π EURUSD continues declining
On Wednesday, the euro (EUR) lost 0.5% against the U.S. dollar (USD) even though the eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth data exceeded the forecast, unlike the U.S. GDP report.
πPossible effects for traders
A flash estimate showed that the eurozone economy grew by 1.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, matching the previous quarter's pace and exceeding expectations of 1% growth. Among the eurozone's largest economies, Germany remains in recession, with the country's GDP contracting 0.2% year-on-year in Q1. Meanwhile, France and Italy showed modest growth of 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. At the same time, U.S. data disappointed investors, with GDP declining by 0.3% instead of the forecasted 0.3% growth.
'It's important to realise that a large chunk of the fall in GDP is due to the sharp increase in imports, which takes away from GDP growth', said Oliver Pursche, senior vice president and advisor at Wealthspire Advisors. 'And that's probably due to the expectation of tariffs. So, if you were to normalise that, you end up with positive GDP growth for the quarter, but it certainly doesn't bode well for Q2'.
EURUSD fell slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on two U.S. reports: Jobless Claims at 12:30 p.m. UTC and ISM Manufacturing (PMI) at 2:00 p.m. UTC. Lower-than-expected figures could push EURUSD down below 1.13000. Conversely, higher-than-expected results may push the pair higher towards 1.14300.
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On Wednesday, the euro (EUR) lost 0.5% against the U.S. dollar (USD) even though the eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth data exceeded the forecast, unlike the U.S. GDP report.
πPossible effects for traders
A flash estimate showed that the eurozone economy grew by 1.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, matching the previous quarter's pace and exceeding expectations of 1% growth. Among the eurozone's largest economies, Germany remains in recession, with the country's GDP contracting 0.2% year-on-year in Q1. Meanwhile, France and Italy showed modest growth of 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. At the same time, U.S. data disappointed investors, with GDP declining by 0.3% instead of the forecasted 0.3% growth.
'It's important to realise that a large chunk of the fall in GDP is due to the sharp increase in imports, which takes away from GDP growth', said Oliver Pursche, senior vice president and advisor at Wealthspire Advisors. 'And that's probably due to the expectation of tariffs. So, if you were to normalise that, you end up with positive GDP growth for the quarter, but it certainly doesn't bode well for Q2'.
EURUSD fell slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on two U.S. reports: Jobless Claims at 12:30 p.m. UTC and ISM Manufacturing (PMI) at 2:00 p.m. UTC. Lower-than-expected figures could push EURUSD down below 1.13000. Conversely, higher-than-expected results may push the pair higher towards 1.14300.
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π Gold declines for the third day in a row
The gold (XAU) price fell by 0.87% on Wednesday, pressured by concerns over the U.S. economic outlook.
πPossible effects for traders
A weaker-than-expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q1 showed that the U.S. economy had contracted by 0.3% instead of the expected 0.3% growth. The downturn was largely attributed to a more than 40% spike in imports, as businesses and consumers rushed to build inventories ahead. This happened due to anticipated tariff increases under Donald Trump's administration, highlighting the disruptive impact of ongoing trade tensions.
The ADP National Employment report also weighed on market sentiment. The data showed that private sector payrolls increased by just 62,000 in April, well below the estimates of 115,000. It marked the slowest pace of job creation since July 2024. The disappointing economic growth and soft labour market data have intensified fears of a potential recession. These concerns reinforce gold's role as a safe-haven asset, even as short-term price action remains volatile.
XAUUSD plunged by 1.63% during the Asian and early European trading sessions, hitting a low below $3,231. Today, the market will likely have to digest the announcement of the first tranche of deals that will reduce planned tariffs on some countries. In addition, U.S. macroeconomic reports may add extra volatility. Traders should focus on the Jobless Claims figures at 12:30 p.m. UTC and ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data at 2:00 p.m. UTC.
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The gold (XAU) price fell by 0.87% on Wednesday, pressured by concerns over the U.S. economic outlook.
πPossible effects for traders
A weaker-than-expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q1 showed that the U.S. economy had contracted by 0.3% instead of the expected 0.3% growth. The downturn was largely attributed to a more than 40% spike in imports, as businesses and consumers rushed to build inventories ahead. This happened due to anticipated tariff increases under Donald Trump's administration, highlighting the disruptive impact of ongoing trade tensions.
