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SHORT (SELL) EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅23355 - 23405


🔹 Nvidia (-0.65%) – continues to face short-term headwinds, but remains an excellent long-term investment. Citi is the next investment bank recommending “BUY” on NVDA, also emphasizing that NVDA should be a core holding in portfolios.

🔸 Microsoft (-1.4%) – if you still hold MSFT, the stock will open below the TP (+ gap), delivering a very nice profit.


► We see the DAX at session highs in early NYSE trading – significantly above the day’s lows after oil prices cooled following an earlier surge of more than 25% (with Brent spiking as much as 29% intraday). We see this as a rebound trap and trade against the market here that wants to push for a rebound.

► The DAX will likely struggle to recover sustainably, as the outlook for the Iran war remains negative and there is no clear timeline for a de-escalation of the conflict.

► Iran appointed the son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the new supreme leader, a defiant signal from the Islamic Republic. Leadership in Tehran vowed not to back down.

► High oil prices and the resulting economic consequences increase pressure on the US to avoid further escalation of the war – which from Iran’s perspective is a positive effect, while Iran continues to sell and ship oil (including through the Strait of Hormuz).

► We see further headwinds for markets, particularly for risk-sensitive stocks. The combination of higher oil prices, rising yields, a weak jobs report, and concerns about inflation and interest rates staying higher for longer is weighing on markets.

► For now, selling recovery attempts appears to be the right strategy. The DAX is particularly suffering from high energy prices.

► We also expect resistance for the Nasdaq 100 above 🔽 24500.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.5–3.0 (250%–300%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26030902A


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🔤🔤🔤🇩🇪
📈2️⃣3️⃣3️⃣6️⃣0️⃣📉

We hit the perfect entry range for the DAX 📉


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅69200 - 69500

► We are not seeing the positive risk sentiment needed for cryptocurrencies to start another strong rally beyond $69K. While last week’s gains (and the proximity to the key $70K level) are currently limiting losses somewhat, momentum remains weak.

► Weak risk sentiment, likely further selling in growth stocks, higher oil prices, and continued support for the USD (+ higher yields) will likely limit upside for BTC as well. We expect the USD to remain in demand today, which will create additional headwinds for all USD-denominated assets.

► We expect resistance in the $69K – $70K range and anticipate that BTC could fall back below $68K.

► While ETH offers slightly more correction potential from current levels (with headwinds above the 2025 highs), we prefer the slightly less volatile BTC.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.30–0.40x (30%–40%). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution. Short-term moves (~7%+) are possible. 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26030904A

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 224.50

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 24640 🔄


► We are seeing stocks attempting a rebound after energy prices cooled significantly from their highs. The airline sector in particular had fallen sharply earlier, as higher fuel prices and escalating Middle East tensions generally weigh on the tourism and travel sector.

► The oil supply shock has been further – and mainly – exacerbated by disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, a very important route for the global oil market (around 20% of global oil shipments pass through this strait). This has raised concerns about higher jet fuel costs and prolonged airspace restrictions.

► As I do not expect near-term signs of easing tensions, airlines and the travel sector remain under strong pressure. There will likely be dip buying, but overall we expect lower lows.

► While Boeing partially benefits from gains in the defense sector, the headwinds facing airlines will also weigh on Boeing.

► We expect profit taking to increase in the second half of US trading. You can improve your Nasdaq 100 entry price. We expect increasing resistance near 24650 and can short again above 24600. We can also set a new (not too wide) TP ✅ for the Nasdaq.

Boeing (BA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 75–85x (7,500%–8,500%) – 1/2 position size

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0–2.5x (200%–250%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26030905A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26030903B

edit:
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——

We see more downside for BA. We went SHORT in the Nasdaq a bit earlier, but we still expect profit taking toward the end of the session.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ VERY HIGH volatility; 1/3 trade size
SL 🔑 @: 76.79
TP ✅ @: 88.92 (+$2.50 futures contract; Apr'26)

⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅79.00 - 82.00

🗣️ current price: 79.60 - 19:39 UTC+0 / GMT
(+$2.50 futures contract)

Apr′26 Futures Contract +$0.60

► We saw extreme swings in energy prices today – the strongest in history (in USD terms, not in %). It was the largest single-day price jump ever (for Brent) with up to +$26.81, even larger than in 2022, when oil prices also surged sharply but over several days.

