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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf:
Straits Taylor Rule:

i = r* + ฯ€* + 1.5(ฯ€โˆ’ฯ€*) + 0.5(yโˆ’y*) + ฮฑ(SOHโˆ’SOH*) + ฮฒ(BEMโˆ’BEM*), ฮฑ,ฮฒ > 0

Letโ€™s see if a hike could open the Strait of Hormuz or produce a single barrel :)

You canโ€™t 25bp a chokepoint and r* isnโ€™t neutral. Itโ€™s SOH risk premium, and We set it.

Stay unanchored !
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๐Ÿ˜137๐Ÿ’ฉ31๐Ÿคฏ15โค11๐Ÿ‘7โœ4๐Ÿคจ3๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿคฎ2๐Ÿ–•2โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ1
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๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” The JNIM released the video of their ambush against the joint patrol of the Russian Africa Corps and Malian army near the town of Kaka, in the Mopti region of Mali. At least 13 Russian and Malian-aligned Dozo militiamen were killed followingโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿณ๏ธ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” The Russian Africa Corps used a suicide drone to destroy a fuel point used by the FLA and JNIM in northern Mali.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” Saudi Arabia is aiming to restore around half the capacity of its East-West oil pipeline within days after drone attacks from Iraq halted operations last week, according to Bloomberg.

Saudi Aramco is working to bypass a damaged section on the route that will allow it to resume part of the pipeline's capacity.

Full capacity is expected to be restored in about six weeks.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced that House lawmakers will leave Washington early for a seven-week recess ahead of the midterm elections, delaying a planned vote on impeaching Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.

House Republicans will hold their final votes today, including on the Russia sanctions bill, before returning after the November elections.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก๏ธ โ€” Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu:
We will revoke the citizenship of those who defame IDF soldiers, and we will hit them financially.

The time has come to deal with this.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” The Houthis (Ansarallah) say their forces intercepted two Saudi F-15 fighter formations this evening while they were flying over the Al-Mukha area of Taiz Governorate after taking off from Khamis Mushait airbase.

They said locally manufactured surface-to-air missiles forced the aircraft to turn back before carrying out any attacks.
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ปโšก๏ธ โ€” Germany will deploy four Eurofighter jets to Latvia to help protect its airspace during next monthโ€™s parliamentary election amid repeated drone incursions along NATOโ€™s eastern flank.

The jets will be stationed at Lielvฤrde Air Base for about a week from late September into early October, Germanyโ€™s Defense Ministry said. Latvia requested additional NATO support ahead of the Oct. 3 vote.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” British Prime Minister Andy Burnham has seen hopes for a major reset in UK-EU relations scaled back after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed Canada become the EUโ€™s first โ€œassociate member,โ€ Bloomberg reports.

The move has disappointed Labour figures, who now believe Brussels is unlikely to offer the UK significantly better terms than those secured under the Conservatives.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” The Houthis (Ansarallah) say Saudi warplanes have carried out 40 airstrikes over the past 24 hours, using F-15 fighter jets from Khamis Mushait airbase.

They said the strikes targeted Taiz, Marib and Hajjah governorates.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00%, marking its first rate hike since July 2023.

The decision was unanimous and comes in opposition to President Trumpโ€™s calls for lower interest rates.
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ดโŒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด โ€” FPV drones operated by the FARC dissident guerrieros struck a radar of the Colombian civil aviation authority in the town of Candelaria, Cauca region.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh:
The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Vice President JD Vance to voters:
Give us another chance, or give us another couple of years to continue to work on the amazing things that we've been doing for the past two years.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Houthi (Ansarallah) forces posing with the wreckage of the downed Saudi F-15 fighter jet in Marib Governorate.
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” This intercepted fighter jet is a Royal Saudi Air Force F-15SA Eagle II, which is the most advanced fighter jet in the RSAF's inventory. The F-15SA is a precursor to the U.S. Air Force's F-15EX Eagle II, which is the fourth major F-15 airframe in the USAF's inventory, succeeding the F-15E Strike Eagle.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” President Trump announces that his Chief of Staff Susie Wiles has been diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer, noting her prognosis is "excellent." Susie Wiles is an incredible Chief of Staff, a great person, and one of the strongest people I knowโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles has announced that she is now cancer-free after an operation this week.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” This intercepted fighter jet is a Royal Saudi Air Force F-15SA Eagle II, which is the most advanced fighter jet in the RSAF's inventory. The F-15SA is a precursor to the U.S. Air Force's F-15EX Eagle II, which is the fourth major F-15 airframe in theโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” There are widely circulating reports claiming the footage of the downed Saudi F-15 is old from September 2020. This stems from a misreading of a screenshot showing the Persian calendar, which was used in place of the Gregorian calendar. In addition, no RSAF F-15SA was shot down by Ansarallah in September 2020.

The misinformation is mainly being spread by Saudi accounts.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณโšก๏ธ โ€” Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saโ€™ar, Moroccan Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita, and U.S. Ambassador to the UN Mike Waltz held a trilateral meeting in New York, agreeing on measures to deepen Israel-Morocco relations and advance the Abraham Accords.

Israel and Morocco agreed to upgrade their diplomatic missions to full embassies and appoint ambassadors. They also aim to finalize agreements on investment protection and preventing double taxation by the end of 2026 to encourage bilateral trade and investment.

The two countries also agreed to hold reciprocal high-level visits in the coming months.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00%, marking its first rate hike since July 2023. The decision was unanimous and comes in opposition to President Trumpโ€™s calls for lower interest rates.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Reporter: What is your message to Trump, who has repeatedly called to cut interest rates, not raise them?

Fed Chair Warsh: *laughs* I've got nothing for you.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโšก๏ธ โ€” Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa:
Many revolutions may win, but then enter a cycle of disputes and conflicts.

This was something we were monitoring from the very first moment, as well as the behavior of those working in the revolution โ€” from the military and others.

We would perhaps sit with the military groups before the beginning of the battle; 70% of the discussion was only about the method of dealing with people, and 30% was about the military plans and how to organize them.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโšก๏ธ โ€” Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: Many revolutions may win, but then enter a cycle of disputes and conflicts. This was something we were monitoring from the very first moment, as well as the behavior of those working in the revolution โ€” from the militaryโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโšก๏ธ โ€” Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa:
We wanted to prevent the perception among countries that the revolution had achieved victory here and could then move somewhere else.

We cut off that possibility, and whoever was thinking in that direction, we blocked that path from the very beginning.

We brought forward the mechanisms for state-building and related issues. We were also conscious of the importance of calm and measured messaging.
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