The ADP National Employment report also weighed on market sentiment. The data showed that private sector payrolls increased by just 62,000 in April, well below the estimates of 115,000. It marked the slowest pace of job creation since July 2024. The disappointing economic growth and soft labour market data have intensified fears of a potential recession. These concerns reinforce gold's role as a safe-haven asset, even as short-term price action remains volatile.
XAUUSD plunged by 1.63% during the Asian and early European trading sessions, hitting a low below $3,231. Today, the market will likely have to digest the announcement of the first tranche of deals that will reduce planned tariffs on some countries. In addition, U.S. macroeconomic reports may add extra volatility. Traders should focus on the Jobless Claims figures at 12:30 p.m. UTC and ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data at 2:00 p.m. UTC.
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π Bitcoin is hitting highs again
Strong institutional inflows and supportive regulatory actions are largely driving the recent surge in Bitcoin (BTC) price. The launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) catalysed broader institutional adoption, pushing total assets under management in these products beyond $250 billion.
π Possible effects for traders
Meanwhile, MicroStrategyβnow operating under the name Strategyβreported its fifth consecutive quarterly loss, primarily due to a $5.91 billion unrealised loss on its Bitcoin holdings. Nevertheless, the firm remains committed to its Bitcoin strategy, announcing a $21 billion equity raise to finance further purchases. 'A key change under fair value accounting is that our Bitcoin holdings are now marked only on the final day of each quarter, not continuously', noted CFO Andrew Kang during the earnings call.
BTCUSD declined slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market awaits the U.S. nonfarm payroll data at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Analysts forecast that 228,000 jobs were added in April. A higher-than-expected figure may trigger a bearish correction in Bitcoin, while softer data may support the bullish trend in BTCUSD.
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Strong institutional inflows and supportive regulatory actions are largely driving the recent surge in Bitcoin (BTC) price. The launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) catalysed broader institutional adoption, pushing total assets under management in these products beyond $250 billion.
π Possible effects for traders
Meanwhile, MicroStrategyβnow operating under the name Strategyβreported its fifth consecutive quarterly loss, primarily due to a $5.91 billion unrealised loss on its Bitcoin holdings. Nevertheless, the firm remains committed to its Bitcoin strategy, announcing a $21 billion equity raise to finance further purchases. 'A key change under fair value accounting is that our Bitcoin holdings are now marked only on the final day of each quarter, not continuously', noted CFO Andrew Kang during the earnings call.
BTCUSD declined slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market awaits the U.S. nonfarm payroll data at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Analysts forecast that 228,000 jobs were added in April. A higher-than-expected figure may trigger a bearish correction in Bitcoin, while softer data may support the bullish trend in BTCUSD.
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π EURUSD continues declining
On Thursday, the euro (EUR) lost 0.34% against the U.S. dollar (USD).
π Possible effects for traders
The European Central Bank (ECB) signalled potential further rate cuts. The regulator suggested a reduction towards 1.5% by the end of 2025 due to subdued growth and inflationary pressures. Additionally, new U.S. tariffs, including a 25% duty on cars, steel, and aluminium, pose challenges for eurozone exports, potentially dampening future economic growth.
'The U.S. dollar was hit so badly in the immediate aftermath of the tariffs, so now, in the broad picture, there's a normalisation in the market', said Alvin Tan, an independent currency analyst based in Singapore. 'The market is keeping one eye on the economic situation, but the other eye is looking for positive developments in China'.
EURUSD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on two reports: the eurozone's Inflation Rate at 9:00 a.m. UTC and the U.S. nonfarm payroll at 12:30 p.m. UTC. The data may affect interest rate expectations and investor sentiment, increasing volatility in the Forex market, including EURUSD. Higher-than-expected results will likely drag EURUSD towards 1.12000. Otherwise, the pair will likely rise towards 1.14000.
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On Thursday, the euro (EUR) lost 0.34% against the U.S. dollar (USD).
π Possible effects for traders
The European Central Bank (ECB) signalled potential further rate cuts. The regulator suggested a reduction towards 1.5% by the end of 2025 due to subdued growth and inflationary pressures. Additionally, new U.S. tariffs, including a 25% duty on cars, steel, and aluminium, pose challenges for eurozone exports, potentially dampening future economic growth.
'The U.S. dollar was hit so badly in the immediate aftermath of the tariffs, so now, in the broad picture, there's a normalisation in the market', said Alvin Tan, an independent currency analyst based in Singapore. 'The market is keeping one eye on the economic situation, but the other eye is looking for positive developments in China'.
