP for the Nasdaq 100 significantly - which is still trying to stay above 🔽 25000. We also widen the TP for our EUR/USD position again.


——


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.34400

► We are also re-entering GBP/USD, which rebounded following news about the planned massive release of oil from strategic reserves and is trading again near 🔽 1.34500. We expect the pair to move back toward 1.34000 / even below.

► The current situation in the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the newly intensified Iranian attacks on targets in the region, will further worsen the outlook for a normalization of oil production in the Middle East and make shipments through the Strait of Hormuz increasingly unlikely in the coming weeks.

► We continue to see oil prices as bullish and expect risk sentiment to deteriorate today and toward the weekend, even despite the massive amount of oil that G7 nations plan to release into the market.

► The currently worsening risk sentiment (and the outlook for further or prolonged disruptions to oil production) will act as tailwinds for the USD.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031102A


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🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀

✅ 10.03 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️

Movement in our favor: +0.36% 📈

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +3.18% 📈❗️

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$159.00 Profit (+3.18%🚀)

📊 Last 5 closed Forex trades
✅ 25.02 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.02 - EUR/USD - SHORT
❌ 03.03 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.03 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 10.03 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️

❓ The possible profit and return was calculated using the “balanced standard lot size”.

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Ethereum (ETH/USD) 🪙
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/above 2070 🔄

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BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: 149.89 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 148.00


Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency, citing a military spokesman, reported: “The policy of reciprocal strikes has ended; from now on, our policy will be strike after strike.” This describes today’s escalation – just one day after the fake news from the U.S. Energy Secretary claiming that the U.S. had escorted a vessel through the Strait of Hormuz, and after comments earlier this week from U.S. President Donald Trump stating that Iran’s capabilities had been completely diminished and that objectives had likely been reached earlier than planned. Trump also appears to underestimate Israel’s ultimate objective regarding Iran.


🔹 Nvidia (+0.4%) – opens positively ex dividend following yesterday’s strong session. We expect limited upside today but continue to see NVDA as bullish overall (across all time frames). Barclays is the next investment bank / research firm reiterating Nvidia as “Overweight.” Barclays believes NVDA will benefit from further rising CAPEX (for AI capabilities) and that the market is currently pricing NVDA as if CAPEX will peak in 2027.

🔹 Qualcomm (+0.0%) – opens initially flat but still has room to fall. Qualcomm and the AI / chip sector in general also benefited from Oracle (up more than +10.5%) significantly beating expectations for Q4/25 and raising its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance. We keep our current TP (133.63). QCOM underperforms other chip stocks but will likely benefit from the sector’s gains first before profit taking sets in.

🔹 Tesla (+0.5%) – hovering around the $400 level (opening near $401). In the near term, I ultimately see Tesla below this key level. TSLA’s valuation remains too high. We have an in-profit SL (402.53) which may trigger. TSLA benefits – as it usually does – from higher oil prices but will likely face pressure today along with other growth stocks due to worsening risk sentiment. We still widen our TP slightly (if possible).
👉 SL 🔑 @: 402.53 ⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️ | TP ✅ @: 396.44


► We expect risk sentiment to deteriorate further, especially as the Trump administration continues to appear somewhat detached from reality. U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum just said: “There are a lot of options between ourselves and our allies in the region, including our Arab friends in the region, to make sure that the straits remain open and that energy continues to flow.”

► Energy traders, however, are currently not convinced that the massive and unprecedented release of 300–400M barrels from strategic oil reserves (from G7 nations plus additional countries) will be sufficient to curb energy prices in the near term. The focus remains clearly on the Strait of Hormuz.

► We sell ETH in early NYSE trading, which is currently trading above 2050 but will likely face increasing resistance (especially in the 2065–2090 range).

► We buy XOM after the stock performed very weakly yesterday (-1.6%) and opened today flat / slightly negative near 148.00. The ongoing disruptions in oil production and deliveries are not entirely positive for the oil & gas sector despite the surge in oil and gas prices. ExxonMobil, however, is less affected than many competitors and is still able to sell its usual volumes of crude and gas at elevated prices.