► However, we then saw a massive reversal, with Brent giving back more than all of those gains and now trading even below Friday’s closing price. WTI is currently well below Friday’s close and is now down more than 10% (!!!) for the day. This marks the largest intraday move in oil prices in history in USD terms.

► While the oil market remains bearish in the long term, the current mega correction has already gone very far. It was triggered by signs that tankers can actually pass the Strait of Hormuz (a Greek tanker carrying Saudi crude did so earlier today; Iranian tankers are still passing through the strait). Macron also said that France would support a joint maritime mission to escort container ships, helping to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trump also hinted at a potentially earlier end to the war, saying that most objectives have already been achieved (while in reality very little has been accomplished).

► However, it is too much in Iran’s interest to keep oil prices elevated to assume they will not take measures to support higher prices. Iran will likely continue ensuring that news about missile attacks or missiles targeting neighboring countries remains in the headlines.

► In addition, Saudi Arabia has started shutting down several of its oilfields. These moves could reduce output by more than 2 million bpd – a very substantial amount – although export levels have not yet been affected. News like this will likely continue to appear.

► We are trading only a very small position here and enter after another sharp long squeeze following panic selling, which has now pushed oil prices significantly below Friday’s closing levels.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 2 - 3 (200% - 300%) - if contract size 10; 1/3 trade size

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.20 - 0.3 (20% - 30%) - if contract size 100; 1/3 trade size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26030906A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: 84.89 (+$2.50 futures contract; Apr'26) ⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️📸
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 84.60 - 85.50

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 23603.60

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 24821.60


President Donald Trump said that “the war is pretty much complete” and that the military operation is already "very far ahead of the initial four- to five-week timeline". He also claimed that Iran has “no navy, no communications, and no air force left.” Trump further signaled that the war could soon be over, which triggered another strong market turnaround.

Trump is set to hold a press conference Monday evening (US time) from Florida before returning to Washington.

We are seeing stocks jump higher. Oil prices crashed, but found support below $80 (WTI; spot price) – exactly as we traded it.

We now set a “tight” TP ✅ for our WTI position or close now. We are also tightening the TPs for our DAX and Nasdaq 100 positions – which are now well in profit. However, this looks more like an overreaction, and the disappointment could be significant, as Trump will also not want to signal clear weakness here.

BTC earlier hit TP ✅, and BA also reached our TP ✅.

Trump also told CBS that the Strait of Hormuz is seeing more ship traffic again. The market believes Trump may back down somewhat due to domestic concerns about persistent inflation ahead of the November midterm elections.

However, I do not expect a full de-escalation, also because it is not (!) in Israel’s interest.

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 January 27 - March 09
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: January 27 - March 02
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 134 (excl. NVDA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 114
🔹 Overall REAL Success Rate = 85.1% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 3/3 - 100% 💎 Success Rate (January 26)
Added to statistics: 8/10 - 80% Success Rate (March 02)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: March 03 - March 09 🔹

❌ 3.3 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 157.203)
✅ 3.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5205.29)
✅ 3.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5114.43 me | or TP - 5111.89 | overall deep in profit)
❌ 3.3 - SLB - LONG ↗️ (TP - 49.19 or similar)
✅ 3.3 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24637.90)
✅ 3.3 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 387.19)
✅ 3.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5141.99)
✅ 3.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5164.63)

6/8 = 75% Success Rate

✅ 4.3 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24888.90)
✅ 4.3 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 6848.90)
✅ 4.3 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 212.97 me | or TP - 212.69)
✅ 4.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5175.13)
✅ 4.3 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 402.33 | or TP - 398.93)
✅ 4.3 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 305.29)
❌ 4.3 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (clsd off profit - SL - 80.61 me)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate


——————————————


The 8/10 session (SR = 80%) from last Monday replaced the January 26 session, when we won all three trades (3/3; 💎 SR = 100%). As a result, our🔽 success rate slightly declined to 85.1%.

