Train yourself to last longer than everyone else.

People rarely lose because they lack talent, knowledge or resources.
They lose because they didn’t stick around long enough to find out what could have been.

Breakthroughs rarely come after the first, second or even the third try.
They usually come when everyone else has tapped out.

All you have to do is stay in the game long enough to outlast the 99% who quit before the breakthrough comes.

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JUST IN: Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba announced his resignation as LDP President. He mentioned that a trade agreement was signed between his administration and Donald Trump's, expressing hope that the next administration will ensure its execution.

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Success is less about talent and more about endurance.

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Plan the trade, trade the plan.

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Life doesn’t change.

Your perspective does.

And that changes everything.

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When you don’t know what’s normal in your system, every pullback feels scary, every fast move triggers FOMO, every exit feels uncertain.

Know your numbers.

Confidence comes from proof, not hope.

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🗓 Key events this week

A heavy macro stretch with inflation front and center. Apple kicks things off, but CPI and services PMI will drive positioning.

🟡 Tuesday — Apple iPhone 17 Event + ISM Manufacturing PMI
Apple sets the tone for tech. PMI offers an early read on industrial momentum and Fed expectations.

🟡 Wednesday — US PPI Inflation
Producer prices give the first inflation signal ahead of CPI.

🟡 Thursday — US CPI Inflation + Jobless Claims + ISM Services PMI
The week’s main event. CPI and services PMI shape growth and inflation views, with claims as a labor check.

🟡 Friday — U. Mich Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
Final read on households and inflation before the Fed blackout window.

This week boils down to whether inflation proves sticky or fading — and how much the Fed can afford to wait.

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📈 How to spot real reversals

Most confuse pullbacks with reversals. ICT’s Change in State of Delivery (CISD) filters the noise and shows when Smart Money flips direction.

🟡 CISD = shift in price delivery. From expansion to consolidation or the other way around.
🟡 It marks intent — when one side of liquidity is finished and the market targets the opposite.
🟡 A real reversal = structure, arrays, and order flow all turning together.

The sequence is simple: first a break in higher-timeframe structure, then PD Arrays stop holding, then an impulsive displacement in the new direction. That’s when you look for entries, often through FVGs.

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🛢Hedge funds slash bullish oil bets

Net-long positions on WTI crude have collapsed to just 49,264 contracts — the lowest since 2009. That’s a ~120K contract drop in recent weeks.

🟡 IEA projects a record supply surplus next year
🟡 Oil inventories expected to build at 2.96M barrels/day
🟡 Even larger than the 2020 stockpile surge

Positioning is now at a 16-year low. The question is whether shorts are becoming as crowded as longs once were.

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💴 Yen carry trade back in play

With PM Shigeru Ishiba stepping down, Sanae Takaichi is now the frontrunner to lead Japan. She backs keeping interest rates ultra-low — effectively locking in a weak yen and fueling global capital outflows via the carry trade.

🟡 Yen dropped to 148.40, down 5.6% YTD
🟡 Policy outlook: dovish, supportive of BoJ’s loose stance
🟡 Carry trade appeal: cheap yen funding vs higher-yield assets abroad

A leadership shift that cements low rates means the yen is less a currency bet, more a funding vehicle again. The market wasted no time pricing it in.

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JUST IN: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu advises residents of Gaza to evacuate immediately.

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JUST IN: The French government has collapsed for the second time this year.

• President Macron is the first French president to experience two government collapses within a year since 1953.

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Remember:

1. Sit on your hands when you don't see edge. Don't force setups. Patience.

2. Step up when you do see edge. No fear. No hesitation. Follow your process. Expect nothing. Expectations create emotions.

3. Trade the market, not your P&L.

4. Always seek improvement.

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📈 Dot-com setup all over again

Back in the 90s Netscape’s IPO, deregulation and falling rates pushed Nasdaq up 582% before the crash. Today the same pattern is taking shape.

🟡 Circle IPO echoed Netscape’s big bang moment
🟡 GENIUS Act = the Telecom Act for stablecoins
🟡 CLARITY Act = NSMIA for digital assets
🟡 Fed shifting into cuts, same as late 90s backdrop

When adoption collides with regulation and liquidity, markets melt up fast. The only unknown is how long before it breaks.

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💵 Russia vs U.S. stablecoins

Putin’s advisor claims America’s stablecoin push is a scheme to dump $35T debt into crypto, devalue it, and reset the system.

🟡 The U.S. is pushing stablecoin rails as part of dollar dominance in Web3
🟡 Critics warn scaled stablecoins could blur the line between crypto liquidity and government debt
🟡 A Russian operator was just charged for using stables to move $530M and evade sanctions

Stablecoins are no longer fintech toys - they’re turning into geopolitical weapons. The fight isn’t about tokens, it’s about power.

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JUST IN: An Axios reporter on X, citing a senior Israeli official, stated that the explosion in Doha was an assassination operation targeting senior Hamas officials.

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JUST IN: Spot gold reached a new record high of $3,660.

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JUST IN: The US Labor Department has reduced its job figures by 911,000 for the year ending March 2025, indicating the job market is much weaker than previously reported.

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🌍 China’s exports pivot away from the U.S.

China’s shipments to the U.S. plunged –33% YoY in August, one of the steepest drops on record. Imports from the U.S. also fell –16%.

Meanwhile, exports to other regions are rising fast:
🟡 EU +10.4% YoY
🟡 ASEAN +22.5% YoY
🟡 Africa +26% YoY

The U.S. is still China’s top single-country buyer ($283B YTD), but the EU bloc has already doubled that at $541B.

US–China trade is no longer the anchor it once was. The axis of global trade is shifting and the divergence is accelerating.

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