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The buyer failed to hold the support πŸ“‰, the seller is trying to continue the trend πŸ“Š, but so far not very successfully. We see that the initiative is decreasing βš–οΈ, although the volume on the downside breakout is still very high πŸ”₯.

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https://youtu.be/GVwm4DQdV4c

Bitcoin is back in the danger zone! ⚠️
A large sideways movement (flat) is forming on the chart β€” the price is at a crossroads: a breakout or a new bounce? πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ
Analyzing key zones 123–106k, potential scenarios, and risks for traders.

* Analysis of the higher BTC/USDT timeframe
* Possible scenarios
* Trading in a flat β€” risks and tips for traders πŸ“Š
* Short-term scenarios and potential longs near the boundaries

https://youtu.be/GVwm4DQdV4c

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πŸ”Ή Overall Market Overview

Today is October 31, 2025, Friday. We are analyzing BTC/USDT.
Let's start with the higher timeframe analysis to understand the general trends of the past weeks.
On October 10, there was a major shakeout, after which the price bounced up, but then the seller regained control and pushed the price down. The market returned to a range, forming a flat structure β€” confirmed by four extremes. πŸ“‰πŸ”„

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πŸ”Ή Formation of a flat and buyer weakness

After testing the upper boundary (around 112k), the buyer couldn't hold the position, and the price dropped again. This became a signal of buyer weakness and confirmation of consolidation. πŸ“‰
Volumes stopped influencing the price movement β€” a typical sign of a flat market. When large volumes do not create directional movement, it means the market is in balance between buyers and sellers. βš–οΈ

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πŸ”Ή Picture on the daily chart

On the D1 timeframe, after the previous uptrend, the market entered a deep correction, formed a position, and resumed growth again. Currently, the price is testing the zone of the last strong buyer β€” multiple touches at points 1, 2, 3.
The seller has not yet been able to break this area, but activity there is increasing. A wide flat range is forming between 123–106K. A drop below this boundary could indicate a shift to a short phase, but for now, buyer pressure remains noticeable. πŸ“Š

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πŸ”Ή Key Levels and Scenarios

The flat has expanded downward: now the lower boundary of the range together with support forms a new consolidation zone. πŸ“‰
On the H4 chart, it is visible that even with a drop to 103k, the price will still remain within the support test range. If the market breaks it downward β€” this will lead to an exit from the flat and the formation of a full-fledged downtrend.
In this case, the first target is the 85–82k zone. This is where the previous strong buyer is located. πŸ”»

πŸ”Ή Alternative Scenario

If the price goes up instead of breaking down, the situation will be mirrored: a breakout of the upper boundary of the flat could lead to a test or breakout of the high. πŸ“ˆ
In case of growth, the key support will be the 110–112k zone, and the current volume will act as potential resistance. βš–οΈ

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πŸ”Ή Conclusions and Advice

The global situation is currently risky for active trading. Intraday, the market can fluctuate significantly as volumes no longer support the price. This confirms a sideways (flat) market β€” in such conditions, it is advisable to trade from the range boundaries rather than inside it. Optimal zones for trades are near the edges of the flat: long from the bottom, short from the top. Entering positions in the middle of the range is dangerous β€” volatility can stop out even the right position. πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

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They are again piling on some negativity in the news πŸ“‰. 4 negative streaks versus 6 positive ones πŸ“ˆ.

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πŸ“Š Over the weekend, a significant volume formed in the range of 111k - 109k, indicating that someone likely built a substantial position, which may act as a trend advocate next week.

Based on the dynamics, it appears the buyer has more chances, but it’s better to wait for a breakout from the consolidation. πŸ”

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On the higher timeframe H4, as I mentioned before, there is a wide consolidation πŸ“Š. We see the central volumes being ignored, with the price breaking through both upwards and downwards πŸ”„. However, if we try to forecast the development relative to the current situation, buyers seem to have slightly better chances πŸ“ˆ, as there is an increase in trading volumes around the low + the price failed to hold below the broken volume near 108k. These are signs of seller weakness ⚠️.

Looking at the 109-111k zone, it will be key at the beginning of the week πŸ”‘.

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πŸ“Ί https://youtu.be/9u-ozmhbQ-M

Bitcoin is stuck in a sideways trend β€” where will the market go next? πŸ” Detailed analysis of the current situation: key levels, development scenarios, risks, and tips for traders. We explain when to expect a breakout from consolidation and how to protect your positions. Watch the overview so you don’t miss the opportunity! πŸš€

Brief list of topics:

- Current market situation as of November 3, 2025 πŸ“…
- Consolidation: boundaries and probable movement scenarios ↔️
- Analysis of higher timeframes and potential breakout from the flat πŸ“ˆ
- Prospects and main risks of a horizontal market ⚠️
- Local volatility and atypical price behavior on minute timeframes ⏱️
- Recommendations for traders on strategy during consolidation 🎯

https://youtu.be/9u-ozmhbQ-M

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πŸ”Ή Consolidation and Movement Boundaries
On higher timeframes, the main scenario is trading at the boundaries of consolidation. Medium-term setups are possible both for long and short positions. A breakout from the flat is necessary for a trending move, however, no significant changes occurred over the weekend. At the end of the week, an opportunity to move upwards appeared, but the buyer's attempt to secure the initiative was unsuccessful. πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

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πŸ”Ή Assessment of Movements and Scenarios
Analysis of higher timeframes shows the formation of an intermediate volume within the range followed by a downward breakout πŸ“‰. Technically, such scenarios can play out, but in a sideways market, volumes often do not fulfill their supportive role. The downward breakout might be just a local shakeout of buyers and a reason for a new retest of support around 105.102 πŸ”„. This scenario remains relevant, but without momentum confirmation, the market stays in consolidation.

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πŸ”Ή Flat Market: Prospects and Risks
Within a flat market, there are many possible scenarios: a drop below 106,000 to trigger stop losses, a rebound to 110,000, or even a move up to 115,000 if there are no sellers. There are too many possible developments, making it impossible to play out all scenarios simultaneously. This distinguishes a flat from a trend, where there are clear key levels and understandable reactions to them. In a trend, volume supports the direction, and breaking it signals a phase change – in a flat market, possibilities are almost unlimited. πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

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πŸ”Ή Formation of the Seller Zone
After breaking through the volume zone of 110,000–109,600, an active seller emerged, maintaining the impulse around 110,000. Then the seller defended the level of 107,800–107,400, and the buyer was unable to hold above this zone. A rebound occurred, forming a new volume range between 107,000–106,500, which is also controlled by the seller. After the next impulse, the price fell below this volume and is currently trading beneath it. πŸ“‰

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πŸ”Ή Key Support and Resistance Levels
Currently, a significant local volume is concentrated around 104,600–104,300. If the price breaks through this zone and settles above it, there is potential for a rebound to the 105,200–106,500 area or even 107,000, where the last active seller is located. From this zone, another downward rebound may occur. πŸ“‰

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Negative vibes are being thrown around in the info space again, BTC is being heavily slammed like something worthless πŸ˜… Is an uptrend coming soon? πŸ₯΄

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The first serious attempt by the buyer to seize the initiative. πŸ“ˆπŸ€

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The buyer's first attempt was unsuccessful, the seller is very aggressive πŸ”₯πŸ“‰

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