📉 China’s credit engine stalls

In July, Chinese net new loans fell by ~50B Yuan - the first decline in 20 years.

🟡 Earlier this year, loans were expanding by ~5T Yuan

🟡 The drop came from net repayments, as households and firms avoid new debt

🟡 Signals growing caution and weaker confidence in economic outlook

Credit is the lifeblood of China’s growth model.
When lending dries up, momentum follows.

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JUST IN: Trump: Big day at the White House. Let's see what the results will be.

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JUST IN: Ukrainian President Zelenskiy stated that it is 'impossible to give up territory' to Russia.

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At $4.5 trillion, Nvidia's market cap is now $1.5 trillion higher than all of the stocks in the Russell 2000 combined.

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JUST IN: The Trump administration reportedly considered acquiring a 10% stake in Intel.

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JUST IN: Russia is against any plans involving the deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

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JUST IN: Zelenskiy visits the White House to meet with Donald Trump.

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JUST IN: Trump: The war will end when it ends; I can't specify when. Regarding security guarantees, Trump stated that they'll be involved. He also mentioned a commitment to achieving a lasting peace.

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📈 4 charts worth studying on repeat

Markets recycle the same playbook - learn these setups and you’ll spot the next leader before it runs.

🟡 Clean Bases – Flat bases, VCPs, tight consolidations. They look boring, which is why they work. Messy charts = weak conviction.

🟡 Volume Clues – Big spikes on up days, quiet pullbacks on low volume. That’s how institutions load up.

🟡 Theme Alignment – The strongest moves ride strong narratives. Story pulls capital, chart gives the entry.

🟡 Explosive Breakouts – Price leaves the base hard and clean, with 2x+ average volume. No chop, no hesitation.

The ticker changes. The structure doesn’t. Train your eye and the next breakout won’t surprise you.

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JUST IN: The Kremlin announces it will oppose any deployment of Western troops on Ukrainian territory.

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JUST IN: Ukraine will agree to purchase $100 billion of American weapons financed by Europe to obtain US security assurances, reports the Financial Times.

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Most traders can click buttons.

Few can sit still.

Master that, and you’ve already won half the game.

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💸 The real cost of inflation

Forget the “2%” headline.

Look at what actually happened in the last 5 years:

🟡 Eggs +157%
🟡 Auto insurance +61%
🟡 Fuel oil +58%
🟡 Gas utilities +56%
🟡 Home prices +52%
🟡 Transportation +43%
🟡 Shelter +28%

This is why official CPI feels like fiction.
Markets may price policy, but households live in reality.

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📈 Previous Day / Week Highs & Lows

Some of the cleanest levels you can use for bias are simply the previous day’s and week’s highs and lows.

Price always reacts to them - it’s just about how.

🟡 Closes beyond PDH/PWH → continuation likely, next target is new highs.

🟡 Fails to close beyond → expect reversal back inside the range, often targeting the opposite side.

🟡 Inside day → no break, just balance. Sets up expectation for the next move.

🟡 Closes back inside after a break → early sign of reversal, liquidity shift back inward.

The trick: don’t look at these levels in isolation. Use them to frame the bigger narrative.

Simple, clean, and surprisingly powerful.

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JUST IN: Nvidia is creating a new AI chip for China using the latest Blackwell architecture, which will surpass the capabilities of the current H20 model permitted for sale, according to sources.

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📉📈 Big Tech vs Small Caps

The 5 largest US stocks (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META) are now worth 4.9x more than all small-cap stocks combined, a new record.

🟡 Since 2019, this ratio has tripled, driven by mega-cap tech.

🟡 Gains since then: NVDA +5109%, MSFT +435%, AAPL +463%, AMZN +203%, META +440%.

🟡 In the same period, the Russell 2000 (small caps) rose just 66%.

🟡 For context: at the dot-com bubble peak (2000), the ratio was ~1.5x.
Before the 2008 crisis ~1.0x.

Small caps have never been this overshadowed. The US market is now more concentrated than ever.

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When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire.
— George Soros

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A lack of self-control is also a form of lacking self-respect.

Respect yourself enough to stick to the promise you’ve made to yourself.

Apply rules and clear entry + trade management model that will assist you making better decisions.

Trust your system more than you trust yourself.

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📈 Leveraged ETFs hit record highs

Assets in US leveraged equity ETFs have exploded to ~$120B - an all-time high.

That’s 3x more than just 3 years ago.

🟡 Demand for high-risk, high-reward products is surging

🟡 Trading volume in these vehicles has skyrocketed in the last 5 years

Leverage fever is real.

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JUST IN: Elon Musk is pausing his initiative to form the "America Party," choosing instead to focus on his businesses and potentially support Vice President JD Vance for a 2028 presidential run.

• Musk seeks to avoid dividing Republican support by stepping back from third-party plans.
• He has stopped conversations with party organizers.
• Musk spent nearly $300 million in 2024 supporting Donald Trump.
• Republicans value Musk's financial backing for its potential influence.

This decision could enhance investor confidence in Musk's companies by keeping his focus on business operations, while maintaining political ties that may support favorable policies.

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JUST IN: Trump called for Fed Governor Lisa Cook to step down following her alleged involvement in mortgage fraud. An ally claims she misrepresented two homes as "primary residences" for better rates. He also criticized Fed Chair Powell for damaging the housing market.

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