JUST IN: The White House announced that Trump will meet with China's Xi on Thursday during his Asia trip.

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📉 The worst year for stock pickers in decades

Only 22% of active funds have beaten the market this year, the weakest performance in at least 26 years.

🟡 That means nearly 4 out of 5 professional managers underperformed simple index funds.

As Jack Bogle said:
Don’t look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack.

In 2025, passive investing once again proved the point — alpha is expensive, and beta keeps winning.

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JUST IN: The US Social Security Administration has announced a 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment for benefits starting in 2026.

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JUST IN: The Core CPI month-over-month increased by +0.2% in the latest report, falling short of the forecasted +0.3%.

The softer-than-expected Core CPI reading is bearish for the US dollar due to reduced pressure for monetary tightening, while it is bullish for risk assets as it raises expectations for potential interest rate cuts.

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JUST IN: Kevin Hassett remains hopeful about the upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi next week, despite expressing frustration with some Chinese actions.

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JUST IN: When asked whether a trade deal with China would be finalized by November 1, Hassett responded, "We'll see."

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JUST IN: A PYMNTS survey indicates that 67.6% of US consumers are now living paycheck to paycheck, marking a rise of 10 percentage points over the past 18 months. This follows the erosion of financial safety nets for nearly 30% of consumers prior to July 2020, leading to continued struggles.

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JUST IN: Canada has suspended its Reagan tariffs advertisement after President Trump's announcement ending US-Canada trade talks last night. Officials anticipate a swift resumption of negotiations.

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JUST IN: Pakistan's Defence Minister stated that Afghanistan seeks peace, but failing to reach a deal would result in open war.

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Why do people start trading and expect to be profitable in their first month?

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JUST IN: Bank reserves at the Federal Reserve declined by $59 billion last week to $2.93 trillion, the second-lowest level since January 2023.

• The figure closely approaches the 2023 low of $2.93 trillion, which preceded the regional banking crisis.
• Reserves are poised for a third straight monthly drop.

This reduction in reserves may raise alarms about banking sector liquidity, echoing pre-crisis conditions and potentially pressuring stock prices for financial institutions while boosting demand for safe-haven assets.

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Everyone's afraid of looking stupid

So they play it safe and stay small

But the biggest risk is not taking any at all

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JUST IN: China is postponing its export restrictions on rare earths to the US by 12 months for further review, according to US Treasury Secretary Bessent.

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Nothing in life is promise except death

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💰 QE Is Dead, Liquidity Is Coming Back

The Fed has just signaled it is stopping Quantitative Tightening, and that is a major shift for markets.

🟡 Quantitative Easing (QE) happens when the Fed buys bonds and expands its balance sheet. This injects cash into the system and increases liquidity, which often pushes stocks and crypto higher.

🟡 Quantitative Tightening (QT) is the opposite. The Fed sells bonds and takes money out of circulation. Liquidity falls, credit becomes tighter, and risk assets drop.

From 2019 to 2022, the Fed ran one of the most aggressive QE cycles in history. Trillions of dollars entered the market and risk assets exploded upward.

Then in 2022, QT began.
Liquidity drained, and those same assets fell sharply.

Now the cycle may be turning again. With QT ending, the pressure on liquidity eases, and fresh capital starts to return.

When money flows back into the system, risk appetite usually follows.

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JUST IN: The U.S. Commerce Secretary announced plans to sign investment deals totaling $490 billion.

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JUST IN: Microsoft and Apple have officially become the second and third companies worldwide to reach valuations exceeding $4 trillion.

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💣 IMF Warns: The Boom Is Over by 2026

The IMF’s latest forecast isn’t exactly cheerful. The global outlook continues to weaken, pointing to slower growth and mounting risks across key markets.

🟡 The world economy is expected to remain under pressure through 2026
🟡 Global growth is slowing as fragmentation and protectionism deepen
🟡 Overvalued tech stocks could threaten financial stability
🟡 The ranking of the world’s largest economies will remain unchanged from 2025

The global cycle is entering a fragile phase — less growth, more uncertainty, and a rising risk of shocks from overextended markets.

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BREAKING: Nokia stock, $NOK, surges nearly +30% after announcing a $1 billion investment from Nvidia.

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