German-Foreign-Policy wirft einen kritischen Blick auf die Vormachtbestrebungen der Bundesrepublik.

Covid-19 August Update
SPR has published its Covid-19 August update. The overview has been slightly updated and some new diagrams have been added.This is our final monthly update. The next update and review will follow later this year.Low-prevalence countries and regions – such as Germany with 1.3% IgG antibody prevalence – are likely to face a renewed increase in infections and disease and should urgently consider an early treatment strategy for their high-risk and high-exposure groups.A new page on the evidence regarding cloth face masks has also been added.August update: English → / Deutsch →

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Covid Treatment Update
Please note: This is a recommendation to authorities and physicians. Patients are asked to consult a doctor.SPR has updated its Covid-19 early treatment protocol and has added bromhexine. Bromhexine is a simple over-the-counter mucolytic cough medication that inhibits cellular TMPRSS2 protease and thus blocks SARS-CoV-2 cell entry via ACE2 cell receptors.Several groups have already proposed bromhexine as an early or prophylactic treatment for Covid-19. An Iranian group recently reported a decrease in intensive care treatments of 82%, a decrease in intubations of 89%, and a decrease in deaths of 100% in a trial with 78 patients.For further information on bromhexine see the reference section on the protocol page.In view of a possible renewed increase in infection rates, early or prophylactic treatment of people at high risk or high exposure (including health care workers) should be of paramount importance to reduce hospitalizations and deaths.EN: On the treatment of Covid-19 →
DE: Zur Behandlung von Covid-19 →

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💥 Jetzt wird's heftig: Bodo findet deutliche Worte. Das Video wurde bereits auf Telegram gesichert, falls es auf YouTube wieder zensiert wird.
@swprs ➕ @BodoSchiffmann ➕ @SamuelEckert ✊

Covid19: Italian Antibody Data
The Italian health authority has published the very important results of its first nationwide coronavirus antibody study based on close to 65,000 participants.Read more →

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Corona in Genf
Das Schweizer Onlinemagazin “Republik” versucht in einem aktuellen Beitrag die Corona-Pandemie einzuordnen. Doch wie die meisten Schweizer Medien, so scheitert auch sie.Zum Beitrag →

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Covid in the USA
To understand the dynamics of the Covid-19 pandemic in the USA, it is not sufficient to look at the aggregated figures at the national level. The US is not experiencing one single long wave, but several regional “short waves” that have been delayed by lockdowns or the spread of the virus itself.See charts →

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Covid-19 in Nembro (Italy)
A short analysis of the impact of Covid-19 in Nembro near Bergamo.English → / Deutsch →

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Covid-19 in Nembro (Italien)
Eine kurze Analyse der Auswirkungen in Nembro nahe Bergamo. Hier lesen

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#CoronaKrise @SWPRS

Corona in Zürich
Das Universitätsspital Zürich (USZ) hat Anfang August die Resultate seiner umfangreichen Antikörperstudie veröffentlicht. Die Antikörperwerte liegen im Kanton Zürich wie erwartet noch sehr tief. Bisher hat offenbar noch kein Medium über dieses sehr wichtige Resultat berichtet.Weiterlesen →

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Corona in Deutschland
Eine gute und eine schlechte Nachricht.Weiterlesen →

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Updated Covid-19 data
Several SPR documents on Covid-19 have been updated recently:The summary of Covid facts is now available in Chinese and in Malay and has been updated in Spanish.The Covid early treatment protocol has been updated to include ivermectin and favipiravir, of which first treatment successes have been reported. Early treatment by primary care doctors continues to be one of the most important pandemic policies.The section on cloth facemask effectiveness now includes a video illustrating the aerosol issue and a chart illustrating the case of Hawaii (surging cases despite mandatory masks, similar to California, Japan, Spain and other places).The Covid lethality study overview has a new section on places with and without a partial or total collapse of local health and elderly care. The former obviously report much higher IFR values, which drop by about 60% as soon as the situation is under control. On the plus side, places like India and Kenya have reported very low IFRs (<0.1%) so far.New short analyses have been published on the situation in the USA, in Germany, in Switzerland, and in the original Italian epicenter of Nembro near Bergamo.

