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Market Sentiment ๐Ÿ“Š

USD: Weak post-Fed, but safe-haven flows possible amid thin liquidity.

Risk currencies (AUD, NZD): Supported by seasonal trends.
Safe-havens (JPY, CHF): Watch for strength on any risk aversion.

Overall: Volatility expected around today's data; end-of-year positioning may amplify moves

@Thevenziltrades
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GOLD XAUUSD ๐Ÿ“Š

We Are Personally looking for a buying opportunity from our major support area but if we receive any rejection, then we will execute our orders from:-

4191.11 & 4195.99

Targets:- 4250.90 / 4293.90 / 4349.04

Donโ€™t place any advance orders for now. Use good bullish confirmations for the execution.

Rejection then execution, don't forget.

@Thevenziltrades
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Good Day All Trader's ๐Ÿ“Š

Key Economic ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

Fed Aftermath: Yesterday's 25bps rate cut (as expected) weakened USD temporarily, but hawkish dot plots limit further dovishness. Markets price in 75% odds for no change in January.

UK Data: Resilient inflation and labor figures support GBP, but budget concerns cap upside. BoE hold expected.

Seasonality: December historically favors EUR/USD (+1.2% avg return over 50+ years) and GBP/USD (+0.5%), with dollar weakness into year-end.

Risks: Geopolitical noise (Ukraine, trade talks) and thin volumes amplify swings; watch RBA jobs data for AUD impact.


@Thevenziltrades
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GOLD OVERVIEWS๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

Gold trades at ~$4,299 (down 0.32% intraday), consolidating near six-week highs after Fed's dovish 25bps cut weakened USD.

Bullish long-term trend intact (above key SMAs), but short-term overbought signals suggest pullback risk amid thin holiday volumes. RSI ~62 (neutral-positive); MACD bullish but diverging.

Watch: US Jobless Claims data today; upside if below 220K.Recommended Signal (1-2% risk/trade)
Overall bias: Mildly bullish, but favor dips for entries.

@Thevenziltrades
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Good Day All Trader's ๐Ÿ“Š

Here's The Major Market Updates

Economics Key Events ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

Features several high-impact events that could drive forex volatility, particularly for EUR, GBP, JPY, and USD pairs.

December 15 itself appears relatively quiet, with focus shifting to mid-week central bank decisions.

@Thevenziltrades
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ECB Monetary๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

European Central Bank's Governing Council meets on December 17-18, 2025, in Frankfurt, with the rate announcement at 14:15 CET and President Christine Lagarde's press conference at 14:45 CET.

This is the final monetary policy meeting of 2025 and includes the release of new ECB staff macroeconomic projections, extending for the first time to 2028.

Current Key ECB Interest
RatesDeposit facility: 2.00%
Main refinancing operations: 2.15%
Marginal lending facility: 2.40%

@Thevenziltrades
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Fundamental Driver's ๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

Spillover from last week's Fed decision: Dovish cut supports lower opportunity costs for holding gold, but reduced 2026 cut expectations (now pricing ~75% chance of hold in January) caps aggressive upside
.
Ongoing support from central bank buying (e.g., China additions), geopolitical risks, and safe-haven demand.

USD weakness post-Fed aids gold, but year-end thin liquidity could lead to choppy moves.

Upcoming focus: Mid-week data (e.g., PMIs, CPI previews) and ECB/BoE/BoJ decisions later in the week may influence sentiment.

@Thevenziltrades
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GOLD PERFECT ANALYSIS ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

THE bulls are super active, and our swing long is also triggered from 4274.30 based on RTV.

Now we are waiting for our DEC final target of 4414.49.

Bullions if you are looking for a buying opportunity, then wait for the price to close above 4355.50.

@Thevenziltrades
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XAUUSD SELL

4348 - 4350

TP 4344/4340/4335

SL 4357
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๐—ซ๐—”๐—จ๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—— ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ญ๐—œ๐—Ÿ ๐—™๐—ซ ๐Ÿ“‰
XAUUSD SELL 4348 - 4350 TP 4344/4340/4335 SL 4357
Perfect Analysis Signal's Service's ๐Ÿ“Š

Tp 1 Smashes ๐Ÿ’ฐโญ
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๐—ซ๐—”๐—จ๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—— ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ญ๐—œ๐—Ÿ ๐—™๐—ซ ๐Ÿ“‰
XAUUSD SELL 4348 - 4350 TP 4344/4340/4335 SL 4357
Perfect Analysis Signal's Service's ๐Ÿ“Š

All Target Hits ๐ŸŽฏ
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Today's Market Updates ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

Market is on high alert today with the release of the delayed US November Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report scheduled for 8:30 AM ET. Economists anticipate a modest +50K jobs added, with average hourly earnings up 0.3% m/m (3.7% y/y) and the unemployment rate rising to 4.5%. This data comes amid signs of a cooling US labor market, potentially influencing Fed rate expectations for 2026.

@Thevenziltrades
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USD Sentiment
: The dollar remains under pressure post the Fed's recent 25bps rate cut (December 10) and dovish projections signaling limited easing ahead.

Seasonal December weakness for USD often supports gains in major pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. However, an upside surprise in NFP could trigger a short-term USD rebound, as the dollar appears oversold against many rivals.

@Thevenziltrades
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Key Drivers Today.

NFP Impact: Strong data may temper aggressive rate cut bets, supporting USD. Weak data could accelerate USD selling, boosting risk-sensitive currencies.

MORE events: Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment, New Zealand Global Dairy Trade auction, and minor Asia-Pacific data.

@Thevenziltrades
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XAUUSD Gold Analysis ๐Ÿ“Š

The delayed US November Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is the main event (expected around +50K jobs).

A softer-than-expected print could reinforce dovish Fed bets, boosting gold further toward all-time highs. A stronger beat might strengthen the USD short-term, capping gold's upside.
Lower US yields and seasonal year-end buying (central banks, ETFs) continue to provide tailwinds.

Technicals: Gold is in a strong bullish trend, holding above key supports with resistance near $4,350โ€“$4,380.

@Thevenziltrades
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Focused on today's major central bank decisions: the European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to hold its deposit facility rate at 2.00%, signaling a pause amid resilient but fragile Eurozone growth.

Later, the Bank of England (BoE) announcement follows, with markets anticipating steady rates but watching for signals on potential easing. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision is tomorrow, adding to Yen-related anticipation.

@Thevenziltrades
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Key Drivers Today.

ECB hold expected; any dovish/hawkish surprise could swing EUR pairs.

New Zealand Q3 GDP released earlier (muted reaction as it's backward-looking).

Thin holiday liquidity amplifying moves; year-end positioning favors risk-sensitive currencies.


@Thevenziltrades
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USD Sentiment:

The Dollar Index (DXY) is hovering around 98.40โ€“98.50, showing modest recovery but remaining under pressure from seasonal December weakness (historically bearish for USD) and post-FOMC dovish vibes after last week's 25bps cut.
USD remains vulnerable ahead of clearer 2026 policy signals.

@Thevenziltrades
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XAUUSD Analysis ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ

The price is floating near the major resistance area, and my view is pretty clear if the price successfully closes below 4320.90, then we will execute our sell stop orders.

Targets:- 4300.90 / 4270.54

Remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 4357.11 then we will execute our buy stop orders.

Targets:- 4381.57 / 4419.94

Between the range no trade wait for the breakout & breakdown.

@Thevenziltrades
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