For DOW, the start of September this year was its worst since the 2008 global financial crisis. Some experts call it a βsign.β
Others note that SP500 and Nasdaq have not fallen since September began. Historically, September is the weakest month for US stocks, with selling ideally peaking mid-month before a strong Q4.
This year, a βTrump-pumpβ ahead of the November midterm elections could boost Q4. With the Iran fiasco and other failures, stocks and crypto could give Trump one of his easiest and most visible pre-election victories
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π6β€5
Trading rewards you in years and punishes you in seconds.
The edge compounds slowly across hundreds of boring trades.
The mistakes hit fast and all at once.
Most traders quit because they feel the punishment daily and the reward never seems to come.
It comes.
Just not on their schedule
The edge compounds slowly across hundreds of boring trades.
The mistakes hit fast and all at once.
Most traders quit because they feel the punishment daily and the reward never seems to come.
It comes.
Just not on their schedule
β€8π2
βI need to make $10k this month.β
βI must double my account in 90 days.β
That pressure?
It creates fear, overtrading, and FOMO.
You stop executing your system and start gambling to achieve the goal before the deadline.
The irony?
The more you chase money, the further it runs.
But hereβs the shift:
Trade without goals.
Operate with standards
βI must double my account in 90 days.β
That pressure?
It creates fear, overtrading, and FOMO.
You stop executing your system and start gambling to achieve the goal before the deadline.
The irony?
The more you chase money, the further it runs.
But hereβs the shift:
Trade without goals.
Operate with standards
β€6π2
Most traders already have the chart skills, but they keep losing because they want to win fast.
If you take it slowly, I guarantee it will be the fastest way to profits.
If you take it slowly, I guarantee it will be the fastest way to profits.
β€7π4
The market rewards discipline, not desperation. Your edge is patienceβtrade the plan, not the impulse. Losses are tuition, wins are validation.
β‘οΈStay process-driven, protect your capital, and let probabilities play out. In a world of noise, be the signal. Consistency compounds. See you at the close.
β‘οΈStay process-driven, protect your capital, and let probabilities play out. In a world of noise, be the signal. Consistency compounds. See you at the close.
π7β€2
US10Y yields at 5.23%, moving in sync with TIPS, are a market factor that cannot be ignored. Treating this as another inflation spike to trade through currencies, metals, or equities would be a mistake.
The synchronized move points to a problem in real yields, not inflation expectations. That is worse for markets. As real yields rise sharply, assets can diverge. Gold may decouple before aggressively catching up.
USD may also detach from the monetary backdrop and establish its own trend. As Worsh said, judge markets by their actual reaction, not by how they might respond to Fed rhetoric.
The 5.23% and 2.88% setup means upcoming inflation or labor-market data could trigger seemingly illogical moves. Sharp yield breaks either way may bring delayed reactions but aggressive intraday trends. Watch USD catching up if Fridayβs labor-market data are weak and the previous NFP is revised.
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β€3π3
Commodity prices are skyrocketing.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is up +37.3% YoY, near its largest 12-month increase since the 2022 energy crisis. It tracks 25 exchange-traded futures contracts across energy, metals, and agriculture.
The index is up +32% year-to-date, exceeding its increase before the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The Bloomberg Commodity Subindex jumped +44.9% YoY, its largest 12-month increase since 2022. Commodity inflation is making a powerful comeback.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is up +37.3% YoY, near its largest 12-month increase since the 2022 energy crisis. It tracks 25 exchange-traded futures contracts across energy, metals, and agriculture.
The index is up +32% year-to-date, exceeding its increase before the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The Bloomberg Commodity Subindex jumped +44.9% YoY, its largest 12-month increase since 2022. Commodity inflation is making a powerful comeback.
β€5π1
The only way to go fast is to go slow.
In trading, velocity isn't about clicking faster.
It's about building momentum without constantly hitting reset.
3 pillars:
Backtest: Know your edge.
Risk: Stay alive through losing streaks.
Execute: Follow the system without emotion.
The amateur tries to speedrun with leverage and overtrading.
The professional moves slowly enough that they never have to restart.
Slow is smooth. Smooth is fast.
You don't win by being the fastest.
In trading, velocity isn't about clicking faster.
It's about building momentum without constantly hitting reset.
3 pillars:
Backtest: Know your edge.
Risk: Stay alive through losing streaks.
Execute: Follow the system without emotion.
The amateur tries to speedrun with leverage and overtrading.
The professional moves slowly enough that they never have to restart.
Slow is smooth. Smooth is fast.
You don't win by being the fastest.
β€3π1
The total move since the pre-Iran War low is now +143 basis points. Mortgage rates are at fresh 3-year highs.
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β€4π3
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Free trading signals & daily market updates
π What you get: daily signals, live market breakdowns, and a trading community that actually helps
πΈ Full access is 100% free. No catch, no hidden fees
π Just join the channel and see for yourself
π https://t.me/+ziGkq7xhw31lOGVi
β€5π1