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Corona-Antikörperwerte in Deutschland
Eine Übersicht aller bisher veröffentlichten Corona-Antikörperstudien in Deutschland.Zur Übersicht &rarr;

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Das Multipolar Magazin ist eine gute Ergänzung zu @KenFM, @SWPRS, @RubikonNews und anderen freien Medien.
Es werden zusätzlich die aktuellen Hinweise der Redaktion hier auf Telegram angekündigt.
@multipolar_magazin!

New York, London, and the 20% question
Important new serological studies on the global hotspots New York City and England have been added to the international Covid IFR overview (section 1.B).Unsurprisingly, they found rather high values. Two studies on NYC report values between 0.7% and 1.1% based on confirmed cases and up to 1.45% including probable cases. One study on England reports an IFR in the general population of 0.9% and of 1.43% including care homes.(Both New York and England moved patients into care homes. England reported 20,000 “Covid-related” deaths in care homes, New York (State) between 6500 and 13,000.)As everywhere, mortality mostly affected the 70+ age group, and in the case of NYC, decreased by about 50% during the epidemic (as in Lombardy). IFRs below 45 years were <0.1%. Seroprevalence was about 20% in NYC and about 6% in England (18% in London).Of note, all of these studies found that only a fraction of the people who reported anosmia (temporary loss of the sense of taste or smell) – a very typical Covid symptom – had IgG antibodies. In the case of Italy it was about 25%, in Spain about 18%, in Brazil also 18%, and in England about 50% (but only 35% in cases suspected by a doctor).Such an absence of IgG antibodies may occur if testing happened too soon or too late after an infection, or in the many mild cases (without IgG antibodies), or perhaps if the anosmia is explained by another infection. None of the studies discuss this huge discrepancy.Of course, this discrepancy could mean that the new coronavirus is in fact up to five times more widespread than detected by IgG antibody tests, as first proposed by Swiss researchers. If this were indeed the case, IFRs even in hotspots like NYC and London might drop below 0.5%.Studies on Covid-19 lethality &rarr;

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Covid in Belgium
Belgium reported the highest Covid mortality in Europe, in part because it always included both confirmed and probable cases. 66% of Belgian excess deaths occurred in nursing homes. Of these, only 27% were confirmed by a PCR test. It is quite possible that some of the non-confirmed nursing home deaths were not due to Covid, but due to the extreme circumstances.(For instance, England and Wales saw 10,000 extra non-Covid dementia deaths in April. These are, essentially, deaths due to lockdown, panic and isolation.)The Belgian Covid IFR in the general population is about 0.43%. Below 44 years it is 0.02%, from 45 to 64 it is 0.21%, reaching 2.6% at 85 years and 30% or more in nursing homes. National antibody seroprevalence is about 6%, though above 10% in Brussels. As usual, real coronavirus exposure might be higher (due to mild cases without IgG), and IFRs somewhat lower.Even without age-adjustment, the number of excess deaths due to Covid in April 2020 in Belgium is comparable to the number of excess deaths in January 1951 and February 1960 due to strong seasonal influenza prior to vaccination campaigns.Figure 1: Covid IFR by age group and gender in (non) care home population.
Figure 2: Belgian mortality and life-expectancy since 1830
Figure 3: Covid-19 mortality in European countries and US statesMore: Studies on Covid-19 lethality

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Post-Acute Covid (“Long Covid”)
Approximately 10% of people with symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection report persistent or recurring Covid symptoms for several weeks or months. This notably includes younger and previously healthy individuals, as well as those whose original covid was mild or moderate (without hospitalization).English &rarr; / Deutsch &rarr;

