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These are the biggest events to watch this week:

The ECB's latest policy decision and the flash PMIs for July will be the highlights of the week. No change in rates is expected from the ECB but the tone of the meeting will be important to gauge whether this is a temporary pause or not.

Meanwhile, the S&P Global flash PMIs will be watched for any signs that the ongoing trade war is hurting business activity in the major economies such as the US, Eurozone and UK. CPI data for Tokyo will be eyed too.
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These events may affect the market on 22 July.
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ETHUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart

πŸ‘‰Level explanation

ETHUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.

πŸ‘‰Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 3,631.00.

Set your stop loss at 3,736.00 above the previous high ($10.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,526.00 ($10.50 profit for 0.01 lot).

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GBPJPY failed to close above the resistance at 199.50 and corrected toward EMA21.

The price remains above both EMAs and within the ascending channel, indicating that bullish momentum persists and awaits an apparent breakout.

If GBPJPY breaks above 199.50, the price may approach the resistance at 201.40, in confluence with the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension.

Conversely, breaking below the channel’s lower bound and 196.00, in confluence with EMA78, may prompt a decline to the following support at 192.70.

Are you buying or selling?

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πŸ“Š Gold records its largest monthly gain

Gold (XAU) prices rose towards $3,400 on Monday, as markets stayed cautious ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff deadline on 1 August.

πŸ‘‰ Possible effects for traders

Gold rises as the U.S. dollar (USD) weakened further amid Trump's ongoing trade battles and market concerns that he may seek to exert control over U.S. monetary policy. Trump has threatened to dismiss Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, seeking to pressure the central bank into cutting interest rates despite persistent inflation concerns.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated the need to review the entire Fed as an institution. 'Talk of earlier-than-expected U.S. rate cuts is building, with speculation around a possible replacement of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and reshaping of the Fed adding to market jitters', said David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures. In this environment of low rates and heightened uncertainty, gold typically performs well as a reliable hedge.

XAUUSD fell slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors await Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech today at 12:30 p.m. UTC for more clues on the U.S. interest rate path. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,400 and support at $3,370.
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