Most traders can click buttons.
Few can sit still.
Master that, and youโve already won half the game.
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Few can sit still.
Master that, and youโve already won half the game.
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๐ธ The real cost of inflation
Forget the โ2%โ headline.
Look at what actually happened in the last 5 years:
๐ก Eggs +157%
๐ก Auto insurance +61%
๐ก Fuel oil +58%
๐ก Gas utilities +56%
๐ก Home prices +52%
๐ก Transportation +43%
๐ก Shelter +28%
This is why official CPI feels like fiction.
Markets may price policy, but households live in reality.
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Forget the โ2%โ headline.
Look at what actually happened in the last 5 years:
๐ก Eggs +157%
๐ก Auto insurance +61%
๐ก Fuel oil +58%
๐ก Gas utilities +56%
๐ก Home prices +52%
๐ก Transportation +43%
๐ก Shelter +28%
This is why official CPI feels like fiction.
Markets may price policy, but households live in reality.
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CryptoFlash
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๐ Previous Day / Week Highs & Lows
Some of the cleanest levels you can use for bias are simply the previous dayโs and weekโs highs and lows.
Price always reacts to them - itโs just about how.
๐ก Closes beyond PDH/PWH โ continuation likely, next target is new highs.
๐ก Fails to close beyond โ expect reversal back inside the range, often targeting the opposite side.
๐ก Inside day โ no break, just balance. Sets up expectation for the next move.
๐ก Closes back inside after a break โ early sign of reversal, liquidity shift back inward.
The trick: donโt look at these levels in isolation. Use them to frame the bigger narrative.
Simple, clean, and surprisingly powerful.
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CryptoFlash
Some of the cleanest levels you can use for bias are simply the previous dayโs and weekโs highs and lows.
Price always reacts to them - itโs just about how.
๐ก Closes beyond PDH/PWH โ continuation likely, next target is new highs.
๐ก Fails to close beyond โ expect reversal back inside the range, often targeting the opposite side.
๐ก Inside day โ no break, just balance. Sets up expectation for the next move.
๐ก Closes back inside after a break โ early sign of reversal, liquidity shift back inward.
The trick: donโt look at these levels in isolation. Use them to frame the bigger narrative.
Simple, clean, and surprisingly powerful.
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CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: Nvidia is creating a new AI chip for China using the latest Blackwell architecture, which will surpass the capabilities of the current H20 model permitted for sale, according to sources.
CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
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๐๐ Big Tech vs Small Caps
The 5 largest US stocks (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META) are now worth 4.9x more than all small-cap stocks combined, a new record.
๐ก Since 2019, this ratio has tripled, driven by mega-cap tech.
๐ก Gains since then: NVDA +5109%, MSFT +435%, AAPL +463%, AMZN +203%, META +440%.
๐ก In the same period, the Russell 2000 (small caps) rose just 66%.
๐ก For context: at the dot-com bubble peak (2000), the ratio was ~1.5x.
Before the 2008 crisis ~1.0x.
Small caps have never been this overshadowed. The US market is now more concentrated than ever.
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The 5 largest US stocks (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META) are now worth 4.9x more than all small-cap stocks combined, a new record.
๐ก Since 2019, this ratio has tripled, driven by mega-cap tech.
๐ก Gains since then: NVDA +5109%, MSFT +435%, AAPL +463%, AMZN +203%, META +440%.
๐ก In the same period, the Russell 2000 (small caps) rose just 66%.
๐ก For context: at the dot-com bubble peak (2000), the ratio was ~1.5x.
Before the 2008 crisis ~1.0x.
Small caps have never been this overshadowed. The US market is now more concentrated than ever.
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When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire.
โ George Soros
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โ George Soros
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A lack of self-control is also a form of lacking self-respect.
Respect yourself enough to stick to the promise youโve made to yourself.
Apply rules and clear entry + trade management model that will assist you making better decisions.
Trust your system more than you trust yourself.
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CryptoFlash
Respect yourself enough to stick to the promise youโve made to yourself.
Apply rules and clear entry + trade management model that will assist you making better decisions.
Trust your system more than you trust yourself.
๐ฐ Powered by Startups
CryptoFlash
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๐ Leveraged ETFs hit record highs
Assets in US leveraged equity ETFs have exploded to ~$120B - an all-time high.
Thatโs 3x more than just 3 years ago.
๐ก Demand for high-risk, high-reward products is surging
๐ก Trading volume in these vehicles has skyrocketed in the last 5 years
Leverage fever is real.
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Assets in US leveraged equity ETFs have exploded to ~$120B - an all-time high.
Thatโs 3x more than just 3 years ago.
๐ก Demand for high-risk, high-reward products is surging
๐ก Trading volume in these vehicles has skyrocketed in the last 5 years
Leverage fever is real.
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JUST IN: Elon Musk is pausing his initiative to form the "America Party," choosing instead to focus on his businesses and potentially support Vice President JD Vance for a 2028 presidential run.
โข Musk seeks to avoid dividing Republican support by stepping back from third-party plans.
โข He has stopped conversations with party organizers.
โข Musk spent nearly $300 million in 2024 supporting Donald Trump.
โข Republicans value Musk's financial backing for its potential influence.
This decision could enhance investor confidence in Musk's companies by keeping his focus on business operations, while maintaining political ties that may support favorable policies.
CryptoFlash
โข Musk seeks to avoid dividing Republican support by stepping back from third-party plans.
โข He has stopped conversations with party organizers.
โข Musk spent nearly $300 million in 2024 supporting Donald Trump.
โข Republicans value Musk's financial backing for its potential influence.
