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🗓 This week brings another round of U.S. corporate earnings. On October 19, Hong Kong markets will be closed for Chung Yeung Festival. China’s Q3 GDP is due at 05:00 MSK, followed by Canada’s CPI at 15:30 MSK.

On October 20, Indian markets will close for Dussehra. China’s LPR announcement is scheduled for 04:15 MSK, with UK unemployment data at 09:00 MSK. The U.S. will publish several reports, including ADP Employment at 15:15 MSK and Housing Starts at 15:30 MSK. Oil inventory figures are expected later in the day.

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⚠️ EU countries are working with Ukraine to fast-track a new sanctions package against Russia, aiming to have it in place before France’s presidential election in April 2027, The Daily Telegraph reports. KYIV AND BRUSSELS RACE TO IMPOSE NEW RESTRICTIONS ON MOSCOW BEFORE FRENCH ELECTIONS

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🚨 AP reports that “No Kings” protests opposing Trump have taken place in all 50 states. The demonstrations are held periodically to push back against the Trump administration’s policies.

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⚠️🇫🇷 President Macron is speaking to the nation, calling the unrest in France unacceptable. He vows to hold those responsible to account but stops short of declaring a state of emergency.

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⚠️🇫🇷 French President Emmanuel Macron said it’s important to distinguish peaceful protesters from looters and rioters. He recognized the concerns of people who feel fuel prices are too high, linking the increase to the conflict in Iran.

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⚠️ The United States has warned the EU it would respond forcefully to any potential restrictions on Starlink, the Financial Times reports, citing U.S. Ambassador to the EU Andrew Pazder.

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📣 February could be the “last chance” to impose sanctions on Russia before France’s upcoming elections. Marine Le Pen, who is leading in the polls, has promised to end them, The Telegraph reports.

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🚨🛢 Chinese Premier Li Qiang will travel to Russia from October 20 to 22. He is expected to meet Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin on October 21, with energy—especially gas—at the top of the agenda.

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🗞️ U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent says Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is mistaken to believe that victory is the only way to end the conflict with Russia, arguing that diplomacy will ultimately bring it to a close.

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⚠️ Europe and the UK are stepping up efforts to use Russia's frozen assets to fund Ukraine, The Sunday Times reports.

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✨ Tether has invested in AIsa, a startup building a payment network that lets AI agents pay for data, APIs, and computing power on their own. Experts from BlackRock, CZ, Bitwise, and elsewhere have previously predicted that crypto could become the go-to currency for AI agents.

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🔥 Former U.S. President Donald Trump said he held off on new sanctions against Russia to avoid disrupting negotiations on Ukraine. He accused Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky of not wanting to end the war, and suggested that may have been the case all along. Trump also said Russia supplies the world with low-cost diesel, while Zelensky’s actions are driving prices higher.

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✴️ After BTC failed to hold near $87,000, the MVRV indicator fell below its historical 30th percentile. CryptoQuant analysts say this puts BTC back in the “accumulation zone.”

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🌍 FX update: The US dollar is trading at 6.68 yuan and 87.20 rubles.

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🇺🇸🇷🇺 Former President Trump said he may tighten sanctions on Russia at a later date—or whenever he chooses.

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🇷🇺 The IMOEX opened unchanged, while Gazprom shares gained 0.6% in early trading.

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📰 China’s GDP grew 1.2% quarter over quarter in Q3 2026, topping forecasts of 1.1% and accelerating from 0.9% in the previous quarter. Annual growth picked up to 4.5%, just above the 4.4% forecast and up from 4.3%. A surge in exports and expanded stimulus helped drive the improvement, according to a report.

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🌟 BTC is holding firm above its 50-day moving average. Glassnode previously noted that whales were placing buy orders around these levels.

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⚠️ Analysts surveyed by RBC expect the Bank of Russia to keep its key rate at 14% at the October 23 meeting.

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🇺🇦🇺🇸 A role-playing exercise within the U.S. administration reportedly cast former President Trump as an effective leader, while portraying Rubio as a less successful president.

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