Ethereum (ETH/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 9–11x (900%–1100%). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution – strong short-term moves (~7%) are possible. 1/2 position size.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 150–170x (15,000%–17,000%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031103A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26031104A

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——-


XOM hit already TP ✅ - rose even further.
(I had a delayed entry due to missing pricing with my broker)

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅23700 - 23750

► Concrete plans for the release of strategic oil reserves, with additional countries (such as Austria) also joining the release to calm the oil market, helped stabilize stocks for now and prevented oil prices from rising significantly higher so far.

► Our DAX position earlier today hit TP. We can re-enter (at a higher level) with the DAX trading again above 23700 after earlier falling to a session low below 23550.

► The ongoing uncertainty about the ability to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as increased Iranian attacks on nearby vessels, will make it very difficult for Europe (and also Asia) to turn positive.

► We expect continued cautious trading and a general rotation out of Europe (toward Wall Street).

► We expect DAX / European stocks to move back toward – and potentially below – today’s session lows.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.5–3.0 (250%–300%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031105A


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Ethereum (ETH/USD) 🪙
TP ✅ @: 2038.80 ⚠️ ALREADY HIT ⚠️

WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot) 📸
TP ✅ @: 86.67 ⚠️ ALREADY HIT ⚠️
(+$1.50 futures contract; Apr'26)

GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.33986 ⚠️ ALREADY HIT ⚠️

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15572

We are (mostly) tightening our TPs ✅ slightly as we are currently positioned very risk-off and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz continues not to improve, which I generally see as correct positioning. However, we do not want to run into potential news updates - even if they are only “fake news” updates - as the market is currently reacting very strongly to anything that signals an improvement in the situation in the Middle East.

For GBP/USD we therefore work with a slightly tighter TP ✅, as we expect some / temporary support below 1.34000. For EUR/USD, however, we can widen the TP ✅ slightly further.


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——-

ETH, WTI, GBP/USD already hit these TPs ✅

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)

► While news about the massive release of strategic oil reserves is helping to stabilize the oil market, we continue to see that oil traders are not convinced that stabilization will last. The still very elevated premiums for call options indicate that risks for further sharp increases in oil prices remain priced in.

► Our ETH position has already hit the TP ✅📸 – in a short but rapid dip even below 2030.

► We can (ONLY VIP 💎) and (ONLY VIP 💎), while (ONLY VIP 💎) is still trading positively for today (currently back near (ONLY VIP 💎) ...

(ONLY VIP 💎) ...

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031106A


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——

We find a good entry into this asset 🔽 now

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 5160.52 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅5178 - 5183

► While gold still has some upside potential toward the end of the week due to stronger safe-haven demand (though not dramatically), gold (and precious metals overall) remain in a push-pull scenario between safe-haven demand driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and rising inflation concerns that could (and likely will) keep interest rates higher-for-longer.

► Gold is currently trading near flat for the day around 5180, but still has some short-term downside, as oil prices are likely to remain bullish and inflation concerns may continue to rise. Expectations that the Fed will not cut rates as long as oil prices remain elevated have also pushed yields higher – today significantly, with the key 10-year U.S. Treasury up about +8 bps.

► Silver is down about -3.1% today, while platinum is currently trading around -1.3% lower.

► We expect another dip toward 5150 later today, especially if oil prices remain bullish. Our WTI position has already hit TP ✅📸 (as has GBP/USD ✅📸). We set our TP for gold slightly above today’s session lows.

► Optimistic comments from Trump (which he hopefully does not fully believe himself), stating that he does not believe Iran is laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and again suggesting the war could end soon, temporarily pushed oil prices slightly lower. However, oil markets remain unconvinced, as even the massive release of oil from IEA members has not resulted in significantly cooler prices so far. The market does not expect de-escalation. It is a major disadvantage for the strategic positioning of the U.S. that Trump does not "understand" Iran and its leadership.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.08–0.10x (8%–10%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031107A


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——

We traded the movements following Trump's comments for a short-term Gold SHORT. It already hit TP.

