🇺🇸 Polymarket bets are surging on Democrats taking control of both the House and Senate in the upcoming midterm elections.

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🚨 US military personnel and diplomats are reportedly being quietly evacuated from locations across the Middle East, sources told NBC. Read the full report at NBC.

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🛫 Iranian journalists report that aircraft are being evacuated from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.

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📰 Economic calendar for October 22, 2026: New Zealand releases Q3 2026 CPI at 00:45 MSK. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks at 13:50, followed by Turkey’s central bank rate announcement at 14:00. At 15:30, the US reports initial jobless claims and Canada releases PPI. The US leading economic indicators index and EU consumer confidence data are due at 17:00, followed by US oil inventories at 17:30 and the Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index at 18:00. Sberbank is hosting an automotive forum in Russia.

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⚠️ The U.S. and Israel have reportedly drawn up plans for new strikes on Iran, to be carried out after the upcoming midterm elections, The New York Times reports. The plans underscore rising tensions and shifting dynamics across the region.

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⚠️ Democratic senators are weighing an investigation into Trump’s diesel deal with Moscow, POLITICO reports. Senate committee members also plan to examine the legal liability of companies involved in carrying out agreements with Russia.

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❗️⚠️🇮🇷 NBC News reports that the United States carried out similar evacuations of diplomats from the Middle East before launching a military operation against Iran in February.

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⚠️ The Pentagon is reportedly planning a far-reaching network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other U.S. rivals, according to The Washington Post. Read the full report here.

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✨ Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded their strongest inflows in two weeks, according to SoSoValue. BTC is still trading around its 50-day moving average, but developments involving Iran are weighing on market sentiment.

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⬆️🛢 Asian LNG prices have climbed to their highest level in four years.

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🇺🇸🇺🇦 Donald Trump told reporters he wants to avoid mistakes in efforts to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict. He also called on supporters of tougher sanctions against Russia to consider their position carefully.

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⚠️🇮🇷 The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) says Iran would consider U.S. political sites and the infrastructure of regional groups involved in the conflict legitimate targets if the U.S. and Israel attack.

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⚠️ Russia’s property listings may be overstating the market: asking prices are now 15% higher than actual sale prices, and the gap is widening quickly in 2026, Izvestia reports.

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💥🇺🇸 Berkshire Hathaway shares have hit a fresh all-time high.

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⚠️ As geopolitical tensions rise, NATO has approved Ukraine’s use of its central procurement agency to purchase weapons, ammunition and equipment. The system is designed to streamline deliveries to Kyiv and offer an alternative to bilateral initiatives, FT reports.

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📉 Shares in Chinese e-commerce giants Alibaba and JD.com dropped 6% and 5%, respectively, after regulators summoned them and other industry players over quality control concerns. The scrutiny weighed on investor confidence, sending both stocks lower.

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🇨🇳 DeepSeek has secured $15 billion in funding from Tencent and CATL. It plans to invest in data centers and open-source AI models to compete with US companies OpenAI and Anthropic—and is also considering an IPO.

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✴️ Open interest surged as bullish sentiment swept the crypto market, with traders piling into long positions in hopes of striking it rich, according to Santiment. But overnight, something went wrong with monitoring.

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⬆️🛢 Brent crude is trading near its May highs as markets weigh the possibility of a major U.S.-Israeli military operation against Iran. Despite intervention by IEA member states, prices remain firm.

Official statements suggest Washington could hold off until after the November 3 congressional elections. But CNN has reported that Trump is considering a rapid strike on Iran. Israel’s October 27 election could also affect the timing for strategic reasons.

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🇮🇷 The IMF expects tensions between the U.S. and Iran to ease by early 2027, with energy trade returning to normal later that year.

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⚠️🇺🇦 Bessent says a Democratic win in Congress could undo Trump’s achievements. European leaders, including Zelensky, have suggested they may wait for Trump to become a “lame duck,” which could benefit Kyiv and the West. Still, even if Democrats take control of Congress, blocking the administration’s agenda would be difficult—and Trump would retain considerable power.

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