Tic Toc Trading
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My personal thoughts ๐Ÿ’ญ & opinions on S&P500 order flow. Not investment advice.
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Keep sell pressure on. No need to be bull unless above 4444. Now 4435.
Folks: I have been bear ๐Ÿป on S&P500 on weekly time frame since week of 8/5 (4456-4470). S&P500 is now down 120 handles 4352.

Significant volatility overnight. While longer term bearish, I need to be tactical today.

I am watching 2 stocks : TSLA and AMZN.

If both of these are bid or remain bid above 3200 and 672, I do not want to be bearish S&P500 . Now 3180 and 675 respectively. If both start breaking down below 672 and 3180, expect more sell S&P500. Now 4352. Detailed intraday levels will be published shortly for my subscribers. Stay tuned.

Feel free to share.
Tic Toc Trading
Folks: I have been bear ๐Ÿป on S&P500 on weekly time frame since week of 8/5 (4456-4470). S&P500 is now down 120 handles 4352. Significant volatility overnight. While longer term bearish, I need to be tactical today. I am watching 2 stocks : TSLA and AMZN.โ€ฆ
Folks: as expected decent bounce off my 4352 and now up almost 100 handles.

This is after my last weekโ€™s bearish bet at 4456-4470 which took us down to 4350.

A couple of notes for this week :

1. Surge in S&P500 from 4350 is a confidence boost for the FED.

2. Technically 4444 is a key Orderflow level.

3. New longs must be careful here unless we close above 4444 on Monday. Failure to do so and an actual close below Orderflow levels 4424 will lead to a retest of 4350 followed by 4308 Orderflow support breaking. Now 4438.

Feel free to share this plan.
As promised , I want to share a name from my weekly dozen scan.

NVDA

Originally my stock given at 500 before explosive move to 700 (pre split). I like it here now at 208 dollar.

Stock once clears 210 dollar may wanna trade 250-276.

Share if you like it. Comment on TWTR if u wanna see more names like this from my weekly dozen scan.
As promised: I was going to try to be cute ๐Ÿฅฐ with earnings plays like DOCU and FUTU, but for now just sharing 2 ideas that working thus far :

1. TSLA test of 747-760 as long as NO daily close below 711. Now 730.

2. HOOD: a retest of IPO lows ~ 32 bucks as long as no D1 close above $47, now 44.
Watching $CRWD for earnings play today..

Like a dip into 268-271 for an eventual test of 350 bucks now 284. With LIS below 256-258โ€ฆ
Waiting PMI at 9 and Bostic at 11.
Many know I have been negative on $UBER since 50 bucks and now stock is 40 dollar ..

I do think stock is at good place from risk/reward POV with LIS being 33-34. Now 40.
4517 very good support over night. Intraday order flow pivot is 4524. Expecting it to hold for a retest of 4540 and possible b/o.

Below 4524, opens door of retest of 4508.
Keep eye out on $CCL, a rather much hated stock . My LIS was 22 dollar which held stock is now 24 dollar..
Folks, my levels and thinking ๐Ÿค” week of 9/6:

1. 4517 level is utmost important.

2. I expect early in week some softness to try take out 4517 and find buyers at 4474-4481 area. May be hard to close below 4517.

3. Ultimately, I expect a test of 4600 after we close D1 above 4540 (now 4536)

4. If we do close below 4517 (donโ€™t think we will), that particular scenario will be provided on Tuesday morning early ~ 4 am. Stay tuned and share this with other orderflow traders like ur self ๐Ÿ‘
Folks: good open to the week we slide 30 handle per post above first hour of new trading week ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿค”

I am not yet seeing signs of buying on DOM tape ..

I will send warning โ›”๏ธ once I see some signs

Now 4515
Heavy volume at the lows..

Indicative of more selling unless we now trade back above 4517

Now 4504
Folks:

As suspected, market was too saturated at 4434 and found sellers to close the session at 4466 (YW for 80 points given by me today)

Tomorrow my take is sell.

Sell if we open or offer below 4447. My target is 4403.

If open is above 4447 or we donโ€™t offer below 4447 by 10 am, I am inclined to buy dip, targets 4490 and then 4500.

Feel free to share so the likes of Mark stop being needy all the time ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿค”
Folks:

Last week I provided 150 points in S&P500 market. This next week, we gonna use a Time Based Strategy (TBS) versus a strictly Price Based Strategy (PBS).

Read on..

1. If by Tuesday RTH close we do not close below 4357, I wanna be bullish S&P500 with targets 4510.

2. If we manage a close below 4357 on or before 9/21, 3 PM CST, I wanna be bearish , targets 4308 (and much lower)

3. Now 4408

Feel free to share this plan with other traders like ur self ๐Ÿ‘
4308 weekly target ~ met ..

Beyond 4308 level, we will enter cuckoo ๐Ÿ˜œ market. No decent support until 4160.

4300-4308 handles should offer comfort to S&P500.

LIMIT DOWN at 4110 but I donโ€™t think we get there (not today)
BIG FED day! BIG market anticipations!

Conflicting signals on tape. Possibility of an upside move BUT not before a dual auction shakeout ..

Now 4392.

Urge caution โš ๏ธ
As promised.. I favor a dip into 4330โ€™s for dips .. a close below 4330 is negative. Alternatively, a close above 4411 today will surprise ๐Ÿ˜ฎ me..

Now 4390..
Prices are now what may be called quite unfair & extended for the st auctions.

A confirmation is required of either a close below 4447 today or a Chicago session open/offered tomorrow below 4447. A retest of 4338 not ruled out.

Now 4455.
Live stream finished (9 days)
Balance trading conditions right now , mild orderflow, slightly favoring the bull above 4417.

Now 4430.

Next 3-4 hours or so may define the day/next week.

Lot of sleuths ๐Ÿ•ต๏ธโ€โ™€๏ธ at the AAPL stores globally , they will begin sending reports from the activity at the retail stores (new iPhone day) .

S&P500 will begin making its main move around 12-1 PM today and set the tone for next 5-10 days.