โ๏ธ Golden Age of Mining?
Gold prices are holding near record highs while energy costs stay low - a dream setup for miners.
Margins in the sector are pushing 60%, way above the long-term average of ~35%.
๐ก Energy makes up about half of mining costs, so cheap oil and power mean more profit.
๐ก Gold is selling for ~$2,000 above production costs, giving companies a huge safety buffer.
๐ก Institutions are still underweight metals - less than 3% allocation in most Western portfolios.
If metals stay high and energy stays cheap, miners have room to post big numbers for a long time. The smart money hasnโt fully arrived yet.
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Gold prices are holding near record highs while energy costs stay low - a dream setup for miners.
Margins in the sector are pushing 60%, way above the long-term average of ~35%.
๐ก Energy makes up about half of mining costs, so cheap oil and power mean more profit.
๐ก Gold is selling for ~$2,000 above production costs, giving companies a huge safety buffer.
๐ก Institutions are still underweight metals - less than 3% allocation in most Western portfolios.
If metals stay high and energy stays cheap, miners have room to post big numbers for a long time. The smart money hasnโt fully arrived yet.
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Question yourself regardless of trade outcome ๐
winner or loser
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winner or loser
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Every trading strategy or setup has a failure rate.
When you learn to accept that, you stop assuming the next trade is going to be a winner.
This alone will help you stop over trading, over leveraging, and revenge trading.
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When you learn to accept that, you stop assuming the next trade is going to be a winner.
This alone will help you stop over trading, over leveraging, and revenge trading.
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๐ Berkshire stumbles without Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway has been hit hard since Warren Buffett announced in May he would step down.
๐ก Stock is down ~14% since May 2
๐ก S&P 500 is up ~11% in the same period
๐ก ~25% gap - the widest in decades, bigger than 2008 or 2000
The marketโs making it clear โ it was buying Buffett, not just the business.
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Berkshire Hathaway has been hit hard since Warren Buffett announced in May he would step down.
๐ก Stock is down ~14% since May 2
๐ก S&P 500 is up ~11% in the same period
๐ก ~25% gap - the widest in decades, bigger than 2008 or 2000
The marketโs making it clear โ it was buying Buffett, not just the business.
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๐ฅStocks: all-time high
๐ฅHome Prices: all-time high
๐ฅBitcoin: all-time high
๐ฅGold: all-time high
๐ฅMoney Supply: all-time high
๐ฅNational Debt: all-time high
๐ฅCPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"
Fed: cutting interest rates next month ๐ซก
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๐ฅHome Prices: all-time high
๐ฅBitcoin: all-time high
๐ฅGold: all-time high
๐ฅMoney Supply: all-time high
๐ฅNational Debt: all-time high
๐ฅCPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"
Fed: cutting interest rates next month ๐ซก
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JUST IN: President Trump announced he will soon converse with European leaders, describing them as "great people who want to see a deal done."
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โก๏ธ Data centers are eating the grid
US data centers now consume 5% of all electricity, a record high, driven by AI and digital infrastructure.
๐ก Share is set to more than double in the next 5 years
๐ก By 2030, they could use over 10% of all US power
๐ก Up to 40% of new electricity demand by 2030 will come from data centers
๐ก Annual demand growth projected at +23% through 2030
Energy could soon become the biggest bottleneck for AI.
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US data centers now consume 5% of all electricity, a record high, driven by AI and digital infrastructure.
๐ก Share is set to more than double in the next 5 years
๐ก By 2030, they could use over 10% of all US power
๐ก Up to 40% of new electricity demand by 2030 will come from data centers
๐ก Annual demand growth projected at +23% through 2030
Energy could soon become the biggest bottleneck for AI.
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๐ฑ Brazilian real breaks out
The Brazilian real is pushing through a major resistance this month, making it the second-strongest major currency year-to-date.
๐ก First clean breakout in over a decade
๐ก Signals renewed strength in emerging markets
๐ก Most global investors arenโt paying attention yet
EM currencies might be where the next big moves start forming.
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The Brazilian real is pushing through a major resistance this month, making it the second-strongest major currency year-to-date.
๐ก First clean breakout in over a decade
๐ก Signals renewed strength in emerging markets
๐ก Most global investors arenโt paying attention yet
EM currencies might be where the next big moves start forming.
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Money isn't the goal.
The goal is to achieve the emotional skills that consistently generate that money.
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The goal is to achieve the emotional skills that consistently generate that money.
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โ Ethereum ETFs raked in over $1bn on Monday, the largest single-day inflow on record by a wide margin.
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๐ Riding bubbles pays best
Weโre far from 2021-style euphoria, but if Trump gets his way with the Fed next year, that setup could return.
๐ก Global growth expectations just hit their highest since Feb โ25
๐ก Cash levels remain low at 3.9% โ near โsellโ signal territory
๐ก Equity allocations rising for 4 months straight, now 14% overweight (still below extremes)
Big tops form when sentiment, positioning, and liquidity peak together. Weโre not there yet, but the climb has started.
