JUST IN: Alphabet stock, $GOOGL, rises over +5% following a court decision allowing the company to retain ownership of Google Chrome.

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President Trump has asked China's President Xi to pass on his "warmest regards" to Putin and Kim Jong Un as they "conspire against the US."

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Look at some of the greatest traders who ever lived.

Across the board you'll see this almost crazy ability to just not give up.

And that's what is required to succeed.

Failure shouldn't scare you.

You should learn to dance with it.
You should allow it to mold you.

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📉 Global long bonds under heavy pressure

This year has been brutal for sovereign debt, with 30Y bonds in Japan, Germany, and France posting double-digit losses. Investors are demanding higher yields as fiscal risks rise.

🟡 Japan 30Y: –14.9% YTD
🟡 Germany 30Y: –11.8%
🟡 France 30Y: –9.3%
🟡 Canada 30Y: –7.4%
🟡 UK 30Y: –3.3%
🟡 China 30Y: –2.6%
🟡 US Treasuries 30Y: +1.0%

Global bond markets are flashing stress, but Treasuries remain the relative safe haven.

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✅ Charlie Munger’s investing checklist

Charlie Munger was Warren Buffett’s long-time partner at Berkshire Hathaway and one of the sharpest thinkers in investing. He built his success on a set of principles that stayed consistent for decades.

🟡 Risk: always demand a margin of safety and never confuse luck with skill

🟡 Allocation: put real capital to work only when the odds are clearly in your favor

🟡 Patience: compounding takes time but it is the strongest force in finance

🟡 Independence: think for yourself and avoid following the crowd

🟡 Humility: stay inside your circle of competence and admit mistakes quickly

🟡 Preparation: read widely, build mental models, and be ready when opportunity comes

Munger’s checklist is a reminder that successful investing is not about constant action.

It is about discipline, clear thinking, and the willingness to wait until the right moment to act with conviction.

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JUST IN: Apple shares increase by over 4% premarket after BofA raises its price target.

• Analyst Wamsi Mohan increased the price target to $260.
• The Buy rating was maintained by BofA.
• The DOJ-Google antitrust outcome deemed a “win for Apple” as it limits Google's exclusive deals.

This positive development for Apple might boost investor confidence and support further stock price appreciation.

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💵 Another $100B in T-bills hits the market

The U.S. Treasury is auctioning a record $100B in 4-week bills this week. Every sale pushes supply higher, and demand is being tested as deficits balloon.

🟡 Federal debt is now approaching $40T
🟡 The annual deficit is running near $2T
🟡 Short-term issuance is breaking records month after month

This is the quiet engine of markets: constant refinancing of short-term debt. It keeps liquidity moving today but compounds rollover risk tomorrow. The bigger the stack of bills, the more sensitive the system becomes to shifts in rates or demand.

Short-dated Treasuries may look “risk-free” on the surface, but they are also the canary in the fiscal mine.

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JUST IN: US JOLTS Job Openings and Factory Orders data released.
• Job openings were 7.181 million, below the forecast of 7.38 million and previous 7.437 million.
• Factory orders fell by 1.3%, matching expectations, after a fall of 4.8% previously.

The lower-than-expected job openings could indicate a cooling in the labor market, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations.

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JUST IN: The US unemployment rate now exceeds job openings for the first time since April 2021.

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🍔 The Big Mac Index is flashing a shift

For the first time, Big Macs cost more in developed economies than in developing ones. A simple burger now highlights the widening gap in living costs.

🟡 US prices sit among the highest, alongside Switzerland and the Euro area
🟡 Emerging markets like India, Indonesia, and Malaysia remain far cheaper
🟡 The index shows how currencies and inflation shape purchasing power across borders

Sometimes a burger tells you more about inflation than a central bank speech.

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JUST IN: Trump suggests that tariffs could potentially one day replace the income tax.

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JUST IN: France imposes a €325 million fine on Google.

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If you want to speed up your progression, you need to make a plan.

Once that is done, you need to follow it with an almost scientific detachment.

This means not wasting your time and money on shit trades that aren't part of it.

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📈 Stocks meet Solana on VOOI

Trading $AAPL, $NVDA, SPX or even Mag7 now works gas-free on Solana. And it runs from the same balance that powers your perps on crypto and RWAs.

🟡 Log in with email, Telegram or EVM
🟡 Deposit once
🟡 Instantly trade tokenized equities and indices alongside $SOL, $JUP, $WIF, $BONK, $PYTH

All-in-one, the way it should be.
One balance for all markets.

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📊 4 signs sellers are running out of power

Markets don’t turn just because price looks “cheap”.
They turn when selling pressure breaks down.

🟡 Exhaustion — sellers keep pushing lower, but each drop has less force. The lows get weaker until buyers step in.

🟡 Liquidation cascade — aggressive forced selling hits a wall. Once the liquidations are done, price snaps back hard.

🟡 Absorption — every sell order gets eaten by limit buys. Supply is there, but demand is stronger.

🟡 Depletion — sellers simply run out of fuel. With no more supply, even small buys move price higher.

Understanding these patterns helps you spot when a downtrend is dying and when the real opportunity starts.

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JUST IN: Apple plans to increase iPhone prices for the first time in seven years, according to Morgan Stanley.

• Apple to raise iPhone 17 prices at the September 9 event.
• The new iPhone 17 Air will feature a thinner design and C1 modem.
• It will come with a $100 premium over the iPhone.

This price increase could impact investor expectations positively, suggesting confidence in consumer demand and potentially boosting Apple's valuation.

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💰The US Treasury is buying back another $2B of its own debt.

Call it QE without the Fed, a quiet way to support bond markets while deficits keep climbing.

It’s a reminder that even Washington is now playing both sides of the trade: issuing record supply and retiring it at the same time.

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📉 Yield curve steepening: danger signal

The spread between the 2Y and 30Y US Treasuries has blown out to its widest level in years. Every time this curve went from inversion to +1.25% before, it lined up with brutal bear markets.

🟡 2000s tech bust
🟡 2008 global financial crisis

Those were the only two times in history this exact setup preceded negative equity returns. Now the signal is flashing again.

Not a forecast, but a reminder: when the long end demands a bigger premium, it’s often the market whispering about stress ahead.

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Remember: if you can't see something, don't force it.

Patience.

Great trades will come along.

The hard part is trying no to do anything stupid in between them.

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📉 Negative payrolls on the horizon?

In August, 63% of consumers expected higher unemployment within 12 months - the third-highest reading since 2008. Historically, that has been a leading signal for labor market weakness.

🟡 The 3-month average of payrolls may soon flip negative, falling to -50K to -100K.
🟡 July already showed +35K, the weakest since 2020.
🟡 With constant downward revisions, it’s possible the labor market is already contracting.

Today’s NFP will be critical. A negative print would confirm what the indicators are already warning.

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📈 Mastering NFP Week

NFP drops on the first Friday of each month at 8:30am. The algorithm is designed to build liquidity both above and below price before the release, so the event has fuel to attack and offset.

🟡 Monday to Wednesday are the safest days to trade. Liquidity builds in these ranges.
🟡 Thursday is low probability - unless the setup is obvious.
🟡 Friday is best traded at least 30 minutes after the release, when the manipulation move is usually done.

NFP Friday often takes out the Wednesday or Thursday range high/low before reversing. The edge comes from waiting for the trap to spring and then trading with the follow-through.

Patience pays. Let the market show its hand before you move.

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