๐จ US CPI in 1 hour at 08:30 AM ET
This is the main macro catalyst of the week and it will set the tone for rates, the dollar, and risk assets.
๐ก Expected: 3.1%
๐ฝ If CPI prints above 3.1%, inflation looks sticky, rate cuts get pushed out, and risk assets may face pressure.
๐ผIf CPI prints below 3.1%, disinflation gains momentum, cuts get priced in faster, and risk usually reacts positively.
๐ฏ A print near expectations likely keeps markets in the current range until the next macro trigger.
How will the market react?
๐ Up
๐ค Flat
๐ Down
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
This is the main macro catalyst of the week and it will set the tone for rates, the dollar, and risk assets.
๐ก Expected: 3.1%
๐ฝ If CPI prints above 3.1%, inflation looks sticky, rate cuts get pushed out, and risk assets may face pressure.
๐ผIf CPI prints below 3.1%, disinflation gains momentum, cuts get priced in faster, and risk usually reacts positively.
๐ฏ A print near expectations likely keeps markets in the current range until the next macro trigger.
How will the market react?
๐ Up
๐ค Flat
๐ Down
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
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๐125๐ฏ124๐ฅ120๐120๐113๐113๐คฎ111๐111๐108๐ค99๐79
JUST IN: Bank of Japan has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a 30-year high, driven by persistently elevated inflation.
@trading
CryptoFlash
@trading
CryptoFlash
๐61โค55๐53๐53๐ค48๐คฉ44๐41๐ฏ40๐35๐คฎ34๐28
Learning how price moves and where opportunities lie is one thing.
Training your mind to stay calm and execute fearlessly in every situation is another entirely.
You need both skills to make it in this business.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
Training your mind to stay calm and execute fearlessly in every situation is another entirely.
You need both skills to make it in this business.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐ฅ102๐96๐ฏ92โค90๐89๐81๐79๐ค79๐75๐ฑ54๐52
JUST IN: Nike's stock ($NKE) has fallen 10%, setting the stage for its biggest daily drop since April 2025, amid a significant decline in sales in China.
@trading
CryptoFlash
@trading
CryptoFlash
๐84๐76โค71๐70๐68๐63๐คฉ60๐54๐52๐ฅ52๐52
Most traders donโt blow accounts from one bad decision.
They blow them trying to emotionally undo a correct loss.
The loss was part of the plan.
The spiral was not.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
They blow them trying to emotionally undo a correct loss.
The loss was part of the plan.
The spiral was not.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐66๐59๐ฅ59โค55๐ค54๐52๐52๐ฏ51๐ฑ43๐คฉ39๐ด36
When nothingโs happening: keep working.
When everythingโs going wrong: keep working.
When everythingโs going right: keep working.
Momentum belongs to the consistent.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
When everythingโs going wrong: keep working.
When everythingโs going right: keep working.
Momentum belongs to the consistent.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐116๐ค113๐112๐110โค109๐108๐คฉ101๐ฅ100๐ฏ90๐ข78๐ฑ57
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A gem of a video from Warren Buffet:
The most important thing in hitting is waiting for the right pitch... In investing, there's no called strikes. I only get a strike called if I swing at a pitch and miss. So I can wait there and look at thousands of companies day after day, and only when I see something I understand and when I like the price at which it's selling, then if I swing, if I hit it fine, if I miss, it's a strike. But it's an enormously advantageous game.
This is why doing nothing is often the hardest trade.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
The most important thing in hitting is waiting for the right pitch... In investing, there's no called strikes. I only get a strike called if I swing at a pitch and miss. So I can wait there and look at thousands of companies day after day, and only when I see something I understand and when I like the price at which it's selling, then if I swing, if I hit it fine, if I miss, it's a strike. But it's an enormously advantageous game.
This is why doing nothing is often the hardest trade.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
โค104๐98๐ฏ98๐คฉ97๐ฅ96๐95๐93๐93๐ค92๐77๐ฑ60
Most of your day is resisting urges to do dumb shit.
The rest is accepting you're going to fail sometimes anyway.
Losses happen.
Mistakes happen.
You're not a robot.
Just keep choosing logic over emotion at every decision point.
Do that and you win.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
The rest is accepting you're going to fail sometimes anyway.
Losses happen.
Mistakes happen.
You're not a robot.
Just keep choosing logic over emotion at every decision point.
Do that and you win.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
โค66๐65๐60๐ฏ57๐54๐52๐ฅ50๐ค42๐41๐ก40๐ด30
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๐ฏ87๐87๐86๐คฉ80๐ค78๐77๐ฅ76๐72๐69๐63๐ด60
โWall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway.โ
- Warren Buffett
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
- Warren Buffett
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
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๐94๐94๐ค88๐84๐80๐ฅ79โค73๐คฉ73๐69๐คฌ60๐ข46
One thing that helps massively with avoiding overtrading is starting each day expecting to take no trades at all.
That mindset keeps the focus on waiting for your model instead of looking for action.
When you expect to find a trade, you always will.
