⚡Reversal alert: XAUUSD tested the resistance level of 4,190.00💙

XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart

👉General outlook

XAUUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.

👉Possible scenario

The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 4,177.00.

Set your stop loss at 4,211.00 above the previous high ($34.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 4,143.00 ($34.00 profit for 0.01 lot).

The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.

The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.

Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.

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➡💲➡Dollar holds near 158.19 yen. Two scenarios after Japan's trade figures

USDJPY trades near 158.19 on Wednesday, below resistance at 160.300. Weekly resistance stands at 163.970, while support sits at 153.000. Use the scenarios below to weigh Japan's policy signals against U.S. bond demand.

🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Japan's September trade deficit was 536.6 billion yen, exceeding the forecast shortfall of 181 billion yen. It narrowed from roughly 1.1 trillion yen in August. The country still faced costly energy imports, which put pressure on its external finances.
• Background. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said today that underlying inflation was close to the 2% target. He warned that delaying policy changes could increase inflation risks. This supports the case for higher Japanese rates, potentially helping the yen.
• Potential triggers. The U.S. 20-year Treasury bond auction takes place at 5:00 p.m. UTC. Strong demand could lower yields and weaken the dollar's interest-rate advantage over the yen. Weak demand could push yields higher, supporting USDJPY despite expectations of further BoJ tightening.

🪙 Tip for traders

If U.S. yields rise and USDJPY breaks above 160.300, it may climb towards weekly resistance at 163.970. The bullish view fails if the pair returns below 160.300. If yields ease and a rebound fails at 160.300, USDJPY may fall towards 153.000. The bearish view fails if the price holds above 160.300.

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