▶️ Fed power shift in play

Yesterday’s spotlight was on Trump’s push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, a move that could flip the balance of power inside the Fed.

🟡 If Cook is out, Trump-appointed Governors would hold 4 of 7 seats (excluding Powell)
🟡 That would give Trump the majority on the board for the first time in history
🟡 With Trump calling for 300 bps of rate cuts, this shift could open the door to aggressive easing
🟡 Cook’s term runs until 2038, making this challenge unprecedented

The Fed has never faced a political reshuffle like this, and the outcome could define the next chapter for US rates and markets.

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💠 AMD vs Nvidia — AI divergence

AMD reported Q2 data center revenue of $3.2B yesterday, up just 14% YoY, not much in an AI market chasing exponential growth.

🟡 Nvidia earnings due today
🟡 Street looking for $45B+ revenue
🟡 $40B+ from data centers, +50% YoY

AMD is steady, Nvidia is parabolic.
Tonight’s print is more than one stock, it’s a stress test for the whole AI trade.

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JUST IN: The European Union plans to eliminate tariffs on US industrial goods to address President Trump's requirements. In return, the US may reduce tariffs on cars imported from the EU.

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📈 False breakouts and liquidity traps

A breakout isn’t confirmed by price alone, it’s confirmed by liquidity.

The common pattern:

🟡 Price breaks a key level with high volume → everyone piles in
🟡 Retrace happens on thinner volume → looks harmless at first
🟡 Positions unwind fast → reversal wipes out late buyers

What’s really happening: large players use the breakout to unload size into eager breakout traders. Once that liquidity is absorbed, the move has no fuel, and price collapses.

False breakouts matter because they show who’s trapped. When volume and follow-through don’t align, it’s often a signal of smart money exiting, not entering.

Lesson: watch the quality of volume, not just the candles. A clean breakout without sustained liquidity is often the setup for the next dump.

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📊 Nvidia vs the world

$NVDA would need another $800B in market cap to surpass the entire Nikkei, the world’s second largest stock market.

It’s already bigger than the GDP of Germany, the UK, France, and Italy.

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🐻 Peter Schiff does it again

In 2018, he warned Bitcoin could fall to $3,800. Yesterday, he said the next stop is $75K.

🟡 BTC dropped below $109K, down 13% in two weeks
🟡 Schiff calls for $75K as the next target, just under MSTR’s average cost
🟡 Same man once said even $750 would be “expensive”

Some things never change: Bitcoin climbs, Schiff stays bearish, and the market keeps ignoring him, until one day it doesn’t.

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Less but better trades = more wins

Less stocks on your watchlist = more focus

Less risk per trade = more calmness

Less technical indicators = more signal clarity

In trading, less is more.

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📈 Japan flips the script

For the first time in 48 years, Japan’s core CPI has moved above the US.

July came in at 3.4% vs 3.1% in the US - one of Japan’s highest readings since the 1980s.

Core inflation has now sat above the BoJ’s 2% target for 40 straight months. Yields followed: the 30-year JGB just hit 3.24%, the highest ever.

After decades of deflation talk, Japan is now exporting inflation, and staring down a restructuring it’s avoided for half a century.

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JUST IN: Analysts raise target prices for NVIDIA.

• JPMorgan increased its target to $215 from $170.
• Rosenblatt adjusted its target to $215 from $200.
• Benchmark set a new target at $220, up from $190.
• BofA Securities raised its target to $235 from $220.
• Citi lifted its target to $215 from $170.
• Jefferies increased its target to $205 from $200.
• KeyBanc now aims for $230, up from $215.
• DA Davidson raised its target to $195 from $135.
• Truist Securities increased its target to $228 from $210.

The series of target price increases could signal positive investor sentiment, potentially boosting NVIDIA's stock value.

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🥈 Silver’s supply crunch

Unlike past cycles, producers aren’t ramping up despite higher prices. Decades of underinvestment mean there are no major new mines coming online to ease the squeeze.

