These are the biggest events to watch this week:
Following an extremely busy week, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI, the minutes of the September Fed meeting, crucial US Treasury auctions and Friday's UoM Consumer Confidence survey could prove extremely market-moving.
Finally, Friday's Canadian labour market data could validate the ballooning BoC rate hike expectations.
Stay ahead of the markets. See the full Economic Calendar here: https://tlt.ink/xmbro
Following an extremely busy week, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI, the minutes of the September Fed meeting, crucial US Treasury auctions and Friday's UoM Consumer Confidence survey could prove extremely market-moving.
Finally, Friday's Canadian labour market data could validate the ballooning BoC rate hike expectations.
Stay ahead of the markets. See the full Economic Calendar here: https://tlt.ink/xmbro
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EURUSD trades near 1.1198, below broken support at 1.1220. Higher resistance stands at 1.1365 and 1.1530. Explore the scenarios below before the European Central Bank (ECB) releases its meeting account
• Events. German exports fell 0.8% month on month in August. Forecast: 0.8% / Previous: −0.5% (month on month, revised). The decline points to weaker overseas demand and adds uncertainty about Germany's recovery. July's fall was revised from −0.8%.
• Background. France's fiscal difficulties also continue to weigh on the euro💶 Investors are concerned that pressure on French borrowing costs could spread across the region. Together with weaker German trade, this leaves the currency sensitive to the ECB's assessment of growth and inflation.
• Potential triggers. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane speaks at 10:00 a.m. UTC. The account of the 9–10 September meeting follows at 11:30 a.m. UTC. Support for further tightening could help the euro, while greater concern about growth could pressure it. U.S. initial jobless claims arrive at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Forecast: 200,000 / Previous: 197,000. A higher reading could weaken the dollar and help EURUSD📊
If the ECB account supports the euro and EURUSD regains 1.1220, the pair may recover towards 1.1365. A further break could bring 1.1530 into focus. The bullish view fails if the price falls below 1.1220. If the account favours caution and EURUSD stays below 1.1220, selling pressure may continue. The bearish view fails if the price rises above 1.1220.
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