We won 38 from 39 gold trades over the last 6 weeks.

NEVER, NEVER, NEVER miss a gold trade ‼️

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: 152.79

Recommended Entry Range ✅151.15 - 151.45

⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

► XOM is currently trading well above our triggered TP and about 0.3% below session highs, shortly before the NYSE close.

► We continue to see XOM in a very strong position to benefit from the currently bullish energy prices.

► We can stay LONG in XOM / re-enter ahead of tomorrow’s opening.

► A risk for the energy sector are signs that the current Iran conflict may be nearing an end. We saw the strong market reaction when Trump signaled that the U.S. could withdraw from the war faster than expected, stating that the military operation was already “very complete.” The credibility of Trump’s statement should be treated with caution and is more likely related to the fact that the operation is turning into a disaster for the U.S., or may become much longer and more expensive than initially expected, with limited support from the American public (which is especially important ahead of the midterm elections in November).

► However, today’s escalation in the Middle East, as well as an oil market that continues to price in risks of further supply disruptions, point toward elevated oil and gas prices for longer.

► At the same time, newly developed projects, such as XOM’s Permian Basin production – already producing around 1.8M barrels per day and potentially rising to 2.5M bpd in the longer term – allow ExxonMobil to continue improving margins even at lower oil prices (in the medium term we see WTI again near or below $70/barrel). XOM is able to produce oil at very low costs, giving the company a strong long-term competitive advantage.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 150–170x (15,000%–17,000%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031108A

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⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


——-

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15497

We can slightly further widen our TP for our EUR/USD position with the pair moving back to 1.15500 as we expected. The USD remains bullish again with no signs that the ongoing war in Iran is easing. Hezbollah attacked Israel today in a coordinated strike with Iran.

“We are prepared for the campaign to continue as long as necessary. We entered this campaign in a considered manner, with an organized plan, in order to remove an existential threat. We have a structured plan. We are deepening the damage and will continue to do so until the threat is removed.” said Israel Defense Forces spokesman Effie Defrin in a IDF press briefing today which makes it clear also Israel has not intention to slow down with strikes against Iran / Hezbollah.

We are very well positioned overall and traded today’s swings in risk sentiment excellently. Congratulations.


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 January 29 - March 11
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: January 29 - March 04
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 138 (excl. NVDA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 117
🔹 Overall REAL Success Rate = 84.8% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% 💎 Success Rate (January 28)
Added to statistics: 6/7 - 85.7% Success Rate (March 04)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: March 05 - March 11 🔹

✅ 5.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71689.60)
✅ 5.3 - SHOP - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 131.11)
✅ 5.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24861.60 me | or 24917.60)
✅ 5.3 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 152.94 me | or 151.44 + gap)
✅ 5.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5115.53)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Success Rate

✅ 6.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15412)
✅ 6.3 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23411.60 me |or 23511.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5140.13)
✅ 6.3 - MSFT - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 408.50)
✅ 6.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24661.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd near 5175)
✅ 6.3 - CAC_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7956.20 + gap)

7/7 = 100% 💎 Success Rate


——————————————


While our 🔽 success rate temporarily slides a bit further (to 84.8%) in our five weeks statistics - this is really a beautiful performance overview. With no open trades (except NVDA which rose further closing at 186.00 / +0.67%) and all trades closed in profit ✅.

A perfect 6/6 session 💎 (SR =100%) was replaced by last Wednesday's strong 6/7 session (SR = 85.7%).