NVDA opened weak but closed strongly again (+2.7%), as investors continue buying NVDA below $180.00. NVDA benefited — just like the broader market — from hopes that Trump might signal a possible easing of the current attacks on Iran, although this currently appears rather unlikely. No change in strategy was noticeable during the press conference.

All other positions visible here had already been closed at the start of the session.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 5.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71689.60)
✅ 5.3 - SHOP - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 131.11)
✅ 5.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24861.60 me | or 24917.60)
✅ 5.3 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 152.94 me | or 151.44 + gap)
✅ 5.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5115.53)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Success Rate

✅ 6.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15412) 📸
✅ 6.3 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23411.60 me |or 23511.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5140.13)
✅ 6.3 - MSFT - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 408.50)
✅ 6.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24661.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd near 5175)
✅ 6.3 - CAC_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7956.20 + gap) 📸

7/7 = 100% 💎 Success Rate


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✴️ 9.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.15621 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 23456.60 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ ( (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 24708.60 🔄
✅ 9.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68402.60) 📸
✅ 9.3 - BA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 222.07) 📸
✅ 9.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84.89) 📸

3/6 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


We started this week’s session with a beautiful CAC 40 📸 profit (it could have been closed even better), and our EUR/USD 📸 from Friday also hit TP ✅.

However, we should have sold the extremely overbought oil prices today. We witnessed the largest swings in oil prices in history in USD terms. We did, however, buy the last and strongest dip perfectly (WTI 📸) after excessive optimism emerged that Trump might try to ease the war with Iran, due to concerns about the negative impact of sharply higher oil prices on the upcoming midterm elections. This was also supported by reports that tankers are indeed able to pass the Strait of Hormuz.

While oil prices rebounded sharply after the historic sell-off - which followed the largest intraday surge in USD terms ever - we still see WTI trading even below Friday’s closing price. However, it is likely that the current uncertainty around the Iran conflict, as well as whether tankers will continue to pass the Strait of Hormuz, will keep oil prices elevated, as production and supply remain constrained.

We ran into this optimism with our index SHORTs - particularly unlucky with the DAX, which almost hit TP ✅ before recovering again. Trump said the war could end soon, but not this week, while offering few additional details. Still, this slightly reduces concerns that the US intends to continue strikes until the current regime collapses. Israel, however, appears more determined to exploit Iran’s current weakness.

We can slightly widen our TPs ✅ (DAX & Nasdaq) again.

The USD also weakened, as hopes for a possible easing of the still highly volatile situation in the Middle East emerged, along with sharply lower oil prices. We are also tightening the TP ✅ for our still open EUR/USD position.

🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀

✅ 09.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️

Movement in our favor: +6.30% 📈

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +9.41% 📈❗️

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$470.63 Profit (+9.41%🚀)

📊 Last 5 closed Oil trades
❌ 12.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
❌ 18.02 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.03 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
❌ 04.03 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.03 - USOIL - LONG ↗️

❓ The possible profit and return was calculated using the “balanced standard lot size”.
Used Multiplier for this calculation: 0.25
(Multiplier Range: 0.2 – 0.3)

🖥 Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Ethereum (ETH/USD) 🪙
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 2029.60 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅2057 - 2063

► Hopes for an end to the Iran war went far - likely too far - after Trump predicted a quick end to the war. Former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett stated that Israel and the U.S. remain aligned in their war objectives toward Iran, despite President Trump suggesting the war could end “very soon.” Bennett added that the Israeli people have the resilience to continue the fight until Iran is eliminated as a nuclear and ballistic missile power. This objective clearly differs from what the U.S. appears to be pursuing and shows that the U.S. and Israel have very different perspectives on whether - and at what intensity - the war with Iran should continue.

► In contrast to Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated moments ago during an ongoing press conference at the Pentagon: “Today will be our most intense day of strikes inside Iran (…) Iran stands alone, and they are clearly losing.”

► Iran stated that it is not seeking a ceasefire with the United States.