EURUSD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on two reports: the eurozone's Inflation Rate at 9:00 a.m. UTC and the U.S. nonfarm payroll at 12:30 p.m. UTC. The data may affect interest rate expectations and investor sentiment, increasing volatility in the Forex market, including EURUSD. Higher-than-expected results will likely drag EURUSD towards 1.12000. Otherwise, the pair will likely rise towards 1.14000.
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π Gold continues declining after reaching record highs
The gold (XAU) price fell by 1.51% on Thursday, even though the recent data showed that the U.S. economy contracted in Q1. Meanwhile, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index remained flat in March.
π Possible effects for traders
Gold hit a two-week low of around $3,224 as the U.S. dollar strengthened, particularly due to signals of a possible easing in trade relations between the U.S. and China. Still, gold remains in focus for investors as a safe-haven asset amid ongoing concerns about the global economic slowdown and financial market instability.
XAUUSD rose by 0.44% during the Asian and early European trading sessions, rebounding from the $3,231 support level. Today, traders should focus on the nonfarm payroll report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Higher-than-expected data may deepen bearish momentum in precious metals, while lower figures may support gold.
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The gold (XAU) price fell by 1.51% on Thursday, even though the recent data showed that the U.S. economy contracted in Q1. Meanwhile, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index remained flat in March.
π Possible effects for traders
Gold hit a two-week low of around $3,224 as the U.S. dollar strengthened, particularly due to signals of a possible easing in trade relations between the U.S. and China. Still, gold remains in focus for investors as a safe-haven asset amid ongoing concerns about the global economic slowdown and financial market instability.
XAUUSD rose by 0.44% during the Asian and early European trading sessions, rebounding from the $3,231 support level. Today, traders should focus on the nonfarm payroll report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Higher-than-expected data may deepen bearish momentum in precious metals, while lower figures may support gold.
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π§ Start With a Trading Plan β Donβt Trade Blindly
Letβs be real β jumping into trades without a plan is like driving with your eyes closed.
Exciting? Maybe. Dangerous? Definitely.
If youβre serious about growing as a trader, you need a trading plan.
Hereβs what that means and how to build one:
1. Define your goal
π― Why are you trading?
Is it for side income, full-time living, or just learning the skill?
Knowing your goal keeps you focused and stops you from chasing random trades.
2. Pick your setup
π What are you trading & how?
Choose a few assets you understand (donβt chase everything).
Stick to simple strategies β for example: βI trade with the trend after a pullback.β
3. Set your risk rules
π‘ How much are you willing to risk per trade?
Golden rule: never risk more than 1β2% of your balance.
And yes, ALWAYS use a stop-loss β itβs your seatbelt.
4. Plan your routine
β° When will you trade?
Set a consistent time β like mornings or evenings β and treat it like a job.
No plan = random results. Routine = progress.
5. Write it down & stick to it
βοΈ A real plan is something you can see and follow.
Put it in your notes or journal. Review it before trading.
Feel like going off-script? Stop. Breathe. Follow the plan.
Remember:
"The market rewards discipline, not emotion."
Start small, stay consistent, and treat trading like a skill β not a lottery.
Your future self will thank you.
Letβs be real β jumping into trades without a plan is like driving with your eyes closed.
Exciting? Maybe. Dangerous? Definitely.
If youβre serious about growing as a trader, you need a trading plan.
Hereβs what that means and how to build one:
1. Define your goal
π― Why are you trading?
Is it for side income, full-time living, or just learning the skill?
Knowing your goal keeps you focused and stops you from chasing random trades.
2. Pick your setup
π What are you trading & how?
Choose a few assets you understand (donβt chase everything).
Stick to simple strategies β for example: βI trade with the trend after a pullback.β
3. Set your risk rules
π‘ How much are you willing to risk per trade?
Golden rule: never risk more than 1β2% of your balance.
And yes, ALWAYS use a stop-loss β itβs your seatbelt.
4. Plan your routine
β° When will you trade?
Set a consistent time β like mornings or evenings β and treat it like a job.
No plan = random results. Routine = progress.
5. Write it down & stick to it
βοΈ A real plan is something you can see and follow.
Put it in your notes or journal. Review it before trading.
Feel like going off-script? Stop. Breathe. Follow the plan.
Remember:
"The market rewards discipline, not emotion."
Start small, stay consistent, and treat trading like a skill β not a lottery.
Your future self will thank you.
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