🟡 Mexico is the “Saudi Arabia” of silver, supplying ~25% of global output
🟡 Production there has been in multi-year decline
🟡 No new projects on the horizon to shift supply

The imbalance isn’t just about silver, other metals face the same shortage. That’s why this mining cycle could run longer and harder than previous ones.

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JUST IN: Nvidia's CEO Huang is discussing with the Trump administration the sale of advanced Blackwell AI chips to China. He is ready to offer the US government a portion of those sales and desires US tech to become a global benchmark akin to the US dollar.

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🔥OUR ALPHA PRIVATE COMMUNITY IS NOW OPEN — 4 DAYS ONLY

We’re opening the gates again until Sunday midnight.

White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.

It’s a tight focus group where we trade, share ideas, and track real market shifts together.
Inside, you’ll find:

💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets

💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd

🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members

The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.

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💵 Buffett now makes $138 every second - in dividends

Berkshire Hathaway earns $4.37B a year from dividends, that’s $364M per month, $12M per day, $498K per hour, and $138 every second without selling a single share.

🟡 Biggest checks: Coca-Cola ($816M), Chevron ($811M), Bank of America ($707M), Apple, AmEx, Kraft Heinz

🟡 Smaller but steady: Occidental, Moody’s, Chubb, Verizon, US Bancorp, Verisign

🟡 Core principle: own businesses with “economic moats” - brands, ecosystems, and pricing power

This constant cash flow gives Buffett unmatched optionality - reinvest, buy back stock, or simply wait.

Compounding isn’t flashy. It’s Coca-Cola paying you for 40 years straight while the rest of the market chases fads.

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JUST IN: The S&P 500 has surpassed 6,500 for the first time ever.

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JUST IN: President Trump's 50% tariffs on imports from India have now been implemented.

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Most people are trying to find an answer in a box.

Few seek the answer outside of the box.

And even fewer understand that there is no box.

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💰 US tariff revenues hit record highs

Customs duties have quietly become one of Washington’s biggest cash machines.

After “Liberation Day” in April, monthly tariff revenue exploded from $8B to nearly $28B by July.

🟡 Tariffs now bring in $136B YTD, making them the 4th-largest federal revenue source after income taxes, social security, and corporate tax.

🟡 Still, it barely dents the picture: the US deficit sits at $1.6T, and annual interest payments alone are $841B.

🟡 Trump floated the idea of using tariff windfalls to “pay down debt” — or even pay out a dividend to Americans.

Tariffs are finally meaningful in size, but they’re a drop in the bucket compared to US spending.

The bigger story is what happens if revenues keep climbing toward the “half-trillion to trillion” level hinted by Treasury.

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🔥OUR ALPHA PRIVATE COMMUNITY IS NOW OPEN — 3 DAYS LEFT

We’re opening the gates again until Sunday midnight.

White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.

It’s a tight focus group where we trade, share ideas, and track real market shifts together.
Inside, you’ll find:

💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets

💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd

🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members

The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.

CryptoFlash

JUST IN: The U.S. reported July's core PCE price index showed an increase.

• The annual rate rose to 2.9%, the highest since December 2024.
• The core PCE monthly rate climbed to 0.3% from 0.1%.
• The overall PCE annual rate remained at 2.6% with a monthly increase of 0.2%.

This increase in the core PCE rate could heighten inflation concerns, potentially influencing monetary policy and impacting financial markets.

CryptoFlash

🏦 Central banks flip from Treasuries to gold

For the first time since 1996, foreign central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries in their reserves.

🟡 Gold holdings as a share of reserves have been climbing steadily for a decade, while Treasury allocations keep shrinking.

🟡 The 1970s showed what happens when this trend accelerates — a structural shift in global finance.

🟡 This marks a break from the dollar’s dominance as the “risk-free” asset, with gold regaining its role as the anchor of reserves.

This isn’t just about metals.
It’s a sign of global rebalancing, away from US debt, toward hard assets.

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