πΉ Key Levels and Scenarios
The flat has expanded downward: now the lower boundary of the range together with support forms a new consolidation zone. π
On the H4 chart, it is visible that even with a drop to 103k, the price will still remain within the support test range. If the market breaks it downward β this will lead to an exit from the flat and the formation of a full-fledged downtrend.
In this case, the first target is the 85β82k zone. This is where the previous strong buyer is located. π»
πΉ Alternative Scenario
If the price goes up instead of breaking down, the situation will be mirrored: a breakout of the upper boundary of the flat could lead to a test or breakout of the high. π
In case of growth, the key support will be the 110β112k zone, and the current volume will act as potential resistance. βοΈ
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The flat has expanded downward: now the lower boundary of the range together with support forms a new consolidation zone. π
On the H4 chart, it is visible that even with a drop to 103k, the price will still remain within the support test range. If the market breaks it downward β this will lead to an exit from the flat and the formation of a full-fledged downtrend.
In this case, the first target is the 85β82k zone. This is where the previous strong buyer is located. π»
πΉ Alternative Scenario
If the price goes up instead of breaking down, the situation will be mirrored: a breakout of the upper boundary of the flat could lead to a test or breakout of the high. π
In case of growth, the key support will be the 110β112k zone, and the current volume will act as potential resistance. βοΈ
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πΉ Conclusions and Advice
The global situation is currently risky for active trading. Intraday, the market can fluctuate significantly as volumes no longer support the price. This confirms a sideways (flat) market β in such conditions, it is advisable to trade from the range boundaries rather than inside it. Optimal zones for trades are near the edges of the flat: long from the bottom, short from the top. Entering positions in the middle of the range is dangerous β volatility can stop out even the right position. ππ
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The global situation is currently risky for active trading. Intraday, the market can fluctuate significantly as volumes no longer support the price. This confirms a sideways (flat) market β in such conditions, it is advisable to trade from the range boundaries rather than inside it. Optimal zones for trades are near the edges of the flat: long from the bottom, short from the top. Entering positions in the middle of the range is dangerous β volatility can stop out even the right position. ππ
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π Over the weekend, a significant volume formed in the range of 111k - 109k, indicating that someone likely built a substantial position, which may act as a trend advocate next week.
Based on the dynamics, it appears the buyer has more chances, but itβs better to wait for a breakout from the consolidation. π
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Based on the dynamics, it appears the buyer has more chances, but itβs better to wait for a breakout from the consolidation. π
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On the higher timeframe H4, as I mentioned before, there is a wide consolidation π. We see the central volumes being ignored, with the price breaking through both upwards and downwards π. However, if we try to forecast the development relative to the current situation, buyers seem to have slightly better chances π, as there is an increase in trading volumes around the low + the price failed to hold below the broken volume near 108k. These are signs of seller weakness β οΈ.
Looking at the 109-111k zone, it will be key at the beginning of the week π.
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Looking at the 109-111k zone, it will be key at the beginning of the week π.
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πΊ https://youtu.be/9u-ozmhbQ-M
Bitcoin is stuck in a sideways trend β where will the market go next? π Detailed analysis of the current situation: key levels, development scenarios, risks, and tips for traders. We explain when to expect a breakout from consolidation and how to protect your positions. Watch the overview so you donβt miss the opportunity! π
Brief list of topics:
- Current market situation as of November 3, 2025 π
- Consolidation: boundaries and probable movement scenarios βοΈ
- Analysis of higher timeframes and potential breakout from the flat π
- Prospects and main risks of a horizontal market β οΈ
- Local volatility and atypical price behavior on minute timeframes β±οΈ
- Recommendations for traders on strategy during consolidation π―
https://youtu.be/9u-ozmhbQ-M
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π’ Π‘ΠΠ | πΊπ¦ UA | πΊπΈ En | π©πͺ De | πͺπΈ Es
Bitcoin is stuck in a sideways trend β where will the market go next? π Detailed analysis of the current situation: key levels, development scenarios, risks, and tips for traders. We explain when to expect a breakout from consolidation and how to protect your positions. Watch the overview so you donβt miss the opportunity! π
Brief list of topics:
- Current market situation as of November 3, 2025 π
- Consolidation: boundaries and probable movement scenarios βοΈ
- Analysis of higher timeframes and potential breakout from the flat π
- Prospects and main risks of a horizontal market β οΈ
- Local volatility and atypical price behavior on minute timeframes β±οΈ
- Recommendations for traders on strategy during consolidation π―
https://youtu.be/9u-ozmhbQ-M
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πΉ Consolidation and Movement Boundaries
On higher timeframes, the main scenario is trading at the boundaries of consolidation. Medium-term setups are possible both for long and short positions. A breakout from the flat is necessary for a trending move, however, no significant changes occurred over the weekend. At the end of the week, an opportunity to move upwards appeared, but the buyer's attempt to secure the initiative was unsuccessful. ππ
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On higher timeframes, the main scenario is trading at the boundaries of consolidation. Medium-term setups are possible both for long and short positions. A breakout from the flat is necessary for a trending move, however, no significant changes occurred over the weekend. At the end of the week, an opportunity to move upwards appeared, but the buyer's attempt to secure the initiative was unsuccessful. ππ
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πΉ Assessment of Movements and Scenarios
Analysis of higher timeframes shows the formation of an intermediate volume within the range followed by a downward breakout π. Technically, such scenarios can play out, but in a sideways market, volumes often do not fulfill their supportive role. The downward breakout might be just a local shakeout of buyers and a reason for a new retest of support around 105.102 π. This scenario remains relevant, but without momentum confirmation, the market stays in consolidation.
