JUST IN: Scott Bessent commented on China trade and tariffs, stating that imposing 100% tariffs is not inevitable.

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JUST IN: Kalshi is now forecasting a record-long government shutdown, with the probability rising steadily over the past month amid stalled negotiations in Washington. Such an extended shutdown would exceed historical precedents and heighten risks to the economy and markets.

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JUST IN: US stocks are building on their advances, with the S&P 500 rising over 1.5% for the day and adding more than $850 billion in market capitalization. The index is set for its strongest daily performance since May 27.

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JUST IN: Gold prices, when adjusted for US money supply, are breaking out of a 50+ year downtrend, according to this chart. This adjustment reveals that the 1970s peak was roughly four times higher than previously thought, suggesting the current phase still looks early in the bigger picture.

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JUST IN: Stock market futures are extending gains after China confirmed "working level talks" with the US. S&P 500 futures have risen 160 points from their Friday low.

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🏆 Gold Demand at Record Levels

The largest gold ETF, $GLD, saw an explosive surge in trading — one of the biggest single-day spikes in years. Such volumes were last seen more than a decade ago, highlighting a growing shift of capital into defensive assets.

🟡 $12.5B daily volume — 2nd highest on record
🟡 Previous peak: 2013
🟡 Outperformed most top tech stocks by trading activity

Money is moving from speculation to preservation. Gold is in demand, and the signal couldn’t be clearer.

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JUST IN: Key U.S. economic indicators face delays or cancellations due to the ongoing government shutdown.

• Consumer Price Index (CPI) release is not expected.
• Producer Price Index (PPI) release is not expected.
• Jobless Claims data is not expected to be published.
• Retail Sales figures are unlikely to be released.
• Import/Export Price Index is at risk of delay.
• Energy reports from the U.S. Energy Information Administration have uncertain release status.

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JUST IN: The S&P 500 has deepened its daily losses to -1.5%, driven by investor reactions to recent bank earnings and escalating trade tensions.

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JUST IN: Greer reports that a scheduled time has been set for a meeting between Trump and Xi.

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JUST IN: The Dow has rebounded from a 600-point drop and turned positive, after US Trade Representative Greer announced a scheduled meeting between President Trump and China's President Xi.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that Argentina should avoid any military cooperation with China.

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JUST IN: Trump has accused China of an "economically hostile act" by refusing to buy US soybeans. He stated he is considering terminating business with China involving cooking oil and other trade aspects as retribution.

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📈 75 years of S&P 500 pain and gain

Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged 11% annual returns while enduring an average 14% drawdown each year.

The chart shows how often deep pullbacks still ended with strong yearly gains.

The lesson? Volatility doesn’t equal a permanent financial loss unless you sell.

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JUST IN: Bessent states that the stock market will not impact negotiations with China.

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JUST IN: Bessent might request US defense companies to conduct fewer share buybacks.

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JUST IN: The Global Times describes Donald Trump's threat targeting China's cooking oil as ineffective.

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JUST IN: The chief of India's central bank has stated that the country intends to promote CBDC while discouraging cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.

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JUST IN: President Trump is considering deploying National Guard troops to San Francisco as part of his crime crackdown initiative.

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JUST IN: President Trump stated that India's Prime Minister Modi assured him that India will cease buying Russian oil. This comes after Trump imposed a 50% tariff on India on August 27 as punishment for those purchases, hinting at a possible US-India trade deal.

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JUST IN: Bank of America has raised its gold price target to $5,000 per ounce, driven by stagflation risks.

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