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👉🇪🇺🇨🇭👈EURCHF outlook!

🇪🇺🇨🇭Euro bounced from the upper line of the bearish channel. The pair kept falling and may soon reach 23.6% of Fibo correction levels. Fundamental factors are quite important for the Swiss national currency right now. If the confrontation in the Middle East deteriorates, CHF will strengthen more.

📉If bears break 23.6% (0.95890), the pair may retest 200MA at 0.95760 and fall lower – to 0.95640.

🔽Trade: Sell EURCHF if the price breaks 0.95890 (the candlestick should close below the level)
🎯Take Profit 1: 0.95760
🎯Take Profit 2: 0.95620
🎯Take Profit 3: 0.95420

🤔Do you agree with this analysis? What are your ideas about the Swiss franc?

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👋 Hello, guys!

The first day of November is here. And the most exciting event for today is the Fed’s decision about the key rate in the US. What will happen?

With a higher probability, Powell will leave the rate at the same 5.5% level. Thus, according to the CME Wed Watch Tool, 98.7% of market participants believe the rate will be left.
The market will listen closely to what Powell will say. Let’s try to give our own forecast

✔️In October, inflation numbers for September were released in the US. CPI MoM grew by 0.4%, while YoY, the index grew by 3.7%. The targeted PCE Core Price Index declined to 3.7%. Inflation is still high, and Powell may emphasize that.

✔️ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.7 points and confirmed that splashes in July and September were only corrections. But GDP in the 3rd quarter rose by 4.9%. We think that Powell will sweeten the pill and mention GDP growth as confirmation of the strength of the

American economy.

✔️Obviously, Powell will speak more about the Middle East conflict and the risks it creates for developed economies.

As a result, the market may increasingly believe that higher for longer will literally mean HIGHER, but what’s more important for the US dollar - LONGER. Expectations for future rate decreases may move to the end of the next year.

The US dollar may rise. In this case, XAUUSD may fall.

🤔What do you think of that, guys? Do you believe in this scenario? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
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👉🥇🇻🇦👈XAUUSD Outlook!

⚡️On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is testing the 2335 resistance level. The MFI and RSI oscillators show bearish divergence, with the RSI also indicating an overbought condition, potentially signaling a bearish sentiment.

🔼 If XAUUSD breaks above the 2335 level, it will propel the asset to 2355;
🔽 However, if the price bounces from the resistance, it may trigger a decline to 2320.

Smash ❤️ if you trade XAUUSD today!

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