🚨 FOMC Rate Decision in 30 Minutes

The rate announcement hits in half an hour, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference.
And traders are already obsessing over the smallest but strangely consistent signal.

Powell almost always opens with one of two lines.

📈 “Hello everyone” usually lands as bullish
📉 “Good afternoon” usually lands as bearish

And here is the funny part.
There is a 98% chance Powell starts today with “Good afternoon.”

The superstition exists for a reason.
The last time he broke his usual pattern, the Dow fell nearly 1,000 points.

What could possibly go wrong.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: A newly created Polymarket account has bet $40K that the Fed won’t cut rates today.

If correct, they would win $1.6M+

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 bps

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

🫡

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: President Trump has officially launched the Trump Gold Card and Trump Platinum Card, with the Gold Card offering US residency in record time for a processing fee and a $1 million contribution following DHS vetting.

@trading

CryptoFlash

You fail not because of your entry model, but because you start thinking about entries before understanding the context.

Entry = last step.

Bias + narrative = where 90% of your focus should be.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

Cisco has officially recovered from the 2000 dot-com crash.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

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📝 FOMC RECAP

The Fed delivered a hawkish 25 bps cut, while the dot plot still shows only ONE cut in 2026, with the most divided vote in 6 years (9-3).

Key Takeaways:

🟡 Fed launching $40B in T-bill purchases (reserve management, not QE)

🟡 Statement raised the bar for more cuts

🟡 Next cut now priced for June 2026

🗣️ Powell’s tone:

● Says policy is now in a neutral range
● Payroll gains overstated, real payrolls may be negative
● Inflation overshoot is mostly due to tariffs
● Labor market has significant downside risks
● T-bill buys may continue for months

❓ WHAT THIS MEANS FOR MARKETS NOW

🕯 Equities: Should trade sideways to lower.

💸 Crypto: Expect volatility and a downside bias short term.

A hawkish cut is not the beginning of easy money.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

🚨 Jobless claims data hits in 1 hour

Initial Jobless Claims drop at 08:30 AM ET and the market is watching this print closely.

● Expected: 221K
● Previous: 191K

🔼 If the number lands above 221K the market may read it as cooling labor which boosts odds of Fed rate cuts and supports risk assets and crypto.

🔽 If the number comes in below 221K the labor market still looks tight which can keep the Fed cautious and add short term pressure.

🕯 If the print is near 221K the reaction stays neutral and the current trend likely continues.

How will the market react?
👍 Up
🤝 Flat
👎 Down

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

🇺🇸 US Initial Jobless Claims:

Actual: 236k
Expected: 220k

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: Silver has surpassed Microsoft to become the world’s fifth largest asset by market capitalization.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: President Trump is preparing to introduce substantial tax breaks for corporations. The anticipated tax guidance, expected as early as next week, will enable companies to fully utilize R&D tax breaks, allowing retroactive claims under the new tax bill.

@trading

CryptoFlash

Your plan is your protection from your own impulses.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

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🚨 A quiet signal that could shake global markets

The Bank of Japan is signaling a possible rate hike next week.

The decision comes overnight between 18 and 19 December and markets are starting to pay attention.

This would be the first rate hike in 11 months. Rumors began circulating about a week ago and have only intensified since.

❕ If rates are raised markets likely move lower, possibly less aggressively due to early front running.

There is a real chance this BoJ meeting becomes one of the most important macro events of the month and a key driver for what comes next.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: Gold futures have extended gains above $4,380 per ounce, reflecting a 65% year-to-date increase and approaching a new record high.

@trading

CryptoFlash

Funny thing about screen time: you need to put in an insane amount of hours to learn the game of trading.

But once your systems are refined, continuing to spend the same number of hours often works against you.

You start making mistakes, not because your process is wrong, but because you deviate from it. Noise from outside (other traders opinions, constantly staring at the charts, etc) starts to override your own framework.

In the long run, a clear mind with sharp, decisive thinking outperforms endless screen time.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

Life hack: Stick to one thing for a long time until it works.

✅ @trading

CryptoFlash

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