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 9.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15497) 🔄📸
❌ 9.3 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23687.60) 🔄📸
✴️ 9.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit; +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 24556.60 🔄
✅ 9.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68402.60)
✅ 9.3 - BA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 222.07)
✅ 9.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84.89)

4/6 - (1 open positions)

✅ 10.3 - ETH/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2029.60)
✅ 10.3 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 402.53) 🔄📸
✅ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 132.23)
✴️ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 133.63
✅ 10.3 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.34194)
❌ 10.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 78.24)
✅ 10.3 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 5222.77)

5/7 - (1 open positions)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 11.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 86.67) 📸
✅ 11.3 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.33986) 📸
✅ 11.3 - ETH/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2038.80) 📸
✅ 11.3 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 149.89) 📸
✅ 11.3 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23563.60) 📸
✴️ 11.3 - ETH/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2037.60 🔄
✅ 11.3 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 5160.52) 📸
✴️ 11.3 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)
👉 TP ✅ @: 152.79

6/8 - (2 open positions)


——————————————


We continue to trade these difficult markets EXTREMELY well and have adjusted our style - among other things, we no longer work with overly tight SLs, but also close positions with solid profits to protect ourselves from sentiment swings. It is truly remarkable how well we are maneuvering through these risk sentiment swings, staying ahead of the market and consistently taking advantage of mispricing / wrong assumptions from the market.

In our timeframe, we are likely trading these markets better than any other intraday trader at the moment #1️⃣

At the moment, everything revolves around risk sentiment and the oil price, particularly updates on the Strait of Hormuz and the outlook for how long this highly volatile situation in the Middle East will persist. The outlook worsened further today as more signs emerged that the war in the region may expand.

We unfortunately closed our DAX trade 📸 a bit early today, but managed to find a better re-entry. Excellent positioning today, including a very nice oil trade 📸.

XOM 📸 had missing pricing with my broker, which is why the entry came late (and therefore was not an ideal entry today). We remain LONG in XOM. TSLA 📸 was likely closed even better by many of you, especially if your broker offers pre-market pricing. QCOM will likely open in profit tomorrow (below our TP).

We are tightening the TP ✅ for our ETH “re-entry” slightly and widening the TP ✅ for our Nasdaq 100 position further.

—-

Also our DAX and EUR/USD trades 📸 have now hit their TPs ✅, delivering very strong profits, as oil prices continued to surge (+3.5%). The market is clearly not convinced that the massive release of up to 400 million barrels of oil will significantly offset the potential supply disruptions that may persist for much longer.

UKMTO reported 17 incidents affecting vessels operating in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman between February 28 (when the war began) and March 11.

🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀

✅ 11.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️

Movement in our favor: +3.29% 📈

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +5.14% 📈❗️

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$256.88 Profit (+5.14%🚀)

📊 Last 5 closed Oil trades
✅ 02.03 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
❌ 04.03 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
❌ 10.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️

❓ The possible profit and return was calculated using the “balanced standard lot size”.
Used Multiplier for this calculation: 0.25
(Multiplier Range: 0.2 – 0.3)

🖥 Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅1.15530 - 1.15590

► Oil prices cooled slightly from the overnight / early Asia gains and moved somewhat lower after U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said that the U.S. Navy could soon begin escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz. He later added that the Navy is not yet ready to escort vessels at this moment - just two days after he posted on X claiming the U.S. Navy had already escorted a first vessel through the narrow waterway.

► This is very fragile support, especially as Iran continues to escalate attacks on ships, after two additional oil tankers were attacked overnight in Iraqi waters.

► The USD jumped significantly at the start of the Asian session and is likely to continue benefiting from potentially further rising energy prices.

► We could essentially trade the USD against any currency negatively affected by higher energy prices. Here we choose EUR/USD, as the pair currently faces slightly less resistance at key levels.

► GBP/USD is also a good choice but sees temporary support below 1.34000, exactly as we predicted.

► We ultimately see EUR/USD moving toward 1.15000 into the weekend.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031201A


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Ethereum (ETH/USD) 🪙
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 2039.10 ⚠️ NEAR TP ALREADY ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅above 2065

► During the Asian session, we closed another ETH trade with solid profit after ETH briefly dipped slightly below 2020 (exactly as expected - either triggering our perfect previous TP at 2019.90 or the slightly tighter one at 2037.60 📸).

► We then saw oil prices cool from their highs, which also pushed the USD slightly lower again, along with a temporary cooling of the previously stronger rise in U.S. Treasury yields. However, this appears temporary, as there are few signs of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict, which often worsens overnight when Iran tends to strike ships and neighboring targets under the cover of darkness.