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Covid in Sweden
A new data analysis shows Swedish all-cause mortality since 1851 (see chart below). The covid peak in 2020 is clearly visible and comparable to the strong seasonal flu waves of the 1980s and 1990s (despite a younger population at the time). The much stronger 1918 Spanish flu is also clearly visible.Remarkably, despite covid, 2020 mortality in the <65 age group is actually below the five year average. The median age of covid deaths in Sweden was 84 years, about 70% of which occurred in nursing facilities. The targeted protection of these was part of the Swedish strategy, but in the Stockholm area, the virus was faster than authorities.Since June, Sweden — which has introduced neither a lockdown nor a facemask mandate — is seeing a below-average all-cause mortality. Covid infections and deaths are near zero.Sweden has one of the lowest intensive care bed capacities in Europe, two times lower than Italy and five times lower than Germany. This capacity was of course increased in preparation of covid, but the newly built covid field hospital in Stockholm remained unused.Sweden now has one of the highest immunity levels in Europe (its Scandinavian neighbors and Germany one of the lowest), but health authorities are still expecting a smaller “second wave” in autumn and winter. Another important question is the actual prevalence of “long covid” health issues in Swedish society.On the other hand, Sweden also knows first-hand the risks associated with experimental vaccines: the medically unneccessary “swine flu” vaccine of 2009 left about 500 Swedish children permanently brain damaged.sweden-deaths-1851Swedish mortality since 1851(JH/SCB)

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Covid Self-Defense Kit
Autumn is approaching in the northern hemisphere, coronavirus antibody prevalence is still low (<5%) in much of previously locked-down Europe and non-urban areas of the US, and authorities in most Western countries still aren’t providing covid prophylaxis and early treatment guidance.SPR encourages people at high risk or high exposure to discuss with their doctor a prophylactic or early treatment strategy based on zinc, quercetin and bromhexine. Zinc blocks coronavirus RNA replication while quercetin and bromhexine block coronavirus cell entry.Aldready in May, US doctors reported a 45% reduction in mortality of hospitalized patients by adding zinc to standard treatment. In June, US doctors reported a rapid resolution in Covid symptoms, such as shortness of breath, due to early outpatient treatment with high-dose zinc.Cloth masks have failed to stop the pandemic because they cannot prevent indoor aerosol transmission; “contact tracing” has failed to stop the pandemic because of undetected four day pre-symptomatic and indoor aerosol transmission.Thus, to avoid a second round of chaos and devastating lockdowns, reducing hospitalizations and mortality by successful prophylactic or early treatment of covid is absolutely essential.On the treatment of Covid-19 &rarr; / Zur Behandlung von Covid-19 &rarr;

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Covid: Just A “Casedemic”?
Many critics believe covid has turned into a mere “casedemic”, as positive tests (“cases”) are rising in many European countries while hospitalizations and deaths stay very low.The reality is that covid is a casedemic on top of a pandemic. “Cases” are currently rising in Europe due to routine testing at airports, offices, schools and among family contacts, catching mostly younger low-risk people with mild or asymptomatic disease (hence no hospitalizations).(Moreover, some of these tests are false-positives or non-infectious RNA fragments of an earlier infection, causing unnecessary quarantine and tracing trouble, while the real infection rate is about ten times higher than daily PCR tests show, anyway.)However, antibody levels are still very low in most of previously locked-down Europe, including notably the German-speaking countries (2% antibodies), Scandinavia except Sweden, but also large parts of Italy, France and Spain as well as England outside of the London area.Thus, there can be little doubt that increasing “cases” will soon translate into increasing hospitalizations and deaths in high-risk groups. Masks and “contact tracing” won’t prevent this (as France and Spain already show). It is likely that Europe will panic a second time.What can (and should) be done is the targeted protection of high-risk groups and early or prophylactic treatment of people at high risk or high exposure to prevent progression of the disease. As most authorities ignore both, people are on their own.The British ONS recently published the age-adjusted January to July mortality statistics. While the 2020 covid increase is clearly visible, mortality is comparable to pre-2009 levels. Oxford CEBM professor Carl Heneghan explained that the covid IFR dropped to 0.3% by the end of July and the pandemic may end up “no worse than a bad flu season”.england-ons-mortality-ratesUK: Age-adjusted mortality (ONS)

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