The subconscious fills the gap and pushes you into setups you were never meant to take.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
That mindset keeps the focus on waiting for your model instead of looking for action.
When you expect to find a trade, you always will.
The subconscious fills the gap and pushes you into setups you were never meant to take.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐31๐ฏ21๐18๐17๐17๐16๐15๐คฉ14๐ก13๐ค12๐คฎ11
One thing that helps massively with avoiding overtrading is starting each day expecting to take no trades at all.
That mindset keeps the focus on waiting for your model instead of looking for action.
When you expect to find a trade, you always will.
The subconscious fills the gap and pushes you into setups you were never meant to take.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
That mindset keeps the focus on waiting for your model instead of looking for action.
When you expect to find a trade, you always will.
The subconscious fills the gap and pushes you into setups you were never meant to take.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐60๐50๐ฅ36๐ฑ34๐คฉ33โค32๐30๐ค30๐คฌ29๐ญ26๐20
๐ Key Events This Week
Short holiday week. Almost all meaningful data is packed into Tuesday. Liquidity drops hard after that.
โ๏ธ Tuesday
โข ADP employment change.
Early signal on labor conditions.
โข US preliminary GDP
Broad growth read that can move yields and USD.
โข Durable goods orders
Business investment and capex signal.
โข Core durable goods orders
Cleaner view without transport noise.
โข GDP price index
Inflation component inside GDP.
โข CB consumer confidence Household sentiment and spending outlook.
โข Richmond manufacturing index
Regional growth check.
โ ๏ธ Wednesday
โข Initial jobless claims
Weekly labor market update.
โข US stock market closes early at 6:00 PM UTC.
โ Thursday
โข US stock market closed. Christmas holiday.
โ Friday
โข European bank holidays. Very thin liquidity.
Not a week to force trades.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
Short holiday week. Almost all meaningful data is packed into Tuesday. Liquidity drops hard after that.
โ๏ธ Tuesday
โข ADP employment change.
Early signal on labor conditions.
โข US preliminary GDP
Broad growth read that can move yields and USD.
โข Durable goods orders
Business investment and capex signal.
โข Core durable goods orders
Cleaner view without transport noise.
โข GDP price index
Inflation component inside GDP.
โข CB consumer confidence Household sentiment and spending outlook.
โข Richmond manufacturing index
Regional growth check.
โ ๏ธ Wednesday
โข Initial jobless claims
Weekly labor market update.
โข US stock market closes early at 6:00 PM UTC.
โ Thursday
โข US stock market closed. Christmas holiday.
โ Friday
โข European bank holidays. Very thin liquidity.
Not a week to force trades.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐83๐ค78๐77๐69๐69๐คฉ67โค65๐ฅ62๐62๐ด61๐42
๐บ๐ธ Federal Reserve to Inject $6.8 Billion into Markets Monday at 9AM ET to Ease Year-End Cash Crunch
You know what happens next..
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
You know what happens next..
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
โค138๐125๐122๐ค117๐111๐110๐ฏ109๐ฅ103๐ข100๐ก91๐86
Trading gets simple when survival becomes the priority.
Everything else follows.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
Everything else follows.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
๐คฉ52๐ค50โค47๐41๐41๐คฎ40๐39๐37๐ฏ36๐34๐ด25
๐ฅ Gold hits a new record as BRICS keep accumulating
Gold has broken above $4,400 per ounce, setting a fresh all-time high after a year-long rally.
Rate-cut expectations in the US and rising geopolitical tension matter, but the dominant force behind the move is sustained, price-insensitive buying by BRICS central banks.
Whatโs really happening ๐
๐ก BRICS and aligned countries are responsible for over 50% of global central-bank gold buying in recent years
๐ก Russia, China, and India together hold more than 5,500 tonnes of gold
๐ก The bloc also controls roughly half of global gold production, led by China and Russia
๐ก Accumulation is driven by diversification away from US Treasuries and sanctions risk
๐ก BRICS are pairing gold buying with new settlement tools and plans for independent pricing infrastructure
Gold is no longer just a hedge. It is becoming a core reserve asset in a gradually shifting, less dollar-centric financial system.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
Gold has broken above $4,400 per ounce, setting a fresh all-time high after a year-long rally.
Rate-cut expectations in the US and rising geopolitical tension matter, but the dominant force behind the move is sustained, price-insensitive buying by BRICS central banks.
Whatโs really happening ๐
๐ก BRICS and aligned countries are responsible for over 50% of global central-bank gold buying in recent years
๐ก Russia, China, and India together hold more than 5,500 tonnes of gold
๐ก The bloc also controls roughly half of global gold production, led by China and Russia
๐ก Accumulation is driven by diversification away from US Treasuries and sanctions risk
๐ก BRICS are pairing gold buying with new settlement tools and plans for independent pricing infrastructure
Gold is no longer just a hedge. It is becoming a core reserve asset in a gradually shifting, less dollar-centric financial system.
โ @trading
CryptoFlash
โค35๐ฏ32๐31๐30๐คฉ28๐27๐26๐ค24๐ฑ22๐ฅ20๐17