► Iranian state broadcaster IRIB also reported recently that a tanker exploded near Abu Dhabi. Separately, UK Maritime Trade Operations reported that an incident was reported 36 nautical miles north of Abu Dhabi, where the captain of a vessel reported hearing a loud explosion, although there is currently no clear information about what exactly happened.

► Positive for risk sentiment remain the lower energy prices compared to yesterday’s highs. G7 energy ministers will meet in Paris on Tuesday to continue discussions about a potential release of strategic oil reserves to stabilize markets.

► We are trading the recent gains in cryptocurrencies and this time are trading ETH over BTC as we see slightly more correction potential in ETH.

Ethereum (ETH/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 9–11x (900%–1100%). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution - strong short-term moves (~7%) are possible. 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031001A


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——-

We made a beautiful ETH 🪙 trade here.

❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌
❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌
❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹

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SHORT (SELL) EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 positions size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅ 404.60 - 407.40


🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔽 Qualcomm (QCOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 positions size
TP ✅ @: 132.23 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅134.30 - 135.30

We continue to see improved - arguably already overly optimistic - risk sentiment following yesterday's decline in oil prices, which also helped push yields and the USD lower. In particular, Trump signalling that the end of the war with Iran could be near, as well as the G7 decision to discuss a potential release of strategic oil reserves, improved risk sentiment. From the Iranian side, however, it was stated that the country is “absolutely not” seeking a ceasefire.


🔹 Nvidia (-0.3%) – opens again slightly weaker but overall remains in demand and continues to find strong support around/below $180.00. NVDA finished yesterday’s session very positively (+2.72%). We remain LONG and continue to see NVDA as attractive across all time frames (in particular medium- to longer-term). Bank of America reiterates Nvidia as “BUY” and remains very bullish ahead of the chip giant’s upcoming conference.


► We continue to see Tesla as a top SHORT with clear fundamental weakness and increasingly questionable CapEx allocation. TSLA is discontinuing the Model S and X lines to focus more on Optimus Robot and xAI investments - without clear plans for corresponding returns. At the same time, weakness in Tesla’s core business (EVs) remains evident. Tesla’s energy generation segment is impressive but by no means justifies TSLA’s valuation.

► Tesla’s pursuit of FSD and AI projects makes sense in principle, but unlike with EVs years ago, TSLA is now operating in a highly competitive market and is no longer a clear pioneer.

► At a $1.3 trillion valuation, it remains remarkable how irrational investors appear given weak fundamentals. An exciting new car launch still seems far away. At the same time, competition in autonomous driving and humanoid robotics is already rising sharply - also, and particularly, from China. The future of robotics may be very promising, but TSLA risks entering a phase of negative FCF while continuing to show weak to negative revenue growth and stagnating or declining vehicle deliveries.

► TSLA opens positively (around +1%) and again clearly above the key level of $400. We expect some additional gains first but see rising resistance around/above 405.

► We also expect weakness to return to Qualcomm and are selling the chip company, which managed to gain yesterday but opens around 2% lower today. Overall, we see QCOM as bearish with further lower lows ahead and a high risk of moving back toward the 2025 lows (near $125). Bank of America reinstates QCOM as “Underperform”, citing lukewarm growth. Compared with other chip companies, there is currently little about QCOM - especially regarding its outlook - that is likely to excite investors.

Tesla (TSLA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 40–45x (4,000%–4,500%) - 1/2 position size.

Qualcomm (QCOM): Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 130 - 150 (13,000% - 15,000%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031002A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26031003A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——-

A beautiful QCOM trade hitting TP in less than 15 minutes post entry 📸


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 (ONLY VIP 💎) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 positions size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅1.34570 - 1.34680 🔄


► I remain bearish on (ONLY VIP 💎) for today as well as for the upcoming sessions overall, even though we are currently seeing a short-term rebound.

► QCOM already triggered our TP ✅📸 and then rebounded back above 134.00. We (ONLY VIP 💎) ...

► Fundamentally, (ONLY VIP 💎) is actually in fairly solid shape and the stock is reasonably priced - even cheap. However, technical factors (momentum) in particular, as well as the recently weak guidance (ONLY VIP 💎)...

