JUST IN: President Trump announces “big progress on Russia” and advises to “stay tuned.”

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JUST IN: Trump and Putin have agreed that the US could offer Ukraine security guarantees.

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Early on, your trades will look bad and your timing worse.

It’s part of the cost of learning.

Better to look foolish now than broke later.

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Most never start.

Most who start quit.

The ones who stay eventually win.

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It is an exercise in discipline to either end your trading day in a loss or not place any trades.

If you can learn how to do both and be content.. you’ve already surpassed many retail traders.

It’s not easy to sit with a loss until your next trading session.. and it’s not easy to sit still and do nothing.

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❕Key Events This Week:

🟡 Home Depot $HD Earnings - Tuesday

🟡 FOMC Member Waller Speech - Monday

🟡 Target $TGT Earnings - Wednesday

🟡 Fed FOMC Minutes - Wednesday

🟡 Walmart $WMT Earnings - Thursday

🟡 Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday

🟡 Services / Manufacturing PMI - Thursday

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📈 IRL vs ERL made simple

Price only does two things: it hunts liquidity outside the range (ERL) or rebalances inside it (IRL).

Once one side is cleared, the draw shifts to the other.

🟡 ERL (External Range Liquidity) – swing highs/lows packed with stops. After they’re taken, focus shifts inward.

🟡 IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) – imbalances and Fair Value Gaps. Once filled, price often looks outward again.

🟡 Cyclical nature – markets don’t move in straight lines. Expansion is followed by rebalancing, swings by mean reversion.

🟡 Invalidation – if IRL fails to offer fair value, the swing that created it becomes the new draw (inversion FVG).

🟡 Fractal principle – works on all timeframes, but cleaner on higher TFs.

The game is simple: ERL → IRL → ERL. Master this flow, and candles stop looking random.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump announced plans to lead a movement against mail-in ballots and intends to sign an executive order regarding the 2026 midterm elections. He asserted that U.S. states must follow federal directives.

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📉 China’s credit engine stalls

In July, Chinese net new loans fell by ~50B Yuan - the first decline in 20 years.

🟡 Earlier this year, loans were expanding by ~5T Yuan

🟡 The drop came from net repayments, as households and firms avoid new debt

🟡 Signals growing caution and weaker confidence in economic outlook

Credit is the lifeblood of China’s growth model.
When lending dries up, momentum follows.

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JUST IN: Trump: Big day at the White House. Let's see what the results will be.

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JUST IN: Ukrainian President Zelenskiy stated that it is 'impossible to give up territory' to Russia.

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At $4.5 trillion, Nvidia's market cap is now $1.5 trillion higher than all of the stocks in the Russell 2000 combined.

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JUST IN: The Trump administration reportedly considered acquiring a 10% stake in Intel.

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JUST IN: Russia is against any plans involving the deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

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JUST IN: Zelenskiy visits the White House to meet with Donald Trump.

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JUST IN: Trump: The war will end when it ends; I can't specify when. Regarding security guarantees, Trump stated that they'll be involved. He also mentioned a commitment to achieving a lasting peace.

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📈 4 charts worth studying on repeat

Markets recycle the same playbook - learn these setups and you’ll spot the next leader before it runs.

🟡 Clean Bases – Flat bases, VCPs, tight consolidations. They look boring, which is why they work. Messy charts = weak conviction.

🟡 Volume Clues – Big spikes on up days, quiet pullbacks on low volume. That’s how institutions load up.

🟡 Theme Alignment – The strongest moves ride strong narratives. Story pulls capital, chart gives the entry.

🟡 Explosive Breakouts – Price leaves the base hard and clean, with 2x+ average volume. No chop, no hesitation.

The ticker changes. The structure doesn’t. Train your eye and the next breakout won’t surprise you.

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JUST IN: The Kremlin announces it will oppose any deployment of Western troops on Ukrainian territory.

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JUST IN: Ukraine will agree to purchase $100 billion of American weapons financed by Europe to obtain US security assurances, reports the Financial Times.

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Most traders can click buttons.

Few can sit still.

Master that, and you’ve already won half the game.

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💸 The real cost of inflation

Forget the “2%” headline.

Look at what actually happened in the last 5 years:

🟡 Eggs +157%
🟡 Auto insurance +61%
🟡 Fuel oil +58%
🟡 Gas utilities +56%
🟡 Home prices +52%
🟡 Transportation +43%
🟡 Shelter +28%

This is why official CPI feels like fiction.
Markets may price policy, but households live in reality.

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