JUST IN: The AI construction boom is evident as the Dodge Momentum Index jumped 60% year-over-year in September, reaching its all-time high; this key metric forecasts non-residential construction trends by monitoring projects that usually transition from planning to groundbreaking in 9–12 months.

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Howard Marks: Psychology is more important than accounting and finance.

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JUST IN: US stock market futures are opening higher as investors respond to the complete details of the latest US-China trade deal.

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JUST IN: The US has approved Microsoft's shipment of NVIDIA AI chips to the UAE for the first time, reports the Financial Times.

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JUST IN: Fed's Goolsbee expresses unease about frontloading rate cuts.

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JUST IN: Global stock markets achieved a record $148 trillion market capitalization in October, marking a 19.3% year-over-year increase that exceeds the historical average. Since the 2020 lows, they have gained $75 trillion in value, representing a 97% rise, continuing a strong 20-year upward trend.

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❕ $PLTR is reporting earnings today after close.

🟡 The stock is up almost 172% YTD.

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JUST IN: AWS and OpenAI have announced a multi-year strategic partnership involving a $38 billion commitment to expand OpenAI's compute capacity using AWS's infrastructure.

• The deal allows OpenAI to benefit from AWS's advantages in price, performance, scale, and security.
• Amazon shares surged 5% in premarket trading following the announcement.
• NVIDIA shares rose up to 3% as gains extended on the news.

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JUST IN: The US government shutdown is now projected to continue through Thanksgiving until December 1, according to Polymarket, potentially becoming a 61-day event that nearly doubles the previous record. Air traffic control is currently short more than 3,000 employees due to the impasse.

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JUST IN: Palantir stock (PLTR) has surged more than 7% after the company reported stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings.

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JUST IN: Gold funds saw a record $7.5 billion in net outflows last week as investors cashed in profits after gold's historic rally, reversing the prior week's record $8.5 billion inflow. Over the previous four months, these funds had drawn in a substantial $59 billion overall.

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JUST IN: US stock futures have declined by more than 1%, driven by a pullback in tech stocks in response to mixed reactions from recent earnings reports.

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❕ OpenAI has now:

🟡 Signed $500 billion Stargate deal
🟡 Signed $100 billion Nvidia deal
🟡 Signed $100 billion AMD deal
🟡 Signed $38 billion Amazon deal
🟡 Signed $25 billion Intel deal
🟡 Signed $20 billion TSMC deal
🟡 Signed $13 billion Microsoft deal
🟡 Signed $10 Billion Oracle deal
🟡 Signed "Multi-Billion Dollar" Broadcom deal
🟡 Launched a browser to compete with Chrome
🟡 Become the world's most valuable private company
🟡 Considered $1 trillion IPO by 2027

We are in the midst of a generational technological revolution.

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JUST IN: At a Hong Kong summit, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and other top Wall Street executives, including those from Morgan Stanley, warned that a market pullback is possible but not immediate, with Solomon specifically noting a potential 10–20% drop in equities in the coming period.

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JUST IN: The US government shutdown has reached day 35, marking it as the longest in history.
• Forecasts on the prediction market Kalshi now project the shutdown lasting around 44 days, a sharp rise in recent weeks.
• Despite this milestone, Sen. Markwayne Mullin offered commentary on the situation.

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🔥 Commodities are breaking the playbook

The GSCI Equal-Weighted Commodities Index is up 25% YoY, while the Fed is cutting rates.

In previous cycles, commodities peaked when the Fed started tightening. Now they’re surging in a rate-cut cycle.

🟡 Fed can’t afford higher rates
🟡 Fiscal dominance is taking over — debt dictates policy
🟡 One of the most bullish setups for hard assets in years

Gold, oil, and real commodities are leading again. The rules are changing.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump declared that SNAP benefits will be provided only after radical left Democrats reopen the government.

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JUST IN: Trump comments on California redistricting, stating that all mail-in ballots are undergoing very serious legal and criminal review.

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JUST IN: The US Labor department says economic data will NOT be released until the government shutdown ends, pointing to a 60+ day "blackout."

This includes:

1. Monthly Jobs Reports
2. Monthly Unemployment Rate
3. Monthly CPI inflation data
4. Monthly PPI inflation data
5. Monthly Retail Sales data
6. Monthly Housing Starts data

The Fed is cutting rates into the "dark."

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📝 20 Reasons Most Traders Fail


Every trader starts with dreams of freedom.
But 90% never make it. Here’s why:

🟡 They risk too much trying to make too little
🟡 Trade when odds are against them
🟡 Think it’s easy money
🟡 Chase wealth instead of skill
🟡 Blow up from bad position sizing
🟡 Ignore math and risk of ruin
🟡 Follow “gurus” blindly
🟡 Don’t do the homework
🟡 Trade opinions, not systems
🟡 Look for trades, not a strategy
🟡 Have no plan
🟡 Copy others without knowing their risk
🟡 Quit when they see how much work it takes
🟡 Quit when they see how many losses come before wins
🟡 Lose interest when passion fades
🟡 Expect guaranteed income
🟡 Refuse to pay tuition — time, losses, study
🟡 Collapse under the learning curve
🟡 Realize trading is harder than a 9–5
🟡 Quit when tired — winners quit only after they figure it out

Trading isn’t about genius.
It’s about patience, structure, and endurance.

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