► We also see the improved risk sentiment compared to yesterday increasingly hitting a wall. After Trump indicated the war with Iran may end soon, there are contradicting statements from Israel as well as from Iran, which is unwilling to sign a ceasefire with the U.S. or Israel. At the same time, attacks continue on both sides: Israel launched a “broad wave” of strikes on the Iranian capital Tehran overnight, and even Pete Hegseth stated that the U.S. will not relent in its war with Iran until “the enemy is totally and decisively defeated.”

► Our ETH position already hit the TP ✅. Great entry & exit.

► We are also selling GBP/USD, which rose sharply yesterday and again today - supported by cooling energy prices and improved risk sentiment. We sell the pair above 1.34500 and expect it to move back toward 1.34000.

(ONLY VIP 💎) ...

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031004A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26031005A


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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ VERY HIGH volatility; 1/3 trade size
SL 🔑 @: 78.24
⚠️ HIT after fake news post from U.S. Sec. of ‌Energy Chris Wright ⚠️
TP ✅ @: 85.07 (+$2.40 futures contract; Apr'26)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 82.50

🗣️ current price: 81.75 - 14:43 UTC+0 / GMT
(+$2.40 futures contract)

Apr′26 Futures Contract +$0.60

► We are buying again a small position in WTI after news emerged that the G-7 wants to be ready to deploy oil reserves if necessary and has asked the IEA to prepare scenarios for the release of strategic emergency oil stockpiles. This news pushed oil prices significantly lower again and temporarily improved risk sentiment - once again highlighting how critical oil prices currently are for risk sentiment, given the impact of higher oil prices on inflation (and inflation expectations). The movement in the oil market is currently the decisive factor.

► In reality, however, WTI options traders still see risks skewed to the upside. Investors are currently paying the highest premiums in years for call options on WTI futures relative to put options.

► Investors therefore continue to see a high risk that the war with Iran persists and that prolonged disruptions to oil and gas deliveries occur as long as the Strait of Hormuz effectively remains shut.

► ExxonMobil has evacuated non-essential workers from its Middle East operations amid rising regional tensions.

► Operations in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq as well as in Iran remain significantly reduced. Oil production in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq and Kuwait is currently about 6.5M - 7.0M bpd below normal levels in total - representing a massive reduction.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 2 - 3 (200% - 300%) - if contract size 10; 1/3 trade size

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 0.20 - 0.3 (20% - 30%) - if contract size 100; 1/3 trade size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031006A


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——-

We made a great oil trade here but it hit SL on a fake news post before it hit TP.

For full transparency.

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 5214.07 ⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅ 5235 - 5239

► Gains in precious metals went far today and are likely to largely continue throughout March. In the near term, however, gold in particular benefited from a weaker USD, lower yields and a general stabilization of markets, which allowed investors to move back into precious metals that are generally considered to remain bullish / in demand going forward - also supported by ongoing buying from central banks.

► Silver additionally benefits from elevated geopolitical tensions as a strategic material.

► In the near term, however, we expect temporary resistance for silver around $90/oz and gold to re-test the $5,200 level after breaking it again relatively easily.

► We also expect profit taking in cryptocurrencies (e.g. BTC with resistance in the 71.5K–72K range) after yet another push to new session highs. Gold is a bit "less" volatile here - although overall and historically still with significantly elevated volatility.

► We expect oil to stabilize and generally move somewhat higher again, which should limit USD weakness in the short term. A rebound in oil prices from current lows would act as headwinds for gold.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.08–0.10x (8%–10%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031007A


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——-

We hit the 💯 perfect entry here. Already closed in profit.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 5222.77 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

We are setting a tight(er) TP for gold after oil prices temporarily fell further on a post from Secretary of Energy saying that the US Navy escorted a oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz - and quite rapidly - triggering our SL 🔑 📸. We now expect dip buying in oil prices around $76/barrel (+$2.40 futures contract). I have to jump into a meeting now - you can buy here.