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Analysis of higher timeframes shows the formation of an intermediate volume within the range followed by a downward breakout π. Technically, such scenarios can play out, but in a sideways market, volumes often do not fulfill their supportive role. The downward breakout might be just a local shakeout of buyers and a reason for a new retest of support around 105.102 π. This scenario remains relevant, but without momentum confirmation, the market stays in consolidation.
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πΉ Flat Market: Prospects and Risks
Within a flat market, there are many possible scenarios: a drop below 106,000 to trigger stop losses, a rebound to 110,000, or even a move up to 115,000 if there are no sellers. There are too many possible developments, making it impossible to play out all scenarios simultaneously. This distinguishes a flat from a trend, where there are clear key levels and understandable reactions to them. In a trend, volume supports the direction, and breaking it signals a phase change β in a flat market, possibilities are almost unlimited. ππ
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Within a flat market, there are many possible scenarios: a drop below 106,000 to trigger stop losses, a rebound to 110,000, or even a move up to 115,000 if there are no sellers. There are too many possible developments, making it impossible to play out all scenarios simultaneously. This distinguishes a flat from a trend, where there are clear key levels and understandable reactions to them. In a trend, volume supports the direction, and breaking it signals a phase change β in a flat market, possibilities are almost unlimited. ππ
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πΉ Formation of the Seller Zone
After breaking through the volume zone of 110,000β109,600, an active seller emerged, maintaining the impulse around 110,000. Then the seller defended the level of 107,800β107,400, and the buyer was unable to hold above this zone. A rebound occurred, forming a new volume range between 107,000β106,500, which is also controlled by the seller. After the next impulse, the price fell below this volume and is currently trading beneath it. π
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After breaking through the volume zone of 110,000β109,600, an active seller emerged, maintaining the impulse around 110,000. Then the seller defended the level of 107,800β107,400, and the buyer was unable to hold above this zone. A rebound occurred, forming a new volume range between 107,000β106,500, which is also controlled by the seller. After the next impulse, the price fell below this volume and is currently trading beneath it. π
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πΉ Key Support and Resistance Levels
Currently, a significant local volume is concentrated around 104,600β104,300. If the price breaks through this zone and settles above it, there is potential for a rebound to the 105,200β106,500 area or even 107,000, where the last active seller is located. From this zone, another downward rebound may occur. π
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Currently, a significant local volume is concentrated around 104,600β104,300. If the price breaks through this zone and settles above it, there is potential for a rebound to the 105,200β106,500 area or even 107,000, where the last active seller is located. From this zone, another downward rebound may occur. π
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πΉ Dynamics on Higher Timeframes
On the daily chart (D1), the price is attempting to break through a deep correction. The key resistance zone for sellers is between 111,000 and 115,000, with an outpost at 119,200 β above which the price should not rise if the sellers are strong. In case the deep correction continues, the first target is around 84,000β82,000, where the last buy signal occurred. It is important to watch the price reaction in this zoneβwhether buyers will take the opportunity to add positions for growth π. Currently, the priority remains on short positions with prospects of further volume consolidation below and potential for deeper decline π.
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On the daily chart (D1), the price is attempting to break through a deep correction. The key resistance zone for sellers is between 111,000 and 115,000, with an outpost at 119,200 β above which the price should not rise if the sellers are strong. In case the deep correction continues, the first target is around 84,000β82,000, where the last buy signal occurred. It is important to watch the price reaction in this zoneβwhether buyers will take the opportunity to add positions for growth π. Currently, the priority remains on short positions with prospects of further volume consolidation below and potential for deeper decline π.
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πΉAnalyzing the situation on the H4 timeframe:
Over the past few days, the market has been in a wide range-bound movement with a lower boundary around 102,000 and an upper boundary between 114,000β116,000. Recently, trading has been occurring near the lower boundary; last night sellers attempted to break the support and exit the consolidation downwards. However, the attempt has not been firmly established yet β main activity remains around the 101,750 level. Candlesticks show wicks, indicating buying pressure from below, volume is present, but there is no clear stoppage or decisive impulse observed. ππ
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Over the past few days, the market has been in a wide range-bound movement with a lower boundary around 102,000 and an upper boundary between 114,000β116,000. Recently, trading has been occurring near the lower boundary; last night sellers attempted to break the support and exit the consolidation downwards. However, the attempt has not been firmly established yet β main activity remains around the 101,750 level. Candlesticks show wicks, indicating buying pressure from below, volume is present, but there is no clear stoppage or decisive impulse observed. ππ
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πΉ Market participants' reaction to volumes
After significant sell-offs and liquidations by sellers at local lows, there was notable buyer aggression (sell block at 99,400β100,000). Up to 2000 BTC in market buys occurred β this might indicate accumulation of positions by buyers. The price remains above this cluster. We also monitor the 101,900β101,500 range β sellers are testing with market orders here, creating additional selling pressure π.
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After significant sell-offs and liquidations by sellers at local lows, there was notable buyer aggression (sell block at 99,400β100,000). Up to 2000 BTC in market buys occurred β this might indicate accumulation of positions by buyers. The price remains above this cluster. We also monitor the 101,900β101,500 range β sellers are testing with market orders here, creating additional selling pressure π.
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πΉ Current balance of power and main scenarios The market currently shows an imbalance towards market sells β this creates a risk of further decline π. However, the buyer still holds the level, and with support from limit orders, an impulsive move up to 104,000 is possible π. If the buyer fails to hold, the seller will quickly intensify pressure π₯. Key buyer groups: 102,000, 101,500, 101,200, and 99,399β300. A breakout below 99,000 will trigger mass position exits, accelerating the decline β οΈ. We closely watch volume and the red delta: the seller is aggressive here, but it is currently being decided whether the buyer has enough strength to hold the market π§.
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