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Weโre far from 2021-style euphoria, but if Trump gets his way with the Fed next year, that setup could return.
๐ก Global growth expectations just hit their highest since Feb โ25
๐ก Cash levels remain low at 3.9% โ near โsellโ signal territory
๐ก Equity allocations rising for 4 months straight, now 14% overweight (still below extremes)
Big tops form when sentiment, positioning, and liquidity peak together. Weโre not there yet, but the climb has started.
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JUST IN: U.S. jobless claims and July PPI data are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET.
โข Jobless claims are expected at 229,000 for the week.
โข July Producer Price Index (PPI) is forecasted to rise by 0.2%, with a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy.
Predictions meeting expectations could stabilize market anticipations regarding inflation and economic health.
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โข Jobless claims are expected at 229,000 for the week.
โข July Producer Price Index (PPI) is forecasted to rise by 0.2%, with a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy.
Predictions meeting expectations could stabilize market anticipations regarding inflation and economic health.
CryptoFlash
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JUST IN: The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 3.3% year-over-year, surpassing the forecast of 2.5% and the previous rate of 2.3%.
- US short-term interest rate futures declined following the PPI data.
The higher-than-expected PPI could influence Federal Reserve policy, potentially affecting market interest rates and investor optimism.
CryptoFlash
- US short-term interest rate futures declined following the PPI data.
The higher-than-expected PPI could influence Federal Reserve policy, potentially affecting market interest rates and investor optimism.
CryptoFlash
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๐ซต 5 poker lessons every trader should steal
Trading is just poker with a Bloomberg terminal. Same psychology, same math, same way to go broke if you get cocky.
๐ก Have a plan before you sit down โ good players walk in knowing exactly how theyโll play different situations. Bad ones make it up as they go. Markets punish the second group first.
๐ก Know the odds โ in poker, youโre calculating your outs. In trading, itโs risk/reward and probabilities. If you canโt do the math, youโre not playing the same game as the winners.
๐ก Play the long game โ folding is free. Tilt is expensive. Both in cards and charts, survival beats โall-inโ hero plays.
๐ก Watch the pros โ poker tells = market sentiment. In both, the edge is spotting what others donโt see and acting before they do.
๐ก Every move moves the table โ big bets shift psychology. In markets, large buys or sells can create ripples you can ride โ or get crushed by.
The rules donโt change. Only the chips do.
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Trading is just poker with a Bloomberg terminal. Same psychology, same math, same way to go broke if you get cocky.
๐ก Have a plan before you sit down โ good players walk in knowing exactly how theyโll play different situations. Bad ones make it up as they go. Markets punish the second group first.
๐ก Know the odds โ in poker, youโre calculating your outs. In trading, itโs risk/reward and probabilities. If you canโt do the math, youโre not playing the same game as the winners.
๐ก Play the long game โ folding is free. Tilt is expensive. Both in cards and charts, survival beats โall-inโ hero plays.
๐ก Watch the pros โ poker tells = market sentiment. In both, the edge is spotting what others donโt see and acting before they do.
๐ก Every move moves the table โ big bets shift psychology. In markets, large buys or sells can create ripples you can ride โ or get crushed by.
The rules donโt change. Only the chips do.
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JUST IN: Trump describes potential meeting with Putin as a negotiation over boundaries and territories, warning of sanctions if issues aren't resolved.
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๐ตUS debt blasts past $37T
Since the debt ceiling was raised in early July, the US has added nearly $800B in just over a month.
๐ก Thatโs ~$25B per day
๐ก Fiscal dominance โ when debt dictates monetary policy โ is looking inevitable
๐ก More debt = more pressure on the Fed to keep rates low and liquidity flowing
Debt bubbles donโt deflate quietly. They get inflated until the currency takes the hit.
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Since the debt ceiling was raised in early July, the US has added nearly $800B in just over a month.
๐ก Thatโs ~$25B per day
๐ก Fiscal dominance โ when debt dictates monetary policy โ is looking inevitable
๐ก More debt = more pressure on the Fed to keep rates low and liquidity flowing
Debt bubbles donโt deflate quietly. They get inflated until the currency takes the hit.
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โ Earlier this year, Warren Buffett quietly spent $5 BILLION on a mystery company, one of his largest accumulations ever.
SEC rules let him keep it secret for a while to accumulate, but he now has just 2 HOURS left before we finally see the stock.
Whatโs your guess?
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SEC rules let him keep it secret for a while to accumulate, but he now has just 2 HOURS left before we finally see the stock.
Whatโs your guess?
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BREAKING: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway shows a new stake in UnitedHealth Group $UNH.
It cuts stake in Apple, $AAPL
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It cuts stake in Apple, $AAPL
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JUST IN: UnitedHealth stock jumps over 7% after Warren Buffettโs Berkshire Hathaway discloses a new investment in the company.
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CryptoFlash
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