The temporarily further decline in oil prices is, however, rather positive for gold and likely only temporary anyway, as it also puts the USD under additional short-term pressure and pushes yields slightly lower.

We still expect gold to soon re-test the 5200–5215 range, but will close the position earlier here and then potentially re-enter afterwards.


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—-

As always - full transparency. We made an extremely good oil trade (would have hit TP) but SL was triggered after a fake news post on X from US energy secretary Chris Wright.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 402.53
TP ✅ @: 397.37

Qualcomm (QCOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 133.63

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 24787.60

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 23601.80

GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.34488
TP ✅ @: 1.34194 ⚠️ TRIGGERED; me TP - 1.34161 ⚠️


Contradictory statements from the Trump administration continue to create confusion in the markets. An initial post by Energy Secretary Chris Wright (“The U.S. Navy successfully escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz to ensure that oil continues flowing to global markets.”) initially sent oil prices sharply lower - but Wright later deleted the post.

The U.S. Navy has not escorted any tanker or other vessel through the Strait of Hormuz so far, Leavitt said during the ongoing White House briefing. As a result, the previously improved risk sentiment and the pressure on oil prices completely faded again, while the gold price saw a notable pullback - triggering our tight TP (or a lower TP). This is a bit frustrating for us, as this fake news pushed our otherwise very good oil trade into the SL.

Similarly contradictory is the outlook Trump and Hegseth are giving regarding how long and how intensely the U.S. (and Israel) will remain involved in the war with Iran.

The Trump administration still does not appear to have a clear objective in its war against Iran and seems surprised that the regime has not collapsed despite the bombing campaign. However, the Iranian regime will not collapse without ground troops - that was already my assessment before the attack. Iranian officials of course sense that the U.S. lacks a clear strategy and that overall support within the U.S. population for the war against Iran is low.

We are updating our open positions. For GBP/USD and TSLA, we are setting an in-profit SL. We are also tightening the TPs for our index positions and (optionally) for GBP/USD, since we remain LONG USD anyway via our EUR/USD position.


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⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


——-

If you are still SHORT in the GBP/USD close now/soon range 1.34140 - 1.34050 for a big profit.


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 January 28 - March 10
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: January 28 - March 03
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. NVDA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 117
🔹 Overall REAL Success Rate = 85.4% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 3/5 - 60% Success Rate (January 27)
Added to statistics: 6/8 - 75% Success Rate (March 03)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: March 04 - March 10 🔹

✅ 4.3 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24888.90)
✅ 4.3 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 6848.90)
✅ 4.3 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 212.97 me | or TP - 212.69)
✅ 4.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5175.13)
✅ 4.3 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 402.33 | or TP - 398.93)
✅ 4.3 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 305.29)
❌ 4.3 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (clsd off profit - SL - 80.61 me)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

✅ 5.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71689.60)
✅ 5.3 - SHOP - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 131.11)
✅ 5.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24861.60 me | or 24917.60)
✅ 5.3 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 152.94 me | or 151.44 + gap)
✅ 5.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5115.53)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Success Rate


——————————————


Our 🔼 success rate improved slightly as a not very strong 3/5 session (SR = 60%) was replaced by last Tuesday’s 6/8 session (SR = 75%).

NVDA remains open within our five-week period and once again closed well (+1.15%), with the chip giant again finding buyers from a (slightly) lower opening - supported by continued strong institutional buying and very positive analyst / investment banks ratings.

All other positions visible here were already closed at the start of today’s session.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 6.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15412)
✅ 6.3 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 23411.60 me |or 23511.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5140.13)
✅ 6.3 - MSFT - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 408.50)
✅ 6.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 24661.60)
✅ 6.3 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd near 5175)
✅ 6.3 - CAC_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7956.20 + gap)

7/7 = 100% 💎 Success Rate

✴️ 9.3 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.15813 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 23687.60 🔄
✴️ 9.3 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ ( (open - off-profit; pot. re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 24861.60 🔄
✅ 9.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68402.60)
✅ 9.3 - BA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 222.07)
✅ 9.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84.89)