This decision could enhance investor confidence in Musk's companies by keeping his focus on business operations, while maintaining political ties that may support favorable policies.
CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: Trump called for Fed Governor Lisa Cook to step down following her alleged involvement in mortgage fraud. An ally claims she misrepresented two homes as "primary residences" for better rates. He also criticized Fed Chair Powell for damaging the housing market.
CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
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๐ฅGold vs ๐ฅ Silver
Silver has ripped +16% since April while gold slipped slightly.
At the same time, gold derivatives and mining explorers climbed ~30%.
๐ก Investors are moving up the risk curve within metals
๐ก Early-stage miners are catching strong bids
๐ก Clear signs of a long-term mining bull market forming
The shift isnโt just about spot prices - itโs about capital flowing deeper into the metals ecosystem.
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Silver has ripped +16% since April while gold slipped slightly.
At the same time, gold derivatives and mining explorers climbed ~30%.
๐ก Investors are moving up the risk curve within metals
๐ก Early-stage miners are catching strong bids
๐ก Clear signs of a long-term mining bull market forming
The shift isnโt just about spot prices - itโs about capital flowing deeper into the metals ecosystem.
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CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: Donald Trump promises to stop approvals for wind and solar projects, calling them "the scam of the century."
CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
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๐ฅClassic Market Comedy
Every setup looks perfectโฆ right before it wrecks whoever jumped in.
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Every setup looks perfectโฆ right before it wrecks whoever jumped in.
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JUST IN: The Fed officials showed increased concern about an economic slowdown before a weak jobs report.
โข Minutes from the Fedโs July 30 meeting revealed expectations of weak growth in the second half of the year.
โข Officials pointed to slower income gains impacting consumer spending.
โข July's jobs report revised down May and June job growth estimates by 258,000, exacerbating fears about the labor market.
The worsening labor market outlook could influence investor sentiment and potentially impact market valuations.
CryptoFlash
โข Minutes from the Fedโs July 30 meeting revealed expectations of weak growth in the second half of the year.
โข Officials pointed to slower income gains impacting consumer spending.
โข July's jobs report revised down May and June job growth estimates by 258,000, exacerbating fears about the labor market.
The worsening labor market outlook could influence investor sentiment and potentially impact market valuations.
CryptoFlash
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Winning is easy.
Trying to turn things around when youโre losing is where the real difficulty lies.
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Trying to turn things around when youโre losing is where the real difficulty lies.
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โซ Mag 7 at Record Valuations
The Magnificent 7 (Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla) have never been this expensive on a free cash flow basis.
Median EV/FCF just hit 48.5 โ the highest level ever.
๐ก Valuations are stretched beyond previous cycles
๐ก Heavy infrastructure spending will pressure balance sheets
๐กCompression in multiples looks inevitable
Markets can stay irrational longer than expected, but extremes like this donโt last forever.
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CryptoFlash
The Magnificent 7 (Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla) have never been this expensive on a free cash flow basis.
Median EV/FCF just hit 48.5 โ the highest level ever.
๐ก Valuations are stretched beyond previous cycles
๐ก Heavy infrastructure spending will pressure balance sheets
๐กCompression in multiples looks inevitable
Markets can stay irrational longer than expected, but extremes like this donโt last forever.
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CryptoFlash
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๐ "Reasons to Sell"
From flash crashes to oil spills, debt downgrades, taper tantrums, pandemics, wars, sanctions, inflation, and every doomsday headline in between - the S&P just kept climbing.
Markets have a funny habit: the scarier the chart annotations, the higher the line goes.
The real "reason to sell"?
Probably when there are no reasons left.
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From flash crashes to oil spills, debt downgrades, taper tantrums, pandemics, wars, sanctions, inflation, and every doomsday headline in between - the S&P just kept climbing.
Markets have a funny habit: the scarier the chart annotations, the higher the line goes.
The real "reason to sell"?
Probably when there are no reasons left.
๐ฐ Powered by Startups
CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: Russia has launched a major aerial assault on Ukraine involving 574 drones and 40 missiles.
CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
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๐ฅ Record Shorts in Small Caps
Speculators have piled into the biggest short position in Russell 2000 futures in at least a decade.
๐ก Net non-commercial positioning just hit -21.6% of open interest
๐ก Last time shorts reached extremes like this, sharp rallies often followed
๐ก Small caps are seen as the most sensitive to rates, credit stress, and economic slowdown
When positioning gets this crowded, the market rarely stays calm for long.
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Speculators have piled into the biggest short position in Russell 2000 futures in at least a decade.
๐ก Net non-commercial positioning just hit -21.6% of open interest
๐ก Last time shorts reached extremes like this, sharp rallies often followed
๐ก Small caps are seen as the most sensitive to rates, credit stress, and economic slowdown
When positioning gets this crowded, the market rarely stays calm for long.
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CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: China is restricting sales of Nvidia's H20 chip following remarks by a U.S. commerce secretary.
โข U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick stated the U.S. sells China lower-tier chips.
โข China's actions involve the Cyberspace Administration, the NDRC, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.
โข The chip is specifically designed for the Chinese market.
This restriction could impact Nvidia's sales prospects and the technological development landscape in China, potentially affecting market dynamics internationally.
CryptoFlash
โข U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick stated the U.S. sells China lower-tier chips.
โข China's actions involve the Cyberspace Administration, the NDRC, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.
โข The chip is specifically designed for the Chinese market.
This restriction could impact Nvidia's sales prospects and the technological development landscape in China, potentially affecting market dynamics internationally.
CryptoFlash
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