► Oil prices and updates on the Strait of Hormuz remain the key drivers of risk sentiment. Risk sentiment in turn remains critical for cryptocurrencies, which again attempted a rebound. Overall, we still see more upside than downside risk for energy prices in the short term.

► ETH rebounded to 2075 and is now finding support near 2060. We expect another pullback and also see technically lower highs, which technical traders would interpret as a cautiously bearish signal.

► At the same time, we also see generally higher lows, indicating that crypto remains relatively resilient, especially given the cautious risk sentiment.

► BTC is also an attractive SHORT in the 🔽 70500–71000 range, but it sees stronger technical support around the key 70K level. You can alternatively trade BTC here for a little less volatility.

Ethereum (ETH/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 9–11x (900%–1100%). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution – strong short-term moves (~7%) are possible. 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031202A


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹

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SHORT (SELL) EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 positions size
TP ✅ @: 402.13 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 406.00 🔄
TSLA saw immediate losses - we wait for a first rebound unless sold immediately

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SHORT (SELL) EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 23403.60 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/above 23560


🔹 Nasdaq (-0.8%) – is trading significantly weaker, with all industries in the tech sector in the red, including chip stocks that performed well yesterday. We keep our current TP ✅ (24556.60).

—

🔹 Nvidia (-0.7%) – opens lower, as in many of the previous sessions. In most of those sessions NVDA later managed to rebound and close higher – as it did yesterday (+0.68%). It may be a bit harder for NVDA to rise today, but the overall outlook remains bullish, and we remain invested. Wolfe is the next research firm advising investors to buy NVDA (“Outperform”) and sees further tailwinds ahead of Nvidia’s GTC Conference next week.

🔹 Qualcomm (-0.7%) – is very likely to hit our TP at the NYSE opening, with the stock currently trading below our set TP (133.63) and opening near 133.30. We see further downside ahead. If we update QCOM, we can slightly widen our TP. QCOM recently saw several failed rebound attempts.
👉 TP ✅ @: 133.03 (if TP is not hit at the opening)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.8%) – opens strongly and continues to benefit from elevated energy prices and slightly higher price targets from investment banks. XOM is currently the top performer among the top 75 stocks in the S&P 500. Wells Fargo double upgraded OXY, another sign that investment banks are turning more bullish on U.S. oil & gas stocks. XOM opens near our TP, which we can widen slightly if possible. Piper Sandler is also optimistic on U.S. energy, upgrading MUR and OXY.
👉 TP ✅ @: 152.93 (if TP is not hit at the opening)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸


► We see a very red market. Only CVX (energy) is trading positively in the Dow. In the Nasdaq 100 only about 10 stocks are in the green, and it looks similar in the S&P 500, with about 85% of stocks opening lower.

► We SHORT TSLA, which opens nearly flat even though Tesla usually benefits from higher energy prices. There are some positive headlines for TSLA, including rising EV sales in China, Tesla demonstrating superior efficiency at 1.64 kWh/mile for its EV trucks, and Tesla’s energy business receiving approval to supply power across the UK. For me, however, this still looks like a rebound trap, with yesterday’s gains at high risk of being reversed.

► We made a small profit with TSLA yesterday by closing at the NYSE opening (which turned out to be good timing as TSLA ended the session very strong afterwards). We see TSLA moving back toward the $400 level.

► Overall we see more downside for equities and therefore short the DAX in early NYSE trading. The DAX rebounded from the lows after energy prices cooled slightly from the sharp gains seen during the Asian session – a rebound trap.

Tesla (TSLA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 40–45x (4,000%–4,500%) - 1/2 position size.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.5–3.0 (250%–300%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031103A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26031104A


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——

We made a beautiful TSLA trade here ✅. Perfect Entry.

Also our DAX entry was spectacular - also hit TP ✅ already.

XOM and QCOM hit their TPs as well ✅📸


Nobody is trading these markets better than we do.


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