3/6 - (3 open positions)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 10.3 - ETH/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2029.60) 📸
✴️ 10.3 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 402.53 | TP ✅ @: 397.37
✅ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 132.23) 📸
✴️ 10.3 - QCOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 133.63
✅ 10.3 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.34194) 📸
❌ 10.3 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 78.24) 📸
✅ 10.3 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 5222.77) 📸

4/7 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


The fake news / deleted tweet from the U.S. Energy Secretary caused a wild ride in the oil market today and led to a very unfortunate SL 🔑 closing (WTI 📸) in what otherwise would have been an extremely strong session. We did not work with a very tight SL - but tight enough for this unfortunate SL closing to occur. If you bought again or worked with an open SL, oil overall still closed deep in profit. Apologies for not following up immediately - I was in a scheduled meeting at a time when one would normally have expected slightly calmer markets - otherwise I would have clearly called for dip buying right away.

Aside from the WTI position - some good trades and overall a good reading from us on the risk sentiment. The oil market will remain volatile and will continue to be the key driver of risk sentiment this week.

A nice GBP/USD 📸 from us (I closed slightly lower), as well as solid equity trades.

We are also tightening the TPs ✅ for our index trades further (including EUR/USD), as we generally see a market that is ready to rebound once more positive news around the ongoing conflict with Iran emerges (including fake news or even verbal signals of a reduced U.S. engagement in the conflict; the Trump administration is showing signs of nervousness given the low level of public support for the ongoing conflict with Iran).

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ VERY HIGH volatility; 1/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 84.00

🗣️ current price: 83.74 - 11:16 UTC+0 / GMT
(+$1.50 futures contract)

Apr′26 Futures Contract +$1.50

► G7 nations have agreed on a massive release of strategic oil reserves in the range of 300–400M barrels after Iran escalated attacks in the Strait of Hormuz - just hours after the fake news post from U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright claiming the U.S. Navy had escorted an oil tanker through the narrow waterway off the coast of Iran. This currently discussed move would significantly exceed the 182M barrels that IEA members released into the market in 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine.

► Three vessels (a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz off Oman, a container vessel west of Ras Al-Khaimah, UAE, and a bulk carrier northwest of Dubai, UAE) were hit by Iranian-fired projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf according to the UK Navy.

► Air travel in the region remains heavily disrupted. While Emirates and Etihad Airways had slowly resumed commercial operations, these efforts were interrupted again by new missile and drone attacks. Dubai International Airport, the busiest airport in the region (and even the world), temporarily halted operations entirely.

► Tehran has also begun laying mines in the key waterway, making passage through the Strait of Hormuz even more difficult. It is becoming increasingly unlikely that oil tankers are currently moving through the narrow waterway.

► We buy the current dip below $84.00, which was triggered by the concrete plan for the massive release of strategic oil reserves.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 2 - 3 (200% - 300%) - if contract size 10; 1/3 trade size

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 0.20 - 0.3 (20% - 30%) - if contract size 100; 1/3 trade size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031101A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel



——-

❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌

🛢8️⃣4️⃣📈8️⃣9️⃣

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 24602.60

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15616

Risk sentiment significantly worsened - especially in Europe / Asia - which are more sensitive to disruptions in oil / gas production and the shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Our DAX position hit our tightened TP (off-profit). We can widen the TP for the Nasdaq 100 significantly - which is still trying to stay above 🔽 25000. We also widen the TP for our EUR/USD position again.


——


🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.34400

► We are also re-entering GBP/USD, which rebounded following news about the planned massive release of oil from strategic reserves and is trading again near 🔽 1.34500. We expect the pair to move back toward 1.34000 / even below.

► The current situation in the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the newly intensified Iranian attacks on targets in the region, will further worsen the outlook for a normalization of oil production in the Middle East and make shipments through the Strait of Hormuz increasingly unlikely in the coming weeks.

► We continue to see oil prices as bullish and expect risk sentiment to deteriorate today and toward the weekend, even despite the massive amount of oil that G7 nations plan to release into the market.

► The currently worsening risk sentiment (and the outlook for further or prolonged disruptions to oil production) will act as tailwinds for the USD.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26031102A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——-


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